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Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 5-2
Trethomas Bluebirds
Trethomas Bluebirds
Vs
52%
23%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Afan Lido
Afan Lido
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Trethomas Bluebirds are tipped to win as the model favours a home victory with a 52% chance, a 23% draw probability and a 25% chance of Afan Lido taking the win. The expected total of 3.6 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1, a 9.6% probability. Trethomas have been productive at home, averaging 2.33 goals scored and conceding 2.56 against similarly strong opponents, while Afan Lido, on the road, has struggled, netting only 0.62 goals and conceding 2.25. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, Under 7.5 at 97.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.7%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.0% with a 5% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.7%, Under 6.5 at 93.0%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 89.5%. Trethomas have recently lost twice in a row after a 1-2 defeat to Pontypridd Town, whereas Afan Lido comes off a win, 1-0 over Pontardawe Town.

Results analysis

Trethomas Bluebirds’ recent win has extended their form, and the model’s favourite, Home win, proved correct as the Bluebirds triumphed 5-2 over Afan Lido. The prediction that the home side would prevail came with a 52% probability, and the outcome matched the forecast. The model’s selections largely performed: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2%, Under 7.5 hit at 97.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.1%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 90.8%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 88.7%. However, Home under 2.5 HT goals missed at 96.4%, and Under 6.5 missed at 93.0%. The most likely scoreline of 2-1 at 9.2% also fell short, but the overall model delivered a largely accurate picture of the match.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trethomas Bluebirds win✓ Hit
51.9%
Avg Implied 45.4% · @ 2.00
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Dafabet
2.04
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Draw✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.74
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.80
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.80
Betano
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Afan Lido win✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 3.00
Edge
-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.07
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
Dafabet
3.05

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W03L42W22D44D11D00D11D24L12LH·NEW09/03A·ABE14/03H·PON20/03A·YNY28/03H·CAR04/04A·BAG18/04H·BAG31/07A·LLA07/08H·CAE14/08A·PON21/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.472.102.232.150.882.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.532.322.332.560.802.10
vs Weaker (11)1.361.732.001.251.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Afan Lido) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Afan LidoAfan Lido

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L41W10W10W41W14L25L50W13L10WH·CAM13/03H·LLA20/03A·TRE23/03A·ABE28/03H·CWM03/04A·CAR18/04H·ABE01/08H·LLA07/08A·CAR14/08H·PON21/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.871.671.610.582.25
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (19)1.421.632.001.180.622.25
vs Weaker (10)0.902.201.142.290.332.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Trethomas Bluebirds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.9%
@ 1.12+6.9%
Under 1.5
12.1%
@ 4.80-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Under
1xBet
5.00
Superbet
4.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.1%
@ 1.48+7.0%
Under 2.5
30.9%
@ 2.42-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Under
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.42
Superbet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.38
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.7%
@ 2.19+5.8%
Under 3.5
52.3%
@ 1.58-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.22
Marathonbet
2.21
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Betano
2.12
Under
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.2%
@ 1.44+4.5%
No
31.8%
@ 2.53-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
No
1xBet
2.56
Superbet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.50

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.6%@ 7.33+3.8%
2-1
9.2%@ 8.67+4.3%
2-2
6.7%@ 10.67+2.7%
3-1
6.5%@ 13.67+3.4%
2-0
6.3%@ 11.67+2.7%
1-2
6.3%@ 10.33+2.2%
1-0
5.1%@ 10.33+1.0%
3-2
4.7%@ 17.00+2.2%
Trethomas Bluebirds goals ↓
Afan Lido goals →
01234
03.7%3.2%3.0%1.4%0.5%
15.1%9.6%6.3%3.0%1.1%
26.3%9.2%6.7%3.2%1.2%
34.5%6.5%4.7%2.3%0.8%
42.4%3.4%2.5%1.2%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Trethomas Bluebirds goals (down), columns = Afan Lido goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swansea University
2.60
Pontypridd Town
2.60
Newtown AFC
2.60
Brickfield Rangers
2.50
Bala Town
2.40
Aberystwyth Town
2.40
Mold Alexandra
2.17
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Porthmadog
1.83
Treowen Stars
1.80
Carmarthen Town
1.67
Baglan Dragons
1.67
Ynyshir Albions
1.60
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.40
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.33
Llanuwchllyn
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Afan Lido
1.17
Caerau (Ely)
1.17
Cardiff Draconians
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.80
Ruthin Town
0.67
Buckley Town
0.67
Denbigh Town
0.67
Pontardawe Town
0.60
llanelli AFC
0.33
Penrhyncoch
0.20
Llantwit Major
0.00
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Trethomas Bluebirds is 0.17 points better than Afan Lido in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swansea University
3.60
Pontypridd Town
3.20
Aberystwyth Town
3.20
Brickfield Rangers
2.83
Newtown AFC
2.80
Treowen Stars
2.60
Carmarthen Town
2.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.33
Caerau (Ely)
2.17
Bala Town
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Guilsfield
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Afan Lido
1.83
Porthmadog
1.83
Denbigh Town
1.83
Rhyl
1.80
Newport City
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.40
Cardiff Draconians
1.25
Buckley Town
1.17
llanelli AFC
1.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.00
Pontardawe Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Ynyshir Albions
0.80
Penrhyncoch
0.60
Caerphilly Athletic
0.60
Llantwit Major
0.25
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Trethomas Bluebirds is 0.17 goals better than Afan Lido in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newtown AFC
0.20
Ynyshir Albions
0.60
Brickfield Rangers
0.67
Bala Town
0.80
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Swansea University
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Newport City
1.00
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.33
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Caersws
1.40
Porthmadog
1.50
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.60
Cardiff Draconians
1.75
Treowen Stars
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.80
Pontardawe Town
1.80
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.83
Buckley Town
1.83
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Afan Lido
2.17
Ruthin Town
2.17
Carmarthen Town
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.80
Caerau (Ely)
2.83
llanelli AFC
3.00
Llanuwchllyn
3.00
Penrhyncoch
3.20
Llantwit Major
3.50
Trethomas Bluebirds is 0.33 goals better than Afan Lido in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 2.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Trethomas Bluebirds or Draw✓ Hit
74.6%
Avg Implied 69.4% · @ 1.32
Edge
+5.2%
52%
23%
25%
covers Trethomas Bluebirds + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.28
Trethomas Bluebirds or Afan Lido✓ Hit
77.3%
Avg Implied 75.8% · @ 1.21
Edge
+1.5%
52%
23%
25%
covers Trethomas Bluebirds + Afan Lido
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Draw or Afan Lido✗ Miss
48.1%
Avg Implied 54.9% · @ 1.67
Edge
-6.8%
52%
23%
25%
covers Draw + Afan Lido
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.73
1xBet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.65

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.9%
@ 1.11+6.6%
Under
12.1%
@ 4.85-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Under
1xBet
5.10
Superbet
4.60
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
62.4%
@ 1.70+8.0%
Under
37.6%
@ 2.02-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.71
Superbet
1.71
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
Pinnacle
2.06
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
35.4%
@ 3.45+8.9%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.25-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Superbet
3.10
Under
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.21
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
16.4%
@ 8.70+5.9%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.02-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Under
1xBet
1.02
Afan Lido over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.6%
@ 1.22+2.3%
Under
23.4%
@ 3.52-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Under
1xBet
3.58
Superbet
3.45
Afan Lido over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
42.6%
@ 2.19+0.3%
Under
57.4%
@ 1.60-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.17
Superbet
2.15
Under
Superbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Afan Lido over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.9%
@ 4.08-4.4%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.17+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.35
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.13
Afan Lido over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.0%
@ 8.70-4.5%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Under
1xBet
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Trethomas Bluebirds, so a minus line means Trethomas Bluebirds give that many goals of a start and Afan Lido receive them. At -1, Trethomas Bluebirds must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Trethomas Bluebirds win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Trethomas Bluebirds)Actual: Trethomas Bluebirds
Trethomas Bluebirds -2
15.7%
Draw -2
15.8%
Afan Lido +2
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Trethomas Bluebirds)Actual: Trethomas Bluebirds
Trethomas Bluebirds -1
31.5%
@ 3.39+5.6%
Draw -1
20.4%
@ 3.91-2.1%
Afan Lido +1
48.1%
@ 1.70-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.28
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.82
Away
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.67
Handicap +1 (Trethomas Bluebirds)Actual: Trethomas Bluebirds
Trethomas Bluebirds +1
74.6%
@ 1.28+7.1%
Draw +1
13.7%
@ 4.85-4.1%
Afan Lido -1
11.7%
@ 5.85-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.28
Draw
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Marathonbet
5.85
Handicap +2 (Trethomas Bluebirds)Actual: Trethomas Bluebirds
Trethomas Bluebirds +2
88.3%
Draw +2
7.5%
Afan Lido -2
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L11D12L22D01L00D01L22D02LH·NEW09/03A·ABE14/03H·PON20/03A·YNY28/03H·CAR04/04A·BAG18/04H·BAG31/07A·LLA07/08H·CAE14/08A·PON21/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.920.850.350.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.630.841.001.110.300.60
vs Weaker (11)0.550.640.750.250.430.86
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Afan Lido) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Afan LidoAfan Lido

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L00D00D20W11D11D10W11D00DH·CAM13/03H·LLA20/03A·TRE23/03A·ABE28/03H·CWM03/04A·CAR18/04H·ABE01/08H·LLA07/08A·CAR14/08H·PON21/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.500.610.250.83
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.420.580.450.360.380.88
vs Weaker (10)0.400.900.571.000.000.67
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Trethomas Bluebirds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.1%
@ 1.22-1.2%
Under 0.5
25.9%
@ 3.70+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.70
Superbet
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.2%
@ 2.16-7.3%
Under 1.5
64.8%
@ 1.59+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Under
Superbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Betfair
1.60
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.2%
@ 4.58-3.7%
Under 2.5
83.8%
@ 1.14+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
1xBet
4.60
Superbet
4.35
Under
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.13

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
56.2%
@ 1.68+1.0%
Under
43.8%
@ 2.06-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.10
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
16.4%
@ 4.10-6.0%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.18+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.18
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
3.6%
@ 10.00-5.7%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.02
Afan Lido over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.0%
@ 1.98-3.7%
Under
57.0%
@ 1.74+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Under
Superbet
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.72
Afan Lido over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 5.25-6.1%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.11+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.25
Under
1xBet
1.11
Afan Lido over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 11.00-6.6%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L31W10W22D10W00D10W02L10WH·NEW09/03A·ABE14/03H·PON20/03A·YNY28/03H·CAR04/04A·BAG18/04H·BAG31/07A·LLA07/08H·CAE14/08A·PON21/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.331.311.310.531.35
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.891.471.331.440.501.50
vs Weaker (11)0.821.091.251.000.571.14
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Afan Lido) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Afan LidoAfan Lido

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L40W10W10W21W03L14L40W02L10WH·CAM13/03H·LLA20/03A·TRE23/03A·ABE28/03H·CWM03/04A·CAR18/04H·ABE01/08H·LLA07/08A·CAR14/08H·PON21/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.171.171.000.331.42
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (19)1.001.051.550.820.251.38
vs Weaker (10)0.501.300.571.290.331.33
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Trethomas Bluebirds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
83.3%
@ 1.12+1.8%
Under 0.5
16.7%
@ 4.95-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Under
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
4.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
51.3%
@ 1.70-2.8%
Under 1.5
48.7%
@ 2.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Under
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
23.8%
@ 3.08-5.8%
Under 2.5
76.2%
@ 1.29+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Under
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.28

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.1%
@ 1.47-3.0%
Under
40.9%
@ 2.40+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Under
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.38
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
24.0%
@ 3.15-5.1%
Under
76.0%
@ 1.29+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.15
Under
1xBet
1.29
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 7.85-2.6%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.05+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.85
Under
1xBet
1.05
Afan Lido over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.4%
@ 1.68-1.5%
Under
46.6%
@ 2.04+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.67
Under
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Afan Lido over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.9%
@ 4.10-4.5%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.18+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.18
Afan Lido over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 10.00-5.4%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.2%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+6.6%✓ Hit
Under 7.597.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.4%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+5.7%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.1%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+5.4%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals94.0%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+4.5%✓ Hit
Under 6.593.0%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals90.8%1.05
1xBet
1.05
----+2.6%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals88.7%1.11
1xBet
1.11
----+6.1%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap88.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.587.9%1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
---+6.9%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals87.9%1.11
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
---+6.6%✓ Hit
Under 5.584.9%1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
----1.4%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals83.8%1.14
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.13
--+3.7%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals83.6%1.18
1xBet
1.18
----+6.0%✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals83.6%1.02
1xBet
1.02
-----5.9%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals83.3%1.12
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
---+1.8%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals82.1%1.18
1xBet
1.18
----+4.5%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals82.1%1.17
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.13
---+4.4%✓ Hit
Home or Away77.3%1.21
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
+1.5%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals76.6%1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
---+2.3%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals76.2%1.29
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.28
---+5.8%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals76.0%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+5.1%✗ Miss
Home or Draw74.6%1.32
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.28
+5.2%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap74.6%1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
----+7.1%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals74.1%1.22
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
---1.2%✓ Hit
Under 4.571.3%1.21
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
---3.3%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (12)
€1m
NC (4)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (4)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (6)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
TB wins
0
Draws
2
AL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido · H/A from TB
DateH/AGameScore
20/02/26AAfan Lido Vs TB1-0
22/08/25HTB Vs Afan Lido3-2
04/04/25AAfan Lido Vs TB1-0
11/10/24HTB Vs Afan Lido3-2

Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26APontypridd Town Vs TB2-1
14/08/26HTB Vs Caerau (Ely)2-4
07/08/26Allanelli AFC Vs TB1-1
31/07/26HTB Vs Baglan Dragons0-0
18/04/26ABaglan Dragons Vs TB1-1
04/04/26HTB Vs Cardiff Draconians4-4
28/03/26AYnyshir Albions Vs TB2-2
20/03/26HTB Vs Pontypridd Town4-2
14/03/26AAberystwyth Town Vs TB3-0
09/03/26HTB Vs Newport City1-0

Afan LidoAfan Lido

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HAL Vs Pontardawe Town1-0
14/08/26ACarmarthen Town Vs AL3-1
07/08/26HAL Vs Llantwit Major5-0
01/08/26HAL Vs Aberystwyth Town2-5
18/04/26ACardiff Draconians Vs AL4-1
03/04/26HAL Vs Cwmbran Celtic4-1
28/03/26AAberystwyth Town Vs AL0-1
23/03/26ATreowen Stars Vs AL0-1
20/03/26HAL Vs Llantwit Major4-1
13/03/26HAL Vs Cambrian & Clydach0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Trethomas Bluebirds
Trethomas Bluebirds
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLL1.20
HomeWWDDL1.67
AwayLDDDL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%46%12%
AVG goals3.263.622.92
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %38%50%27%
Scored1.521.961.12
Conceded1.741.671.81
BTTS64%62%65%
Clean Sheet22%33%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Afan Lido
Afan Lido
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.18
HomeWWLWW1.46
AwayLWWLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%46%23%
AVG goals3.123.043.19
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %56%54%58%
Over 3.5 %48%46%50%
Scored1.301.501.12
Conceded1.821.542.08
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.7
-
2Swansea UniversitySwansea University513
80%
2.6
185+13
4.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.0
-
3Newtown AFCNewtown AFC513
80%
2.6
141+13
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.2
-
4Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town513
80%
2.6
1610+6
5.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
5Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra613
67%
2.2
126+6
3.0
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town512
80%
2.4
165+11
4.2
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC612
67%
2.0
148+6
3.7
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
8Bala TownBala Town512
80%
2.4
104+6
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
9PorthmadogPorthmadog611
50%
1.8
119+2
3.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10CaerswsCaersws510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
11Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town610
50%
1.7
1514+1
4.8
100%
100%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.52.3
-
12Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons610
50%
1.7
55+0
1.7
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
13Treowen StarsTreowen Stars59
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.8
-
14GuilsfieldGuilsfield69
33%
1.5
129+3
3.5
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
15Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds68
33%
1.3
1211+1
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
16Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions58
40%
1.6
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.6
-
17RhylRhyl57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
18Afan LidoAfan Lido67
33%
1.2
1113-2
4.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
19Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)67
33%
1.2
1317-4
5.0
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.8
-
20Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic57
40%
1.4
37-4
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
21Newport CityNewport City56
40%
1.2
95+4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
22LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn56
40%
1.2
515-10
4.0
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
23Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
24Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
25Denbigh TownDenbigh Town64
17%
0.7
1114-3
4.2
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
26Buckley TownBuckley Town64
17%
0.7
711-4
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
27Ruthin TownRuthin Town64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
28Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town53
20%
0.6
59-4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
29llanelli AFCllanelli AFC62
0%
0.3
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
30PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch51
0%
0.2
316-13
3.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
31Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major40
0%
0.0
114-13
3.8
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.5
-
32Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic50
0%
0.0
014-14
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.8
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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