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Turku PS vs FF Jaro Result & Analysis

Date: 03/10/2024
Time: 15:30
Final 3-0
Turku PS
Turku PS
Vs
32%
25%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FF Jaro
FF Jaro
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turku PS win✓ Hit
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro win✗ Miss
42.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Turku PSTurku PS

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W40W02L00D53W11D12L01L00D23LA·KOO17/07H·JÄP20/07A·JIP27/07A·SAL10/08H·KÄP17/08A·SJK24/08H·PK-30/08H·JIP12/09A·MP22/09H·JÄP27/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.071.711.501.440.69
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (16)1.441.061.001.671.700.70
vs Weaker (13)1.771.082.251.381.000.60
Clean sheet %47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FF JaroFF Jaro

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L20W22D50W24L12L32W32W21W10WA·PK-17/07H·MP24/07A·JÄP27/07H·JÄP11/08A·MP18/08H·KOO25/08H·KÄP01/09A·SJK14/09H·JIP22/09A·PK-28/09
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.891.152.151.001.641.29
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (20)1.650.901.900.901.400.90
vs Weaker (6)3.001.503.001.333.001.67
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.0%
Under 1.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.8%
Under 2.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.7%
Under 3.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.8%
No
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
4.7%
Turku PS goals ↓
FF Jaro goals →
01234
04.7%5.6%5.8%3.4%1.5%
14.7%11%8.9%5.2%2.3%
24.3%7.6%6.7%4.0%1.7%
32.2%3.9%3.4%2.0%0.9%
40.8%1.5%1.3%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Turku PS goals (down), columns = FF Jaro goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kooteepee
2.15
FF Jaro
2.00
JIPPO
1.93
Turku PS
1.59
JäPS
1.30
PK-35
1.22
SJK Akatemia
1.07
SalPa
1.07
KäPa
0.90
MP
0.59
KPV-j
0.50
Turku PS is 0.41 points worse than FF Jaro in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kooteepee
2.78
FF Jaro
1.89
JIPPO
1.81
JäPS
1.63
KäPa
1.62
Turku PS
1.48
SJK Akatemia
1.30
SalPa
1.15
PK-35
1.07
MP
0.81
KPV-j
0.50
Turku PS is 0.41 goals worse than FF Jaro in terms of goals scored per game (1.48 vs 1.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
JIPPO
0.93
Turku PS
1.07
FF Jaro
1.11
Kooteepee
1.19
PK-35
1.26
KPV-j
1.50
SJK Akatemia
1.52
SalPa
1.78
JäPS
1.96
MP
2.26
KäPa
2.34
Turku PS is 0.04 goals better than FF Jaro in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Turku PSTurku PS

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W00D00D30W01L02L01L00D03LA·KOO17/07H·JÄP20/07A·JIP27/07A·SAL10/08H·KÄP17/08A·SJK24/08H·PK-30/08H·JIP12/09A·MP22/09H·JÄP27/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.640.860.560.31
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (16)0.620.500.330.830.800.30
vs Weaker (13)0.620.620.880.880.200.20
Clean sheet %63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FF JaroFF Jaro

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D12L20W13L01L10W11D00D10WA·PK-17/07H·MP24/07A·JÄP27/07H·JÄP11/08A·MP18/08H·KOO25/08H·KÄP01/09A·SJK14/09H·JIP22/09A·PK-28/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.780.440.920.150.640.71
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.700.400.900.200.500.60
vs Weaker (6)1.170.501.000.001.331.00
Clean sheet %67% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Turku PS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Turku PSTurku PS

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W02L00D23L10W10W00D00D20WA·KOO17/07H·JÄP20/07A·JIP27/07A·SAL10/08H·KÄP17/08A·SJK24/08H·PK-30/08H·JIP12/09A·MP22/09H·JÄP27/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.501.070.640.880.38
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (16)0.810.560.670.830.900.40
vs Weaker (13)1.150.461.380.500.800.40
Clean sheet %70% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FF JaroFF Jaro

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W10W30W11D11D22D21W21W00DA·PK-17/07H·MP24/07A·JÄP27/07H·JÄP11/08A·MP18/08H·KOO25/08H·KÄP01/09A·SJK14/09H·JIP22/09A·PK-28/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.110.701.230.851.000.57
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (20)0.950.501.000.700.900.30
vs Weaker (6)1.831.002.001.331.670.67
Clean sheet %48% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Turku PS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Turku PS · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Albijon Muzaci50%
T. Tsirigotis33%
S. Anini33%
Pau Juvanteny14%
Luke Ivanovic0%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
M. Kauppila0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Tobias Karkulowski0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
E. Turkki0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Eetu Turkki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Anini67%
Eetu Turkki67%
Oscar Haggstrom50%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Atte Sihvonen25%
L. Ikonen25%
Tobias Karkulowski17%
Pau Juvanteny14%
M. Hrádecký0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
E. Turkki0%
Albijon Muzaci0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eetu Turkki67%
N. Talo33%
E. Turkki33%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Tobias Karkulowski17%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
S. Anini0%
Pau Juvanteny0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Albijon Muzaci0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
E. Turkki33%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Elmer Vauhkonen25%
Albijon Muzaci25%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
S. Anini0%
Pau Juvanteny0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Tobias Karkulowski0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Eetu Turkki0%
FF Jaro · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
H. Sjögrell38%
R. Vikström25%
Kaius Hardén17%
Fabian Östigard Ness17%
A. Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
J. Myrevik0%
M. Ogungbaro0%
Senne Vits0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
J. Skau0%
Mats Pedersen0%
Oliver Kass Kawo0%
V. Vuorinen0%
Linus Zetterstrom0%
Joas Vikström0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
A. Vidjeskog50%
M. Ogungbaro29%
J. Skau25%
R. Vikström25%
Oliver Kass Kawo17%
V. Vuorinen12%
Johan Brunell0%
J. Myrevik0%
Senne Vits0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
H. Sjögrell0%
Mats Pedersen0%
Kaius Hardén0%
Fabian Östigard Ness0%
Linus Zetterstrom0%
Joas Vikström0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mats Pedersen25%
Oliver Kass Kawo17%
H. Sjögrell12%
V. Vuorinen12%
A. Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
J. Myrevik0%
M. Ogungbaro0%
Senne Vits0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
J. Skau0%
Kaius Hardén0%
R. Vikström0%
Fabian Östigard Ness0%
Linus Zetterstrom0%
Joas Vikström0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
H. Sjögrell38%
Kaius Hardén17%
R. Vikström12%
A. Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
J. Myrevik0%
M. Ogungbaro0%
Senne Vits0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
J. Skau0%
Mats Pedersen0%
Oliver Kass Kawo0%
V. Vuorinen0%
Fabian Östigard Ness0%
Linus Zetterstrom0%
Joas Vikström0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
KOO (19)
€1m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
MP (19)
€0m
Turku PS and FF Jaro have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (8)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
MP (10)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
Turku PS and FF Jaro have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FJ (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
MP (2)
€0m
Turku PS and FF Jaro have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
JIP (10)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
MP (7)
€0m
Turku PS and FF Jaro have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
TP wins
0
Draws
1
FJ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Turku PS vs FF Jaro · H/A from TP
DateH/AGameScore
02/06/24AFF Jaro Vs TP0-1
13/04/24HTP Vs FF Jaro0-2

Turku PSTurku PS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/24HTP Vs JäPS2-3
22/09/24AMP Vs TP0-0
12/09/24HTP Vs JIPPO0-1
30/08/24HTP Vs PK-351-2
24/08/24ASJK Akatemia Vs TP1-1
17/08/24HTP Vs KäPa5-3
10/08/24ASalPa Vs TP0-0
27/07/24AJIPPO Vs TP2-0
20/07/24HTP Vs JäPS4-0
17/07/24AKooteepee Vs TP1-2

FF JaroFF Jaro

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24APK-35 Vs FJ0-1
22/09/24HFJ Vs JIPPO2-1
14/09/24ASJK Akatemia Vs FJ2-3
01/09/24HFJ Vs KäPa3-2
25/08/24HFJ Vs Kooteepee1-2
18/08/24AMP Vs FJ4-2
11/08/24HFJ Vs JäPS5-0
27/07/24AJäPS Vs FJ2-2
24/07/24HFJ Vs MP2-0
17/07/24APK-35 Vs FJ2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Turku PS
Turku PS
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDL1.63
HomeWWLLL1.57
AwayWLDDD1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %47%50%44%
AVG goals2.633.212.12
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %50%57%44%
Over 3.5 %27%43%12%
Scored1.571.711.44
Conceded1.071.500.69
BTTS43%50%38%
Clean Sheet47%36%56%
Corners---
Cards---
FF Jaro
FF Jaro
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW2.00
HomeWWLWW2.23
AwayLDLWW1.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %63%69%57%
AVG goals3.043.152.93
Over 1.5 %74%77%71%
Over 2.5 %59%62%57%
Over 3.5 %33%31%36%
Scored1.892.151.64
Conceded1.151.001.29
BTTS48%62%36%
Clean Sheet37%31%43%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KooteepeeKooteepee2758
67%
2.1
7532+43
4.0
85%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.81.2
-
2FF JaroFF Jaro2754
63%
2.0
5130+21
3.0
74%
59%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.1
-
3JIPPOJIPPO2752
59%
1.9
4925+24
2.7
74%
48%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.80.9
-
4Turku PSTurku PS2743
44%
1.6
4029+11
2.6
70%
48%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.1
-
5JäPSJäPS2735
33%
1.3
4453-9
3.6
89%
74%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
6PK-35PK-352733
30%
1.2
2934-5
2.3
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
7SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia2729
22%
1.1
3541-6
2.8
85%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
8SalPaSalPa2729
26%
1.1
3148-17
2.9
81%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
9KäPaKäPa2926
21%
0.9
4768-21
4.0
93%
66%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.3
-
10MPMP2716
11%
0.6
2261-39
3.1
74%
63%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
11KPV-jKPV-j21
0%
0.5
13-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →

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