This Finland: Veikkausliiga match between Turku PS and Inter Turku is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with 3.2 goals on average. The recent form of the teams suggests a storyline to follow: Turku PS is coming off a win, while Inter Turku is coming off a draw. Turku PS's home form is decent, with an average of 1 goal scored and 0.8 conceded against similar opponents. Inter Turku's away form is stronger, with 1.78 goals scored and 1.22 conceded against similar opponents.
The model predicts an away win for Inter Turku, with a 52% chance of victory. The home win percentage is 24%, and the draw percentage is also 24%. The model's selection is the away win. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.1%. The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5, with an 83.3% probability.
Results analysis
In a surprising turn, the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the pre-match favourite, Inter Turku, disappointed. The model had tipped an away win with a 53 % probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 0-0 matched the actual result, confirming the draw. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2 %, Under 7.5 hit at 98.0 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.6 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.4 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.9 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 95.8 %, Under 6.5 hit at 94.9 %, and Away +2 handicap hit at 89.9 %. Turku PS, coming off a draw, and Inter Turku, unbeaten in their last five, both finished level, underscoring the unpredictability of the Veikkausliiga fixture.
ðŊ 1. Model Analysis
Turku PS winâ Miss
23.4%
Avg Implied 22.7% · @ 4.08
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.55
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.36
Dafabet
4.20
BetVictor
4.20
Drawâ Hit
23.5%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.58
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.85
Dafabet
3.70
1xBet
3.68
Marathonbet
3.68
Superbet
3.60
Inter Turku winâ Miss
53.1%
Avg Implied 51.5% · @ 1.80
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.91
Unibet
1.88
Dafabet
1.84
Superbet
1.82
Betano
1.82
â― 2. Goal Analysis
Turku PS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.10
1.93
0.93
1.00
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.38
1.15
1.85
1.00
0.92
1.31
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.75
3.00
0.00
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Turku
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
0.93
1.62
0.62
1.93
1.29
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.92
1.12
1.92
0.77
1.92
1.50
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.2%
@ 1.24+10.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
@ 3.72-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Betfair
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
4.04
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.80
Betfair
3.80
888Sport
3.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.1%
@ 1.79+11.7%
Under 2.5
35.9%
@ 1.97-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.82
SBO
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Under
Bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
2.05
SBO
2.02
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.1%
@ 2.95+10.6%
Under 3.5
57.9%
@ 1.36-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.10
Pinnacle
3.07
BetVictor
3.00
888Sport
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Under
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.38
Betfair
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.8%
@ 1.69+9.1%
No
36.2%
@ 2.04-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.75
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
No
William Hil
2.10
Bet365
2.10
888Sport
2.10
Superbet
2.05
BetVictor
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%@ 6.40+3.6%
1-2
9.6%@ 7.35+3.6%
0-2
7.4%@ 8.24+2.1%
1-3
6.4%@ 12.55+2.9%
0-1
6.4%@ 6.89+0.0%
2-2
6.2%@ 12.59+2.7%
2-1
6.2%@ 12.18+2.6%
0-3
5.0%@ 13.74+1.8%
Turku PS goals ↓
Inter Turku goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
6.4%
7.4%
5.0%
2.5%
1
3.8%
11%
9.6%
6.4%
3.2%
2
3.1%
6.2%
6.2%
4.2%
2.1%
3
1.3%
2.7%
2.7%
1.8%
0.9%
4
0.4%
0.9%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Turku PS goals (down), columns = Inter Turku goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
KuPS
1.95
Inter Turku
1.91
HJK Helsinki
1.68
Gnistan
1.64
AC Oulu
1.55
VPS
1.50
Lahti
1.45
Turku PS
1.41
Ilves
1.14
SJK
0.86
FF Jaro
0.68
Mariehamn
0.64
Turku PS is 0.50 points worse than Inter Turku in terms of average points per game (1.41 vs 1.91).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
KuPS
1.73
HJK Helsinki
1.64
Gnistan
1.64
Ilves
1.55
VPS
1.32
Inter Turku
1.32
Turku PS
1.27
Lahti
1.18
SJK
1.14
AC Oulu
1.14
FF Jaro
0.82
Mariehamn
0.77
Turku PS is 0.05 goals worse than Inter Turku in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.32).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Turku
0.73
Lahti
0.86
VPS
1.00
KuPS
1.05
Turku PS
1.05
AC Oulu
1.14
HJK Helsinki
1.23
Gnistan
1.32
SJK
1.50
Ilves
1.68
Mariehamn
1.95
FF Jaro
2.00
Turku PS is 0.32 goals worse than Inter Turku in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 0.73).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Inter Turku
58%
KuPS
57%
Lahti
56%
HJK Helsinki
55%
SJK
50%
Turku PS
50%
Ilves
49%
VPS
48%
AC Oulu
48%
FF Jaro
47%
Mariehamn
45%
Gnistan
44%
Turku PS is 8.4 percentage points worse than Inter Turku in terms of average possession (50% vs 58%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Turku PS
For 4.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 20.3
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Inter Turku
For 5.9 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.3
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.5
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Turku PS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
9.8
7.6
0.9
0.8
1.0
21.8
25.2
19.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
8.2
10.3
7.2
1.2
0.9
1.4
21.2
25.7
19.0
vs Weaker (17)
9.0
8.0
10.0
0.5
0.6
0.4
24.5
24.0
25.0
% over line
45%
50%
43%
14%
12%
15%
64%
75%
57%
% under line
55%
50%
57%
86%
88%
85%
36%
25%
43%
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Turku
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.1
10.8
1.2
1.1
1.4
20.4
22.2
19.0
vs Stronger (1)
17.0
17.0
-
0.0
0.0
-
23.0
23.0
-
vs Similar (44)
10.5
10.4
10.5
1.3
1.3
1.4
20.9
22.1
20.0
vs Weaker (5)
13.0
-
13.0
0.6
0.0
1.5
13.5
-
13.5
% over line
68%
60%
75%
14%
15%
12%
48%
60%
38%
% under line
32%
40%
25%
86%
85%
88%
52%
40%
62%
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
11.5
Inter Turku
10.7
Mariehamn
10.3
SJK
10.1
Ilves
10.1
AC Oulu
10.1
FF Jaro
10.1
HJK Helsinki
9.9
KuPS
9.9
VPS
9.8
Lahti
9.8
Turku PS
8.4
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lahti
4.5
Turku PS
4.3
Gnistan
4.0
AC Oulu
3.9
SJK
3.9
Mariehamn
3.9
Ilves
3.8
Inter Turku
3.8
VPS
3.6
FF Jaro
3.3
KuPS
3.2
HJK Helsinki
3.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SJK
23.8
Inter Turku
23.3
Ilves
23.2
Lahti
23.1
AC Oulu
22.7
Gnistan
22.5
VPS
22.4
KuPS
22.0
Mariehamn
21.9
Turku PS
21.8
HJK Helsinki
20.5
FF Jaro
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.8%
@ 1.73-6.7%
Under 9.5
53.2%
@ 1.99+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.77
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Under
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
2.01
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
39.0%
@ 1.41-25.0%
Under 3.5
61.0%
@ 2.50+25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
Under
Superbet
2.50
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
40.7%
Under 21.5
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Turku PS or Drawâ Hit
46.9%
Avg Implied 48.2% · @ 1.94
Edge
-1.3%
23%
23%
53%
covers Turku PS + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.01
Betano
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
BetVictor
1.95
Turku PS or Inter Turkuâ Miss
76.5%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.25
Edge
+1.8%
23%
23%
53%
covers Turku PS + Inter Turku
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Draw or Inter Turkuâ Hit
76.6%
Avg Implied 77.1% · @ 1.21
Edge
-0.5%
23%
23%
53%
covers Draw + Inter Turku
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Turku PS over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.6%
@ 1.44+8.0%
Under
27.4%
@ 2.62-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.49
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Under
10Bet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
Unibet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Turku PS over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.1%
@ 3.17+7.8%
Under
62.9%
@ 1.32-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.42
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Under
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Turku PS over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.1%
@ 8.61+3.3%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.05-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.50
1xBet
9.50
888Sport
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Turku PS over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 22.00-0.2%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.01+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Inter Turku over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
86.6%
@ 1.16+6.5%
Under
13.4%
@ 4.66-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
888Sport
4.80
Superbet
4.65
Inter Turku over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
59.7%
@ 1.81+8.3%
Under
40.3%
@ 1.92-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.91
Unibet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
BetVictor
1.93
Inter Turku over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
32.6%
@ 3.56+6.6%
Under
67.4%
@ 1.25-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.85
Unibet
3.65
Pinnacle
3.61
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Inter Turku over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 7.83+2.6%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.06-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
888Sport
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
âïļ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Turku PS, so a minus line means Turku PS give that many goals of a start and Inter Turku receive them. At -1, Turku PS must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Turku PS win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Turku PS)Actual: Inter Turku
Turku PS -2
3.4%
@ 20.50-1.1%
Draw -2
6.8%
@ 11.50-1.3%
Inter Turku +2
89.9%
@ 1.05+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Superbet
11.00
Away
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Handicap -1 (Turku PS)Actual: Inter Turku
Turku PS -1
10.1%
@ 7.54-1.4%
Draw -1
13.3%
@ 4.97-4.2%
Inter Turku +1
76.6%
@ 1.23+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Unibet
8.00
Marathonbet
6.15
Draw
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.15
Away
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.18
Handicap +1 (Turku PS)Actual: Turku PS
Turku PS +1
46.9%
@ 1.91-0.3%
Draw +1
21.2%
@ 3.65-3.4%
Inter Turku -1
31.9%
@ 3.21+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.83
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.64
Betfair
3.60
Superbet
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Away
10Bet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.25
Betfair
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Handicap +2 (Turku PS)Actual: Turku PS
Turku PS +2
68.1%
@ 1.30-0.9%
Draw +2
16.4%
@ 5.20-0.9%
Inter Turku -2
15.5%
@ 6.52+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Away
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.10
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Turku PS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.93
0.50
0.44
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.54
0.85
0.54
0.38
0.54
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Turku
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.88
0.50
0.79
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.96
0.68
1.08
0.62
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.4%
@ 1.34-0.9%
Under 0.5
31.6%
@ 3.03+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.22
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
Marathonbet
2.99
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.0%
@ 2.61-3.6%
Under 1.5
68.0%
@ 1.44+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.74
Betano
2.72
1xBet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Under
Pinnacle
1.46
10Bet
1.45
BetVictor
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.4%
@ 6.14-2.6%
Under 2.5
87.6%
@ 1.09+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.50
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Turku PS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.3%
@ 2.43+9.1%
Under
52.7%
@ 1.51-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.55
Unibet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Turku PS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 8.76+2.5%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.04-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
9.00
Superbet
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Turku PS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 35.00-97.6%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
35.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.0%
@ 1.75-7.1%
Under
54.0%
@ 1.98+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.76
Superbet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.06
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Betano
1.95
Inter Turku over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 4.66-8.1%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.15+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.65
Superbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Under
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Inter Turku over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 12.08-6.0%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.02+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Turku PS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
1.00
0.43
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.62
1.00
0.46
0.54
0.77
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Turku
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.37
0.75
0.12
1.14
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.96
0.44
0.85
0.15
1.08
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
78.6%
@ 1.20+1.5%
Under 0.5
21.4%
@ 4.05-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
Betano
4.10
888Sport
3.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.8%
@ 2.00-4.9%
Under 1.5
58.2%
@ 1.74+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
Unibet
2.00
888Sport
2.00
Under
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
888Sport
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.5%
@ 4.13-4.0%
Under 2.5
81.5%
@ 1.20+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.33
888Sport
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
Superbet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
William Hil
1.18
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Turku PS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.2%
@ 2.04+8.8%
Under
45.8%
@ 1.70-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.06
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Betano
2.02
Under
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.66
Turku PS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.6%
@ 6.42+3.1%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.08-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
6.40
Superbet
6.30
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Turku PS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 16.38-2.2%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Inter Turku over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.5%
@ 1.51-10.9%
Under
49.5%
@ 2.41+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.50
Under
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.37
Inter Turku over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.5%
@ 3.36-8.0%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.27+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Inter Turku over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 8.70-6.5%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.04+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.20
1xBet
9.20
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+6.0%
â Hit
Under 7.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.2%
â Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+6.5%
â Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
-
+0.2%
â Hit
Under 6.5
94.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-0.2%
â Hit
Away +2 handicap
89.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
-
-
-
+2.4%
â Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.15
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
+8.1%
â Hit
Under 5.5
88.2%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
-2.7%
â Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
+2.6%
â Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.9%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
-2.5%
â Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
86.6%
1.16
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
+6.5%
â Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
85.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
-3.3%
â Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
85.5%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
-2.6%
â Hit
Over 1.5
85.2%
1.24
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Betfair
1.25
888Sport
1.25
+10.2%
â Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.4%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-3.1%
â Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.5%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
William Hil
1.18
+4.0%
â Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.27
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
-
+8.0%
â Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.6%
1.20
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
+1.5%
â Miss
Draw or Away
76.6%
1.21
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
-0.5%
â Hit
Away +1 handicap
76.6%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+5.7%
â Hit
Home or Away
76.5%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
+1.8%
â Miss
Under 4.5
76.2%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.13
-7.0%
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.0%
1.37
Superbet
1.43
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
+9.0%
-
Under 23.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
72.6%
1.44
Pinnacle
1.49
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Superbet
1.44
+8.0%
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Turku PS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Albijon Muzaci50%
T. Tsirigotis33%
S. Anini33%
Pau Juvanteny14%
Luke Ivanovic0%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. HrÃĄdeckÃ―0%
L. Ikonen0%
M. Kauppila0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. HÃĪggstrÃķm0%
N. Talo0%
Marius KÃķnkkÃķlÃĪ0%
Tobias Karkulowski0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
E. Turkki0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Eetu Turkki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Anini67%
Eetu Turkki67%
Oscar Haggstrom50%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Atte Sihvonen25%
L. Ikonen25%
Tobias Karkulowski17%
Pau Juvanteny14%
M. HrÃĄdeckÃ―0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. HÃĪggstrÃķm0%
N. Talo0%
Marius KÃķnkkÃķlÃĪ0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
E. Turkki0%
Albijon Muzaci0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eetu Turkki67%
N. Talo33%
E. Turkki33%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Tobias Karkulowski17%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. HrÃĄdeckÃ―0%
L. Ikonen0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
S. Anini0%
Pau Juvanteny0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. HÃĪggstrÃķm0%
Marius KÃķnkkÃķlÃĪ0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Albijon Muzaci0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
E. Turkki33%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Elmer Vauhkonen25%
Albijon Muzaci25%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. HrÃĄdeckÃ―0%
L. Ikonen0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
S. Anini0%
Pau Juvanteny0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. HÃĪggstrÃķm0%
N. Talo0%
Marius KÃķnkkÃķlÃĪ0%
Tobias Karkulowski0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Eetu Turkki0%
Inter Turku
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Clinton Jephta40%
J. Yli-Kokko29%
Alie Conteh25%
Ilari Kangasniemi20%
J. Tuominen12%
Jussi Niska11%
Antoin Loic Essomba11%
Albin Granlund0%
J. Laine0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
S. Saarinen0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Prosper Ahiabu0%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Henri Salomaa0%
V. Ulundu0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Prosper Ahiabu25%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen20%
Ilari Kangasniemi20%
Clinton Jephta20%
J. Yli-Kokko14%
Jussi Niska11%
Luka Kuittinen11%
Antoin Loic Essomba11%
J. Tuominen0%
Albin Granlund0%
J. Laine0%
S. Saarinen0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ0%
Henri Salomaa0%
V. Ulundu0%
Alie Conteh0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Yli-Kokko14%
J. Tuominen12%
J. Laine11%
Antoin Loic Essomba11%
Albin Granlund0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
S. Saarinen0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Prosper Ahiabu0%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Henri Salomaa0%
V. Ulundu0%
Alie Conteh0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Ilari Kangasniemi0%
Clinton Jephta0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Henri Salomaa25%
Alie Conteh25%
Clinton Jephta20%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ14%
J. Tuominen12%
Albin Granlund0%
J. Laine0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
S. Saarinen0%
J. Yli-Kokko0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Prosper Ahiabu0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Antoin Loic Essomba0%
V. Ulundu0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Ilari Kangasniemi0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (22)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
Turku PS's squad is €2m less valuable than Inter Turku's (€2m vs €5m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
Turku PS's attack is €1m less valuable than Inter Turku's (€1m vs €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
Turku PS and Inter Turku have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
Turku PS and Inter Turku have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
AC Oulu
VPS
Lahti
Ilves
SJK
FF Jaro
Mariehamn