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Turku PS vs SalPa Result & Analysis

Date: 18/07/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 3-2
Turku PS
Turku PS
Vs
72%
16%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
SalPa
SalPa
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turku PS win✓ Hit
72.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SalPa win✗ Miss
11.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Turku PSTurku PS

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W22D20W32W32W21W42W24L41W22DA·SAL25/05A·MAR28/05H·EIF02/06A·PK-06/06H·SJK13/06A·JIP19/06H·JÄP27/06A·KÄP03/07H·KLU09/07A·LAH14/07
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.331.432.771.462.001.41
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.881.192.001.201.821.18
vs Weaker (14)2.861.713.251.622.331.83
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (SalPa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SalPaSalPa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L13L12L00D00D13L12L34L04L10WH·EIF17/05A·KÄP21/05H·TUR25/05H·SJK01/06H·JIP14/06A·PK-18/06H·LAH28/06A·JÄP04/07A·EIF09/07H·KÄP13/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.870.801.401.002.33
vs Stronger (2)1.501.00--1.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.861.860.831.330.902.50
vs Weaker (6)0.832.170.671.671.002.67
Clean sheet %17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%2%06%115%219%320%416%522%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.6%
Under 1.5
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
76.5%
Under 2.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.1%
Under 3.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.0%
No
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-0
7.1%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.9%
4-0
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
Turku PS goals ↓
SalPa goals →
01234
02.4%1.5%1.2%0.5%0.1%
14.6%6.5%3.4%1.3%0.4%
27.4%8.5%4.9%1.9%0.5%
37.1%8.2%4.7%1.8%0.5%
45.1%5.9%3.4%1.3%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Turku PS goals (down), columns = SalPa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lahti
2.15
Turku PS
1.96
PK-35
1.56
JIPPO
1.52
EIF
1.52
Klubi-04
1.44
JäPS
1.19
SJK Akatemia
1.07
KäPa
0.90
SalPa
0.56
OLS
0.00
Turku PS is 1.41 points better than SalPa in terms of average points per game (1.96 vs 0.56).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Turku PS
2.44
Lahti
2.00
Klubi-04
1.81
EIF
1.78
SJK Akatemia
1.70
KäPa
1.66
JäPS
1.52
PK-35
1.44
JIPPO
1.37
OLS
1.00
SalPa
0.81
Turku PS is 1.63 goals better than SalPa in terms of goals scored per game (2.44 vs 0.81).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
PK-35
1.11
Lahti
1.11
JIPPO
1.15
EIF
1.59
Klubi-04
1.67
Turku PS
1.67
SJK Akatemia
1.81
JäPS
1.85
SalPa
1.93
KäPa
2.41
OLS
3.50
Turku PS is 0.26 goals better than SalPa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.93).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Turku PSTurku PS

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L00D21W12L21W21W01L31W11DA·SAL25/05A·MAR28/05H·EIF02/06A·PK-06/06H·SJK13/06A·JIP19/06H·JÄP27/06A·KÄP03/07H·KLU09/07A·LAH14/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.731.310.921.240.59
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.120.501.000.601.180.45
vs Weaker (14)1.431.001.501.121.330.83
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (SalPa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SalPaSalPa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L00D00D02L11D22D01L00DH·EIF17/05A·KÄP21/05H·TUR25/05H·SJK01/06H·JIP14/06A·PK-18/06H·LAH28/06A·JÄP04/07A·EIF09/07H·KÄP13/07
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.730.270.600.530.87
vs Stronger (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.320.860.330.670.301.10
vs Weaker (6)0.500.500.000.331.000.67
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Turku PS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SalPa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SalPa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SalPa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Turku PSTurku PS

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W20W11D20W00D21W23L10W11DA·SAL25/05A·MAR28/05H·EIF02/06A·PK-06/06H·SJK13/06A·JIP19/06H·JÄP27/06A·KÄP03/07H·KLU09/07A·LAH14/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.701.460.540.760.82
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.750.691.000.600.640.73
vs Weaker (14)1.430.711.750.501.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (SalPa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SalPaSalPa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L11D00D00D11D01L12L03L10WH·EIF17/05A·KÄP21/05H·TUR25/05H·SJK01/06H·JIP14/06A·PK-18/06H·LAH28/06A·JÄP04/07A·EIF09/07H·KÄP13/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.130.530.800.471.47
vs Stronger (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.551.000.500.670.601.40
vs Weaker (6)0.331.670.671.330.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Turku PS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SalPa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SalPa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SalPa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.576.5%-------✓ Hit
Home win72.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Turku PS · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Albijon Muzaci50%
T. Tsirigotis33%
S. Anini33%
Pau Juvanteny14%
Luke Ivanovic0%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
M. Kauppila0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Tobias Karkulowski0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
E. Turkki0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Eetu Turkki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Anini67%
Eetu Turkki67%
Oscar Haggstrom50%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Atte Sihvonen25%
L. Ikonen25%
Tobias Karkulowski17%
Pau Juvanteny14%
M. Hrádecký0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
E. Turkki0%
Albijon Muzaci0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eetu Turkki67%
N. Talo33%
E. Turkki33%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Tobias Karkulowski17%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
S. Anini0%
Pau Juvanteny0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Albijon Muzaci0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
E. Turkki33%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Elmer Vauhkonen25%
Albijon Muzaci25%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
S. Anini0%
Pau Juvanteny0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Tobias Karkulowski0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Eetu Turkki0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (22)
€3m
TP (22)
€2m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
KLU (17)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
TP wins
1
Draws
1
SAL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Turku PS vs SalPa · H/A from TP
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/25ASalPa Vs TP1-2
10/08/24ASalPa Vs TP0-0
13/07/24HTP Vs SalPa2-3
12/05/24ASalPa Vs TP0-1

Turku PSTurku PS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/07/25ALahti Vs TP2-2
09/07/25HTP Vs Klubi-044-1
03/07/25AKäPa Vs TP4-2
27/06/25HTP Vs JäPS4-2
19/06/25AJIPPO Vs TP1-2
13/06/25HTP Vs SJK Akatemia3-2
06/06/25APK-35 Vs TP2-3
02/06/25HTP Vs EIF2-0
28/05/25AMariehamn Vs TP2-2
25/05/25ASalPa Vs TP1-2

SalPaSalPa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/07/25HSAL Vs KäPa1-0
09/07/25AEIF Vs SAL4-0
04/07/25AJäPS Vs SAL4-3
28/06/25HSAL Vs Lahti1-2
18/06/25APK-35 Vs SAL3-1
14/06/25HSAL Vs JIPPO0-0
01/06/25HSAL Vs SJK Akatemia0-0
25/05/25HSAL Vs Turku PS1-2
21/05/25AKäPa Vs SAL3-1
17/05/25HSAL Vs EIF0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Turku PS
Turku PS
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD1.90
HomeDWWWW2.00
AwayDWWLD1.82
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%64%50%
AVG goals3.283.593.04
Over 1.5 %82%82%82%
Over 2.5 %66%68%64%
Over 3.5 %42%50%36%
Scored2.042.181.93
Conceded1.241.411.11
BTTS58%59%57%
Clean Sheet36%32%39%
Corners---
Cards---
SalPa
SalPa
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW0.96
HomeLDDLW0.82
AwayDLLLL1.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%14%30%
AVG goals2.782.553.00
Over 1.5 %78%68%87%
Over 2.5 %51%50%52%
Over 3.5 %29%27%30%
Scored1.071.051.09
Conceded1.711.501.91
BTTS56%59%52%
Clean Sheet18%23%13%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LahtiLahti2758
63%
2.1
5430+24
3.1
78%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.01.1
-
2Turku PSTurku PS2753
59%
2.0
6645+21
4.1
93%
81%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.7
-
3PK-35PK-352742
41%
1.6
3930+9
2.6
85%
52%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.1
-
4JIPPOJIPPO2741
37%
1.5
3731+6
2.5
81%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.1
-
5EIFEIF2741
44%
1.5
4843+5
3.4
85%
63%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.6
-
6Klubi-04Klubi-042739
41%
1.4
4945+4
3.5
89%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
7JäPSJäPS2732
26%
1.2
4150-9
3.4
89%
52%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.9
-
8SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia2729
30%
1.1
4649-3
3.5
89%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
9KäPaKäPa2926
21%
0.9
4870-22
4.1
93%
79%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.72.4
-
10SalPaSalPa2715
15%
0.6
2252-30
2.7
70%
59%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
11OLSOLS20
0%
0.0
27-5
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.5
-
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →

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