Turku PS are poised to win, with the model assigning a 40% chance of a home victory, 25% for a draw, and 35% for SJK to win. The expected total is 3.3 goals, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with an 11.2% probability. Turku’s home form shows 1.85 goals scored and 0.92 conceded against similar opposition, while SJK’s away form averages 2.38 scored and 1.54 conceded. The match is projected to be high-scoring, driven by both sides’ offensive output. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8% with a 6% edge, Under 7.5 at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3% with a 7% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.6% with a 4% edge, Under 6.5 at 95.1% with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.7% with a 3% edge, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.7% with a 7% edge, and Away under 3.5 goals at 92.5% with a 2% edge. Turku’s unbeaten run of five games, including a 1-1 draw with Gnistan, and SJK’s recent 0-0 draw against AC Oulu, set the stage for a contest where both teams will likely find the net.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Turku PS win
39.9%
Avg Implied 40.9% · @ 2.25
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.32
Pinnacle
2.30
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.26
Draw
25.2%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.35
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.45
Dafabet
3.45
Unibet
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.38
SJK win
35.0%
Avg Implied 31.7% · @ 2.91
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.07
1xBet
3.00
Dafabet
3.00
Betano
3.00
Marathonbet
2.99
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Turku PS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.07
1.93
0.86
1.00
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.37
1.11
1.85
0.92
0.93
1.29
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.67
3.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.40
1.64
1.21
1.94
1.56
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.00
2.00
0.67
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (23)
1.96
1.52
1.40
1.50
2.38
1.54
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.7%
@ 1.20+7.9%
Under 1.5
15.3%
@ 3.99-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Unibet
1.18
Under
Unibet
4.25
Pinnacle
4.23
Betano
3.85
Marathonbet
3.80
1xBet
3.80
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.3%
@ 1.71+8.3%
Under 2.5
36.7%
@ 2.09-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.62
Under
Unibet
2.12
Betano
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.07
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.2%
@ 2.66+6.4%
Under 3.5
58.8%
@ 1.42-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.79
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.61
Marathonbet
2.61
Unibet
2.60
Under
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Unibet
1.43
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Both teams to score
Yes
65.7%
@ 1.56+6.5%
No
34.3%
@ 2.26-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Betano
1.55
Unibet
1.53
No
Betano
2.30
Unibet
2.28
1xBet
2.26
William Hil
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%@ 6.00+3.8%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.04+3.1%
1-2
8.0%@ 9.16+3.2%
2-2
6.8%@ 10.61+2.6%
2-0
5.5%@ 11.47+1.6%
1-0
5.4%@ 8.45+0.2%
0-1
5.0%@ 9.45+0.3%
3-1
4.8%@ 15.04+1.9%
Turku PS goals ↓
SJK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
5.0%
4.7%
2.5%
1.0%
1
5.4%
11%
8.0%
4.2%
1.7%
2
5.5%
8.6%
6.8%
3.5%
1.4%
3
3.1%
4.8%
3.8%
2.0%
0.8%
4
1.3%
2.0%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Turku PS goals (down), columns = SJK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
KuPS
1.95
Inter Turku
1.91
HJK Helsinki
1.68
Gnistan
1.64
AC Oulu
1.55
VPS
1.50
Lahti
1.45
Turku PS
1.41
Ilves
1.14
SJK
0.86
FF Jaro
0.68
Mariehamn
0.64
Turku PS is 0.55 points better than SJK in terms of average points per game (1.41 vs 0.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
KuPS
1.73
HJK Helsinki
1.64
Gnistan
1.64
Ilves
1.55
VPS
1.32
Inter Turku
1.32
Turku PS
1.27
Lahti
1.18
SJK
1.14
AC Oulu
1.14
FF Jaro
0.82
Mariehamn
0.77
Turku PS is 0.14 goals better than SJK in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Turku
0.73
Lahti
0.86
VPS
1.00
KuPS
1.05
Turku PS
1.05
AC Oulu
1.14
HJK Helsinki
1.23
Gnistan
1.32
SJK
1.50
Ilves
1.68
Mariehamn
1.95
FF Jaro
2.00
Turku PS is 0.45 goals better than SJK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Inter Turku
58%
KuPS
57%
Lahti
56%
HJK Helsinki
55%
SJK
50%
Turku PS
50%
Ilves
49%
VPS
48%
AC Oulu
48%
FF Jaro
47%
Mariehamn
45%
Gnistan
44%
Turku PS is 0.4 percentage points worse than SJK in terms of average possession (50% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Turku PS
For 4.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SJK
For 5.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 7.8 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Turku PS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
9.8
7.6
0.9
0.8
1.0
21.8
25.2
19.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
8.2
10.3
7.2
1.1
0.9
1.4
21.2
25.7
19.0
vs Weaker (16)
9.0
8.0
10.0
0.5
0.6
0.4
24.5
24.0
25.0
% over line
45%
50%
43%
14%
12%
15%
64%
75%
57%
% under line
55%
50%
57%
86%
88%
85%
36%
25%
43%
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.2
10.2
1.6
1.2
1.9
19.5
18.2
20.3
vs Stronger (12)
10.8
12.5
9.0
1.3
1.3
1.4
20.0
18.0
22.0
vs Similar (35)
10.1
9.5
10.5
1.8
1.3
2.1
19.4
18.3
20.0
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
55%
62%
50%
24%
12%
35%
40%
25%
50%
% under line
45%
38%
50%
76%
88%
65%
60%
75%
50%
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
11.5
Inter Turku
10.6
Mariehamn
10.3
SJK
10.1
Ilves
10.1
AC Oulu
10.1
FF Jaro
10.1
HJK Helsinki
9.9
VPS
9.8
KuPS
9.8
Lahti
9.8
Turku PS
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lahti
4.5
Turku PS
4.3
Gnistan
4.0
AC Oulu
3.9
SJK
3.9
Mariehamn
3.9
Ilves
3.8
Inter Turku
3.8
VPS
3.6
FF Jaro
3.3
KuPS
3.2
HJK Helsinki
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SJK
23.8
Ilves
23.2
Inter Turku
23.2
Lahti
23.1
AC Oulu
22.7
Gnistan
22.5
VPS
22.4
KuPS
22.0
Mariehamn
21.9
Turku PS
21.8
HJK Helsinki
20.5
FF Jaro
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.5%
@ 1.62-13.9%
Under 9.5
57.5%
@ 2.10+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.62
Under
Unibet
2.10
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.1%
Under 3.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
46.6%
Under 21.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Turku PS or Draw
65.0%
Avg Implied 68.2% · @ 1.36
Edge
-3.2%
40%
25%
35%
covers Turku PS + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Unibet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Turku PS or SJK
74.8%
Avg Implied 72.7% · @ 1.28
Edge
+2.2%
40%
25%
35%
covers Turku PS + SJK
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
SBO
1.26
Draw or SJK
60.1%
Avg Implied 59.1% · @ 1.58
Edge
+1.0%
40%
25%
35%
covers Draw + SJK
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
William Hil
1.57
Unibet
1.56
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Turku PS over/under 0.5
Over
81.5%
@ 1.20+4.5%
Under
18.5%
@ 4.02-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Unibet
1.16
Under
Pinnacle
4.24
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.90
Turku PS over/under 1.5
Over
50.4%
@ 2.02+4.1%
Under
49.6%
@ 1.74-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Betano
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
Unibet
1.73
Turku PS over/under 2.5
Over
24.0%
@ 4.16+1.8%
Under
76.0%
@ 1.19-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.29
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Unibet
1.17
Turku PS over/under 3.5
Over
9.2%
@ 8.80-1.3%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.03+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
8.70
1xBet
8.70
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
SJK over/under 0.5
Over
79.3%
@ 1.27+6.4%
Under
20.7%
@ 3.41-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.54
Betfair
3.50
Betano
3.45
Unibet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.26
SJK over/under 1.5
Over
46.7%
@ 2.38+7.4%
Under
53.3%
@ 1.54-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.50
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.41
Betfair
2.38
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.55
Unibet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.53
SJK over/under 2.5
Over
21.0%
@ 5.26+3.4%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.12-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.40
Betano
5.20
Unibet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
SJK over/under 3.5
Over
7.5%
@ 10.00-1.8%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.03+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betfair
1.03
Betano
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Turku PS, so a minus line means Turku PS give that many goals of a start and SJK receive them. At -1, Turku PS must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Turku PS win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Turku PS)
Turku PS -2
8.8%
@ 8.80-1.2%
Draw -2
12.2%
@ 6.27-1.9%
SJK +2
78.9%
@ 1.16+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
8.50
Marathonbet
7.90
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
Unibet
6.00
Away
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (Turku PS)
Turku PS -1
21.1%
@ 4.16-0.2%
Draw -1
18.8%
@ 3.93-3.6%
SJK +1
60.1%
@ 1.57+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Draw
Marathonbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.80
Away
Marathonbet
1.59
Unibet
1.58
Betfair
1.53
Handicap +1 (Turku PS)
Turku PS +1
65.0%
@ 1.39+1.9%
Draw +1
17.5%
@ 4.44-2.3%
SJK -1
17.5%
@ 5.15+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Draw
Marathonbet
4.65
Unibet
4.35
Betfair
4.33
Away
Marathonbet
5.65
Unibet
5.30
Betfair
4.50
Handicap +2 (Turku PS)
Turku PS +2
82.5%
@ 1.11+5.0%
Draw +2
10.6%
@ 6.38-2.9%
SJK -2
6.9%
@ 9.62-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
5.15
Away
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.85
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Turku PS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.93
0.43
0.38
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.48
0.85
0.46
0.36
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.57
0.71
1.06
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.60
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.74
0.50
0.80
1.31
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.9%
@ 1.33+0.1%
Under 0.5
30.1%
@ 3.08-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Under
William Hil
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
2.99
1xBet
2.99
Betano
2.95
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.3%
@ 2.51-0.8%
Under 1.5
63.7%
@ 1.48+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.57
Pinnacle
2.56
William Hil
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Under
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.6%
@ 5.76-3.5%
Under 2.5
87.4%
@ 1.10+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.60
Betano
5.60
1xBet
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Turku PS over/under 0.5 HT
Over
54.9%
@ 1.85+4.8%
Under
45.1%
@ 1.86-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.86
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.85
Unibet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Unibet
1.89
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Turku PS over/under 1.5 HT
Over
18.2%
@ 5.68+1.9%
Under
81.8%
@ 1.11-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.45
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Turku PS over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.4%
@ 11.00-4.1%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.02+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
SJK over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.2%
@ 2.06-9.7%
Under
64.8%
@ 1.68+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.13
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.00
Unibet
1.97
Under
Unibet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
SJK over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.3%
@ 6.67-6.6%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.08+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.70
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
SJK over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
@ 12.50-6.3%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Turku PS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
1.00
0.43
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.78
0.63
1.00
0.46
0.57
0.79
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.70
1.07
0.50
0.88
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.40
1.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.00
0.78
0.90
0.70
1.08
0.85
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.9%
@ 1.19-0.2%
Under 0.5
22.1%
@ 4.22+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
Betano
4.40
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.1%
@ 1.90-2.0%
Under 1.5
52.9%
@ 1.83+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.88
Unibet
1.84
Under
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Unibet
1.83
William Hil
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.1%
@ 3.74-4.7%
Under 2.5
79.9%
@ 1.24+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
1xBet
3.66
Marathonbet
3.66
Betano
3.65
Under
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Turku PS over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.5%
@ 1.61+0.3%
Under
41.5%
@ 2.23-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.22
Turku PS over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.7%
@ 3.85-0.5%
Under
76.3%
@ 1.23+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Turku PS over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.3%
@ 10.25-2.9%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.03+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
12.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
SJK over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.4%
@ 1.75-8.8%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.99+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.05
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.94
SJK over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.7%
@ 4.67-8.2%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.16+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.75
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
SJK over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.7%
@ 10.00-6.6%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.03+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
Under 7.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
Under 6.5
95.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.7%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+6.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
92.5%
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+1.8%
Home under 3.5 goals
90.8%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
+1.3%
Under 5.5
88.7%
1.03
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-0.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.3%
1.16
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
+8.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
+3.5%
Over 1.5
84.7%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Unibet
1.18
+7.9%
Home +2 handicap
82.5%
1.11
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+5.0%
Under 25.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.8%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-1.9%
Home over 0.5 goals
81.5%
1.20
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Unibet
1.16
+4.5%
Under 5.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.9%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
+4.7%
Under 11.5 corners
79.4%
1.45
Unibet
1.45
-
-
-
-
+16.3%
Away over 0.5 goals
79.3%
1.27
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Betfair
1.25
+6.4%
Away under 2.5 goals
79.0%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-3.4%
Away +2 handicap
78.9%
1.16
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
-
-
+3.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.9%
1.19
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-0.2%
Under 4.5
76.9%
1.14
Pinnacle
1.17
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-3.8%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.3%
1.23
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
-
-
+0.5%
Home under 2.5 goals
76.0%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Unibet
1.17
-1.8%
Home or Away
74.8%
1.28
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
SBO
1.26
+2.2%
Over 2.5 cards
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Turku PS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Albijon Muzaci50%
T. Tsirigotis33%
S. Anini33%
Pau Juvanteny14%
Luke Ivanovic0%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
M. Kauppila0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Tobias Karkulowski0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
E. Turkki0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Eetu Turkki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Anini67%
Eetu Turkki67%
Oscar Haggstrom50%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Atte Sihvonen25%
L. Ikonen25%
Tobias Karkulowski17%
Pau Juvanteny14%
M. Hrádecký0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
E. Turkki0%
Albijon Muzaci0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eetu Turkki67%
N. Talo33%
E. Turkki33%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Tobias Karkulowski17%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
S. Anini0%
Pau Juvanteny0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Albijon Muzaci0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
E. Turkki33%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Elmer Vauhkonen25%
Albijon Muzaci25%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
S. Anini0%
Pau Juvanteny0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Tobias Karkulowski0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Eetu Turkki0%
SJK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
E. Mastokangas25%
K. Paananen20%
O. Tessilimi20%
J. Streng0%
Rangel0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
M. Arsalo0%
O. Väistö0%
A. Boström0%
A. Wilson0%
S. Yussif0%
Caio Araújo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Yussif50%
O. Tessilimi40%
A. Boström33%
Rangel25%
K. Paananen20%
M. Arsalo17%
J. Streng0%
E. Mastokangas0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
O. Väistö0%
A. Wilson0%
Caio Araújo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Streng20%
Rangel0%
E. Mastokangas0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
M. Arsalo0%
K. Paananen0%
O. Väistö0%
A. Boström0%
O. Tessilimi0%
A. Wilson0%
S. Yussif0%
Caio Araújo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Wilson33%
Rangel25%
J. Streng20%
K. Paananen20%
E. Mastokangas0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
M. Arsalo0%
O. Väistö0%
A. Boström0%
O. Tessilimi0%
S. Yussif0%
Caio Araújo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (22)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
Turku PS's squad is €1m less valuable than SJK's (€2m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
Turku PS and SJK have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
Turku PS and SJK have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
Turku PS and SJK have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
KuPS
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
AC Oulu
VPS
Lahti
Ilves
FF Jaro
Mariehamn