Tychy 71 enter the match after a win, while ŁKS Łódź comes off a draw, setting the stage for a contest where the model favours an away win at 46%. The probabilities are 25% for a home win, 29% for a draw, and 46% for an away win, making the latter the clear favourite. The expected total goals is 2.5, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 27%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.7% probability. Tychy 71 typically score 1.21 goals and concede 1.93 at home against similar opposition, whereas ŁKS Łódź averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.08 conceded on the road versus similar teams. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.6% with a 5% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (98.0% with a 7% edge), Under 5.5 (95.9% with a 5% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (93.9% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 goals (91.5% with an 8% edge), Away +2 handicap (90.3% with an 8% edge), and Under 4.5 (89.3% with a 6% edge).
Results analysis
The upset was clear: the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick for an away win at 46 percent, failed as Tychy 71 edged ŁKS Łódź 1-0. The home side, riding a two-game winning run, secured the victory, while the away team, fresh from a defeat, could not capitalize on their higher average goals scored. The model’s call was wrong. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 at 99.6 percent, Under 6.5 at 98.6 percent, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.0 percent, Under 5.5 at 95.9 percent, Away under 3.5 goals at 93.9 percent, Home under 2.5 goals at 91.5 percent, Away +2 handicap at 90.2 percent, and Under 4.5 at 89.3 percent. The final score matched the most likely 1-1 outcome only in goal count, not in result.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tychy 71 win✓ Hit
25.2%
Avg Implied 32.4% · @ 2.77
Edge
-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.95
Dafabet
2.90
Superbet
2.90
1xBet
2.84
Betano
2.80
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.33
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
ŁKS Łódź win✗ Miss
46.0%
Avg Implied 40.7% · @ 2.21
Edge
+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.23
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Tychy 71
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
2.17
1.20
2.00
0.67
2.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
-
-
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (26)
0.96
2.19
1.21
1.93
0.67
2.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (ŁKS Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ŁKS Łódź
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.27
1.81
1.31
1.57
1.21
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.69
1.27
1.71
1.43
1.67
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.33
4.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Tychy 71) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.2%
@ 1.17-6.1%
Under 1.5
27.8%
@ 4.23+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Under
BetVictor
4.75
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.30
Unibet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.3%
@ 1.62-11.3%
Under 2.5
54.7%
@ 2.12+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.60
Bet365
1.60
Under
Bet365
2.30
BetVictor
2.21
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Betano
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.9%
@ 2.52-12.3%
Under 3.5
76.1%
@ 1.44+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.67
Betfair
2.63
Marathonbet
2.62
Pinnacle
2.51
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Betfair
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.5%
@ 1.53-10.0%
No
49.5%
@ 2.33+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
William Hil
1.53
Unibet
1.50
No
Betfair
2.50
BetVictor
2.45
1xBet
2.39
Unibet
2.35
William Hil
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 6.53+7.1%
0-1
10.9%@ 9.49+6.4%
0-0
9.6%@ 13.08+6.3%
1-2
9.1%@ 8.27+3.9%
0-2
8.9%@ 11.75+5.3%
1-0 ✓
7.3%@ 10.52+3.2%
2-1
6.4%@ 9.38+1.8%
2-2
4.7%@ 10.60+0.6%
Tychy 71 goals ↓
ŁKS Łódź goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.6%
11%
8.9%
4.3%
1.6%
1
7.3%
14%
9.1%
4.4%
1.6%
2
4.4%
6.4%
4.7%
2.3%
0.8%
3
1.5%
2.2%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tychy 71 goals (down), columns = ŁKS Łódź goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Avia Świdnik
2.50
Korona Kielce
2.33
Polonia Bytom
2.25
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.20
Stal Stalowa Wola
2.00
Jastrzębie
2.00
Hutnik Kraków
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.00
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
2.00
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.50
Odra Opole
1.50
Widzew Łódź
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.50
Miedz Legnica
1.50
Olimpia Grudziądz
1.33
Świt Skolwin
1.33
Lechia Gdansk
1.33
ŁKS Łódź II
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Wieczysta Kraków
1.00
Nieciecza
1.00
Polonia Warszawa
1.00
Wisla Plock
1.00
Chrobry Głogów
1.00
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Legia Warszawa
1.00
Widzew II
0.94
Chemik Bydgoszcz
0.94
Śląsk Wrocław II
0.94
Sokół Ostróda
0.94
Górnik Polkowice
0.94
Górnik Zabrze II
0.94
Luzino
0.94
Wisła Płock II
0.94
Sokół Kleczew
0.94
Kluczevia Stargard
0.94
Lechia Zielona Góra
0.94
Wigry Suwałki
0.94
Kluczbork
0.94
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0.94
Podhale Nowy Targ
0.94
Unia Skierniewice
0.54
Znicz Pruszków
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.50
ŁKS Łódź
0.50
Pogon Szczecin
0.50
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.00
Resovia Rzeszów
0.00
Kalisz
0.00
Beskid
0.00
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0.00
Korona Kielce II
0.00
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
0.00
Polonia Środa
0.00
Tychy 71
0.00
Górnik Łęczna
0.00
Stal Rzeszów
0.00
Ruch Chorzów
0.00
Stal Mielec
0.00
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.00
Tychy 71 is 0.50 points worse than ŁKS Łódź in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
4.25
Chrobry Głogów
3.00
Avia Świdnik
2.75
Cracovia Krakow
2.50
Stal Stalowa Wola
2.00
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.00
Nieciecza
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
2.00
Wisla Plock
2.00
Miedz Legnica
2.00
Świt Skolwin
1.67
Korona Kielce
1.67
Jastrzębie
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.50
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.50
Hutnik Kraków
1.33
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Widzew II
1.03
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1.03
Śląsk Wrocław II
1.03
Sokół Ostróda
1.03
Górnik Polkowice
1.03
Górnik Zabrze II
1.03
Luzino
1.03
Wisła Płock II
1.03
Sokół Kleczew
1.03
Kluczevia Stargard
1.03
Lechia Zielona Góra
1.03
Wigry Suwałki
1.03
Kluczbork
1.03
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1.03
Podhale Nowy Targ
1.03
Resovia Rzeszów
1.00
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1.00
Olimpia Grudziądz
1.00
Polonia Środa
1.00
ŁKS Łódź II
1.00
Piast Gliwice
1.00
Wisla Krakow
1.00
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Ruch Chorzów
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Stal Mielec
1.00
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Legia Warszawa
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
0.59
Znicz Pruszków
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.50
Pogon Szczecin
0.50
Warta Poznań
0.50
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.00
Kalisz
0.00
Beskid
0.00
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0.00
Korona Kielce II
0.00
Zaglebie Lubin
0.00
Tychy 71
0.00
Motor Lublin
0.00
Wieczysta Kraków
0.00
Stal Rzeszów
0.00
Polonia Warszawa
0.00
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.00
Radomiak Radom
0.00
Tychy 71 is 2.00 goals worse than ŁKS Łódź in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zaglebie Lubin
0.00
Motor Lublin
0.00
Wieczysta Kraków
0.00
Polonia Warszawa
0.00
Radomiak Radom
0.00
Hutnik Kraków
0.33
Korona Kielce
0.33
Jastrzębie
0.50
Warta Poznań
0.50
Olimpia Grudziądz
0.67
Piast Gliwice
0.67
Widzew Łódź
0.75
Chojniczanka Chojnice
0.80
Stal Stalowa Wola
1.00
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1.00
Korona Kielce II
1.00
Avia Świdnik
1.00
ŁKS Łódź II
1.00
Stal Rzeszów
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Arka Gdynia
1.00
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.00
Pogon Szczecin
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Legia Warszawa
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.25
Wisla Krakow
1.33
Lechia Gdansk
1.33
Podbeskidzie
1.50
Miedz Legnica
1.50
Widzew II
1.58
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1.58
Śląsk Wrocław II
1.58
Sokół Ostróda
1.58
Górnik Polkowice
1.58
Górnik Zabrze II
1.58
Luzino
1.58
Wisła Płock II
1.58
Sokół Kleczew
1.58
Kluczevia Stargard
1.58
Lechia Zielona Góra
1.58
Wigry Suwałki
1.58
Kluczbork
1.58
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1.58
Podhale Nowy Targ
1.58
Świt Skolwin
1.67
Resovia Rzeszów
2.00
Kalisz
2.00
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
2.00
Tychy 71
2.00
Znicz Pruszków
2.00
Cracovia Krakow
2.00
Nieciecza
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.00
Wisla Plock
2.00
Pogoń Siedlce
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
2.50
Unia Skierniewice
2.77
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
3.00
Beskid
3.00
Polonia Środa
3.00
Ruch Chorzów
3.00
Chrobry Głogów
3.00
Górnik Łęczna
5.00
Tychy 71 is 0.50 goals better than ŁKS Łódź in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 2.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Tychy 71 or Draw✓ Hit
54.0%
Avg Implied 59.1% · @ 1.54
Edge
-5.1%
25%
29%
46%
covers Tychy 71 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.56
BetVictor
1.55
Bet365
1.55
Tychy 71 or ŁKS Łódź✓ Hit
71.2%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.25
Edge
-1.9%
25%
29%
46%
covers Tychy 71 + ŁKS Łódź
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Draw or ŁKS Łódź✗ Miss
74.8%
Avg Implied 67.8% · @ 1.34
Edge
+7.0%
25%
29%
46%
covers Draw + ŁKS Łódź
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Tychy 71 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.1%
@ 1.25-9.9%
Under
35.9%
@ 3.54+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Under
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.15
Tychy 71 over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.3%
@ 2.26-13.4%
Under
72.7%
@ 1.55+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.27
Betfair
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Under
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Tychy 71 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.5%
@ 4.72-11.0%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.14+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.10
Tychy 71 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 10.33-7.1%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.04+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Under
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
ŁKS Łódź over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
76.8%
@ 1.18-1.3%
Under
23.2%
@ 4.20+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
3.75
ŁKS Łódź over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.0%
@ 1.95-4.3%
Under
57.0%
@ 1.74+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Bet365
1.91
Under
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.78
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.71
ŁKS Łódź over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.2%
@ 3.94-5.2%
Under
81.8%
@ 1.20+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.85
Under
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.17
ŁKS Łódź over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 9.00-4.3%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.05+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
8.00
Under
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Tychy 71, so a minus line means Tychy 71 give that many goals of a start and ŁKS Łódź receive them. At -1, Tychy 71 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Tychy 71 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Tychy 71)Actual: ŁKS Łódź
Tychy 71 -2
2.8%
@ 15.00-3.4%
Draw -2
7.0%
@ 8.00-4.5%
ŁKS Łódź +2
90.2%
@ 1.12+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
1.12
Handicap -1 (Tychy 71)Actual: Draw
Tychy 71 -1
9.8%
@ 5.47-6.0%
Draw -1
15.5%
@ 4.32-4.5%
ŁKS Łódź +1
74.8%
@ 1.34+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
Unibet
4.75
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
3.85
Away
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.33
Unibet
1.28
Handicap +1 (Tychy 71)Actual: Tychy 71
Tychy 71 +1
54.0%
@ 1.56-1.8%
Draw +1
22.6%
@ 3.94+0.5%
ŁKS Łódź -1
23.4%
@ 3.94+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.51
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.35
Away
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.25
Handicap +2 (Tychy 71)Actual: Tychy 71
Tychy 71 +2
76.6%
@ 1.20-0.0%
Draw +2
14.3%
@ 6.50+0.1%
ŁKS Łódź -2
9.1%
@ 10.00-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Away
Bet365
10.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tychy 71
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
1.23
0.47
1.20
0.27
1.27
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.38
1.31
0.50
1.21
0.25
1.42
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (ŁKS Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ŁKS Łódź
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.75
0.75
0.64
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.62
0.64
0.86
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Tychy 71) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Under
William Hil
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
Betfair
3.25
1xBet
3.12
Bet365
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.47
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
Under
William Hil
1.55
BetVictor
1.55
Betfair
1.53
1xBet
1.49
Unibet
1.49
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Under
William Hil
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tychy 71 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.10
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.95
Under
1xBet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.66
Superbet
1.64
Tychy 71 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Under
1xBet
1.08
Tychy 71 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ŁKS Łódź over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.73
Under
1xBet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.80
Superbet
1.78
ŁKS Łódź over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Under
1xBet
1.11
ŁKS Łódź over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tychy 71
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.93
0.73
0.80
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
-
-
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.58
0.88
0.71
0.71
0.42
1.08
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (ŁKS Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ŁKS Łódź
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.67
1.06
0.56
0.93
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.04
0.65
1.07
0.57
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Tychy 71) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.50
William Hil
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
3.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.88
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Under
William Hil
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.77
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.70
Superbet
3.70
William Hil
3.50
Under
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tychy 71 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.77
1xBet
1.73
Under
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Tychy 71 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Under
1xBet
1.15
Tychy 71 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ŁKS Łódź over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Under
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.15
ŁKS Łódź over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21
ŁKS Łódź over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.80
Under
1xBet
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.6%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.0%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.9%
1.06
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
91.5%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.10
-
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
90.2%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
+9.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
81.8%
1.20
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.17
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
76.8%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.16
-
-1.3%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
76.6%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.1%
1.44
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Betfair
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
+12.3%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
74.8%
1.34
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
+7.0%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
74.8%
1.34
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.33
Unibet
1.28
-
-
+10.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
72.7%
1.55
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
+13.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.2%
1.17
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
-6.1%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
71.2%
1.25
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
-1.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
ŁKS Łódź · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dani Ramirez28%
Stipe Jurić21%
Kay Tejan21%
Jedrzej Zajac17%
Husein Balić15%
Engjell Hoti14%
Artemijus Tutyškinas9%
Piotr Janczukowicz7%
Antoni Mlynarczyk6%
Pirulo5%
Rahil Mammadov0%
Riza Durmisi0%
Nacho Monsalve0%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Adam Marciniak0%
Kamil Dankowski0%
Dawid Arndt0%
Marcin Flis0%
Bartosz Szeliga0%
Levent Gülen0%
Anton Fase0%
Piotr Głowacki0%
Adrian Małachowski0%
Oskar Koprowski0%
Jakub Letniowski0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Adrien Louveau0%
Mieszko Lorenc0%
Aleksander Bobek0%
Thiago Ceijas0%
Jan Łabędzki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Letniowski38%
Riza Durmisi36%
Adam Marciniak29%
Dawid Arndt29%
Adrien Louveau27%
Artemijus Tutyškinas27%
Oskar Koprowski25%
Pirulo24%
Michał Mokrzycki21%
Kay Tejan21%
Rahil Mammadov19%
Marcin Flis19%
Engjell Hoti17%
Nacho Monsalve17%
Levent Gülen17%
Jedrzej Zajac17%
Husein Balić15%
Dani Ramirez12%
Thiago Ceijas12%
Antoni Mlynarczyk12%
Aleksander Bobek12%
Piotr Janczukowicz11%
Kamil Dankowski10%
Bartosz Szeliga10%
Stipe Jurić5%
Piotr Głowacki4%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Anton Fase0%
Adrian Małachowski0%
Mieszko Lorenc0%
Jan Łabędzki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrian Małachowski17%
Antoni Mlynarczyk12%
Kay Tejan10%
Riza Durmisi9%
Michał Mokrzycki7%
Kamil Dankowski7%
Dani Ramirez6%
Levent Gülen6%
Adrien Louveau5%
Piotr Głowacki4%
Piotr Janczukowicz4%
Bartosz Szeliga3%
Rahil Mammadov0%
Husein Balić0%
Nacho Monsalve0%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Adam Marciniak0%
Dawid Arndt0%
Marcin Flis0%
Pirulo0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Anton Fase0%
Oskar Koprowski0%
Jakub Letniowski0%
Mieszko Lorenc0%
Aleksander Bobek0%
Engjell Hoti0%
Thiago Ceijas0%
Artemijus Tutyškinas0%
Jan Łabędzki0%
Jedrzej Zajac0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Małachowski17%
Kay Tejan14%
Marcin Flis12%
Pirulo10%
Dani Ramirez9%
Husein Balić8%
Rahil Mammadov0%
Riza Durmisi0%
Nacho Monsalve0%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Adam Marciniak0%
Kamil Dankowski0%
Dawid Arndt0%
Bartosz Szeliga0%
Levent Gülen0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Anton Fase0%
Piotr Głowacki0%
Oskar Koprowski0%
Jakub Letniowski0%
Piotr Janczukowicz0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Adrien Louveau0%
Mieszko Lorenc0%
Aleksander Bobek0%
Engjell Hoti0%
Thiago Ceijas0%
Artemijus Tutyškinas0%
Jan Łabędzki0%
Antoni Mlynarczyk0%
Jedrzej Zajac0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Miedz Legnica
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Chrobry Głogów
Arka Gdynia
Polonia Warszawa
Warta Poznań
Pogoń Siedlce
Odra Opole
Stal Mielec
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
Ruch Chorzów
Puszcza Niepołomice
Polonia Bytom
Unia Skierniewice
Podbeskidzie
Stal Rzeszów