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UCD vs Finn Harps Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 5-4
UCD
UCD
Vs
69%
18%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Finn Harps
Finn Harps
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

UCD are the clear favourites, with a 69 % chance of victory, a 19 % draw probability and a 13 % chance of Finn Harps winning. The model’s pick is a home win, driven by UCD’s strong home form: they average 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against weaker opposition, while Finn Harps, playing away against a stronger side, average only 0.5 scored and 2.33 conceded. The expected total is 3.4 goals, with the most likely total of 3 goals at 22 %. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for UCD, with a 9.6 % probability. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.4 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.1 %), Under 7.5 (97.6 %), Home +2 handicap (95.5 %), Away under 1.5 HT goals (94.4 %), Under 6.5 (93.9 %), and Away under 1.5 2H goals (92.6 %) with an edge of 4 %. UCD’s recent draw against Kerry and Finn Harps’ five-game losing streak add context to the predicted outcome.

Results analysis

UCD, riding a win, extended their positive run to finish 5-4 over Finn Harps, a score that far exceeded the model’s expected total of 3.4 goals. The pre-match favourite was a Home win at 69%, and the model’s call was correct. The model’s selections performed as follows: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.8%, Away under 3.5 goals missed at 98.3%, Under 7.5 missed at 97.5%, Home +2 handicap hit at 95.7%, Away under 1.5 HT goals missed at 94.2%, Under 6.5 missed at 93.9%, and Away under 1.5 2H goals missed at 92.7%. The match proved a high-scoring spectacle, with UCD securing a home victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCD win✓ Hit
69.4%
Avg Implied 75.9% · @ 1.20
Edge
-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.26
SBO
1.24
Betano
1.23
Dafabet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Draw✗ Miss
18.5%
Avg Implied 14.7% · @ 6.18
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
7.25
Dafabet
6.80
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.45
Marathonbet
6.45
Finn Harps win✗ Miss
12.2%
Avg Implied 9.4% · @ 9.67
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
12.00
Pinnacle
11.21
1xBet
11.10
Marathonbet
10.75
Dafabet
10.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

UCDUCD

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D43W01L23L06L52W00D12L41W11DH·ATH10/10A·FIN17/10H·BRA24/10A·BRA28/10A·BRA10/07H·COR24/07A·ATH31/07H·TRE03/08H·WEX07/08A·KER21/08
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.501.861.291.691.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)2.221.002.401.002.001.00
vs Weaker (21)1.571.711.561.441.581.92
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-514L03L11D34L01L12L03L05L05L13LA·COB26/09A·DUN10/10H·KER13/10H·UCD17/10H·TRE10/07A·KER24/07H·COR31/07A·LON03/08A·BRA07/08H·COB21/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.931.001.690.712.21
vs Stronger (13)0.772.081.001.860.502.33
vs Similar (17)0.941.821.001.560.882.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (UCD) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.6%
@ 1.07+1.4%
Under 1.5
13.4%
@ 6.19-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Under
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Pinnacle
6.78
10Bet
6.25
1xBet
6.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.9%
@ 1.31-2.4%
Under 2.5
33.1%
@ 2.97+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.34
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.19
Unibet
3.05
Marathonbet
2.97
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.1%
@ 1.86-4.4%
Under 3.5
54.9%
@ 1.83+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.09
10Bet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.90
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.88
Betfair
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.7%
@ 1.73+5.2%
No
42.3%
@ 1.92-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
William Hil
1.75
No
Unibet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
William Hil
1.95
Betfair
1.95
1xBet
1.94

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.8%@ 6.99+3.6%
2-1
9.5%@ 8.21+4.3%
1-1
8.5%@ 11.38+4.7%
3-0
8.0%@ 7.54+2.3%
3-1
7.8%@ 8.98+3.0%
1-0
7.1%@ 9.36+2.5%
4-0
5.0%@ 10.26+0.8%
4-1
4.8%@ 12.43+1.4%
UCD goals ↓
Finn Harps goals →
01234
04.0%2.3%1.5%0.5%0.1%
17.1%8.5%3.7%1.2%0.3%
29.8%9.5%4.6%1.5%0.4%
38.0%7.8%3.8%1.2%0.3%
45.0%4.8%2.4%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = UCD goals (down), columns = Finn Harps goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kerry
2.00
Cork City
1.86
Longford Town
1.86
Athlone Town
1.86
UCD
1.57
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Bray Wanderers
1.29
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.00
UCD is 1.57 points better than Finn Harps in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cork City
2.57
Longford Town
2.57
Bray Wanderers
2.43
UCD
2.29
Kerry
2.29
Athlone Town
1.57
Cobh Ramblers
1.29
Treaty United
1.14
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.86
UCD is 1.43 goals better than Finn Harps in terms of goals scored per game (2.29 vs 0.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Athlone Town
1.00
Kerry
1.14
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Longford Town
1.57
Wexford
1.86
Bray Wanderers
1.86
Cork City
2.00
UCD
2.29
Finn Harps
3.43
UCD is 1.14 goals better than Finn Harps in terms of goals conceded per game (2.29 vs 3.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
UCD or Draw✓ Hit
87.8%
Avg Implied 89.4% · @ 1.04
Edge
-1.6%
69%
18%
12%
covers UCD + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
William Hil
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Bet365
1.03
UCD or Finn Harps✓ Hit
81.5%
Avg Implied 85.8% · @ 1.08
Edge
-4.3%
69%
18%
12%
covers UCD + Finn Harps
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Draw or Finn Harps✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.74
Edge
+5.9%
69%
18%
12%
covers Draw + Finn Harps
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.33
William Hil
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Bet365
3.75

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
UCD over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.6%
@ 1.03+0.1%
Under
8.4%
@ 11.00-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Under
1xBet
14.00
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
UCD over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
70.7%
@ 1.21-4.7%
Under
29.3%
@ 3.70+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.25
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.65
UCD over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
44.9%
@ 1.71-8.8%
Under
55.1%
@ 1.98+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.72
Betano
1.72
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathonbet
2.03
1xBet
2.02
Betano
2.00
UCD over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
23.6%
@ 2.80-9.0%
Under
76.4%
@ 1.36+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.20
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.77
Under
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Finn Harps over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.2%
@ 1.67+7.4%
Under
37.8%
@ 2.02-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
Under
10Bet
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.08
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.07
Finn Harps over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
25.5%
@ 4.15+3.5%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.17-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.26
Under
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Finn Harps over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
7.6%
@ 9.97-1.8%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.03+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
9.90
Under
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Finn Harps over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
1.7%
@ 21.00-98.3%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to UCD, so a minus line means UCD give that many goals of a start and Finn Harps receive them. At -1, UCD must win by two or more to land; a one-goal UCD win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (UCD)Actual: Finn Harps
UCD -2
27.8%
@ 2.42-8.4%
Draw -2
20.3%
@ 3.85-2.4%
Finn Harps +2
51.9%
@ 2.12+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.26
Unibet
2.16
Draw
Marathonbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.30
Away
Marathonbet
2.21
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Handicap -1 (UCD)Actual: Draw
UCD -1
48.1%
@ 1.62-6.0%
Draw -1
21.3%
@ 3.89-1.2%
Finn Harps +1
30.6%
@ 3.73+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Draw
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.15
Away
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Unibet
2.85
Handicap +1 (UCD)Actual: UCD
UCD +1
87.8%
@ 1.07-0.2%
Draw +1
7.9%
@ 12.00+0.1%
Finn Harps -1
4.3%
@ 23.00+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
Handicap +2 (UCD)Actual: UCD
UCD +2
95.7%
Draw +2
3.2%
Finn Harps -2
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

UCDUCD

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L31W00D11D02L22D00D00D20W10WH·ATH10/10A·FIN17/10H·BRA24/10A·BRA28/10A·BRA10/07H·COR24/07A·ATH31/07H·TRE03/08H·WEX07/08A·KER21/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.670.710.790.940.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.561.000.600.750.50
vs Weaker (21)0.810.710.560.891.000.58
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L00D01L13L01L12L00D01L02L03LA·COB26/09A·DUN10/10H·KER13/10H·UCD17/10H·TRE10/07A·KER24/07H·COR31/07A·LON03/08A·BRA07/08H·COB21/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.900.310.880.500.93
vs Stronger (13)0.230.620.140.710.330.50
vs Similar (17)0.531.120.441.000.621.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (UCD) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.5%
@ 1.17-4.3%
Under 0.5
26.5%
@ 4.09+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
William Hil
4.20
1xBet
4.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.9%
@ 1.91-9.2%
Under 1.5
61.1%
@ 1.77+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.09
Pinnacle
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
Unibet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.4%
@ 3.68-8.1%
Under 2.5
83.6%
@ 1.20+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Under
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
UCD over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
65.3%
@ 1.35-3.0%
Under
34.7%
@ 2.93+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Under
1xBet
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.90
Betano
2.72
UCD over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
27.4%
@ 2.51-9.4%
Under
72.6%
@ 1.46+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.62
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.55
Marathonbet
2.48
1xBet
2.44
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
UCD over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 6.03-7.7%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.08+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.25
1xBet
5.80
Under
1xBet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Finn Harps over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
30.5%
@ 2.95-0.9%
Under
69.5%
@ 1.35+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.36
Marathonbet
2.93
Betano
2.90
Superbet
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Under
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Finn Harps over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
5.8%
@ 10.00-3.5%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.03+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Under
10Bet
1.03
Finn Harps over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

UCDUCD

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W12L01L12L04L30W00D12L21W01LH·ATH10/10A·FIN17/10H·BRA24/10A·BRA28/10A·BRA10/07H·COR24/07A·ATH31/07H·TRE03/08H·WEX07/08A·KER21/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.831.140.500.751.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.330.441.400.401.250.50
vs Weaker (21)0.761.001.000.560.581.33
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L03L10W21W00D00D03L04L03L10WA·COB26/09A·DUN10/10H·KER13/10H·UCD17/10H·TRE10/07A·KER24/07H·COR31/07A·LON03/08A·BRA07/08H·COB21/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.030.690.810.211.29
vs Stronger (13)0.541.460.861.140.171.83
vs Similar (17)0.410.710.560.560.250.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (UCD) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
85.6%
@ 1.10+1.8%
Under 0.5
14.4%
@ 5.68-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Under
1xBet
6.40
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
5.50
Superbet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
54.4%
@ 1.56-4.6%
Under 1.5
45.6%
@ 2.25+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Under
Betano
2.32
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Superbet
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
27.5%
@ 2.68-6.7%
Under 2.5
72.5%
@ 1.40+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.90
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.65
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Under
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
William Hil
1.36

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
UCD over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
77.0%
@ 1.21+0.1%
Under
23.0%
@ 4.03-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Under
1xBet
4.20
10Bet
3.85
UCD over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
41.0%
@ 1.97-5.9%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.74+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.89
Under
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Superbet
1.72
10Bet
1.70
UCD over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
14.7%
@ 4.12-7.8%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.19+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Finn Harps over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
36.4%
@ 2.40-1.9%
Under
63.6%
@ 1.49+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.45
Superbet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
10Bet
2.35
Under
10Bet
1.53
1xBet
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Finn Harps over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
7.3%
@ 8.57-3.4%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.03+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Marathonbet
8.80
10Bet
8.00
Under
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Finn Harps over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 7.597.5%1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
---+6.0%✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap95.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals94.2%1.03
10Bet
1.03
----+3.5%✗ Miss
Under 6.593.9%1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.06
---+5.6%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals92.7%1.03
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
--+3.4%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals92.4%1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
---+1.8%✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 HT goals92.4%1.08
1xBet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
---+7.7%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals91.6%1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
--+0.1%✓ Hit
Home or Draw87.8%1.04
Betano
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
William Hil
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Bet365
1.03
-1.6%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap87.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----0.2%✓ Hit
Over 1.586.6%1.07
10Bet
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
+1.4%✓ Hit
Under 5.586.5%1.12
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
+5.3%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals85.6%1.10
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
+1.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals85.3%1.19
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
---+7.8%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals83.6%1.20
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
+8.1%✗ Miss
Home or Away81.5%1.08
BetVictor
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.08
-4.3%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals77.0%1.21
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.19
---+0.1%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals76.4%1.36
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
+9.0%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals74.5%1.17
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-3.5%✗ Miss
Under 4.573.6%1.34
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
Unibet
1.37
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
+5.9%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals73.5%1.17
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-4.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals72.6%1.46
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
+9.4%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals72.5%1.40
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
William Hil
1.36
+6.7%✗ Miss
Home over 1.5 goals70.7%1.21
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
-4.7%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

UCD · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danu Kinsella Bishop21%
Michael Gallagher17%
Mikey Raggett10%
Brendan Barr0%
Jack Keaney0%
Evan Osam0%
Dara Keane0%
Donal Higgins0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ciaran Behan0%
Sean Brennan0%
Adam Wells0%
Adam Verdon0%
Harvey O'Brien0%
Daniel Norris0%
Kian Moore0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Daniel Babb0%
Harry Curtis0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eanna Clancy57%
Adam Verdon43%
Harvey O'Brien29%
Jesse Dempsey25%
Jack Keaney23%
Sean Brennan23%
Adam Wells23%
Dara Keane18%
Kian Moore17%
Harry Curtis17%
Donal Higgins12%
Mikey Raggett10%
Brendan Barr9%
Danu Kinsella Bishop7%
Evan Osam0%
Michael Gallagher0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ciaran Behan0%
Daniel Norris0%
Daniel Babb0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Gallagher17%
Mikey Raggett10%
Ciaran Behan9%
Daniel Norris9%
Sean Brennan8%
Brendan Barr0%
Jack Keaney0%
Evan Osam0%
Dara Keane0%
Danu Kinsella Bishop0%
Donal Higgins0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Adam Wells0%
Adam Verdon0%
Harvey O'Brien0%
Kian Moore0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Daniel Babb0%
Harry Curtis0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Danu Kinsella Bishop21%
Brendan Barr0%
Jack Keaney0%
Evan Osam0%
Dara Keane0%
Michael Gallagher0%
Donal Higgins0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ciaran Behan0%
Sean Brennan0%
Adam Wells0%
Adam Verdon0%
Harvey O'Brien0%
Daniel Norris0%
Kian Moore0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Mikey Raggett0%
Daniel Babb0%
Harry Curtis0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
UCD wins
4
Draws
0
FH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

UCD vs Finn Harps · H/A from UCD
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/25AFinn Harps Vs UCD3-4
11/07/25HUCD Vs Finn Harps3-1
23/05/25AFinn Harps Vs UCD1-2
07/03/25HUCD Vs Finn Harps1-1
23/08/24HUCD Vs Finn Harps2-0
13/06/24AFinn Harps Vs UCD1-1
17/05/24HUCD Vs Finn Harps3-3
05/04/24AFinn Harps Vs UCD1-1

UCDUCD

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26AKerry Vs UCD1-1
07/08/26HUCD Vs Wexford4-1
03/08/26HUCD Vs Treaty United1-2
31/07/26AAthlone Town Vs UCD0-0
24/07/26HUCD Vs Cork City5-2
10/07/26ABray Wanderers Vs UCD6-0
28/10/25ABray Wanderers Vs UCD3-2
24/10/25HUCD Vs Bray Wanderers0-1
17/10/25AFinn Harps Vs UCD3-4
10/10/25HUCD Vs Athlone Town2-2

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HFH Vs Cobh Ramblers1-3
07/08/26ABray Wanderers Vs FH5-0
03/08/26ALongford Town Vs FH5-0
31/07/26HFH Vs Cork City0-3
24/07/26AKerry Vs FH2-1
10/07/26HFH Vs Treaty United0-1
17/10/25HFH Vs UCD3-4
13/10/25HFH Vs Kerry1-1
10/10/25ADundalk Vs FH3-0
26/09/25ACobh Ramblers Vs FH4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

UCD
UCD
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWD1.40
HomeDLWLW1.46
AwayWLLDD1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals2.642.502.77
Over 1.5 %70%67%73%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored1.321.381.27
Conceded1.321.121.50
BTTS50%58%42%
Clean Sheet22%17%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Finn Harps
Finn Harps
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.96
HomeDLLLL1.08
AwayLLLLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%28%16%
AVG goals2.902.803.00
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %40%32%48%
Scored1.161.281.04
Conceded1.741.521.96
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KerryKerry714
57%
2.0
168+8
3.4
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.1
-
2Longford TownLongford Town713
57%
1.9
1811+7
4.1
86%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.6
-
3Cork CityCork City713
57%
1.9
1814+4
4.6
100%
86%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4Athlone TownAthlone Town713
57%
1.9
117+4
2.6
86%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
5UCDUCD711
43%
1.6
1616+0
4.6
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.32.3
-
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers710
43%
1.4
910-1
2.7
86%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
7Treaty UnitedTreaty United710
43%
1.4
810-2
2.6
71%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
8Bray WanderersBray Wanderers79
43%
1.3
1713+4
4.3
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.9
-
9WexfordWexford77
29%
1.0
713-6
2.9
86%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps70
0%
0.0
624-18
4.3
86%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.4
-
Ireland: First Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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