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UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil Result & Analysis

Date: 07/08/2026
Time: 10:00
Final 1-0
UCSA
UCSA
Vs
36%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nyva Ternopil
Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

This highly anticipated matchup between UCSA and Nyva Ternopil is finely balanced, with UCSA's recent form note suggesting they're coming off a win, while Nyva Ternopil are struggling to bounce back from a defeat. The model's selection is a Home win, with an 36% probability of success, closely followed by a 34% chance of an Away win and a 29% chance of a Draw. The expected total goals stands at 2.5, with a most likely total of 2 goals, although the most likely score is a 1-1 draw with a 14% probability.

UCSA's home form is impressive, scoring an average of 1.33 goals and conceding 0.92 per game against similar opponents. Nyva Ternopil's away form is less convincing, scoring 1.17 goals and conceding 1.33 per game in similar situations.

The model's selection is a Home win, with a 36% probability. The model also suggests an Under 3.5 goal match with a 75% probability, and an Over 1.5 goal match with a 73.3% probability, although this one has already been missed.

Results analysis

The win extends UCSA's run after they defeated Nyva Ternopil 1-0. The model's call of a home win was correct, with the home team prevailing. The model's selection was the favourite, with a pre-match probability of 36%. The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with a probability of 75%, while the selection of Over 1.5 goals missed, with a probability of 73.3%. The most likely total goals was 2, with a probability of 27%. The most likely score was a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 14%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCSA win✓ Hit
36.5%
Avg Implied 40.1% · @ 2.29
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.31
1xBet
2.27
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.12
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.25
1xBet
3.00
Nyva Ternopil win✗ Miss
34.2%
Avg Implied 30.5% · @ 3.00
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.06
Dafabet
2.95

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

UCSAUCSA

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L11D21W02L13L05L02L30W22D44DA·PRO12/04H·VIK19/04A·PRY25/04H·CHE02/05A·LIV08/05H·BUK15/05A·MET23/05H·NYV01/06A·POL25/07H·OLE31/07
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.431.131.401.201.47
vs Stronger (5)1.203.401.333.331.003.50
vs Similar (25)1.161.041.080.921.231.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyva Ternopil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L20W03L21W11D03L11D11DA·CHE11/04H·LIV18/04A·BUK26/04H·MET02/05H·YAR09/05A·POD17/05H·VOR23/05A·UCS01/06A·OLE24/07A·SK 01/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.100.711.070.941.12
vs Stronger (8)0.501.000.251.000.751.00
vs Similar (22)0.951.140.901.101.001.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (UCSA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.6%
@ 2.35+6.5%
Under 2.5
53.4%
@ 1.57-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.57
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.9%
@ 2.06+6.8%
No
47.1%
@ 1.76-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
2.06
No
1xBet
1.76

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 6.50+2.4%
0-0
9.2%@ 6.50-2.4%
1-0 ✓
9.0%@ 7.00-1.8%
0-1
8.6%@ 8.00-0.8%
2-1
8.2%@ 12.00+2.0%
1-2
7.9%@ 13.00+2.1%
2-0
6.6%@ 10.00-0.9%
0-2
6.1%@ 13.00+0.3%
UCSA goals ↓
Nyva Ternopil goals →
01234
09.2%8.6%6.1%2.5%0.8%
19.0%14%7.9%3.3%1.0%
26.6%8.2%5.1%2.1%0.7%
32.8%3.5%2.2%0.9%0.3%
40.9%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = UCSA goals (down), columns = Nyva Ternopil goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3.00
Oleksandria
2.20
Kulykiv
2.00
SK Poltava
2.00
Prykarpattia
1.40
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.40
Metal Kharkiv
1.40
Inhulets
1.33
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Nyva Ternopil
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.00
Chernihiv
0.80
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.50
Polissya II
0.40
Probiy Horodenka
0.40
UCSA and Nyva Ternopil are level in average points per game (both 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kulykiv
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.80
Prykarpattia
1.60
UCSA
1.60
SK Poltava
1.33
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Polissya II
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Inhulets
1.17
Chernihiv
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.67
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.67
UCSA is 0.60 goals better than Nyva Ternopil in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SK Poltava
0.17
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.20
Oleksandria
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Chernihiv
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.20
Kulykiv
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.33
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1.33
Inhulets
1.50
Yarud Mariupol'
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Polissya II
1.80
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.80
Probiy Horodenka
2.40
UCSA is 0.60 goals worse than Nyva Ternopil in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

UCSAUCSA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W21W01L10W03L01L20W12L11DA·PRO12/04H·VIK19/04A·PRY25/04H·CHE02/05A·LIV08/05H·BUK15/05A·MET23/05H·NYV01/06A·POL25/07H·OLE31/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.600.470.530.67
vs Stronger (5)0.401.200.331.330.501.00
vs Similar (25)0.600.440.670.250.540.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyva Ternopil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D10W00D00D10W02L01L10WA·CHE11/04H·LIV18/04A·BUK26/04H·MET02/05H·YAR09/05A·POD17/05H·VOR23/05A·UCS01/06A·OLE24/07A·SK 01/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.370.500.290.380.44
vs Stronger (8)0.120.500.000.500.250.50
vs Similar (22)0.550.320.700.200.420.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (UCSA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
UCSA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCSA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCSA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

UCSAUCSA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D01L03L02L01L10W10W33DA·PRO12/04H·VIK19/04A·PRY25/04H·CHE02/05A·LIV08/05H·BUK15/05A·MET23/05H·NYV01/06A·POL25/07H·OLE31/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.530.930.670.80
vs Stronger (5)0.802.201.002.000.502.50
vs Similar (25)0.560.600.420.670.690.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyva Ternopil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L10W03L21W01L01L10W01LA·CHE11/04H·LIV18/04A·BUK26/04H·MET02/05H·YAR09/05A·POD17/05H·VOR23/05A·UCS01/06A·OLE24/07A·SK 01/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.730.210.790.560.69
vs Stronger (8)0.380.500.250.500.500.50
vs Similar (22)0.410.820.200.900.580.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (UCSA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
UCSA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCSA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCSA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (25)
€8m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
PH (20)
€1m
INH (15)
€1m
PI (5)
€1m
KKI (3)
€0m
LK (7)
€0m
UCSA and Nyva Ternopil have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (10)
€3m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
PH (11)
€1m
PI (2)
€0m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (3)
€0m
UCSA and Nyva Ternopil have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YM (7)
€1m
OLE (4)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
PI (1)
€0m
PH (3)
€0m
INH (5)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (0)
€0m
UCSA and Nyva Ternopil have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (11)
€3m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
PH (6)
€0m
PI (2)
€0m
LK (4)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
UCSA and Nyva Ternopil have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
UCS wins
0
Draws
0
NT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil · H/A from UCS
DateH/AGameScore
01/06/26HUCS Vs Nyva Ternopil3-0
09/11/25ANyva Ternopil Vs UCS1-4

UCSAUCSA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/26HUCS Vs Oleksandria4-4
25/07/26APolissya II Vs UCS2-2
01/06/26HUCS Vs Nyva Ternopil3-0
23/05/26AMetal Kharkiv Vs UCS2-0
15/05/26HUCS Vs Bukovyna0-5
08/05/26ALivyi Bereh Vs UCS3-1
02/05/26HUCS Vs Chernihiv0-2
25/04/26APrykarpattia Vs UCS1-2
19/04/26HUCS Vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka1-1
12/04/26AProbiy Horodenka Vs UCS1-0

Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26ASK Poltava Vs NT1-1
24/07/26AOleksandria Vs NT1-1
01/06/26AUCSA Vs NT3-0
23/05/26HNT Vs Vorskla Poltava1-1
17/05/26APodillya Khmelnytskyi Vs NT1-2
09/05/26HNT Vs Yarud Mariupol'0-3
02/05/26HNT Vs Metal Kharkiv2-0
26/04/26ABukovyna Vs NT1-0
18/04/26HNT Vs Livyi Bereh0-0
11/04/26AChernihiv Vs NT1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

UCSA
UCSA
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDD1.16
HomeDLLWD1.17
AwayLWLLD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%25%35%
AVG goals2.722.712.73
Over 1.5 %74%67%81%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %26%29%23%
Scored1.201.251.15
Conceded1.521.461.58
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Nyva Ternopil
Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDD1.28
HomeDDWLD1.32
AwayLWLDD1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%32%28%
AVG goals2.102.202.00
Over 1.5 %66%64%68%
Over 2.5 %36%40%32%
Over 3.5 %14%20%8%
Scored1.021.160.88
Conceded1.081.041.12
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Viktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya Mykolaivka515
100%
3.0
91+8
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.80.2
-
2SK PoltavaSK Poltava612
50%
2.0
81+7
1.5
50%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.30.2
-
3OleksandriaOleksandria511
60%
2.2
115+6
3.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3132.21.0
-
4KulykivKulykiv510
60%
2.0
116+5
3.4
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
5InhuletsInhulets68
33%
1.3
79-2
2.7
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.5
-
6PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia57
40%
1.4
86+2
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.2
-
7Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv57
40%
1.4
66+0
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.21.2
-
8Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk57
40%
1.4
59-4
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.8
-
9UCSAUCSA56
20%
1.2
88+0
3.2
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.6
-
10Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil56
20%
1.2
55+0
2.0
80%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
11Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'56
40%
1.2
68-2
2.8
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.6
-
12Kolos Kovalivka IIKolos Kovalivka II66
33%
1.0
48-4
2.0
50%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
13ChernihivChernihiv54
0%
0.8
56-1
2.2
80%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.2
-
14Lokomotiv KyivLokomotiv Kyiv63
0%
0.5
48-4
2.0
50%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15Polissya IIPolissya II52
0%
0.4
69-3
3.0
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.8
-
16Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka52
0%
0.4
412-8
3.2
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.82.4
-
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →

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