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UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada Result & Analysis

Date: 27/10/2024
Time: 10:00
Final 2-1
UE Santa Coloma
UE Santa Coloma
Vs
42%
30%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UE Santa Coloma win✓ Hit
42.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada win✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-701L02L07L05L00D01L20W22D01L23LA·FC 31/07H·RĪG08/08A·RĪG14/08A·VIK22/08H·VIK29/08H·FC 15/09A·ORD22/09A·PAS28/09H·RAN06/10A·INT20/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.071.330.731.531.40
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (16)1.001.440.880.751.122.12
vs Weaker (12)2.250.422.170.332.330.50
Clean sheet %50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L41W32W20W13L00D31W41W12L00DH·FC 21/04A·ATL28/04H·ESP05/05A·CAR12/05H·INT19/05H·ATL15/09A·LA 22/09H·ESP29/09A·FC 06/10H·ORD20/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.231.711.291.691.15
vs Stronger (14)0.791.860.671.781.002.00
vs Similar (13)2.690.693.000.862.330.50
vs Weaker (3)1.670.672.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (UE Santa Coloma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.5%
2-1 ✓
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.0%
UE Santa Coloma goals ↓
Penya Encarnada goals →
01234
010%8.3%5.0%1.7%0.5%
111%14%6.7%2.3%0.6%
28.3%8.6%4.5%1.6%0.4%
33.7%3.9%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.2%1.3%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = UE Santa Coloma goals (down), columns = Penya Encarnada goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.30
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.07
FC Santa Coloma
1.93
UE Santa Coloma
1.81
Ranger's
1.78
Penya Encarnada
1.26
Ordino
1.22
Pas de la Casa
1.07
Esperança d'Andorra
0.36
La Massana
0.19
City Escaldes
0.00
UE Santa Coloma is 0.56 points better than Penya Encarnada in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 1.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
3.11
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.59
Ranger's
2.19
UE Santa Coloma
2.07
FC Santa Coloma
1.56
Pas de la Casa
1.30
Ordino
1.19
Penya Encarnada
1.19
Esperança d'Andorra
0.57
La Massana
0.37
City Escaldes
0.00
UE Santa Coloma is 0.89 goals better than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals scored per game (2.07 vs 1.19).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0.70
Ranger's
0.74
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0.81
UE Santa Coloma
0.89
FC Santa Coloma
1.04
Pas de la Casa
1.33
Penya Encarnada
1.59
Ordino
1.78
City Escaldes
2.00
Esperança d'Andorra
3.29
La Massana
3.78
UE Santa Coloma is 0.70 goals better than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D02L05L01L00D00D10W21W01L11DA·FC 31/07H·RĪG08/08A·RĪG14/08A·VIK22/08H·VIK29/08H·FC 15/09A·ORD22/09A·PAS28/09H·RAN06/10A·INT20/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.530.530.470.930.60
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (16)0.440.750.380.500.501.00
vs Weaker (12)1.250.170.830.171.670.17
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W00D10W12L10W31W01L00DA·UE 13/04H·FC 21/04A·ATL28/04H·ESP05/05A·CAR12/05H·INT19/05A·LA 22/09H·ESP29/09A·FC 06/10H·ORD20/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.430.690.560.640.29
vs Stronger (13)0.380.770.380.880.400.60
vs Similar (14)0.930.211.000.290.860.14
vs Weaker (3)0.670.001.000.000.500.00
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (UE Santa Coloma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D02L04L00D01L10W01L00D12LA·FC 31/07H·RĪG08/08A·RĪG14/08A·VIK22/08H·VIK29/08H·FC 15/09A·ORD22/09A·PAS28/09H·RAN06/10A·INT20/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.800.270.600.80
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (16)0.560.690.500.250.621.12
vs Weaker (12)1.000.251.330.170.670.33
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D14L31W32W10W01L21W10W11D00DA·UE 13/04H·FC 21/04A·ATL28/04H·ESP05/05A·CAR12/05H·INT19/05A·LA 22/09H·ESP29/09A·FC 06/10H·ORD20/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.831.120.811.000.86
vs Stronger (13)0.461.230.381.120.601.40
vs Similar (14)1.640.502.000.571.290.43
vs Weaker (3)1.000.671.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (UE Santa Coloma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
PDL (5)
€1m
CE (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
PDL (1)
€0m
CE (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
CE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
PDL (3)
€0m
CE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
USC wins
4
Draws
1
PE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada · H/A from USC
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/24HUSC Vs Penya Encarnada1-1
18/02/24APenya Encarnada Vs USC0-0
25/11/23APenya Encarnada Vs USC1-2
16/04/23APenya Encarnada Vs USC4-1
29/01/23APenya Encarnada Vs USC1-1
06/11/22APenya Encarnada Vs USC0-2
18/09/22APenya Encarnada Vs USC1-1

UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs USC3-2
06/10/24HUSC Vs Ranger's0-1
28/09/24APas de la Casa Vs USC2-2
22/09/24AOrdino Vs USC0-2
15/09/24HUSC Vs FC Santa Coloma0-1
29/08/24HUSC Vs Vikingur Reykjavik0-0
22/08/24AVikingur Reykjavik Vs USC5-0
14/08/24ARīgas FS Vs USC7-0
08/08/24HUSC Vs Rīgas FS0-2
31/07/24AFC Midtjylland Vs USC1-0

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24HPE Vs Ordino0-0
06/10/24AFC Santa Coloma Vs PE2-1
29/09/24HPE Vs Esperança d'Andorra4-1
22/09/24ALa Massana Vs PE1-3
15/09/24HPE Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes0-0
19/05/24HPE Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes1-3
12/05/24ACarroi Vs PE0-2
05/05/24HPE Vs Esperança d'Andorra3-2
28/04/24AAtlètic Amèrica Vs PE1-4
21/04/24HPE Vs FC Santa Coloma2-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

UE Santa Coloma
UE Santa Coloma
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL1.74
HomeLLDLL1.58
AwayLLWDL1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%42%58%
AVG goals2.662.382.96
Over 1.5 %74%73%75%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %26%19%33%
Scored1.621.581.67
Conceded1.040.811.29
BTTS42%38%46%
Clean Sheet42%46%38%
Corners9.5010.009.00
Cards4.254.004.50
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLD1.48
HomeWLDWD1.44
AwayDWWWL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%37%43%
AVG goals2.762.702.83
Over 1.5 %78%78%78%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %30%30%30%
Scored1.521.521.52
Conceded1.241.191.30
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet28%30%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2762
67%
2.3
8419+65
3.8
81%
70%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2123.10.7
-
2Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2756
59%
2.1
7022+48
3.4
74%
67%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.60.8
-
3FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2752
59%
1.9
4228+14
2.6
67%
44%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.61.0
-
4UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2749
52%
1.8
5624+32
3.0
78%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.9
-
5RangerRanger's2748
48%
1.8
5920+39
2.9
70%
48%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.20.7
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2734
33%
1.3
3243-11
2.8
63%
44%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.21.6
-
7OrdinoOrdino2733
33%
1.2
3248-16
3.0
85%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
8Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa2729
30%
1.1
3536-1
2.6
70%
56%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.3
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2810
7%
0.4
1692-76
3.9
89%
68%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.63.3
-
10La MassanaLa Massana275
4%
0.2
10102-92
4.1
93%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.43.8
-
11City EscaldesCity Escaldes10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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