PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Ulytau vs Taraz Result & Analysis

Date: 05/09/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 4-1
Ulytau
Ulytau
Vs
55%
26%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Taraz
Taraz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ulytau win✓ Hit
54.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Taraz win✗ Miss
19.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

UlytauUlytau

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-641W21W11D12L00D32W60W20W40W21WA·ARY28/06H·ALT04/07A·YAS11/07A·SPO18/07H·KAS26/07A·KHA02/08H·AKT08/08H·OKZ15/08A·ALT22/08H·YAS29/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.961.001.920.832.001.17
vs Stronger (2)2.001.503.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (20)1.701.051.400.902.001.20
vs Weaker (2)4.500.006.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %29% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TarazTaraz

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L20W11D01L21W10W30W12L21W01LA·KAS20/06H·AKT27/06H·ZHE12/07H·KHA17/07A·AKZ26/07H·KAI01/08H·ARY08/08A·ALT15/08A·SD 23/08H·SPO29/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.031.350.941.311.15
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (28)1.361.041.400.931.311.15
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulytau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.0%
Under 1.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.7%
Under 2.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.8%
No
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
Ulytau goals ↓
Taraz goals →
01234
07.5%5.2%3.1%1.0%0.2%
110%12%5.4%1.8%0.4%
210%9.8%4.8%1.6%0.4%
35.9%5.8%2.8%0.9%0.2%
42.6%2.6%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ulytau goals (down), columns = Taraz goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.28
Ulytau
2.17
Kaspiy
2.10
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.82
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.46
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.36
SD Family
1.11
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.79
Yassy Turkistan
0.76
Arys
0.68
Kyran
0.43
Aktobe Jas
0.41
Ulytau is 0.71 points better than Taraz in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 1.46).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sport Academy Kairat
2.66
Ulytau
2.41
Kaspiy
2.28
Okzhetpes
2.14
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.93
SD Family
1.89
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.32
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.11
Arys
1.00
Yassy Turkistan
0.97
Aktobe Jas
0.86
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.82
Kyran
0.57
Ulytau is 1.09 goals better than Taraz in terms of goals scored per game (2.41 vs 1.32).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.55
Ulytau
1.00
Kaspiy
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.07
Taraz
1.21
Zhetisay
1.28
Ekibastuz
1.29
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.32
Sport Academy Kairat
1.52
Akzhayik
1.71
Kaisar II
2.00
Arys
2.29
SD Family
2.29
Yassy Turkistan
2.45
Kyran
2.57
Aktobe Jas
2.59
Ulytau is 0.21 goals better than Taraz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.21).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

UlytauUlytau

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W01L01L00D11D30W20W00D10WA·ARY28/06H·ALT04/07A·YAS11/07A·SPO18/07H·KAS26/07A·KHA02/08H·AKT08/08H·OKZ15/08A·ALT22/08H·YAS29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.381.080.170.580.58
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.750.400.900.200.600.60
vs Weaker (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %62% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TarazTaraz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D00D10W10W10W11D01L00DA·KAS20/06H·AKT27/06H·ZHE12/07H·KHA17/07A·AKZ26/07H·KAI01/08H·ARY08/08A·ALT15/08A·SD 23/08H·SPO29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.530.410.540.69
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (28)0.570.500.600.330.540.69
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulytau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ulytau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

UlytauUlytau

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W11D10W11D00D21W30W00D40W11DA·ARY28/06H·ALT04/07A·YAS11/07A·SPO18/07H·KAS26/07A·KHA02/08H·AKT08/08H·OKZ15/08A·ALT22/08H·YAS29/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.120.620.830.671.420.58
vs Stronger (2)1.501.002.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.950.650.500.701.400.60
vs Weaker (2)2.500.003.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %46% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TarazTaraz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W00D01L11D00D20W01L20W01LA·KAS20/06H·AKT27/06H·ZHE12/07H·KHA17/07A·AKZ26/07H·KAI01/08H·ARY08/08A·ALT15/08A·SD 23/08H·SPO29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.500.820.530.770.46
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (28)0.790.540.800.600.770.46
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulytau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ulytau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
ULY wins
0
Draws
0
TAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ulytau vs Taraz · H/A from ULY
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/24ATaraz Vs ULY1-2

UlytauUlytau

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/24HULY Vs Yassy Turkistan2-1
22/08/24AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs ULY0-4
15/08/24HULY Vs Okzhetpes2-0
08/08/24HULY Vs Aktobe Jas6-0
02/08/24AKhan Tengri Vs ULY2-3
26/07/24HULY Vs Kaspiy0-0
18/07/24ASport Academy Kairat Vs ULY2-1
11/07/24AYassy Turkistan Vs ULY1-1
04/07/24HULY Vs Altay (Kazakhstan)2-1
28/06/24AArys Vs ULY1-4

TarazTaraz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/24HTAR Vs Sport Academy Kairat0-1
23/08/24ASD Family Vs TAR1-2
15/08/24AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs TAR2-1
08/08/24HTAR Vs Arys3-0
01/08/24HTAR Vs Kaisar II1-0
26/07/24AAkzhayik Vs TAR1-2
17/07/24HTAR Vs Khan Tengri0-1
12/07/24HTAR Vs Zhetisay1-1
27/06/24HTAR Vs Aktobe Jas2-0
20/06/24AKaspiy Vs TAR3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ulytau
Ulytau
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.00
HomeWDWWW2.08
AwayWDLWW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%67%58%
AVG goals2.962.753.17
Over 1.5 %83%75%92%
Over 2.5 %62%58%67%
Over 3.5 %29%25%33%
Scored1.961.922.00
Conceded1.000.831.17
BTTS58%50%67%
Clean Sheet29%33%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Taraz
Taraz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.40
HomeDLWWL1.59
AwayWLWLW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%35%
AVG goals2.942.962.91
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %60%63%57%
Over 3.5 %28%30%26%
Scored1.361.561.13
Conceded1.581.411.78
BTTS56%63%48%
Clean Sheet18%22%13%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2966
72%
2.3
6216+46
2.7
69%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2112.10.6
-
2UlytauUlytau2963
69%
2.2
7029+41
3.4
90%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.0
-
3KaspiyKaspiy2961
66%
2.1
6629+37
3.3
83%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.31.0
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2960
66%
2.1
7744+33
4.2
83%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.5
-
5Khan TengriKhan Tengri2855
61%
2.0
5530+25
3.0
68%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2851
57%
1.8
5436+18
3.2
89%
82%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
7ZhetisayZhetisay2951
52%
1.8
5137+14
3.0
76%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
-
8TarazTaraz2841
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.5
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
9Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2838
39%
1.4
3137-6
2.4
71%
54%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
10SD FamilySD Family2831
32%
1.1
5364-11
4.2
96%
89%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.3
-
11AkzhayikAkzhayik2824
25%
0.9
2448-24
2.6
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
12Kaisar IIKaisar II2822
18%
0.8
2356-33
2.8
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
13Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2922
17%
0.8
2871-43
3.4
97%
66%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
14ArysArys2819
18%
0.7
2864-36
3.3
82%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.3
-
15Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2912
10%
0.4
2575-50
3.4
90%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
16KyranKyran73
14%
0.4
418-14
3.1
57%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches