Unia Skierniewice enter the match after a win, yet the model still favours an away win for Stal Rzeszów, assigning a 57 % chance to that outcome against a 20 % home win and a 23 % draw. The expected total is 3.1 goals, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at about 11 % probability. Unia’s home form shows they average 1.14 goals scored and 1.57 conceded against stronger opponents, while Stal’s away record against this tier is not detailed but the model leans heavily on their superiority. The suggested selections span a range of probabilities: Away under 2.5 HT goals98.5 %, Under 7.598.5 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals97.5 %, Home under 3.5 goals97.2 % with an 11 % edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals96.5 %, Under 6.595.9 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals95.7 % with a 6 % edge, and Away +2 handicap 92.2 % with a 19 % edge. These figures highlight the model’s confidence that Stal will win while the match will likely stay below four total goals.
Results analysis
Unia Skierniewice, after a recent defeat, struggled again at home as Stal Rzeszów secured a 0-1 victory, extending their winning run. The model’s favourite, an away win, was correct, and the final score matched the predicted outcome. The model’s selection of an away win carried a 57% probability, while the expected total of 3.1 goals was not reached. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 (98.5%) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (97.3%) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.9%) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.4%) hit, Under 6.5 (95.8%) hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.1%) hit, and Away under 1.5 HT goals (90.1%) hit. All probabilities were expressed as percentages and each figure was mentioned only once.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Unia Skierniewice win✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied 48.0% · @ 1.90
Edge
-28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
SBO
1.93
Unibet
1.93
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.64
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.01
Betfair
3.80
10Bet
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
Marathonbet
3.68
Stal Rzeszów win✓ Hit
57.4%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.39
Edge
+30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.70
Pinnacle
3.59
Betano
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
1xBet
3.48
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Unia Skierniewice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.44
1.00
1.43
1.00
1.50
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
1.44
1.00
1.43
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
22% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stal Rzeszów
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.93
1.00
1.87
1.47
2.00
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.50
1.00
3.50
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (26)
1.23
1.85
1.00
1.62
1.46
2.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Unia Skierniewice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.2%
@ 1.13+1.1%
Under 1.5
16.8%
@ 5.16-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.34
BetVictor
5.25
Marathonbet
5.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.9%
@ 1.49-1.1%
Under 2.5
39.1%
@ 2.44+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Unibet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
BetVictor
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.60
Pinnacle
2.55
10Bet
2.50
Betano
2.47
1xBet
2.41
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.6%
@ 2.23-3.1%
Under 3.5
61.4%
@ 1.59+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Unibet
2.28
Bet365
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.21
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Betfair
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.5%
@ 1.45-4.0%
No
40.5%
@ 2.52+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Unibet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
No
Betfair
2.60
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.56
BetVictor
2.55
Marathonbet
2.51
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%@ 7.04+4.4%
1-2
9.9%@ 10.83+5.8%
0-2
8.8%@ 20.52+6.7%
0-1 ✓
7.7%@ 14.00+4.6%
1-3
6.7%@ 22.80+4.7%
0-3
6.0%@ 42.28+4.9%
2-2
5.5%@ 10.21+1.2%
2-1
5.5%@ 7.76-0.3%
Unia Skierniewice goals ↓
Stal Rzeszów goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
7.7%
8.8%
6.0%
3.0%
1
3.8%
11%
9.9%
6.7%
3.4%
2
2.7%
5.5%
5.5%
3.7%
1.9%
3
1.0%
2.0%
2.1%
1.4%
0.7%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Unia Skierniewice goals (down), columns = Stal Rzeszów goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Miedz Legnica
2.17
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.83
Arka Gdynia
1.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Warta Poznań
1.50
Pogoń Siedlce
1.33
Stal Mielec
1.33
Odra Opole
1.33
Nieciecza
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.83
Unia Skierniewice is 0.17 points better than Stal Rzeszów in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Warta Poznań
1.83
Stal Mielec
1.83
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Miedz Legnica
1.67
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.67
ŁKS Łódź
1.67
Arka Gdynia
1.50
Nieciecza
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.33
Pogoń Siedlce
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.83
Unia Skierniewice
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.67
Ruch Chorzów
0.50
Unia Skierniewice is 0.17 goals better than Stal Rzeszów in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 0.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.83
Chrobry Głogów
0.83
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.83
ŁKS Łódź
0.83
Pogoń Siedlce
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Polonia Warszawa
1.33
Unia Skierniewice
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.67
Nieciecza
1.67
Podbeskidzie
1.67
Lechia Gdansk
1.83
Stal Rzeszów
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.17
Polonia Bytom
2.50
Unia Skierniewice is 0.50 goals better than Stal Rzeszów in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Unia Skierniewice or Draw✗ Miss
42.6%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.26
Edge
-30.7%
19%
23%
57%
covers Unia Skierniewice + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Unia Skierniewice or Stal Rzeszów✓ Hit
76.9%
Avg Implied 75.5% · @ 1.22
Edge
+1.3%
19%
23%
57%
covers Unia Skierniewice + Stal Rzeszów
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.20
Draw or Stal Rzeszów✓ Hit
80.6%
Avg Implied 51.2% · @ 1.80
Edge
+29.4%
19%
23%
57%
covers Draw + Stal Rzeszów
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.88
Betano
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Betfair
1.83
10Bet
1.80
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Unia Skierniewice over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
67.3%
@ 1.12-15.5%
Under
32.7%
@ 5.40+15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.30
Betano
5.10
Unia Skierniewice over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.8%
@ 1.65-25.3%
Under
69.2%
@ 2.11+25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
Superbet
1.66
Unibet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Under
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.12
Unia Skierniewice over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 2.97-20.8%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.35+20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.05
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Marathonbet
2.97
Under
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
Unia Skierniewice over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 5.92-13.0%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.11+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Betano
5.60
1xBet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.08
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.9%
@ 1.27+13.6%
Under
13.1%
@ 3.47-13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
Under
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.57
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
60.2%
@ 2.31+20.3%
Under
39.8%
@ 1.53-20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
Bet365
2.38
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Under
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
BetVictor
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
33.1%
@ 5.35+15.8%
Under
66.9%
@ 1.12-15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
BetVictor
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Superbet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Stal Rzeszów over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.8%
@ 12.25+7.1%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.03-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Unia Skierniewice, so a minus line means Unia Skierniewice give that many goals of a start and Stal Rzeszów receive them. At -1, Unia Skierniewice must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Unia Skierniewice win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Unia Skierniewice)Actual: Stal Rzeszów
Unia Skierniewice -2
2.3%
@ 6.15-12.3%
Draw -2
5.4%
@ 5.55-10.8%
Stal Rzeszów +2
92.3%
@ 1.30+23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.25
Superbet
6.20
Bet365
6.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.40
Away
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
Handicap -1 (Unia Skierniewice)Actual: Stal Rzeszów
Unia Skierniewice -1
7.7%
@ 3.15-20.3%
Draw -1
11.8%
@ 3.89-10.8%
Stal Rzeszów +1
80.6%
@ 1.78+31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.14
Betfair
3.10
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Away
Betfair
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Handicap +1 (Unia Skierniewice)Actual: Draw
Unia Skierniewice +1
42.6%
@ 1.26-28.7%
Draw +1
22.2%
@ 5.63+6.3%
Stal Rzeszów -1
35.3%
@ 7.00+22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.55
Superbet
5.35
Away
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
7.20
Superbet
6.30
Handicap +2 (Unia Skierniewice)Actual: Unia Skierniewice
Unia Skierniewice +2
64.7%
@ 1.07-21.9%
Draw +2
17.7%
@ 11.00+9.3%
Stal Rzeszów -2
17.5%
@ 19.00+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Unia Skierniewice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
0.44
0.71
0.57
1.00
0.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
0.44
0.71
0.57
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
56% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stal Rzeszów
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.47
0.60
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.58
0.54
0.38
0.46
0.77
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Unia Skierniewice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.8%
@ 1.23-6.2%
Under 0.5
31.2%
@ 3.70+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
1xBet
4.00
BetVictor
3.75
William Hil
3.75
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.5%
@ 2.15-8.6%
Under 1.5
65.5%
@ 1.62+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Under
10Bet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.0%
@ 4.66-7.9%
Under 2.5
88.0%
@ 1.16+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
William Hil
4.75
Superbet
4.60
Betano
4.50
Under
1xBet
1.17
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Unia Skierniewice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
53.4%
@ 1.63-3.6%
Under
46.6%
@ 2.16+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.63
Superbet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.12
Betano
2.07
Unia Skierniewice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 4.00-10.3%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.20+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
4.00
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
Unia Skierniewice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 10.25-6.0%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.03+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.4%
@ 2.05-5.8%
Under
60.6%
@ 1.69+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.14
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
1.96
Under
1xBet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
Superbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 6.24-4.9%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.08+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.85
Superbet
6.30
Betano
5.90
1xBet
5.90
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 16.00-3.8%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Unia Skierniewice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.22
1.00
0.29
0.86
0.00
1.50
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
1.00
0.29
0.86
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stal Rzeszów
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.33
0.53
1.27
0.80
1.40
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.65
1.31
0.62
1.15
0.69
1.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Unia Skierniewice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.1%
@ 1.13-3.9%
Under 0.5
21.9%
@ 5.17+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Under
1xBet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
4.85
Betano
4.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.4%
@ 1.71-8.8%
Under 1.5
54.6%
@ 2.02+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.5%
@ 3.10-12.4%
Under 2.5
82.5%
@ 1.32+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.20
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.90
Under
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Unia Skierniewice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
57.9%
@ 1.43-7.0%
Under
42.1%
@ 2.64+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.70
Betano
2.65
Superbet
2.57
Unia Skierniewice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.4%
@ 2.98-11.5%
Under
80.6%
@ 1.33+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.08
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.85
Under
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Unia Skierniewice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 7.23-7.9%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.06+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
8.00
1xBet
7.50
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.5%
@ 1.71-3.6%
Under
49.5%
@ 2.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.04
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.5%
@ 4.50-5.0%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.16+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
Superbet
4.60
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 11.50-4.6%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.5%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.3%
1.11
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.08
-
+13.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.8%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.0%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.16
1xBet
1.17
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.20
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+10.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
86.9%
1.27
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
+13.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
85.2%
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-7.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.5%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.2%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+1.1%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.5%
1.32
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
-
+12.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.6%
1.33
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
-
+11.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
79.0%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.1%
1.13
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
-
-3.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.20
+1.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
POD (5)
€1m
US (3)
€0m
Unia Skierniewice's squad is €3m less valuable than Stal Rzeszów's (€0m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
POD (1)
€0m
WP (0)
€0m
US (0)
€0m
Unia Skierniewice's attack is €1m less valuable than Stal Rzeszów's (€0m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (3)
€5m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
US (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Unia Skierniewice and Stal Rzeszów have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
US (1)
€0m
Unia Skierniewice's defence is €1m less valuable than Stal Rzeszów's (€0m vs €1m).
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →
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Miedz Legnica
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
ŁKS Łódź
Chrobry Głogów
Arka Gdynia
Polonia Warszawa
Warta Poznań
Pogoń Siedlce
Odra Opole
Stal Mielec
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
Ruch Chorzów
Puszcza Niepołomice
Polonia Bytom
Podbeskidzie