Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 Result & Analysis

Union Berlin are tipped to edge FC Schalke 04 in a tightly contested Bundesliga clash, with the model favouring a home win. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.2% chance. Union’s home form shows 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded against similar opposition, while Schalke’s away record is 1.33 scored and 1.11 conceded. The home win probability sits at 45%, the draw at 28%, and the away win also at 28%. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 79.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 79.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.6%, Under 3.5 goals at 71.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 75.2%, and Under 11.5 corners at 74.3%. Union entered the game after a 3-3 draw with Eintracht Frankfurt, while Schalke came off a 0-3 loss to FC Augsburg.

Union Berlin’s run of five matches had seen a draw, a win, two defeats and another win, and they entered the game on a shaky streak. The pre-match favourite was the home side, with a 45% chance of victory, but the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call incorrect. The model’s selection of “Home win” was therefore missed. Among the model’s other choices, “Over 19.5 fouls” hit at 79.5%, “Over 2.5 cards” hit at 79.1%, “Over 1.5” hit at 76.6%, “Under 3.5” hit at 71.1%, and “Under 5.5 cards” hit at 75.2%. The only selection that missed was “Under 11.5 corners,” with a 74.3% probability.