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Unirea Constanța vs Progresul Spartac Result & Analysis

Date: 08/04/2023
Time: 08:00
Final 0-9
Unirea Constanța
Unirea Constanța
Vs
29%
28%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Progresul Spartac
Progresul Spartac
Romania: Liga II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Unirea Constanța win✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Progresul Spartac win✓ Hit
43.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Unirea ConstanțaUnirea Constanța

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-713L10W12L02L12L06L25L03L02L27LH·MET29/10A·SLA05/11H·CSI12/11A·DUM26/11H·POL03/12A·DIN27/02A·BRA04/03H·VII12/03H·DUM18/03A·ACS01/04
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
3.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.852.650.902.000.803.30
vs Stronger (5)1.203.601.002.001.334.67
vs Similar (15)0.732.330.882.000.572.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Progresul Spartac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Progresul SpartacProgresul Spartac

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D14L22D11D03L11D22D00D13L14LA·SCM24/10H·UNI29/10A·MIN05/11H·RIP12/11A·MET26/11H·SLA03/12A·CSI25/02H·DUM04/03A·POL12/03H·BRA01/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.600.821.731.001.44
vs Stronger (7)0.862.000.601.801.502.50
vs Similar (13)0.921.381.001.670.861.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Unirea Constanța) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.7%
Under 1.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.1%
Under 2.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.0%
Under 3.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
7.8%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
Unirea Constanța goals ↓
Progresul Spartac goals →
01234
07.8%8.9%7.7%3.9%1.5%
16.7%13%9.2%4.7%1.8%
24.7%7.2%5.5%2.8%1.1%
31.9%2.8%2.2%1.1%0.4%
40.6%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Unirea Constanța goals (down), columns = Progresul Spartac goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Politehnica Iasi
2.07
Brașov Steagul Renaște
1.76
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.75
Oţelul
1.69
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.59
Concordia
1.56
Csikszereda
1.56
SCM Gloria Buzău
1.45
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.44
Unirea Dej
1.38
Unirea Slobozia
1.36
Slatina
1.36
Dumbrăviţa
1.32
ACS Sirineasa
1.28
Metaloglobus
1.26
Progresul Spartac
1.15
Minaur Baia Mare
0.88
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.76
Unirea Constanța
0.75
Ripensia Timisoara
0.68
Unirea Constanța is 0.40 points worse than Progresul Spartac in terms of average points per game (0.75 vs 1.15).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Brașov Steagul Renaște
1.96
Politehnica Iasi
1.72
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.71
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.48
Unirea Slobozia
1.48
Csikszereda
1.48
Dumbrăviţa
1.44
ACS Sirineasa
1.28
SCM Gloria Buzău
1.24
Progresul Spartac
1.22
Concordia
1.20
Metaloglobus
1.15
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.12
Unirea Dej
1.10
Oţelul
1.00
Minaur Baia Mare
0.84
Unirea Constanța
0.83
Slatina
0.80
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.72
Ripensia Timisoara
0.72
Unirea Constanța is 0.39 goals worse than Progresul Spartac in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.22).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Slatina
0.64
Politehnica Iasi
0.76
Oţelul
0.86
Concordia
0.92
Csikszereda
0.96
Brașov Steagul Renaște
1.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.03
Metaloglobus
1.07
SCM Gloria Buzău
1.10
Unirea Slobozia
1.12
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.16
Unirea Dej
1.17
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.29
Minaur Baia Mare
1.32
Progresul Spartac
1.33
Ripensia Timisoara
1.36
ACS Sirineasa
1.56
FC Politehnica Timisoara
1.60
Dumbrăviţa
1.68
Unirea Constanța
2.96
Unirea Constanța is 1.63 goals worse than Progresul Spartac in terms of goals conceded per game (2.96 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Unirea ConstanțaUnirea Constanța

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L10W10W01L12L04L13L01L01L05LH·MET29/10A·SLA05/11H·CSI12/11A·DUM26/11H·POL03/12A·DIN27/02A·BRA04/03H·VII12/03H·DUM18/03A·ACS01/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.500.400.900.202.10
vs Stronger (5)0.602.201.001.000.333.00
vs Similar (15)0.201.270.250.880.141.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Progresul Spartac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Progresul SpartacProgresul Spartac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D21W10W03L01L12L00D01L03LA·SCM24/10H·UNI29/10A·MIN05/11H·RIP12/11A·MET26/11H·SLA03/12A·CSI25/02H·DUM04/03A·POL12/03H·BRA01/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.850.270.730.561.00
vs Stronger (7)0.141.290.001.200.501.50
vs Similar (13)0.540.620.500.330.570.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Unirea Constanța) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Unirea Constanța over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unirea Constanța over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unirea Constanța over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progresul Spartac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progresul Spartac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progresul Spartac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Unirea ConstanțaUnirea Constanța

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D02L01L00D02L12L02L01L22DH·MET29/10A·SLA05/11H·CSI12/11A·DUM26/11H·POL03/12A·DIN27/02A·BRA04/03H·VII12/03H·DUM18/03A·ACS01/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.551.150.501.100.601.20
vs Stronger (5)0.601.400.001.001.001.67
vs Similar (15)0.531.070.621.120.431.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Progresul Spartac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Progresul SpartacProgresul Spartac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D14L01L01L00D10W10W00D12L11DA·SCM24/10H·UNI29/10A·MIN05/11H·RIP12/11A·MET26/11H·SLA03/12A·CSI25/02H·DUM04/03A·POL12/03H·BRA01/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.750.551.000.440.44
vs Stronger (7)0.710.710.600.601.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.380.770.501.330.290.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Unirea Constanța) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Unirea Constanța over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unirea Constanța over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unirea Constanța over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progresul Spartac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progresul Spartac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progresul Spartac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (26)
€20m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
VŞ (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (10)
€8m
OŢE (8)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (4)
€5m
CON (6)
€1m
CSI (4)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (12)
€7m
OŢE (10)
€4m
CSI (9)
€3m
SLA (9)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
UC wins
0
Draws
1
PS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Unirea Constanța vs Progresul Spartac · H/A from UC
DateH/AGameScore
13/08/22HUC Vs Progresul Spartac0-3

Unirea ConstanțaUnirea Constanța

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/04/23AACS Sirineasa Vs UC7-2
18/03/23HUC Vs Dumbrăviţa0-2
12/03/23HUC Vs Viitorul Şelimbăr0-3
04/03/23ABrașov Steagul Renaște Vs UC5-2
27/02/23ADinamo Bucuresti Vs UC6-0
03/12/22HUC Vs Politehnica Iasi1-2
26/11/22ADumbrăviţa Vs UC2-0
12/11/22HUC Vs Csikszereda1-2
05/11/22ASlatina Vs UC0-1
29/10/22HUC Vs Metaloglobus1-3

Progresul SpartacProgresul Spartac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/04/23HPS Vs Brașov Steagul Renaște1-4
12/03/23APolitehnica Iasi Vs PS3-1
04/03/23HPS Vs Dumbrăviţa0-0
25/02/23ACsikszereda Vs PS2-2
03/12/22HPS Vs Slatina1-1
26/11/22AMetaloglobus Vs PS3-0
12/11/22HPS Vs Ripensia Timisoara1-1
05/11/22AMinaur Baia Mare Vs PS2-2
29/10/22HPS Vs Unirea Slobozia1-4
24/10/22ASCM Gloria Buzău Vs PS0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Unirea Constanța
Unirea Constanța
Romania: Liga II
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.60
HomeLLLLL0.90
AwayWLLLL0.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%30%10%
AVG goals3.502.904.10
Over 1.5 %85%90%80%
Over 2.5 %75%80%70%
Over 3.5 %35%20%50%
Scored0.850.900.80
Conceded2.652.003.30
BTTS45%50%40%
Clean Sheet10%10%10%
Corners---
Cards---
Progresul Spartac
Progresul Spartac
Romania: Liga II
Recent: 0 Wins / 6 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLL0.85
HomeLDDDL0.73
AwayDDLDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%9%22%
AVG goals2.502.552.44
Over 1.5 %70%73%67%
Over 2.5 %55%55%56%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored0.900.821.00
Conceded1.601.731.44
BTTS50%64%33%
Clean Sheet25%18%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Politehnica IasiPolitehnica Iasi2960
59%
2.1
5022+28
2.5
69%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.8
-
2CSA Steaua BucureştiCSA Steaua Bucureşti2849
50%
1.8
4836+12
3.0
86%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.3
-
3OţelulOţelul2949
48%
1.7
2925+4
1.9
52%
28%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2141.00.9
-
4Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti2946
45%
1.6
4330+13
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
20
8571.51.0
-
5Brașov Steagul RenașteBrașov Steagul Renaște2544
48%
1.8
4925+24
3.0
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
6SCM Gloria BuzăuSCM Gloria Buzău2942
34%
1.4
3632+4
2.3
66%
34%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
7Unirea DejUnirea Dej2940
31%
1.4
3234-2
2.3
76%
45%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
8CsikszeredaCsikszereda2539
44%
1.6
3724+13
2.4
76%
56%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.51.0
-
9ConcordiaConcordia2539
48%
1.6
3023+7
2.1
52%
40%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.20.9
-
10Viitorul ŞelimbărViitorul Şelimbăr2536
40%
1.4
2829-1
2.3
68%
44%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
11Unirea SloboziaUnirea Slobozia2534
32%
1.4
3728+9
2.6
64%
52%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.1
-
12SlatinaSlatina2534
32%
1.4
2016+4
1.4
48%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.80.6
-
13MetaloglobusMetaloglobus2734
33%
1.3
3129+2
2.2
63%
44%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.11.1
-
14DumbrăviţaDumbrăviţa2533
40%
1.3
3642-6
3.1
84%
68%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.7
-
15ACS SirineasaACS Sirineasa2532
40%
1.3
3239-7
2.8
68%
52%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
16Progresul SpartacProgresul Spartac2731
26%
1.1
3336-3
2.6
63%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
17Minaur Baia MareMinaur Baia Mare2522
16%
0.9
2133-12
2.2
68%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.3
-
18FC Politehnica TimisoaraFC Politehnica Timisoara2519
16%
0.8
1840-22
2.3
60%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.6
-
19Unirea ConstanțaUnirea Constanța2418
25%
0.8
2071-51
3.8
83%
71%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.0
-
20Ripensia TimisoaraRipensia Timisoara2517
16%
0.7
1834-16
2.1
64%
40%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.4
-
Romania: Liga II 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →

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