United Nordic are set to host IFK Norrköping, but the model favours an away win. The probability of a home victory sits at 18 %, a draw at 24 %, and an away triumph at 58 %. The expected total goals hover around 2.8, with the most likely total being two goals at a 25 % chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 11.6 % probability. United Nordic, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.73 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. IFK Norrköping, on the road, average 1.08 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against comparable teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.2 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.0 % with a 4 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (98.4 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.6 % with a 5 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.5 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.3 % with a 5 % edge), Away +2 handicap (93.7 %), and Under 5.5 (93.3 % with a 7 % edge). United Nordic have gone unbeaten in their last five matches, while IFK Norrköping are on a five-game winning streak, adding momentum to the predicted away victory.
Results analysis
The match saw United Nordic’s recent form dip after a defeat, while IFK Norrköping continued a two-game winning streak. The model’s favourite, an away win, proved correct as the final score was 1-3 in favour of the visitors. The pre-match probability for the favoured outcome was 58 percent, and the model’s selection was right. Every suggested pick settled in the model’s favour: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.2 percent, Under 7.5 hit at 99.2 percent, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 98.4 percent, Under 6.5 hit at 97.5 percent, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.7 percent, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.4 percent, Away +2 handicap hit at 93.6 percent, and Under 5.5 hit at 93.4 percent. The model’s selections performed consistently, confirming its accuracy for this fixture.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
United Nordic win✗ Miss
17.9%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.39
Edge
-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.54
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.46
10Bet
3.45
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.57
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.72
BetVictor
3.70
10Bet
3.70
Dafabet
3.65
IFK Norrkoping win✓ Hit
57.5%
Avg Implied 47.0% · @ 1.95
Edge
+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Dafabet
2.00
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.97
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
United Nordic
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.26
1.73
1.36
1.17
1.17
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.43
1.26
1.73
1.36
1.17
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IFK Norrkoping
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
0.97
1.80
0.67
1.27
1.27
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.64
0.92
2.08
0.54
1.17
1.33
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (United Nordic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
@ 1.18-0.7%
Under 1.5
21.8%
@ 4.40+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Unibet
4.70
Pinnacle
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.4%
@ 1.61-4.8%
Under 2.5
46.6%
@ 2.24+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Under
Unibet
2.35
10Bet
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Pinnacle
2.25
Betano
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.1%
@ 2.48-6.4%
Under 3.5
68.9%
@ 1.49+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.60
BetVictor
2.60
Pinnacle
2.59
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Under
Unibet
1.56
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.0%
@ 1.53-7.3%
No
47.0%
@ 2.33+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.53
No
Unibet
2.45
Betfair
2.38
William Hil
2.38
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.34
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%@ 6.80+5.2%
0-2
10.4%@ 10.31+6.1%
0-1
10.1%@ 9.11+5.2%
1-2
9.9%@ 7.91+4.3%
0-0
7.1%@ 12.77+3.6%
0-3
6.4%@ 16.68+3.8%
1-3 ✓
6.1%@ 12.92+2.7%
2-1
5.1%@ 10.86+1.0%
United Nordic goals ↓
IFK Norrkoping goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
10%
10%
6.4%
3.0%
1
4.7%
12%
9.9%
6.1%
2.9%
2
2.7%
5.1%
4.7%
2.9%
1.4%
3
0.9%
1.6%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = United Nordic goals (down), columns = IFK Norrkoping goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
United Nordic is 0.71 points worse than IFK Norrkoping in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 2.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
United Nordic is 0.43 goals worse than IFK Norrkoping in terms of goals scored per game (1.52 vs 1.95).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
United Nordic is 0.81 goals worse than IFK Norrkoping in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 0.62).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
United Nordic is 5.9 percentage points worse than IFK Norrkoping in terms of average possession (49% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
United Nordic
For 4.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 15.0 · Total 29.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IFK Norrkoping
For 4.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 12.8 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
United Nordic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
9.1
10.8
7.0
0.8
0.8
0.8
29.8
27.5
32.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
9.1
10.8
7.0
0.8
0.8
0.8
29.8
27.5
32.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
75%
33%
9%
9%
8%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
43%
25%
67%
91%
91%
92%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IFK Norrkoping
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
12.2
9.5
2.9
2.9
2.9
27.9
29.3
26.4
vs Stronger (6)
11.3
13.7
9.0
4.8
5.3
4.3
26.0
24.7
27.3
vs Similar (39)
10.7
11.9
9.6
2.9
2.6
3.3
28.3
30.5
26.2
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
62%
81%
44%
42%
42%
42%
93%
93%
93%
% under line
38%
19%
56%
58%
58%
58%
7%
7%
7%
This opponent (United Nordic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
11.0
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.3
Ljungskile SK
10.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Orebro SK
9.4
United Nordic
9.1
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Landskrona BoIS
4.0
Osters IF
3.9
Ljungskile SK
3.8
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
Ostersunds FK
3.4
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.7
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.0
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
IK brage
24.1
Landskrona BoIS
23.9
Orebro SK
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.8
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.8%
@ 1.77-4.6%
Under 9.5
52.2%
@ 1.95+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.90
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.0%
Under 21.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
United Nordic or Draw✗ Miss
42.5%
Avg Implied 52.4% · @ 1.78
Edge
-10.0%
18%
25%
58%
covers United Nordic + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Unibet
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.80
United Nordic or IFK Norrkoping✓ Hit
75.5%
Avg Implied 74.7% · @ 1.25
Edge
+0.7%
18%
25%
58%
covers United Nordic + IFK Norrkoping
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw or IFK Norrkoping✓ Hit
82.1%
Avg Implied 72.8% · @ 1.28
Edge
+9.2%
18%
25%
58%
covers Draw + IFK Norrkoping
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
United Nordic over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
61.5%
@ 1.31-9.3%
Under
38.5%
@ 3.19+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.36
Betano
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.20
10Bet
3.20
United Nordic over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
24.8%
@ 2.49-12.7%
Under
75.2%
@ 1.49+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.62
BetVictor
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Under
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48
United Nordic over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 5.79-8.8%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.11+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
BetVictor
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
United Nordic over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 14.50-5.0%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
IFK Norrkoping over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.4%
@ 1.15+3.8%
Under
15.6%
@ 4.81-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.85
BetVictor
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.75
IFK Norrkoping over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
55.5%
@ 1.79+3.6%
Under
44.5%
@ 1.93-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.98
Marathonbet
1.96
10Bet
1.95
BetVictor
1.93
IFK Norrkoping over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
28.6%
@ 3.46+1.6%
Under
71.4%
@ 1.27-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.57
Superbet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Superbet
1.27
IFK Norrkoping over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.9%
@ 7.47-0.7%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.08+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to United Nordic, so a minus line means United Nordic give that many goals of a start and IFK Norrkoping receive them. At -1, United Nordic must win by two or more to land; a one-goal United Nordic win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (United Nordic)Actual: IFK Norrkoping
United Nordic -2
1.7%
@ 19.00-3.3%
Draw -2
4.8%
@ 10.00-4.7%
IFK Norrkoping +2
93.6%
@ 1.10+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
19.00
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
1.10
Handicap -1 (United Nordic)Actual: IFK Norrkoping
United Nordic -1
6.4%
@ 6.70-6.9%
Draw -1
11.5%
@ 5.22-5.7%
IFK Norrkoping +1
82.1%
@ 1.29+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.15
10Bet
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
Handicap +1 (United Nordic)Actual: IFK Norrkoping
United Nordic +1
42.5%
@ 1.75-8.3%
Draw +1
23.4%
@ 3.80-0.1%
IFK Norrkoping -1
34.2%
@ 3.46+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.70
Away
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
Handicap +2 (United Nordic)Actual: Draw
United Nordic +2
65.8%
@ 1.25-5.8%
Draw +2
18.0%
@ 5.70+2.3%
IFK Norrkoping -2
16.1%
@ 7.10+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Away
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.30
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
United Nordic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.48
0.64
0.55
0.50
0.42
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.48
0.64
0.55
0.50
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
65% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IFK Norrkoping
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.40
1.20
0.20
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.00
0.36
1.38
0.08
0.58
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (United Nordic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.2%
@ 1.29+0.2%
Under 0.5
27.8%
@ 3.31-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.2%
@ 2.38-0.9%
Under 1.5
61.8%
@ 1.52+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.45
Betfair
2.40
Betano
2.40
William Hil
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
13.0%
@ 5.43-4.0%
Under 2.5
87.0%
@ 1.11+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
United Nordic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
34.8%
@ 2.15-8.4%
Under
65.2%
@ 1.63+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Betano
2.12
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
United Nordic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 6.85-6.4%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.07+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.20
Marathonbet
7.20
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
United Nordic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
@ 18.50-4.4%
Under
99.2%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
IFK Norrkoping over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
51.9%
@ 1.73-2.0%
Under
48.1%
@ 2.02+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.97
IFK Norrkoping over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
20.5%
@ 4.53+0.1%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.16-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Under
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
IFK Norrkoping over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 10.62-5.2%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
United Nordic
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.78
1.09
0.82
0.67
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.78
1.09
0.82
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
48% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IFK Norrkoping
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.60
0.47
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.56
0.69
0.46
0.58
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (United Nordic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.7%
@ 1.16+1.4%
Under 0.5
19.3%
@ 4.47-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
Marathonbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.45
Superbet
4.45
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.7%
@ 1.82-5.2%
Under 1.5
54.3%
@ 1.89+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Under
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
William Hil
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.5%
@ 3.49-5.0%
Under 2.5
78.5%
@ 1.26+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
Superbet
3.55
1xBet
3.36
Marathonbet
3.36
Under
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
United Nordic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
45.3%
@ 1.78-6.5%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.92+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
United Nordic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 4.81-7.5%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.15+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.05
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
United Nordic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 11.12-5.1%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
IFK Norrkoping over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
63.2%
@ 1.49+0.9%
Under
36.8%
@ 2.45-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.46
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.40
IFK Norrkoping over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
30.8%
@ 3.27+2.5%
Under
69.2%
@ 1.29-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
IFK Norrkoping over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.4%
@ 8.13-1.0%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.04+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
93.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.4%
1.06
10Bet
1.10
Betano
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.9%
1.07
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
92.8%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
89.6%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
88.3%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
88.1%
1.08
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.0%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+4.0%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
84.5%
1.18
Unibet
1.22
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
84.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
82.1%
1.28
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
82.1%
1.29
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
-
-
+12.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.7%
1.16
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
79.5%
1.16
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-
-0.1%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.5%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.2%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.5%
1.25
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
75.2%
1.49
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48
+12.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.2%
1.34
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
-
-
+7.1%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.2%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
71.4%
1.27
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Superbet
1.27
-1.6%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
United Nordic
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kalipha Jawla50%
Lorent Mehmeti25%
Amar Eminovic25%
William Eskelinen0%
Elias Andersson0%
Niklas Söderberg0%
Teo Grönborg0%
Mohammad Fazal0%
Aziz Harabi0%
Shirko Shhab0%
Matteus Behnan0%
Christian Aphrem0%
Emanuel Swedi0%
Nhome Daneyl0%
Jonathan Gursac0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mohammad Fazal33%
Shirko Shhab33%
Jonathan Gursac33%
Teo Grönborg25%
Lorent Mehmeti25%
Matteus Behnan25%
William Eskelinen0%
Elias Andersson0%
Niklas Söderberg0%
Aziz Harabi0%
Kalipha Jawla0%
Amar Eminovic0%
Christian Aphrem0%
Emanuel Swedi0%
Nhome Daneyl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Aphrem25%
William Eskelinen0%
Elias Andersson0%
Niklas Söderberg0%
Teo Grönborg0%
Mohammad Fazal0%
Aziz Harabi0%
Lorent Mehmeti0%
Kalipha Jawla0%
Amar Eminovic0%
Shirko Shhab0%
Matteus Behnan0%
Emanuel Swedi0%
Nhome Daneyl0%
Jonathan Gursac0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Teo Grönborg25%
Kalipha Jawla25%
William Eskelinen0%
Elias Andersson0%
Niklas Söderberg0%
Mohammad Fazal0%
Aziz Harabi0%
Lorent Mehmeti0%
Amar Eminovic0%
Shirko Shhab0%
Matteus Behnan0%
Christian Aphrem0%
Emanuel Swedi0%
Nhome Daneyl0%
Jonathan Gursac0%
IFK Norrkoping
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christoffer Nyman60%
Ryan Nelson60%
Albert Aleksanjan33%
Tim Prica20%
Elias Jemal20%
Filip Dagerstål0%
Anton Eriksson0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Moutaz Neffati0%
Leo Lif0%
Noel Sernelius0%
Ture Sandberg0%
Theo Krantz0%
Axel Brönner0%
Viggo Fälth0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tim Prica20%
Christoffer Nyman20%
Ryan Nelson20%
Elias Jemal20%
Axel Brönner20%
Filip Dagerstål0%
Anton Eriksson0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Moutaz Neffati0%
Leo Lif0%
Noel Sernelius0%
Ture Sandberg0%
Theo Krantz0%
Albert Aleksanjan0%
Viggo Fälth0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Noel Sernelius80%
Ture Sandberg25%
Ryan Nelson20%
Anton Eriksson20%
Elias Jemal20%
Tim Prica0%
Filip Dagerstål0%
Christoffer Nyman0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Moutaz Neffati0%
Leo Lif0%
Theo Krantz0%
Axel Brönner0%
Albert Aleksanjan0%
Viggo Fälth0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ryan Nelson40%
Moutaz Neffati33%
Albert Aleksanjan33%
Tim Prica20%
Christoffer Nyman20%
Filip Dagerstål0%
Anton Eriksson0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Elias Jemal0%
Leo Lif0%
Noel Sernelius0%
Ture Sandberg0%
Theo Krantz0%
Axel Brönner0%
Viggo Fälth0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
United Nordic's squad is €6m less valuable than IFK Norrkoping's (€3m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
United Nordic's attack is €3m less valuable than IFK Norrkoping's (€0m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
United Nordic's midfield is €2m less valuable than IFK Norrkoping's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
United Nordic's defence is €1m less valuable than IFK Norrkoping's (€2m vs €3m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall