United Nordic hosts Ljungskile SK in a Sweden: Superettan match on August 2nd, 2026. Recent form suggests a closely contested encounter, as United Nordic has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including a 1-1 draw against Falkenbergs FF, while Ljungskile SK is coming off a defeat to Oddevold. The model predicts United Nordic to win, with a 42% chance of a home victory, 26% chance of a draw, and 33% chance of an away win.
The expected total goals is 3.2, indicating a high-scoring match. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.6% probability. United Nordic has scored an average of 1.89 goals and conceded 1.44 at home, while Ljungskile SK has scored 1.2 goals and conceded 1.4 on the road against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the Home win, with a 42% probability. The suggested picks include Under 21.5 fouls (98%) and Over 1.5 (83.4%), with a 4% edge. United Nordic has a 42% chance of winning, a 26% chance of drawing, and a 33% chance of losing.
United Nordic and Ljungskile SK played to a 2-2 draw on August 2nd in the Sweden: Superettan league. This result extends United Nordic's unbeaten run to 5 matches. The win extends their run of draws and wins, with their last 5 matches ending in DDDWD. Ljungskile SK were coming off a defeat in their previous match, after winning their last 4. The pre-match favourite, a home win, did not come through, with the model's call being incorrect. The model had predicted a home win with a 42% probability. In contrast, the model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 83.4%.
United Nordic| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.44 | 1.39 | 1.89 | 1.44 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (18) | 1.44 | 1.39 | 1.89 | 1.44 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 28% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
Ljungskile SK| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.44 | 1.31 | 1.50 | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (15) | 1.47 | 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.38 | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 12% (-13pp vs league) | |||||
| Ljungskile SK goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 12% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
United Nordic
Ljungskile SK
United Nordic| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (18) | 9.1 | 10.8 | 7.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 29.8 | 27.5 | 32.0 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (18) | 9.1 | 10.8 | 7.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 29.8 | 27.5 | 32.0 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 57% | 75% | 33% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| % under line | 43% | 25% | 67% | 89% | 89% | 89% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Ljungskile SK| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (16) | 10.2 | 8.5 | 11.6 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 26.6 | 25.0 | 27.7 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 10.0 | - | 10.0 | 3.0 | - | 3.0 | 22.0 | - | 22.0 |
| vs Similar (15) | 10.2 | 8.5 | 12.0 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 27.8 | 25.0 | 30.5 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 56% | 50% | 60% | 31% | 25% | 38% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| % under line | 44% | 50% | 40% | 69% | 75% | 62% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
United Nordic| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.44 | 0.56 | 0.67 | 0.56 | 0.22 | 0.56 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (18) | 0.44 | 0.56 | 0.67 | 0.56 | 0.22 | 0.56 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 61% (+36pp vs league) | |||||
Ljungskile SK| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.44 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.75 | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (15) | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.75 | 0.43 | 0.14 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 62% (+37pp vs league) | |||||
United Nordic| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.00 | 0.83 | 1.22 | 0.89 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (18) | 1.00 | 0.83 | 1.22 | 0.89 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
Ljungskile SK| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.00 | 0.81 | 1.00 | 0.62 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (15) | 1.00 | 0.87 | 1.00 | 0.62 | 1.00 | 1.14 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 44% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 cards | 90.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 90.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 83.4% | 1.17 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | +3.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 80.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 4.5 cards | 79.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 8.5 corners | 70.7% | 1.35 | 1.41 | 1.33 | 1.32 | - | - | +3.2% | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 | A | 0-2 |
United Nordic| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 19/07/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 27/06/26 | H | 3-3 | |
| 21/06/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 16/06/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 09/06/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 31/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 23/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 1-4 | |
| 13/05/26 | A | 1-1 |
Ljungskile SK| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 19/07/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 27/06/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 22/06/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 14/06/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 09/06/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 30/05/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 14/05/26 | H | 1-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 20 | 44 | 70% | 2.2 | 38 | 12 | +26 | 2.5 | 75% | 45% | 20% | 9.4 | 44% | 3.4 | 56% | 27.8 | 100% | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 55% |
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 20 | 35 | 50% | 1.8 | 37 | 29 | +8 | 3.3 | 90% | 70% | 40% | 9.1 | 44% | 1.8 | 11% | 20.3 | 67% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 50% |
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 19 | 34 | 53% | 1.8 | 34 | 24 | +10 | 3.1 | 79% | 68% | 42% | 7.8 | 36% | 3.9 | 64% | 30.8 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 47% |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 20 | 34 | 45% | 1.7 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 2.5 | 75% | 40% | 25% | 8.7 | 44% | 3.3 | 56% | 25.7 | 100% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 53% |
| 5 | United Nordic | 20 | 32 | 40% | 1.6 | 31 | 27 | +4 | 2.9 | 85% | 45% | 35% | 9.1 | 57% | 2.7 | 29% | 29.8 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 50% |
| 6 | Landskrona BoIS | 20 | 30 | 40% | 1.5 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 2.4 | 70% | 40% | 20% | 10.1 | 43% | 3.7 | 43% | 28.2 | 75% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 58% |
| 7 | Oddevold | 20 | 29 | 35% | 1.4 | 33 | 28 | +5 | 3.0 | 75% | 60% | 45% | 10.1 | 50% | 2.4 | 22% | 25.4 | 100% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 50% |
| 8 | Osters IF | 19 | 29 | 47% | 1.5 | 30 | 29 | +1 | 3.1 | 74% | 68% | 42% | 11.8 | 89% | 2.9 | 33% | 24.5 | 100% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 50% |
| 9 | Sandviken | 20 | 26 | 35% | 1.3 | 33 | 30 | +3 | 3.1 | 75% | 65% | 40% | 9.6 | 33% | 2.4 | 11% | 23.0 | 67% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 55% |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 20 | 25 | 35% | 1.2 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 3.6 | 95% | 70% | 50% | 9.8 | 75% | 5.0 | 80% | 26.0 | 100% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 45% |
| 11 | Ljungskile SK | 20 | 24 | 30% | 1.2 | 27 | 27 | +0 | 2.7 | 65% | 50% | 40% | 10.2 | 56% | 3.8 | 50% | 26.6 | 100% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 51% |
| 12 | Norrby IF | 20 | 23 | 20% | 1.1 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 2.6 | 80% | 45% | 35% | 7.3 | 33% | 2.3 | 33% | 21.5 | 50% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 44% |
| 13 | IK brage | 20 | 21 | 25% | 1.1 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 3.6 | 80% | 75% | 50% | 8.8 | 38% | 4.2 | 67% | 27.3 | 100% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 48% |
| 14 | IFK Varnamo | 20 | 19 | 25% | 0.9 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 3.1 | 75% | 60% | 45% | 8.2 | 22% | 2.9 | 22% | 24.3 | 67% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 53% |
| 15 | Orebro SK | 19 | 16 | 16% | 0.8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 2.6 | 68% | 47% | 32% | 9.5 | 50% | 3.0 | 38% | 23.3 | 67% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 50% |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 19 | 10 | 16% | 0.5 | 14 | 43 | -29 | 3.0 | 74% | 63% | 37% | 9.8 | 67% | 2.6 | 22% | 20.5 | 50% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 41% |