United Nordic vs Ostersunds FK Result & Analysis

United Nordic are the clear favourites, with a 52% chance of victory, 25% for a draw and 23% for Ostersunds FK to win. The model projects an average of three goals, but the most likely total is two, a 23% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.6% chance. United Nordic’s home form shows they average 1.83 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against similar opposition, while Ostersunds FK, playing away, averages only 0.64 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 91.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 86.2%, Over 1.5 at 81.6%, Under 4.5 cards at 81.3%, Under 11.5 corners at 75.5% and Over 21.5 fouls at 74.6%. United Nordic’s recent run of LWWDD, ending with a 1-3 loss to IFK Norrköping, contrasts with Ostersunds FK’s unbeaten streak of DDWDW, highlighted by a 1-1 draw against Landskrona BoIS.

The pre-match favourite United Nordic, tipped for a home win with a 52% probability, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. The game saw United Nordic’s recent form dip after a defeat, while Ostersunds FK remained unbeaten in their last five outings. The model’s other selections performed largely as expected: Under 5.5 cards (91.5%) hit, Over 19.5 fouls (86.2%) hit, Over 1.5 (81.6%) hit, Under 4.5 cards (81.3%) hit, Over 21.5 fouls (74.6%) hit, but Under 11.5 corners (75.5%) missed. The final score of 1-1 confirmed the draw, contradicting the home win prediction.