Univer Comrat is coming off a win, having defeated Zimbru II 4-2 in their last match. This momentum could be a significant factor in their upcoming encounter against Iskra. The Pythia prediction model suggests that Univer Comrat will win this match, with a 41% chance of a home win and a 36% chance of an away win, with a 23% probability of a draw.
The expected total number of goals in this match is 3.9, indicating a high-scoring encounter. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 8.6%. Univer Comrat's home form is relatively balanced, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 2.8 goals per match against similar opponents. Iskra, on the other hand, has scored 1.8 goals and conceded 2.1 goals per match when playing away against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the home win, with Univer Comrat's suggested picks including Over 1.5 (90.6%), Over 2.5 (74.2%), and BTTS Yes (73.9%). Univer Comrat has a 41% chance of winning, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 36% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The win for Iskra extends their run of consecutive victories, with Univer Comrat's winning streak coming to an end. The final score was 0-2 in favour of the away team. The pre-match favourite, Univer Comrat, did not come through, with the model's selection of Home win ultimately being wrong. The model's call was incorrect, as Iskra secured the win.
The model's selection of Home win had a pre-match probability of 41%. The model's selection of Over 1.5 had a probability of 90.6% and HIT, while the model's selection of Over 2.5 had a probability of 74.2% but MISSED. The model's selection of BTTS Yes had a probability of 73.9% but MISSED.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Univer Comrat win✗ Miss
41.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Iskra win✓ Hit
36.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Univer Comrat
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.74
2.00
1.85
2.00
1.60
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
1.25
2.00
0.67
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (7)
1.00
2.57
1.33
2.33
0.75
2.75
vs Weaker (12)
2.58
1.42
2.29
2.14
3.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
26% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iskra
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.70
1.57
1.43
1.38
1.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.50
-
-
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (15)
1.73
1.67
1.86
1.57
1.62
1.75
vs Weaker (13)
1.38
1.62
1.29
1.29
1.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.6%
Under 1.5
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
74.2%
Under 2.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.0%
Under 3.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
73.9%
No
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-3
4.5%
Univer Comrat goals ↓
Iskra goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.9%
3.1%
3.7%
2.3%
1.1%
1
3.4%
8.6%
7.3%
4.6%
2.1%
2
4.2%
7.8%
7.3%
4.5%
2.1%
3
2.8%
5.2%
4.9%
3.0%
1.4%
4
1.4%
2.6%
2.4%
1.5%
0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Univer Comrat goals (down), columns = Iskra goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Spartanii Selemet
1.78
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Univer Comrat is 0.07 points worse than Iskra in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.32
Univer Comrat
2.00
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Univer Comrat is 0.07 goals better than Iskra in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.93).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.49
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Univer Comrat is 0.25 goals better than Iskra in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.93).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Univer Comrat
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
0.77
1.00
0.75
0.70
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (7)
0.43
1.43
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.75
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
0.45
1.33
0.83
1.20
0.00
Clean sheet %
45% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iskra
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.86
0.64
0.75
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.53
0.71
0.57
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (13)
1.00
0.92
1.00
0.71
1.00
1.17
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Univer Comrat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Univer Comrat
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.95
1.17
1.08
1.30
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
0.75
1.67
0.33
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
0.57
1.14
0.33
1.33
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
1.55
0.91
1.33
1.33
1.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
41% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iskra
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.97
0.71
0.79
0.62
1.12
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
-
-
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (15)
1.00
1.13
1.14
1.00
0.88
1.25
vs Weaker (13)
0.38
0.69
0.29
0.57
0.50
0.83
Clean sheet %
50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Univer Comrat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
BTTS Yes
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →