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Univer Comrat vs Sheriff II Result & Analysis

Date: 03/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Univer Comrat
Univer Comrat
Vs
39%
25%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sheriff II
Sheriff II
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Univer Comrat win✗ Miss
39.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II win✗ Miss
35.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Univer ComratUniver Comrat

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L13L41W20W14L21W14L02L04L31WA·SHE26/09H·FC 04/10H·OLI18/10A·FĂL25/10H·SIR01/11H·SHE07/11A·FC 22/11H·OLI06/03H·ZIM13/03A·FĂL21/03
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.781.901.702.121.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.502.172.001.331.003.00
vs Weaker (12)2.251.581.861.862.801.20
Clean sheet %28% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff IISheriff II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W02L12L11D41W12L13L02L04L20WH·UNI26/09A·SIR03/10H·FC 17/10A·OLI24/10H·FĂL31/10A·UNI07/11H·SIR22/11H·OGU07/03A·FCM13/03H·VIC21/03
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.332.131.331.471.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.361.361.710.710.752.50
vs Weaker (19)2.051.322.501.881.730.91
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.9%
Under 1.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.0%
Under 2.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.8%
Under 3.5
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.7%
No
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
Univer Comrat goals ↓
Sheriff II goals →
01234
05.1%5.3%5.0%2.6%1.0%
15.6%11%8.1%4.2%1.7%
25.5%8.6%6.7%3.5%1.4%
33.0%4.7%3.6%1.9%0.7%
41.2%1.9%1.5%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Univer Comrat goals (down), columns = Sheriff II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Sireți
2.33
Floreşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
Sheriff II
0.95
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Olimp Comrat
0.68
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Univer Comrat is 0.77 points better than Sheriff II in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 0.95).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sireți
3.47
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Univer Comrat
2.00
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Sheriff II
1.05
Univer Comrat is 0.95 goals better than Sheriff II in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.05).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Sireți
1.33
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Sheriff II
1.68
Univer Comrat
1.68
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Olimp Comrat
2.82
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Univer Comrat and Sheriff II are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.68).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Univer ComratUniver Comrat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D01L21W00D12L10W03L02L30WA·SIR17/09A·SHE26/09H·FC 04/10H·OLI18/10A·FĂL25/10H·SIR01/11H·SHE07/11A·FC 22/11H·ZIM13/03A·FĂL21/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.940.761.000.670.880.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.331.000.330.330.331.67
vs Weaker (11)1.270.641.330.831.200.40
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff IISheriff II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W10W11D01L02L02L02L10WH·UNI26/09A·SIR03/10H·FC 17/10A·OLI24/10H·FĂL31/10A·UNI07/11H·SIR22/11H·OGU07/03A·FCM13/03H·VIC21/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.601.200.670.470.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.360.860.140.000.75
vs Weaker (19)1.000.741.501.120.640.45
Clean sheet %63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Univer Comrat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Univer ComratUniver Comrat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L12L12L20W20W02L11D11D02L01LA·SIR17/09A·SHE26/09H·FC 04/10H·OLI18/10A·FĂL25/10H·SIR01/11H·SHE07/11A·FC 22/11H·ZIM13/03A·FĂL21/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.181.001.111.001.251.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.171.171.671.000.671.33
vs Weaker (11)1.180.910.831.001.600.80
Clean sheet %35% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff IISheriff II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L02L01L30W11D11D00D02L10WH·UNI26/09A·SIR03/10H·FC 17/10A·OLI24/10H·FĂL31/10A·UNI07/11H·SIR22/11H·OGU07/03A·FCM13/03H·VIC21/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.730.930.671.000.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.821.000.860.570.751.75
vs Weaker (19)1.050.581.000.751.090.45
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Univer Comrat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (7)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (5)
€1m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
UC wins
0
Draws
1
SI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Univer Comrat vs Sheriff II · H/A from UC
DateH/AGameScore
07/11/25HUC Vs Sheriff II2-1
26/09/25ASheriff II Vs UC3-2
15/08/25HUC Vs Sheriff II3-0

Univer ComratUniver Comrat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26AFăleşti Vs UC1-3
13/03/26HUC Vs Zimbru II0-4
06/03/26HUC Vs Olimp Comrat0-2
22/11/25AFC Stăuceni Vs UC4-1
07/11/25HUC Vs Sheriff II2-1
01/11/25HUC Vs Sireți1-4
25/10/25AFăleşti Vs UC0-2
18/10/25HUC Vs Olimp Comrat4-1
04/10/25HUC Vs FC Stăuceni1-3
26/09/25ASheriff II Vs UC3-2

Sheriff IISheriff II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26HSI Vs Victoria Bardar2-0
13/03/26AFCM Ungheni Vs SI4-0
07/03/26HSI Vs Oguzsport0-2
22/11/25HSI Vs Sireți1-3
07/11/25AUniver Comrat Vs SI2-1
31/10/25HSI Vs Făleşti4-1
24/10/25AOlimp Comrat Vs SI1-1
17/10/25HSI Vs FC Stăuceni1-2
03/10/25ASireți Vs SI2-0
26/09/25HSI Vs Univer Comrat3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Univer Comrat
Univer Comrat
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.67
HomeWLWLL1.80
AwayLLWLW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%60%50%
AVG goals3.783.604.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %72%70%75%
Over 3.5 %56%50%62%
Scored2.001.902.12
Conceded1.781.701.88
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet28%30%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Sheriff II
Sheriff II
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW2.00
HomeLWLLW2.19
AwayDLDLL1.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%69%54%
AVG goals3.483.923.00
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %38%50%25%
Scored2.422.881.92
Conceded1.061.041.08
BTTS46%54%38%
Clean Sheet40%38%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2242
59%
1.9
5734+23
4.1
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.5
-
2FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1538
80%
2.5
4512+33
3.8
80%
67%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.8
-
3Univer ComratUniver Comrat2238
55%
1.7
4437+7
3.7
100%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
4Zimbru IIZimbru II2236
50%
1.6
4135+6
3.5
82%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
5SirețiSireți1535
73%
2.3
5220+32
4.8
93%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0103.51.3
-
6FloreştiFloreşti1531
60%
2.1
4313+30
3.7
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.9
-
7IskraIskra1527
53%
1.8
2929+0
3.9
80%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.9
-
8Sheriff IISheriff II2221
23%
1.0
2337-14
2.7
73%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
9OguzsportOguzsport2219
18%
0.9
2436-12
2.7
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10FăleştiFăleşti2216
18%
0.7
2556-31
3.7
77%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar2215
18%
0.7
2764-37
4.1
91%
82%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2215
18%
0.7
2562-37
4.0
77%
59%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.8
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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