Univer Comrat hosts Vulturii Cutezători in a Moldova: Liga 1 match on August 21. The away side has been on a two-game winning run, coming off a 3-1 victory over Iskra. Meanwhile, Univer Comrat is coming off a win, defeating Zimbru II 4-2. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.9 goals and a 21% chance of 6+ goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 8.2% probability. Univer Comrat has averaged 2.5 goals scored and 2.12 conceded at home, while Vulturii Cutezători has averaged 0.75 goals scored and 3.25 conceded away against stronger opponents. The model's selections include Over 1.5 (91.2%), Over 2.5 (75.4%), and BTTS Yes (74.8%). The model predicts a 43% chance of an away win, a 35% chance of a home win, and a 22% chance of a draw.
Results analysis
The final score of 3-3 left the pre-match favourite, the away win, disappointed, as the match ended in a draw. The model had given the away side a 43% chance of triumph, yet it missed. The home side, coming off a draw, had a 35% chance of victory, while a 22% draw probability was the most realistic. The model’s selections were mixed: Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%) missed, Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.5%) hit, Under 7.5 (95.2%) hit, Over 1.5 (91.2%) hit, Under 6.5 (89.4%) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (87.9%) hit, Away over 0.5 goals (87.5%) hit, and Home under 1.5 HT goals (84.7%) missed. The game’s high-scoring nature matched the model’s 6+ total goal forecast, though the exact 3-3 result surprised all.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Univer Comrat win✗ Miss
34.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători win✗ Miss
42.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Univer Comrat
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.92
2.00
1.87
2.00
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.22
1.89
1.40
1.40
1.00
2.50
vs Weaker (17)
2.41
1.94
2.30
2.10
2.57
1.71
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Vulturii Cutezători) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vulturii Cutezători
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
2.56
1.38
2.23
1.42
2.92
vs Stronger (13)
1.08
3.00
1.29
2.71
0.83
3.33
vs Similar (10)
1.60
2.00
1.50
1.67
1.75
2.50
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
2.50
-
-
2.50
2.50
Clean sheet %
4% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.2%
Under 1.5
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
75.5%
Under 2.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.7%
Under 3.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
74.8%
No
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
1-3
5.4%
2-3
5.0%
3-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
Univer Comrat goals ↓
Vulturii Cutezători goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.7%
3.2%
4.2%
2.9%
1.5%
1
2.9%
8.2%
7.8%
5.4%
2.8%
2
3.4%
7.0%
7.3%
5.0%
2.6%
3
2.1%
4.4%
4.6%
3.2%
1.6%
4
1.0%
2.1%
2.1%
1.5%
0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Univer Comrat goals (down), columns = Vulturii Cutezători goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Univer Comrat is 0.23 points better than Vulturii Cutezători in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 1.49).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Univer Comrat is 0.05 goals better than Vulturii Cutezători in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.95).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Univer Comrat is 0.10 goals better than Vulturii Cutezători in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.78).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Univer Comrat or Draw✓ Hit
57.2%
Avg Implied -
35%
22%
43%
covers Univer Comrat + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat or Vulturii Cutezători✗ Miss
77.8%
Avg Implied -
35%
22%
43%
covers Univer Comrat + Vulturii Cutezători
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vulturii Cutezători✓ Hit
65.1%
Avg Implied -
35%
22%
43%
covers Draw + Vulturii Cutezători
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Univer Comrat over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.6%
Under
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
55.9%
Under
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
28.9%
Under
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.1%
Under
87.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.5%
Under
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
61.5%
Under
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
34.4%
Under
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.7%
Under
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Univer Comrat, so a minus line means Univer Comrat give that many goals of a start and Vulturii Cutezători receive them. At -1, Univer Comrat must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Univer Comrat win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Vulturii Cutezători) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vulturii Cutezători
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.68
0.95
0.58
1.00
0.80
0.90
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.18
0.33
1.33
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.67
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.1%
Under 0.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.5%
Under 1.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
15.9%
Under 2.5
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Univer Comrat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
45.7%
Under
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
52.2%
Under
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.9%
Under
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Univer Comrat
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.00
1.14
1.14
1.27
0.82
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.00
0.89
1.20
0.80
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
1.31
1.06
1.11
1.33
1.57
0.71
Clean sheet %
36% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Vulturii Cutezători) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vulturii Cutezători
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.18
0.83
1.00
0.60
1.40
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.09
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.20
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.22
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
-
-
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
32% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Univer Comrat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
UC wins
0
Draws
0
VC wins
Head-to-head
Univer Comrat vs Vulturii Cutezători · H/A from UC
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Iskra
FCM Ungheni
Oguzsport
FC Stăuceni
Făleşti
FC National Ialoveni
Victoria Bardar
Zimbru II
Spartanii Selemet
Floreşti