PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Univer Comrat vs Zimbru II Result & Analysis

Date: 07/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 4-2
Univer Comrat
Univer Comrat
Vs
35%
23%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zimbru II
Zimbru II
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Univer Comrat and Zimbru II are set to clash in the Moldova: Liga 1. Zimbru II comes into this match off the back of a 2-4 loss to Univer Comrat, a result that will give them a boost in this encounter. The model predicts an Away win as the most likely outcome, with a 42% probability.

The expected total goals in this match is 3.7, indicating a high-scoring encounter. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 9.3%. Univer Comrat has averaged 1.67 goals scored at home, conceding 3.33, while Zimbru II has averaged 2.4 goals scored away, conceding 2.0.

The model's selection is Over 1.5, with a 89.1% probability, as well as BTTS Yes, with a 71.5% probability, and Over 2.5, with a 71.2% probability. Univer Comrat has a 35% chance of winning, a 23% chance of drawing, and a 42% chance of losing. The model's selections are Over 1.5 (89.1%), BTTS Yes (71.5%), and Over 2.5 (71.2%).

Results analysis

Univer Comrat's 4-2 win over Zimbru II extends their recent run of form, coming off a win and having a strong home form. The actual result was a home win, contrary to the model's prediction of an away win. The model's selection of an away win had a 42% pre-match probability, but ultimately proved incorrect. The model's selection of an away win was the pre-match favourite.

The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 89.1%, and the BTTS Yes pick also hit, with a 71.5% probability. The Over 2.5 goals pick also hit, with a 71.2% probability. The most likely total goals was 3, with a 21% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Univer Comrat win✓ Hit
34.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II win✗ Miss
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Univer ComratUniver Comrat

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L02L04L31W11D20W43W11D23L02LA·FC 22/11H·OLI06/03H·ZIM13/03A·FĂL21/03H·SHE03/04A·OGU10/04H·FCM17/04A·VIC24/04H·OGU06/05H·ISK31/07← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.921.751.861.862.001.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.221.891.401.401.002.50
vs Weaker (15)2.331.672.112.112.671.00
Clean sheet %25% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L51W12L40W41W01L10W01L15L40WA·FLO07/11H·ISK21/11H·VIC06/03A·UNI13/03H·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04H·OGU17/04A·FCM24/04H·SPA31/07
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.961.522.001.171.911.91
vs Stronger (9)2.561.112.751.502.400.80
vs Similar (7)2.140.862.000.802.501.00
vs Weaker (7)1.002.711.001.331.003.75
Clean sheet %22% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.1%
Under 1.5
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.2%
Under 2.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.3%
Under 3.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
71.5%
No
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
0-2
4.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
Univer Comrat goals ↓
Zimbru II goals →
01234
03.4%4.0%4.7%3.0%1.5%
13.5%9.3%8.2%5.3%2.6%
23.8%7.4%7.2%4.6%2.3%
32.2%4.3%4.2%2.7%1.3%
41.0%1.9%1.8%1.2%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Univer Comrat goals (down), columns = Zimbru II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Univer Comrat is 0.09 points better than Zimbru II in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 1.64).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Univer Comrat is 0.14 goals better than Zimbru II in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Univer Comrat is 0.09 goals worse than Zimbru II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Univer ComratUniver Comrat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L02L30W01L00D31W01L01L01LH·SHE07/11A·FC 22/11H·ZIM13/03A·FĂL21/03H·SHE03/04A·OGU10/04H·FCM17/04A·VIC24/04H·OGU06/05H·ISK31/07← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.780.920.770.700.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.221.000.200.600.251.50
vs Weaker (14)1.210.641.380.881.000.33
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L20W12L20W10W01L10W00D04L10WA·FLO07/11H·ISK21/11H·VIC06/03A·UNI13/03H·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04H·OGU17/04A·FCM24/04H·SPA31/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.700.920.501.090.91
vs Stronger (9)1.330.441.500.751.200.20
vs Similar (7)0.710.140.400.201.500.00
vs Weaker (7)0.861.571.000.670.752.25
Clean sheet %57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Univer Comrat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Univer ComratUniver Comrat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D02L01L10W20W12L10W22D01LH·SHE07/11A·FC 22/11H·ZIM13/03A·FĂL21/03H·SHE03/04A·OGU10/04H·FCM17/04A·VIC24/04H·OGU06/05H·ISK31/07← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.961.081.081.300.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.000.891.200.800.751.00
vs Weaker (14)1.291.001.001.251.670.67
Clean sheet %39% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L31W00D20W31W00D00D01L11D30WA·FLO07/11H·ISK21/11H·VIC06/03A·UNI13/03H·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04H·OGU17/04A·FCM24/04H·SPA31/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.960.831.080.670.821.00
vs Stronger (9)1.220.671.250.751.200.60
vs Similar (7)1.430.711.600.601.001.00
vs Weaker (7)0.141.140.000.670.251.50
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Univer Comrat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.1%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes71.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.571.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
UC wins
0
Draws
1
ZI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Univer Comrat vs Zimbru II · H/A from UC
DateH/AGameScore
13/03/26HUC Vs Zimbru II0-4

Univer ComratUniver Comrat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/26HUC Vs Iskra0-2
06/05/26HUC Vs Oguzsport2-3
24/04/26AVictoria Bardar Vs UC1-1
17/04/26HUC Vs FCM Ungheni4-3
10/04/26AOguzsport Vs UC0-2
03/04/26HUC Vs Sheriff II1-1
21/03/26AFăleşti Vs UC1-3
13/03/26HUC Vs Zimbru II0-4
06/03/26HUC Vs Olimp Comrat0-2
22/11/25AFC Stăuceni Vs UC4-1

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/26HZI Vs Spartanii Selemet4-0
24/04/26AFCM Ungheni Vs ZI5-1
17/04/26HZI Vs Oguzsport0-1
10/04/26ASheriff II Vs ZI0-1
03/04/26HZI Vs Făleşti0-1
20/03/26HZI Vs Olimp Comrat4-1
13/03/26AUniver Comrat Vs ZI0-4
06/03/26HZI Vs Victoria Bardar1-2
21/11/25HZI Vs Iskra5-1
07/11/25AFloreşti Vs ZI3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Univer Comrat
Univer Comrat
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.58
HomeLDWLL1.57
AwayWLWWD1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals3.673.713.60
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %62%64%60%
Over 3.5 %50%50%50%
Scored1.921.862.00
Conceded1.751.861.60
BTTS58%57%60%
Clean Sheet25%21%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Zimbru II
Zimbru II
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.70
HomeLWLLW1.67
AwayWLWWL1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%50%55%
AVG goals3.483.173.82
Over 1.5 %83%75%91%
Over 2.5 %78%67%91%
Over 3.5 %52%50%55%
Scored1.962.001.91
Conceded1.521.171.91
BTTS57%58%55%
Clean Sheet22%17%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

← all matches