Ural’s defensive solidity is highlighted by an average of 0.88 goals conceded per match at home, while their attack averages 1.25 goals against similarly matched opposition. KAMAZ, on the road, has a comparable profile, conceding 0.92 and scoring 1.0 goals per game. The model projects a tight contest, with a 57% chance of a home win, 28% for a draw, and 15% for an away victory, making a home win the clear favourite. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Ural, with a 16% chance. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.3%), Under 6.5 (99.3%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.6%), Under 5.5 (97.6%) with a 7% edge, Away under 2.5 goals (97.1%), and Home +2 handicap (95.8%). Ural’s unbeaten run in five games, capped by a 2-2 draw with Arsenal Tula, and KAMAZ’s recent win over Leningradets set the stage for a low-scoring, defensively dominated encounter.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ural win
57.0%
Avg Implied 67.1% · @ 1.36
Edge
-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Dafabet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Draw
28.0%
Avg Implied 20.3% · @ 4.50
Edge
+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.78
Pinnacle
4.73
Marathonbet
4.60
Dafabet
4.50
Superbet
4.45
KAMAZ win
14.9%
Avg Implied 12.6% · @ 7.29
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.30
Dafabet
7.20
Pinnacle
7.04
Superbet
6.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ural
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.77
1.69
0.54
1.12
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.19
1.10
1.25
0.88
1.15
1.23
vs Weaker (9)
1.78
0.00
2.40
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KAMAZ
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.07
1.38
1.25
0.93
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
1.21
1.07
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ural) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
65.3%
@ 1.20-11.6%
Under 1.5
34.7%
@ 3.98+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
4.07
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Superbet
3.75
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
37.3%
@ 1.71-17.7%
Under 2.5
62.7%
@ 2.09+17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
1xBet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Superbet
2.00
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
17.7%
@ 2.68-16.5%
Under 3.5
82.3%
@ 1.40+16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.82
Pinnacle
2.71
Marathonbet
2.59
1xBet
2.59
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Both teams to score
Yes
38.9%
@ 1.97-8.1%
No
61.1%
@ 1.75+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
No
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Superbet
1.70
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.0%@ 6.27+9.2%
2-0
13.1%@ 6.17+6.1%
1-1
12.5%@ 7.90+7.0%
0-0
12.4%@ 11.60+8.7%
2-1
8.6%@ 7.68+3.0%
3-0
6.6%@ 8.79+1.8%
0-1
6.3%@ 17.77+3.9%
3-1
4.4%@ 10.96+0.5%
Ural goals ↓
KAMAZ goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
6.3%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
1
16%
12%
3.7%
0.8%
0.1%
2
13%
8.6%
2.8%
0.6%
0.1%
3
6.6%
4.4%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
4
2.5%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ural goals (down), columns = KAMAZ goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Ural is 1.29 points better than KAMAZ in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Ural is 0.83 goals better than KAMAZ in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Ural is 1.07 goals better than KAMAZ in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Ural is 6.0 percentage points worse than KAMAZ in terms of average possession (40% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ural
For 4.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KAMAZ
For 9.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 15.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Ural
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
9.5
7.7
2.3
2.0
2.5
26.8
24.0
29.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
8.4
9.5
7.7
2.5
2.5
2.6
26.8
24.0
29.5
vs Weaker (13)
-
-
-
1.5
0.9
2.3
-
-
-
% over line
40%
50%
33%
30%
26%
33%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
60%
50%
67%
70%
74%
67%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KAMAZ
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
15.0
-
15.0
2.8
2.6
3.1
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
4.7
5.5
3.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
15.0
-
15.0
2.7
2.3
3.1
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
100%
-
100%
46%
38%
54%
-
-
-
% under line
0%
-
0%
54%
62%
46%
-
-
-
This opponent (Ural) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
Arsenal Tula
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Ural
8.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.5%
@ 1.81+1.3%
Under 9.5
47.5%
@ 1.91-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
1.88
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.1%
Under 3.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.9%
Under 21.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ural or Draw
85.1%
Avg Implied 87.9% · @ 1.04
Edge
-2.8%
57%
28%
15%
covers Ural + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
SBO
1.03
Ural or KAMAZ
72.0%
Avg Implied 79.7% · @ 1.15
Edge
-7.7%
57%
28%
15%
covers Ural + KAMAZ
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.13
SBO
1.13
Draw or KAMAZ
43.0%
Avg Implied 32.5% · @ 2.82
Edge
+10.5%
57%
28%
15%
covers Draw + KAMAZ
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.02
Marathonbet
2.97
Superbet
2.65
SBO
2.64
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ural over/under 0.5
Over
78.2%
@ 1.07-8.1%
Under
21.8%
@ 6.75+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.05
Under
1xBet
7.30
Superbet
6.20
Ural over/under 1.5
Over
45.0%
@ 1.49-17.6%
Under
55.0%
@ 2.49+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.53
Marathonbet
2.53
1xBet
2.53
Superbet
2.37
Ural over/under 2.5
Over
19.7%
@ 2.51-17.3%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.48+17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.57
Superbet
2.57
1xBet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.45
Under
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Superbet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Ural over/under 3.5
Over
6.9%
@ 4.75-12.4%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.13+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Under
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
KAMAZ over/under 0.5
Over
48.3%
@ 1.75-4.6%
Under
51.7%
@ 1.97+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.06
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
KAMAZ over/under 1.5
Over
14.2%
@ 5.07-4.1%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.13+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.15
Superbet
4.90
Under
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
KAMAZ over/under 2.5
Over
2.9%
@ 15.00-3.4%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Under
Superbet
1.01
KAMAZ over/under 3.5
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ural, so a minus line means Ural give that many goals of a start and KAMAZ receive them. At -1, Ural must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ural win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ural)
Ural -2
12.8%
@ 3.48-13.3%
Draw -2
18.0%
@ 4.30-3.1%
KAMAZ +2
69.2%
@ 1.72+16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.48
Draw
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Marathonbet
1.72
Handicap -1 (Ural)
Ural -1
30.8%
@ 2.03-13.8%
Draw -1
26.2%
@ 3.64+1.3%
KAMAZ +1
43.0%
@ 2.97+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.03
Draw
Marathonbet
3.64
Away
Marathonbet
2.97
Handicap +1 (Ural)
Ural +1
85.1%
Draw +1
10.7%
KAMAZ -1
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ural)
Ural +2
95.8%
Draw +2
3.4%
KAMAZ -2
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ural
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.33
0.85
0.23
0.47
0.41
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.48
0.88
0.38
0.46
0.54
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
0.00
0.80
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KAMAZ
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
0.62
0.44
0.50
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.46
0.60
0.47
0.54
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ural) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.8%
@ 1.32+1.7%
Under 0.5
28.2%
@ 3.10-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.21
Superbet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.7%
@ 2.49-1.5%
Under 1.5
64.3%
@ 1.48+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.53
Superbet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.47
1xBet
2.47
Under
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.47
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.9%
@ 5.80-3.8%
Under 2.5
88.1%
@ 1.08+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.90
Superbet
5.60
Under
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ural over/under 0.5 HT
Over
60.4%
@ 1.52-0.7%
Under
39.6%
@ 2.38+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.48
Superbet
2.37
1xBet
2.30
Ural over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.1%
@ 3.62-5.4%
Under
79.9%
@ 1.24+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Ural over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.0%
@ 10.00-4.2%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
KAMAZ over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.0%
@ 3.16+4.6%
Under
66.0%
@ 1.31-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.34
Marathonbet
3.24
Superbet
3.15
1xBet
2.90
Under
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
KAMAZ over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ural
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.43
0.85
0.31
0.65
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.62
0.38
0.50
0.69
0.69
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.00
1.60
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KAMAZ
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.75
0.81
0.43
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.61
0.80
0.73
0.46
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ural) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.6%
@ 1.16-2.3%
Under 0.5
23.4%
@ 4.33+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Superbet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.1%
@ 1.92-6.4%
Under 1.5
57.9%
@ 1.81+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Under
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Superbet
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.6%
@ 3.79-2.6%
Under 2.5
78.4%
@ 1.21+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.68
1xBet
3.68
Under
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ural over/under 0.5 2H
Over
64.7%
@ 1.39-2.1%
Under
35.3%
@ 2.79+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.80
Superbet
2.77
Ural over/under 1.5 2H
Over
26.1%
@ 2.69-8.2%
Under
73.9%
@ 1.41+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.75
1xBet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.58
Under
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Ural over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.4%
@ 6.90-6.9%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.06+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Under
1xBet
1.06
KAMAZ over/under 0.5 2H
Over
39.8%
@ 2.58+4.0%
Under
60.2%
@ 1.44-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.61
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
KAMAZ over/under 1.5 2H
Over
7.8%
@ 10.45-1.0%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.01+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.50
1xBet
9.40
Under
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
KAMAZ over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
97.1%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.4%
Home +2 handicap
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.6%
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
-
+6.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
-
-
+12.4%
Under 4.5
92.9%
1.13
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
+11.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
92.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.1%
1.08
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+3.8%
Away under 1.5 goals
85.8%
1.13
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
-
+4.1%
Home or Draw
85.1%
1.04
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
SBO
1.03
-
-2.8%
Home +1 handicap
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
82.3%
1.40
Pinnacle
1.43
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
-
+16.5%
Home under 2.5 goals
80.3%
1.48
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Superbet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
-
+17.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.9%
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
-
-
-
+5.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
-
-
+2.6%
Home over 0.5 goals
78.2%
1.07
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
-8.1%
Under 5.5 cards
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.6%
1.16
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
-2.3%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
73.9%
1.41
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.39
-
-
+8.2%
Home or Away
72.0%
1.15
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.13
SBO
1.13
-
-7.7%
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.32
-
+1.7%
Under 11.5 corners
71.2%
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+0.7%
Over 23.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ural · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksey Kashtanov23%
Andrey Egorychev20%
Aleksey Ionov17%
Silvije Begić15%
Eric Bicfalvi14%
Danijel Miškić12%
Guilherme Schettine8%
Vladis-Emmerson Illoy-Ayyet6%
Timur Ayupov4%
Ilya Ishkov4%
Ilya Pomazun0%
Artem Mamin0%
Yuri Gazinskiy0%
Egor Filipenko0%
Vladislav Malkevich0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Artem Kontsevoj0%
Alexander Yushin0%
Rai Vloet0%
Kiki Afonso0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Denys Kulakov0%
Fanil Sungatulin0%
Valeri Bocherov0%
Igor Dmitriev0%
Ítalo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Silvije Begić42%
Valeri Bocherov25%
Denys Kulakov19%
Aleksey Ionov17%
Guilherme Schettine17%
Timur Ayupov17%
Danijel Miškić15%
Yuri Gazinskiy14%
Kiki Afonso14%
Ilya Pomazun14%
Egor Filipenko12%
Ítalo12%
Mingiyan Beveev11%
Ilya Ishkov11%
Ibrahima Cisse10%
Eric Bicfalvi9%
Andrey Egorychev8%
Artem Mamin8%
Alexander Yushin8%
Aleksey Kashtanov8%
Vladis-Emmerson Illoy-Ayyet6%
Igor Dmitriev4%
Vladislav Malkevich0%
Artem Kontsevoj0%
Rai Vloet0%
Fanil Sungatulin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrey Egorychev12%
Eric Bicfalvi9%
Ítalo8%
Alexander Yushin8%
Danijel Miškić8%
Igor Dmitriev8%
Ilya Ishkov7%
Timur Ayupov4%
Silvije Begić4%
Denys Kulakov4%
Aleksey Kashtanov4%
Ilya Pomazun0%
Artem Mamin0%
Yuri Gazinskiy0%
Egor Filipenko0%
Vladislav Malkevich0%
Aleksey Ionov0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Artem Kontsevoj0%
Rai Vloet0%
Vladis-Emmerson Illoy-Ayyet0%
Guilherme Schettine0%
Kiki Afonso0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Fanil Sungatulin0%
Valeri Bocherov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Guilherme Schettine17%
Aleksey Kashtanov15%
Eric Bicfalvi14%
Andrey Egorychev12%
Timur Ayupov8%
Alexander Yushin8%
Silvije Begić4%
Igor Dmitriev4%
Ilya Ishkov4%
Ilya Pomazun0%
Artem Mamin0%
Yuri Gazinskiy0%
Egor Filipenko0%
Vladislav Malkevich0%
Aleksey Ionov0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Artem Kontsevoj0%
Rai Vloet0%
Vladis-Emmerson Illoy-Ayyet0%
Kiki Afonso0%
Danijel Miškić0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Denys Kulakov0%
Fanil Sungatulin0%
Valeri Bocherov0%
Ítalo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Ural's squad is €6m more valuable than KAMAZ's (€11m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Ural's attack is €2m more valuable than KAMAZ's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Ural's midfield is €2m more valuable than KAMAZ's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Ural's defence is €2m more valuable than KAMAZ's (€4m vs €2m).
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
Veles
FC UFA
Torpedo Moskva
Rotor Volgograd
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Spartak Kostroma
Arsenal Tula
FK Neftekhimik
Enisey
Volga Ulyanovsk
Leningradets
Tekstilshchik
Chelyabinsk
Ska-khabarovsk