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Ural vs Ska-khabarovsk Result & Analysis

Date: 25/09/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Ural
Ural
Vs
52%
24%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ska-khabarovsk
Ska-khabarovsk
Russia: Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ural win✓ Hit
52.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk win✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

UralUral

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W23L00D20W20W11D31W11D01L20WH·SHI20/07A·CHE27/07H·FK 03/08A·FC 12/08H·CHA18/08A·FK 24/08H·ALA31/08H·ROT07/09A·ARS16/09A·KAM21/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.231.471.270.871.20
vs Stronger (6)1.001.672.002.000.001.33
vs Similar (21)1.191.291.401.301.001.27
vs Weaker (3)1.330.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W03L00D03L22D01L10W20W22DA·ROD20/07A·FC 28/07H·ALA03/08H·SHI10/08A·KAM17/08H·FK 23/08A·ARS31/08H·CHA10/09H·FK 15/09A·ENI21/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.201.310.770.531.53
vs Stronger (2)1.001.002.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.861.211.250.750.561.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ural) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.8%
Under 2.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.4%
No
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
1-0 ✓
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.3%
Ural goals ↓
Ska-khabarovsk goals →
01234
05.3%4.3%3.3%1.4%0.4%
17.2%11%6.3%2.6%0.8%
27.9%9.7%6.0%2.5%0.8%
35.0%6.2%3.8%1.6%0.5%
42.4%2.9%1.8%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ural goals (down), columns = Ska-khabarovsk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Chayka
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Tver
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Orel
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Kompozit
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Zenit Penza
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Baltika
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Znamya Truda
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
Pskov 747
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Murom
1.00
Kvant
1.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Khimki
0.71
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
FC UFA
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Fakel
0.50
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Lada Tolyatti
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
KAMAZ
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
KDV
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Enisey
0.00
ZOV
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Ural is 2.17 points better than Ska-khabarovsk in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Chernomorets
3.00
Amkal
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Orel
2.67
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
FC Sochi
2.50
Forte Taganrog
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Ryazan
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Murom
2.00
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
ZOV
2.00
Kristall
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Baltika
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Chayka
1.67
Tver
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Lada Tolyatti
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
Kompozit
1.25
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
KAMAZ
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC Orenburg
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Zenit Penza
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Biolog
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Khimki
0.86
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Enisey
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Ural is 1.17 goals better than Ska-khabarovsk in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 0.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Chayka
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Tver
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Kompozit
0.50
Baltika
0.67
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Amkal
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
FC Sochi
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Pskov 747
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Akhmat
1.40
Amkar
1.40
Ryazan
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Fakel
1.67
Orel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
KAMAZ
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Murom
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Zenit Penza
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Sakhalin
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Veles
2.00
Khimki
2.43
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
Lada Tolyatti
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Chernomorets
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
ZOV
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
KDV
5.00
Urozhay
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
Ural is 0.17 goals better than Ska-khabarovsk in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

UralUral

For 5.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1906533367429109543755631169111119910109A·AKRH·AKRA·CSKH·FC A·FAKH·BALA·RUBH·FC A·FC H·DYN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

601114251122222111421265244326A·KAMA·ARSH·ROTA·AKRH·AKRA·CSKH·FC A·FAKH·BALA·RUB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 13.7 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

32071971012121517141131914176111411171026172432252231172527A·AKRH·AKRA·CSKH·FC A·FAKH·BALA·RUBH·FC A·FC H·DYN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

6011221111314124231212421453643A·ENIH·FK H·CHAA·AKRH·ALAA·TYUA·SHIH·KAMA·LENH·ROD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

UralUral

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.710.13.43.43.423.122.523.6
vs Stronger (13)10.610.710.65.06.04.123.222.523.9
vs Similar (33)10.410.810.13.02.93.123.222.523.9
vs Weaker (4)7.0-7.01.20.02.517.0-17.0
% over line54%58%50%46%44%48%59%47%70%
% under line46%42%50%54%56%52%41%53%30%
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---1.71.52.0---
vs Stronger (3)---1.03.00.0---
vs Similar (47)---1.81.52.1---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---18%16%20%---
% under line---82%84%80%---
This opponent (Ural) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lokomotiv
11.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.8
Arsenal Tula
10.7
Dynamo
10.7
FC Orenburg
10.7
Khimki
10.5
Ural
10.4
Baltika
10.1
Spartak Moscow
10.1
FK Neftekhimik
10.0
Akron
9.9
Chernomorets
9.9
Akhmat
9.8
Zenit
9.7
Nizhny Novgorod
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
FC Rostov
9.5
Fakel
9.4
Veles
9.4
Enisey
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
Krylia Sovetov
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
CSKA Moscow
9.2
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
Rubin
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Rodina Moskva
8.9
KAMAZ
8.8
FC Krasnodar
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.7
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Leningradets
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Torpedo Moskva
7.9
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
5.6
FC UFA
5.4
Lokomotiv
5.1
Fakel
5.1
Akhmat
5.0
Spartak Moscow
5.0
FC Rostov
4.9
Krylia Sovetov
4.8
Veles
4.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
Rodina Moskva
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.6
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
FC Krasnodar
4.4
Dynamo
4.4
Khimki
4.4
Rubin
4.4
Urozhay
4.3
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
CSKA Moscow
4.2
Torpedo Moskva
4.1
FK Neftekhimik
4.0
Enisey
4.0
Ural
4.0
Zenit
3.9
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.8
Baltika
3.7
FC Sochi
3.7
Chayka
3.7
Chernomorets
3.6
Akron
3.6
Tyumen
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
Rotor Volgograd
3.3
Arsenal Tula
3.2
FK Sokol Saratov
3.0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Fakel
26.5
Khimki
26.5
Dinamo Makhachkala
26.0
Nizhny Novgorod
24.7
Spartak Moscow
24.1
Akhmat
23.9
Rubin
23.9
Torpedo Moskva
23.6
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Krylia Sovetov
23.4
Lokomotiv
23.3
FC Orenburg
23.2
Ural
23.2
FC Rostov
22.9
FC Krasnodar
22.9
Dynamo
22.8
Baltika
22.3
CSKA Moscow
22.3
FC Sochi
21.7
Zenit
21.4
Akron
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
56.8%
Under 3.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ural or Draw✓ Hit
76.4%
Avg Implied -
52%
24%
24%
covers Ural + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ural or Ska-khabarovsk✓ Hit
75.6%
Avg Implied -
52%
24%
24%
covers Ural + Ska-khabarovsk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ska-khabarovsk✗ Miss
48.0%
Avg Implied -
52%
24%
24%
covers Draw + Ska-khabarovsk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ural over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.1%
Under
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ural over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
56.8%
Under
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ural over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.8%
Under
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ural over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.6%
Under
87.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
70.9%
Under
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.0%
Under
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.8%
Under
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ural, so a minus line means Ural give that many goals of a start and Ska-khabarovsk receive them. At -1, Ural must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ural win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ural)Actual: Ska-khabarovsk
Ural -2
14.3%
Draw -2
16.1%
Ska-khabarovsk +2
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ural)Actual: Draw
Ural -1
30.5%
Draw -1
21.6%
Ska-khabarovsk +1
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ural)Actual: Ural
Ural +1
76.4%
Draw +1
13.6%
Ska-khabarovsk -1
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ural)Actual: Ural
Ural +2
90.0%
Draw +2
6.8%
Ska-khabarovsk -2
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

UralUral

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L00D10W10W00D10W00D00D20WH·SHI20/07A·CHE27/07H·FK 03/08A·FC 12/08H·CHA18/08A·FK 24/08H·ALA31/08H·ROT07/09A·ARS16/09A·KAM21/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.500.470.470.270.53
vs Stronger (6)0.331.000.671.000.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.330.430.400.400.270.45
vs Weaker (3)0.670.000.500.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W02L00D03L12L00D00D10W11DA·ROD20/07A·FC 28/07H·ALA03/08H·SHI10/08A·KAM17/08H·FK 23/08A·ARS31/08H·CHA10/09H·FK 15/09A·ENI21/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.690.460.240.88
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.460.710.750.500.250.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ural) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ural over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ural over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ural over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

UralUral

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W00D10W10W11D21W11D01L00DH·SHI20/07A·CHE27/07H·FK 03/08A·FC 12/08H·CHA18/08A·FK 24/08H·ALA31/08H·ROT07/09A·ARS16/09A·KAM21/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.731.000.800.600.67
vs Stronger (6)0.670.671.331.000.000.33
vs Similar (21)0.860.861.000.900.730.82
vs Weaker (3)0.670.000.500.001.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D01L00D00D10W01L10W10W11DA·ROD20/07A·FC 28/07H·ALA03/08H·SHI10/08A·KAM17/08H·FK 23/08A·ARS31/08H·CHA10/09H·FK 15/09A·ENI21/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.500.620.310.290.65
vs Stronger (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.390.500.500.250.310.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ural) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ural over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ural over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ural over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.595.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.590.1%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap90.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals87.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals87.2%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals85.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.583.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.579.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.4%--------
Home or Draw76.4%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap76.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.3%--------
Home or Away75.6%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals70.9%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals70.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Ural · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksey Kashtanov23%
Andrey Egorychev20%
Aleksey Ionov17%
Silvije Begić15%
Eric Bicfalvi14%
Danijel Miškić12%
Guilherme Schettine8%
Vladis-Emmerson Illoy-Ayyet6%
Timur Ayupov4%
Ilya Ishkov4%
Ilya Pomazun0%
Artem Mamin0%
Yuri Gazinskiy0%
Egor Filipenko0%
Vladislav Malkevich0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Artem Kontsevoj0%
Alexander Yushin0%
Rai Vloet0%
Kiki Afonso0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Denys Kulakov0%
Fanil Sungatulin0%
Valeri Bocherov0%
Igor Dmitriev0%
Ítalo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Silvije Begić42%
Valeri Bocherov25%
Denys Kulakov19%
Aleksey Ionov17%
Guilherme Schettine17%
Timur Ayupov17%
Danijel Miškić15%
Yuri Gazinskiy14%
Kiki Afonso14%
Ilya Pomazun14%
Egor Filipenko12%
Ítalo12%
Mingiyan Beveev11%
Ilya Ishkov11%
Ibrahima Cisse10%
Eric Bicfalvi9%
Andrey Egorychev8%
Artem Mamin8%
Alexander Yushin8%
Aleksey Kashtanov8%
Vladis-Emmerson Illoy-Ayyet6%
Igor Dmitriev4%
Vladislav Malkevich0%
Artem Kontsevoj0%
Rai Vloet0%
Fanil Sungatulin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrey Egorychev12%
Eric Bicfalvi9%
Ítalo8%
Alexander Yushin8%
Danijel Miškić8%
Igor Dmitriev8%
Ilya Ishkov7%
Timur Ayupov4%
Silvije Begić4%
Denys Kulakov4%
Aleksey Kashtanov4%
Ilya Pomazun0%
Artem Mamin0%
Yuri Gazinskiy0%
Egor Filipenko0%
Vladislav Malkevich0%
Aleksey Ionov0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Artem Kontsevoj0%
Rai Vloet0%
Vladis-Emmerson Illoy-Ayyet0%
Guilherme Schettine0%
Kiki Afonso0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Fanil Sungatulin0%
Valeri Bocherov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Guilherme Schettine17%
Aleksey Kashtanov15%
Eric Bicfalvi14%
Andrey Egorychev12%
Timur Ayupov8%
Alexander Yushin8%
Silvije Begić4%
Igor Dmitriev4%
Ilya Ishkov4%
Ilya Pomazun0%
Artem Mamin0%
Yuri Gazinskiy0%
Egor Filipenko0%
Vladislav Malkevich0%
Aleksey Ionov0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Artem Kontsevoj0%
Rai Vloet0%
Vladis-Emmerson Illoy-Ayyet0%
Kiki Afonso0%
Danijel Miškić0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Denys Kulakov0%
Fanil Sungatulin0%
Valeri Bocherov0%
Ítalo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Ural's squad is €5m more valuable than Ska-khabarovsk's (€11m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Ural's attack is €2m more valuable than Ska-khabarovsk's (€4m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Ural and Ska-khabarovsk have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Ural's defence is €2m more valuable than Ska-khabarovsk's (€4m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
URA wins
0
Draws
0
SKA wins

Head-to-head

Ural vs Ska-khabarovsk · H/A from URA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

UralUral

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24AKAMAZ Vs URA0-2
16/09/24AArsenal Tula Vs URA1-0
07/09/24HURA Vs Rotor Volgograd1-1
31/08/24HURA Vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz3-1
24/08/24AFK Neftekhimik Vs URA1-1
18/08/24HURA Vs Chayka2-0
12/08/24AFC UFA Vs URA0-2
03/08/24HURA Vs FK Sokol Saratov0-0
27/07/24AChernomorets Vs URA3-2
20/07/24HURA Vs Shinnik Yaroslavl2-1

Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24AEnisey Vs SKA2-2
15/09/24HSKA Vs FK Neftekhimik2-0
10/09/24HSKA Vs Chayka1-0
31/08/24AArsenal Tula Vs SKA1-0
23/08/24HSKA Vs FK Sokol Saratov2-2
17/08/24AKAMAZ Vs SKA3-0
10/08/24HSKA Vs Shinnik Yaroslavl0-0
03/08/24HSKA Vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz0-3
28/07/24AFC Sochi Vs SKA1-2
20/07/24ARodina Moskva Vs SKA1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ural
Ural
Russia: Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.30
HomeWDWWD1.56
AwayLWDLW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%24%
AVG goals2.442.682.20
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %46%56%36%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.141.360.92
Conceded1.301.321.28
BTTS48%60%36%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners10.4110.7410.10
Cards4.124.473.82
Ska-khabarovsk
Ska-khabarovsk
Russia: Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWD1.20
HomeLDDWW1.96
AwayLWLLD0.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%56%8%
AVG goals2.102.082.12
Over 1.5 %64%68%60%
Over 2.5 %34%32%36%
Over 3.5 %14%16%12%
Scored1.001.480.52
Conceded1.100.601.60
BTTS32%28%36%
Clean Sheet32%56%8%
Corners---
Cards3.002.713.27

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BaltikaBaltika3469
56%
2.0
5018+32
2.0
62%
35%
12%
-
0%
3.5
42%
-
0%
30
106151.50.5
-
2Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva3465
50%
1.9
5125+26
2.2
68%
35%
18%
-
0%
3.6
46%
-
0%
11
5141.50.7
-
3ChernomoretsChernomorets3464
56%
1.9
5134+17
2.5
79%
53%
12%
-
0%
3.9
46%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
4UralUral3459
47%
1.7
5038+12
2.6
74%
44%
24%
-
0%
4.0
58%
-
0%
11
4241.51.1
-
5FC SochiFC Sochi3457
47%
1.7
5534+21
2.6
74%
41%
24%
-
0%
4.2
62%
-
0%
15
5191.61.0
-
6Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk3453
44%
1.6
4441+3
2.5
59%
50%
26%
-
0%
3.5
42%
-
0%
6
2231.31.2
-
7Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva3450
38%
1.5
4131+10
2.1
56%
35%
21%
-
0%
2.8
35%
-
0%
17
7371.20.9
-
8EniseyEnisey3449
41%
1.4
3639-3
2.2
62%
41%
12%
5.0
0%
4.0
56%
14.0
0%
6
2221.11.1
49%
9Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd3447
32%
1.4
3226+6
1.7
53%
21%
12%
-
0%
3.3
38%
-
0%
9
3240.90.8
-
10Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula3441
24%
1.2
2530-5
1.6
44%
26%
12%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
8
3230.70.9
-
11KAMAZKAMAZ3438
29%
1.1
3135-4
1.9
56%
35%
12%
-
0%
3.8
62%
-
0%
5
2120.91.0
-
12FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik3438
26%
1.1
3137-6
2.0
59%
38%
15%
-
0%
3.3
35%
-
0%
5
2120.91.1
-
13ChaykaChayka3438
24%
1.1
3143-12
2.2
68%
38%
24%
-
0%
4.0
54%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
14FC UFAFC UFA3435
26%
1.0
3248-16
2.4
65%
35%
15%
-
0%
3.8
50%
-
0%
5
2220.91.4
-
15Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl3435
24%
1.0
2442-18
1.9
59%
29%
12%
-
0%
3.7
42%
-
0%
6
2120.71.2
-
16FK Sokol SaratovFK Sokol Saratov3432
21%
0.9
2541-16
1.9
53%
35%
18%
-
0%
3.3
35%
-
0%
0
0000.71.2
-
17TyumenTyumen3427
21%
0.8
3051-21
2.4
62%
50%
15%
-
0%
3.2
28%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
18Alaniya VladikavkazAlaniya Vladikavkaz3427
18%
0.8
2450-26
2.2
62%
44%
21%
5.0
0%
3.1
38%
14.0
0%
0
0000.71.5
51%
Russia: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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