Ural vs Spartak Kostroma Result & Analysis

Ural are tipped to win, the model’s favourite result, with a 43% chance of triumph, 27% for a draw and 31% for Spartak Kostroma to take the points. The match is expected to see three goals on average, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, a 12.4% probability for that exact result. Ural’s home form shows they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Spartak Kostroma’s away record against similar teams is 1.64 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 91.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 82.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 81.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 81.5%, Over 1.5 goals at 80.6% (hit), Over 2.5 cards at 73.2% (hit), Under 10.5 corners at 72.1% and Over 23.5 fouls at 70.4%. All probabilities are expressed as percentages.

The draw stunned the pre-match favourite, as the model had tipped a Ural home win at 43%. The final score of 1-1 confirmed the upset, leaving the model’s call incorrect. Ural’s unbeaten run in their last five matches, highlighted by a 2-2 draw with Arsenal Tula, had set expectations, but Spartak Kostroma’s 1-0 win over Rotor Volgograd had kept them sharp. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 5.5 cards hit at 81.5%, Over 1.5 hit at 80.6%, and Over 2.5 cards hit at 73.2%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage and mentioned only once.