Ural's recent draw against Rotor Volgograd is a storyline worth noting, but defensively they have been solid at home, conceding just 0.33 goals per match against weaker opponents. Tekstilshchik, meanwhile, has struggled to score away from home, averaging 0 goals per match against stronger opponents. The model's selection is the home win, with a 60% chance of success. Ural's home win percentage is 60%, the draw percentage is 28%, and the away win percentage is 13%.
The expected total number of goals is 2.1, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-0, with a probability of 17.7%. Ural has been scoring at a rate of 2.17 goals per match at home, while Tekstilshchik has conceded 0.5 goals per match away from home against stronger opponents.
The model's selection is the Home win, and the suggested picks include Under 3.5 with a probability of 83.9%.
Results analysis
The Pythia model’s prediction proved accurate as Ural secured a 2-0 victory, extending their unbeaten run in the last five matches. The model had named a home win as the favourite, assigning it a 54 % probability, and the outcome matched that call. The most likely scoreline of 1-0 had a 18.1 % chance, but the 2-0 result still fell within the model’s top three possibilities. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.9 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.7 %, Under 6.5 at 99.6 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.8 %, Under 5.5 at 98.5 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 97.7 %, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.2 %. The model’s selections performed consistently, confirming its reliability in this fixture.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ural win✓ Hit
54.4%
Avg Implied 72.3% · @ 1.28
Edge
-17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Dafabet
1.27
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied 18.3% · @ 5.04
Edge
+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.26
Dafabet
5.20
Pinnacle
5.15
Superbet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.00
Tekstilshchik win✗ Miss
15.1%
Avg Implied 9.4% · @ 9.85
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
11.50
Marathonbet
11.00
Pinnacle
10.37
Dafabet
10.00
Superbet
8.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ural
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.93
1.62
0.69
1.06
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.14
1.27
1.22
1.00
1.08
1.46
vs Weaker (8)
1.75
0.00
2.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Tekstilshchik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tekstilshchik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.80
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.75
0.67
0.67
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.83
0.67
1.33
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ural) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.3%
@ 1.24-14.5%
Under 1.5
40.7%
@ 3.50+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
3.72
Superbet
3.45
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.1%
@ 1.83-20.5%
Under 2.5
68.9%
@ 1.95+20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.84
Superbet
1.77
SBO
1.77
Under
SBO
1.99
Pinnacle
1.96
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.5%
@ 2.95-17.5%
Under 3.5
86.5%
@ 1.33+17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.13
1xBet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.92
Superbet
2.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.36
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
34.5%
@ 2.35-4.8%
No
65.5%
@ 1.52+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Superbet
2.35
No
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
18.1%@ 5.44+10.3%
0-0
15.3%@ 10.91+11.4%
2-0 ✓
13.1%@ 5.11+4.8%
1-1
12.6%@ 9.08+7.9%
2-1
7.8%@ 8.63+2.9%
0-1
7.3%@ 20.39+5.2%
3-0
5.9%@ 7.02-0.1%
3-1
3.5%@ 11.94-0.0%
Ural goals ↓
Tekstilshchik goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
7.3%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
1
18%
13%
3.4%
0.7%
0.1%
2
13%
7.8%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
3
5.9%
3.5%
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
4
2.0%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ural goals (down), columns = Tekstilshchik goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Ural is 1.29 points better than Tekstilshchik in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Ural is 1.55 goals better than Tekstilshchik in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 0.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Ural is 0.50 goals better than Tekstilshchik in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Ural is 9.0 percentage points worse than Tekstilshchik in terms of average possession (40% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ural
For 4.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tekstilshchik
For 5.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Ural
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.5
8.5
2.4
2.2
2.6
26.8
24.0
29.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
9.0
9.5
8.5
2.7
2.6
2.7
26.8
24.0
29.5
vs Weaker (12)
-
-
-
1.7
1.0
2.3
-
-
-
% over line
50%
50%
50%
32%
30%
33%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
68%
70%
67%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Tekstilshchik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tekstilshchik
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (10)
12.0
12.0
-
0.5
0.8
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
12.0
12.0
-
1.2
1.7
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
-
10%
17%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
0%
0%
-
90%
83%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Ural) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
FC Sochi
9.2
Veles
9.0
Ural
9.0
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
FK Neftekhimik
7.5
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.0
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Veles
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.1%
@ 1.61-16.0%
Under 9.5
58.9%
@ 2.15+16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Under
Marathonbet
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.3%
Under 3.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ural or Draw✓ Hit
84.9%
Avg Implied 90.5% · @ 1.02
Edge
-5.6%
54%
30%
15%
covers Ural + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Ural or Tekstilshchik✓ Hit
69.6%
Avg Implied 81.9% · @ 1.13
Edge
-12.3%
54%
30%
15%
covers Ural + Tekstilshchik
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Superbet
1.12
SBO
1.09
Draw or Tekstilshchik✗ Miss
45.6%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.33
Edge
+17.9%
54%
30%
15%
covers Draw + Tekstilshchik
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.54
Marathonbet
3.44
Superbet
3.20
SBO
3.16
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ural over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.4%
@ 1.06-11.3%
Under
25.6%
@ 6.35+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Under
1xBet
6.95
Superbet
5.75
Ural over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.5%
@ 1.48-23.4%
Under
60.5%
@ 2.50+23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.61
1xBet
2.47
Superbet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.47
Ural over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.7%
@ 2.48-21.8%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.49+21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
Marathonbet
2.47
1xBet
2.47
Superbet
2.37
Under
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.47
Ural over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 4.58-14.9%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.13+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Superbet
4.25
Under
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Tekstilshchik over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
44.9%
@ 2.11+0.9%
Under
55.1%
@ 1.66-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.14
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Superbet
2.07
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Tekstilshchik over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
12.0%
@ 6.97-1.2%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.06+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
Superbet
5.90
Under
Marathonbet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Tekstilshchik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 16.00-97.7%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Tekstilshchik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.3%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ural, so a minus line means Ural give that many goals of a start and Tekstilshchik receive them. At -1, Ural must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ural win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ural)Actual: Draw
Ural -2
10.4%
@ 3.14-18.1%
Draw -2
17.0%
@ 3.94-5.7%
Tekstilshchik +2
72.6%
@ 1.83+23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.14
Draw
Marathonbet
3.94
Away
Marathonbet
1.83
Handicap -1 (Ural)Actual: Ural
Ural -1
27.4%
@ 1.90-20.2%
Draw -1
27.0%
@ 3.48+1.0%
Tekstilshchik +1
45.6%
@ 3.44+19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.90
Draw
Marathonbet
3.48
Away
Marathonbet
3.44
Handicap +1 (Ural)Actual: Ural
Ural +1
84.9%
Draw +1
11.2%
Tekstilshchik -1
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ural)Actual: Ural
Ural +2
96.0%
Draw +2
3.3%
Tekstilshchik -2
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ural
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.85
0.31
0.47
0.59
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.64
0.78
0.44
0.46
0.77
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Tekstilshchik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tekstilshchik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.20
0.50
0.00
0.25
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.25
0.33
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (6)
0.33
0.17
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
80% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Ural) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.9%
@ 1.34+2.1%
Under 0.5
29.1%
@ 2.96-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.15
Superbet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.7%
@ 2.66+0.9%
Under 1.5
64.3%
@ 1.42-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.79
Marathonbet
2.69
1xBet
2.69
Superbet
2.47
Under
Superbet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.43
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.5%
@ 6.02-1.4%
Under 2.5
86.5%
@ 1.06+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.40
Superbet
5.25
Under
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ural over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
63.3%
@ 1.50+1.4%
Under
36.7%
@ 2.44-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.46
Under
Pinnacle
2.51
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.35
Ural over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
20.7%
@ 3.57-5.2%
Under
79.3%
@ 1.25+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Ural over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 9.80-5.5%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.01+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Under
1xBet
1.01
Tekstilshchik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
30.7%
@ 3.87+6.8%
Under
69.3%
@ 1.21-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.34
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Under
1xBet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Tekstilshchik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tekstilshchik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ural
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.77
0.38
0.59
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.64
0.44
0.56
0.62
0.69
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Tekstilshchik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tekstilshchik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.60
0.17
1.00
0.75
0.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
0.33
0.67
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (6)
0.17
0.67
0.00
1.33
0.33
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ural) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.1%
Under 0.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.3%
Under 1.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.4%
Under 2.5
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ural over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
67.5%
Under
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ural over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
30.1%
Under
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ural over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tekstilshchik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
38.4%
Under
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tekstilshchik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tekstilshchik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.5%
1.02
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
95.1%
1.10
Pinnacle
1.13
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+11.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.1%
1.13
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
+14.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
88.0%
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
86.5%
1.33
Pinnacle
1.36
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
-
+17.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.5%
1.06
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
84.9%
1.02
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-5.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.5%
1.41
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
-
-
-
+16.0%
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.3%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.4%
1.06
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
-11.3%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.9%
1.34
Pinnacle
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.29
-
+2.1%
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
70.8%
1.70
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.68
-
-
-
+16.8%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ural · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksey Kashtanov23%
Andrey Egorychev20%
Aleksey Ionov17%
Silvije Begić15%
Eric Bicfalvi14%
Danijel Miškić12%
Guilherme Schettine8%
Vladis-Emmerson Illoy-Ayyet6%
Timur Ayupov4%
Ilya Ishkov4%
Ilya Pomazun0%
Artem Mamin0%
Yuri Gazinskiy0%
Egor Filipenko0%
Vladislav Malkevich0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Artem Kontsevoj0%
Alexander Yushin0%
Rai Vloet0%
Kiki Afonso0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Denys Kulakov0%
Fanil Sungatulin0%
Valeri Bocherov0%
Igor Dmitriev0%
Ítalo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Silvije Begić42%
Valeri Bocherov25%
Denys Kulakov19%
Aleksey Ionov17%
Guilherme Schettine17%
Timur Ayupov17%
Danijel Miškić15%
Yuri Gazinskiy14%
Kiki Afonso14%
Ilya Pomazun14%
Egor Filipenko12%
Ítalo12%
Mingiyan Beveev11%
Ilya Ishkov11%
Ibrahima Cisse10%
Eric Bicfalvi9%
Andrey Egorychev8%
Artem Mamin8%
Alexander Yushin8%
Aleksey Kashtanov8%
Vladis-Emmerson Illoy-Ayyet6%
Igor Dmitriev4%
Vladislav Malkevich0%
Artem Kontsevoj0%
Rai Vloet0%
Fanil Sungatulin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrey Egorychev12%
Eric Bicfalvi9%
Ítalo8%
Alexander Yushin8%
Danijel Miškić8%
Igor Dmitriev8%
Ilya Ishkov7%
Timur Ayupov4%
Silvije Begić4%
Denys Kulakov4%
Aleksey Kashtanov4%
Ilya Pomazun0%
Artem Mamin0%
Yuri Gazinskiy0%
Egor Filipenko0%
Vladislav Malkevich0%
Aleksey Ionov0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Artem Kontsevoj0%
Rai Vloet0%
Vladis-Emmerson Illoy-Ayyet0%
Guilherme Schettine0%
Kiki Afonso0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Fanil Sungatulin0%
Valeri Bocherov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Guilherme Schettine17%
Aleksey Kashtanov15%
Eric Bicfalvi14%
Andrey Egorychev12%
Timur Ayupov8%
Alexander Yushin8%
Silvije Begić4%
Igor Dmitriev4%
Ilya Ishkov4%
Ilya Pomazun0%
Artem Mamin0%
Yuri Gazinskiy0%
Egor Filipenko0%
Vladislav Malkevich0%
Aleksey Ionov0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Artem Kontsevoj0%
Rai Vloet0%
Vladis-Emmerson Illoy-Ayyet0%
Kiki Afonso0%
Danijel Miškić0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Denys Kulakov0%
Fanil Sungatulin0%
Valeri Bocherov0%
Ítalo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Ural's squad is €6m more valuable than Tekstilshchik's (€11m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Ural's attack is €2m more valuable than Tekstilshchik's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Ural's midfield is €1m more valuable than Tekstilshchik's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Ural's defence is €2m more valuable than Tekstilshchik's (€4m vs €2m).
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
Veles
FC UFA
Torpedo Moskva
Rotor Volgograd
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Spartak Kostroma
Arsenal Tula
FK Neftekhimik
Enisey
Volga Ulyanovsk
Leningradets
KAMAZ
Chelyabinsk
Ska-khabarovsk