This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.50
1.07
0.93
1.25
2.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
2.60
0.33
1.67
1.50
4.00
vs Similar (25)
1.24
1.28
1.27
0.73
1.21
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Utsikten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.2%
Under 1.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.9%
Under 2.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.6%
Under 3.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.1%
No
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
Utsikten goals ↓
Orebro SK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
3.8%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
1
7.8%
11%
5.3%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.0%
9.9%
5.5%
2.0%
0.6%
3
6.1%
6.8%
3.7%
1.4%
0.4%
4
3.1%
3.5%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Utsikten goals (down), columns = Orebro SK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vasteras SK FK
2.17
Kalmar FF
2.13
Norrby IF
2.00
Orgryte IS
1.87
Oddevold
1.60
Falkenbergs FF
1.53
Hammarby Talang
1.50
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.43
Sandviken
1.37
Landskrona BoIS
1.37
IK brage
1.37
Helsingborg
1.37
GIF Sundsvall
1.33
Ostersunds FK
1.20
Utsikten
0.97
Orebro SK
0.78
Trelleborg
0.73
Umeå FC
0.63
Utsikten is 0.19 points better than Orebro SK in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 0.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vasteras SK FK
2.07
Norrby IF
2.00
Orgryte IS
1.90
Falkenbergs FF
1.77
Kalmar FF
1.73
IK brage
1.70
Utsikten
1.53
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.50
Oddevold
1.40
Helsingborg
1.40
Landskrona BoIS
1.30
Orebro SK
1.25
Sandviken
1.20
GIF Sundsvall
1.20
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Umeå FC
1.00
Trelleborg
0.77
Hammarby Talang
0.50
Utsikten is 0.28 goals better than Orebro SK in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hammarby Talang
0.50
Kalmar FF
0.70
Vasteras SK FK
1.00
Orgryte IS
1.10
Falkenbergs FF
1.20
Oddevold
1.20
GIF Sundsvall
1.27
Helsingborg
1.30
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.40
Norrby IF
1.50
Sandviken
1.57
Landskrona BoIS
1.57
Ostersunds FK
1.70
IK brage
1.70
Trelleborg
1.70
Orebro SK
1.72
Utsikten
1.78
Umeå FC
1.90
Utsikten is 0.06 goals worse than Orebro SK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 1.72).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby Talang
64%
Landskrona BoIS
63%
Sandviken
56%
Ostersunds FK
56%
Kalmar FF
53%
Vasteras SK FK
53%
Orebro SK
52%
IK brage
52%
GIF Sundsvall
48%
Trelleborg
48%
Helsingborg
48%
Utsikten
47%
Orgryte IS
47%
Varbergs BoIS FC
46%
Umeå FC
44%
Oddevold
44%
Norrby IF
42%
Falkenbergs FF
41%
Utsikten is 5.0 percentage points worse than Orebro SK in terms of average possession (47% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Utsikten
For 4.8 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 12.3 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Orebro SK
For 5.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.4 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Utsikten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.1
10.9
3.2
3.7
2.7
27.3
26.9
27.7
vs Stronger (2)
9.0
-
9.0
3.0
-
3.0
30.0
-
30.0
vs Similar (44)
11.2
11.0
11.6
3.0
3.6
2.4
27.5
27.4
27.6
vs Weaker (4)
9.8
12.0
9.0
4.8
5.0
4.7
25.2
19.0
27.3
% over line
61%
65%
57%
44%
54%
35%
81%
71%
93%
% under line
39%
35%
43%
56%
46%
65%
19%
29%
7%
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.6
9.9
2.0
2.5
1.7
23.5
23.2
23.7
vs Stronger (7)
10.0
10.0
10.0
1.9
2.0
1.8
31.0
37.0
28.0
vs Similar (43)
9.2
8.5
9.9
2.1
2.5
1.7
22.6
22.2
23.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
50%
53%
26%
35%
19%
55%
50%
60%
% under line
48%
50%
47%
74%
65%
81%
45%
50%
40%
This opponent (Utsikten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Orgryte IS
11.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.8
Trelleborg
10.7
Helsingborg
10.7
Vasteras SK FK
10.7
Umeå FC
10.6
GIF Sundsvall
10.5
IK brage
10.4
Sandviken
10.3
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
Utsikten
10.3
Orebro SK
10.2
Ostersunds FK
10.2
Norrby IF
9.9
Kalmar FF
9.8
Oddevold
9.2
Falkenbergs FF
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.1
Umeå FC
4.6
Norrby IF
4.3
Landskrona BoIS
4.2
Ostersunds FK
4.1
Helsingborg
4.1
Orgryte IS
3.9
Falkenbergs FF
3.9
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.9
Sandviken
3.9
Orebro SK
3.8
Trelleborg
3.7
Oddevold
3.6
IK brage
3.4
Vasteras SK FK
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
Kalmar FF
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Umeå FC
28.7
Utsikten
28.3
Varbergs BoIS FC
27.6
Ostersunds FK
25.5
Trelleborg
25.1
Falkenbergs FF
24.9
Norrby IF
24.6
IK brage
24.2
Sandviken
24.1
Landskrona BoIS
23.8
Helsingborg
23.8
Kalmar FF
23.7
Orebro SK
23.4
Vasteras SK FK
23.3
Orgryte IS
22.9
Oddevold
20.6
GIF Sundsvall
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.3%
Under 9.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.3%
Under 3.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.7%
Under 21.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Utsikten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.57
0.57
0.38
0.75
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.50
0.65
0.57
0.57
0.42
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
-
-
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.36
0.43
0.69
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.60
0.00
1.33
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.48
0.45
0.18
0.64
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Utsikten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Utsikten over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utsikten over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utsikten over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Utsikten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.00
1.43
0.93
0.69
1.06
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.04
0.92
1.43
0.93
0.58
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.33
-
-
1.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.71
0.50
0.56
1.12
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.33
0.33
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.80
0.82
0.55
0.57
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Utsikten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Utsikten over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utsikten over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utsikten over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Utsikten
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Johansson38%
Adil Titi33%
Amadou Sanyang33%
Karl Bohm27%
Mass Sise25%
Arian Kabashi21%
Robin Book20%
Sebastian Lagerlund14%
Abundance Salaou7%
Malkolm Moenza6%
Noah Johansson6%
Oliver Gustafsson0%
Tom Amos0%
Alexander Faltsetas0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Kevin Rodeblad Lowe0%
Wiggo Hjort0%
Johannes Selven0%
Enzo Andrén0%
Vilhelm Gunnarsson0%
Alvin Karlsson0%
Edmond Berisha0%
David Tokpah0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Arian Kabashi50%
Alexander Faltsetas40%
Robin Book33%
Adil Titi33%
Sebastian Lagerlund29%
Kevin Rodeblad Lowe27%
Wiggo Hjort25%
Alexander Johansson23%
Noah Johansson18%
Abundance Salaou13%
Mass Sise12%
Malkolm Moenza12%
Enzo Andrén10%
Karl Bohm9%
Oliver Gustafsson0%
Tom Amos0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Amadou Sanyang0%
Johannes Selven0%
Vilhelm Gunnarsson0%
Alvin Karlsson0%
Edmond Berisha0%
David Tokpah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Malkolm Moenza24%
Robin Book13%
Alvin Karlsson12%
Noah Johansson12%
Alexander Johansson8%
Kevin Rodeblad Lowe7%
Oliver Gustafsson0%
Karl Bohm0%
Arian Kabashi0%
Tom Amos0%
Adil Titi0%
Alexander Faltsetas0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Mass Sise0%
Sebastian Lagerlund0%
Wiggo Hjort0%
Abundance Salaou0%
Amadou Sanyang0%
Johannes Selven0%
Enzo Andrén0%
Vilhelm Gunnarsson0%
Edmond Berisha0%
David Tokpah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vilhelm Gunnarsson25%
Karl Bohm18%
Alexander Johansson8%
Robin Book7%
Mass Sise6%
Noah Johansson6%
Oliver Gustafsson0%
Arian Kabashi0%
Malkolm Moenza0%
Tom Amos0%
Adil Titi0%
Alexander Faltsetas0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Kevin Rodeblad Lowe0%
Sebastian Lagerlund0%
Wiggo Hjort0%
Abundance Salaou0%
Amadou Sanyang0%
Johannes Selven0%
Enzo Andrén0%
Alvin Karlsson0%
Edmond Berisha0%
David Tokpah0%
Orebro SK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmed Yasin33%
Karl Holmberg29%
Karl Linus Alperud23%
Erik McCue15%
Sebastian Tipura14%
Antonio Yakoub12%
Hampus Söderstrom7%
Samuel Kroon6%
Joseph Baffo0%
Jesper Modig0%
Lucas Shlimon0%
Erik Andersson0%
Malte Pahlsson0%
Dino Salihović0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Melvin Bajrovic0%
Oskar Käck0%
Aleksandar Azizovic0%
Hamse Shagaxle0%
Buster Runheim0%
Elai Ali Fadel0%
Ludvig Richtnér0%
Charlie Swartling0%
Wessam Dukhan0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa0%
Lowe Astvald0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John Stenberg50%
Hampus Söderstrom36%
Joseph Baffo33%
Wessam Dukhan33%
Sebastian Tipura29%
Samuel Kroon25%
Erik McCue23%
Oskar Käck20%
Hamse Shagaxle20%
Elai Ali Fadel18%
Jesper Modig17%
Lucas Shlimon15%
Karl Holmberg12%
Antonio Yakoub12%
Malte Pahlsson10%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa10%
Karl Linus Alperud8%
Erik Andersson6%
Melvin Bajrovic6%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Dino Salihović0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Aleksandar Azizovic0%
Buster Runheim0%
Ludvig Richtnér0%
Charlie Swartling0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Lowe Astvald0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ahmed Yasin33%
Dino Salihović25%
Karl Linus Alperud15%
Antonio Yakoub12%
Erik McCue8%
Erik Andersson6%
Samuel Kroon6%
Melvin Bajrovic6%
Joseph Baffo0%
Jesper Modig0%
Lucas Shlimon0%
Malte Pahlsson0%
Karl Holmberg0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Hampus Söderstrom0%
Oskar Käck0%
Aleksandar Azizovic0%
Hamse Shagaxle0%
Buster Runheim0%
Elai Ali Fadel0%
Sebastian Tipura0%
Ludvig Richtnér0%
Charlie Swartling0%
Wessam Dukhan0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa0%
Lowe Astvald0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Yakoub35%
Ahmed Yasin33%
Karl Holmberg18%
Karl Linus Alperud15%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa10%
Joseph Baffo0%
Jesper Modig0%
Lucas Shlimon0%
Erik Andersson0%
Malte Pahlsson0%
Erik McCue0%
Samuel Kroon0%
Dino Salihović0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Melvin Bajrovic0%
Hampus Söderstrom0%
Oskar Käck0%
Aleksandar Azizovic0%
Hamse Shagaxle0%
Buster Runheim0%
Elai Ali Fadel0%
Sebastian Tipura0%
Ludvig Richtnér0%
Charlie Swartling0%
Wessam Dukhan0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Lowe Astvald0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Sweden: Superettan 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
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Vasteras SK FK
Kalmar FF
Orgryte IS
Oddevold
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Helsingborg
IK brage
Landskrona BoIS
Sandviken
GIF Sundsvall
Ostersunds FK
Trelleborg
Umeå FC
Norrby IF
Hammarby Talang