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Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Stats

Date: 08/11/2026
Time: 16:00
Valencia
Valencia
Vs
16%
24%
60%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Spain: La Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Away win is the clear favourite, with a 58% chance versus 25% for a draw and 18% for a home victory. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals on average, and the most likely total is two goals, a 25% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.7% chance. Valencia, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages one goal scored and 1.67 conceded. Real Madrid, on the road to a weaker side, averages 1.56 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. Valencia’s recent run of LLDWW ended with a 1-3 loss to Deportivo La Coruna, while Real Madrid’s five-game winning streak finished 4-0 over Malaga. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Under 6.5 (98.5%), Under 5.5 (95.7%), Home under 2.5 goals (93.9%), Away +2 handicap (93.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (91.8%), and Under 4.5 (88.9%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win
16.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid win
60.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ValenciaValencia

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D21W02L10W11D43W31W00D01L13LA·MAL21/04H·GIR25/04H·ATL02/05A·ATH10/05H·RAY14/05A·REA17/05H·BAR23/05H·CEL22/08H·REA25/08A·DEP30/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.301.271.331.331.27
vs Stronger (4)1.001.751.001.671.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.291.331.331.251.251.42
vs Weaker (2)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W11D20W02L20W10W42W21W41W40WH·ALA21/04A·REA24/04A·ESP03/05A·BAR10/05H·OVI14/05A·SEV17/05H·ATH23/05A·ESP22/08H·REA26/08H·MAL30/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.102.750.941.571.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.891.782.251.251.602.20
vs Weaker (21)2.330.812.920.831.560.78
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.4%
Under 2.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.1%
Under 3.5
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
0-2
11.0%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
Valencia goals ↓
Real Madrid goals →
01234
07.0%10%11%7.0%3.3%
14.4%11%9.9%6.3%3.0%
22.4%4.7%4.5%2.8%1.4%
30.7%1.4%1.3%0.9%0.4%
40.2%0.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valencia goals (down), columns = Real Madrid goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barcelona
2.47
Real Madrid
2.26
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.82
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.42
Getafe
1.34
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Valencia
1.29
Real Sociedad
1.21
Espanyol
1.21
Athletic Club
1.18
Sevilla
1.13
Elche
1.13
Alaves
1.13
Levante
1.11
Osasuna
1.11
Malaga
1.10
Racing Santander
1.10
Deportivo La Coruna
1.08
Valencia is 0.97 points worse than Real Madrid in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 2.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.50
Real Madrid
2.03
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.63
Real Sociedad
1.55
Real Betis
1.55
Celta Vigo
1.39
Elche
1.29
Levante
1.24
Sevilla
1.21
Valencia
1.21
Osasuna
1.16
Alaves
1.16
Athletic Club
1.13
Espanyol
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Malaga
1.08
Racing Santander
1.08
Deportivo La Coruna
1.06
Getafe
0.84
Valencia is 0.82 goals worse than Real Madrid in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 2.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Getafe
1.00
Atletico Madrid
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.16
Villarreal
1.21
Real Betis
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.26
Osasuna
1.32
Valencia
1.45
Espanyol
1.45
Alaves
1.47
Elche
1.50
Athletic Club
1.53
Sevilla
1.58
Levante
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.61
Malaga
1.69
Racing Santander
1.69
Deportivo La Coruna
1.72
Valencia is 0.53 goals worse than Real Madrid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
59%
Elche
58%
Rayo Vallecano
53%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Sociedad
51%
Sevilla
51%
Celta Vigo
50%
Real Betis
50%
Athletic Club
49%
Alaves
48%
Valencia
48%
Osasuna
47%
Villarreal
45%
Levante
43%
Espanyol
42%
Getafe
40%
Valencia is 11.8 percentage points worse than Real Madrid in terms of average possession (48% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ValenciaValencia

For 4.2 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

180558212782351513174447101031556188811A·DEPH·REAH·CELH·BARA·REAH·RAYA·ATHH·ATLH·GIRA·MAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

5013212322141132132224354525442A·DEPH·REAH·CELH·BARA·REAH·RAYA·ATHH·ATLH·GIRA·MAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.4

⚠️ Fouls

3405141011171711811139207991222812919213419242916213021A·DEPH·REAH·CELH·BARA·REAH·RAYA·ATHH·ATLH·GIRA·MAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Real MadridReal Madrid

For 6.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

15096478214445846567961511838912111315H·MALH·REAA·ESPH·ATHA·SEVH·OVIA·BARA·ESPA·REAH·ALA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

90233152442432111812662467329H·MALH·REAA·ESPH·ATHA·SEVA·BARA·ESPA·REAH·ALAA·BAY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 14.7 · Total 24.2

⚠️ Fouls

3506910871962012187149181619810141215182626302127351826H·MALH·REAA·ESPH·ATHA·SEVH·OVIA·BARA·ESPA·REAH·ALA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ValenciaValencia

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.39.93.94.23.724.525.823.2
vs Stronger (6)11.212.010.02.72.53.021.621.022.5
vs Similar (40)9.28.99.64.04.63.524.826.623.0
vs Weaker (4)11.7-11.74.8-4.825.0-25.0
% over line46%40%52%60%62%58%63%75%52%
% under line54%60%48%40%38%42%37%25%48%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.110.811.33.63.93.323.623.623.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (14)11.010.411.64.13.84.222.524.420.6
vs Weaker (36)11.111.011.23.43.92.923.923.324.7
% over line71%65%78%46%42%50%66%65%67%
% under line29%35%22%54%58%50%34%35%33%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Atletico Madrid
10.8
Rayo Vallecano
10.8
Racing Santander
10.8
Barcelona
10.8
Real Madrid
10.7
Alaves
10.6
Real Sociedad
10.3
Levante
10.1
Valencia
9.8
Athletic Club
9.7
Espanyol
9.6
Sevilla
9.3
Villarreal
9.2
Deportivo La Coruna
9.1
Osasuna
9.1
Malaga
9.0
Real Betis
9.0
Getafe
8.7
Elche
8.3
Celta Vigo
7.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.3
Getafe
5.6
Rayo Vallecano
5.6
Sevilla
5.2
Malaga
5.2
Real Sociedad
5.1
Deportivo La Coruna
5.1
Osasuna
5.0
Real Madrid
4.9
Espanyol
4.9
Alaves
4.8
Celta Vigo
4.7
Levante
4.7
Elche
4.7
Valencia
4.6
Athletic Club
4.6
Real Betis
4.6
Villarreal
4.4
Barcelona
4.3
Atletico Madrid
4.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Getafe
29.4
Alaves
28.7
Elche
28.1
Sevilla
27.7
Racing Santander
26.8
Real Sociedad
26.6
Espanyol
26.1
Rayo Vallecano
25.6
Athletic Club
25.1
Osasuna
25.0
Celta Vigo
24.9
Villarreal
24.8
Malaga
24.7
Levante
24.4
Valencia
24.3
Real Madrid
23.6
Deportivo La Coruna
23.4
Real Betis
23.3
Barcelona
21.8
Atletico Madrid
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.0%
Under 9.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.9%
Under 3.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.4%
Under 21.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Valencia or Draw
43.2%
Avg Implied -
16%
24%
60%
covers Valencia + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Valencia or Real Madrid
73.9%
Avg Implied -
16%
24%
60%
covers Valencia + Real Madrid
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Real Madrid
82.8%
Avg Implied -
16%
24%
60%
covers Draw + Real Madrid
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Valencia over/under 0.5
Over
56.9%
Under
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5
Over
20.6%
Under
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5
Over
5.4%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 3.5
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5
Over
81.8%
Under
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5
Over
50.9%
Under
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5
Over
24.4%
Under
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 3.5
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Valencia, so a minus line means Valencia give that many goals of a start and Real Madrid receive them. At -1, Valencia must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Valencia win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Valencia)
Valencia -2
1.4%
Draw -2
4.4%
Real Madrid +2
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Valencia)
Valencia -1
5.7%
Draw -1
11.5%
Real Madrid +1
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Valencia)
Valencia +1
43.2%
Draw +1
24.4%
Real Madrid -1
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Valencia)
Valencia +2
67.6%
Draw +2
17.9%
Real Madrid -2
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ValenciaValencia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D11D21W00D00D00D12LA·MAL21/04H·GIR25/04H·ATL02/05A·ATH10/05H·RAY14/05A·REA17/05H·BAR23/05H·CEL22/08H·REA25/08A·DEP30/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.430.270.270.600.60
vs Stronger (4)0.000.250.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.460.500.330.330.580.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D02L10W10W21W11D11D30WH·ALA21/04A·REA24/04A·ESP03/05A·BAR10/05H·OVI14/05A·SEV17/05H·ATH23/05A·ESP22/08H·REA26/08H·MAL30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.601.250.440.640.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.001.111.000.751.001.40
vs Weaker (21)0.950.381.330.330.440.44
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valencia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ValenciaValencia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D21W02L10W00D22D31W00D01L01LA·MAL21/04H·GIR25/04H·ATL02/05A·ATH10/05H·RAY14/05A·REA17/05H·BAR23/05H·CEL22/08H·REA25/08A·DEP30/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.871.001.070.730.67
vs Stronger (4)1.001.501.001.671.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.830.831.000.920.670.75
vs Weaker (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L20W00D10W00D21W10W30W10WH·ALA21/04A·REA24/04A·ESP03/05A·BAR10/05H·OVI14/05A·SEV17/05H·ATH23/05A·ESP22/08H·REA26/08H·MAL30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.501.500.500.930.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.671.250.500.600.80
vs Weaker (21)1.380.431.580.501.110.33
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valencia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals98.9%-------
Under 6.598.4%-------
Under 5.595.5%-------
Home under 2.5 goals94.6%-------
Away +2 handicap94.3%-------
Away under 3.5 goals90.6%-------
Under 4.588.5%-------
Over 19.5 fouls87.4%-------
Over 2.5 cards86.6%-------
Draw or Away82.8%-------
Away +1 handicap82.8%-------
Away over 0.5 goals81.8%-------
Home under 1.5 goals79.4%-------
Over 1.578.2%-------
Over 21.5 fouls76.4%-------
Away under 2.5 goals75.6%-------
Home or Away73.9%-------
Over 3.5 cards71.9%-------
Under 11.5 corners71.6%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Valencia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Umar Sadiq33%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Mouctar Diakhaby0%
Aliou Dieng0%
Hugo Duro0%
Pepelu0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Filip Ugrinić0%
Jesús Vázquez0%
Javier Guerra0%
César Tárrega0%
Ryunosuke Sato0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mouctar Diakhaby67%
Stole Dimitrievski33%
Ryunosuke Sato33%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Aliou Dieng0%
Umar Sadiq0%
Hugo Duro0%
Pepelu0%
Filip Ugrinić0%
Jesús Vázquez0%
Javier Guerra0%
César Tárrega0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Mouctar Diakhaby0%
Aliou Dieng0%
Umar Sadiq0%
Hugo Duro0%
Pepelu0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Filip Ugrinić0%
Jesús Vázquez0%
Javier Guerra0%
César Tárrega0%
Ryunosuke Sato0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Arnaut Danjuma33%
Mouctar Diakhaby0%
Aliou Dieng0%
Umar Sadiq0%
Hugo Duro0%
Pepelu0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Filip Ugrinić0%
Jesús Vázquez0%
Javier Guerra0%
César Tárrega0%
Ryunosuke Sato0%
Real Madrid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kylian Mbappé67%
Jude Bellingham67%
Vinícius Júnior33%
Arda Güler33%
Bernardo Silva0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Federico Valverde0%
Dean Huijsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vinícius Júnior33%
Kylian Mbappé0%
Bernardo Silva0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Federico Valverde0%
Jude Bellingham0%
Arda Güler0%
Dean Huijsen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vinícius Júnior67%
Federico Valverde33%
Jude Bellingham33%
Arda Güler33%
Kylian Mbappé0%
Bernardo Silva0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Dean Huijsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kylian Mbappé100%
Vinícius Júnior33%
Jude Bellingham33%
Bernardo Silva0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Federico Valverde0%
Arda Güler0%
Dean Huijsen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (27)
€41m
Valencia's squad is €1331m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€125m vs €1456m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
Valencia's attack is €802m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€40m vs €842m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
Valencia's midfield is €192m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€46m vs €238m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (11)
€9m
Valencia's defence is €338m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€39m vs €377m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
VAL wins
1
Draws
5
RM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Valencia vs Real Madrid · H/A from VAL
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/26HVAL Vs Real Madrid0-2
01/11/25AReal Madrid Vs VAL4-0
05/04/25AReal Madrid Vs VAL1-2
03/01/25HVAL Vs Real Madrid1-2
02/03/24HVAL Vs Real Madrid2-2
11/11/23AReal Madrid Vs VAL5-1
21/05/23HVAL Vs Real Madrid1-0
02/02/23AReal Madrid Vs VAL2-0

ValenciaValencia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ADeportivo La Coruna Vs VAL3-1
25/08/26HVAL Vs Real Betis0-1
22/08/26HVAL Vs Celta Vigo0-0
23/05/26HVAL Vs Barcelona3-1
17/05/26AReal Sociedad Vs VAL3-4
14/05/26HVAL Vs Rayo Vallecano1-1
10/05/26AAthletic Club Vs VAL0-1
02/05/26HVAL Vs Atletico Madrid0-2
25/04/26HVAL Vs Girona2-1
21/04/26AMallorca Vs VAL1-1

Real MadridReal Madrid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HRM Vs Malaga4-0
26/08/26HRM Vs Real Sociedad4-1
22/08/26AEspanyol Vs RM1-2
23/05/26HRM Vs Athletic Club4-2
17/05/26ASevilla Vs RM0-1
14/05/26HRM Vs Oviedo2-0
10/05/26ABarcelona Vs RM2-0
03/05/26AEspanyol Vs RM0-2
24/04/26AReal Betis Vs RM1-1
21/04/26HRM Vs Alaves2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Valencia
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.28
HomeLDWDL1.42
AwayLDWWL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%31%
AVG goals2.542.422.65
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %40%38%42%
Over 3.5 %22%17%27%
Scored1.241.291.19
Conceded1.301.121.46
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet28%25%31%
Corners9.679.679.68
Cards4.694.964.44
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.08
HomeWWWWW2.42
AwayDWLWW1.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%79%54%
AVG goals3.343.503.19
Over 1.5 %86%92%81%
Over 2.5 %64%71%58%
Over 3.5 %36%42%31%
Scored2.182.581.81
Conceded1.160.921.38
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet32%29%35%
Corners10.7211.0410.42
Cards4.945.004.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BarcelonaBarcelona39
100%
3.0
122+10
4.7
100%
67%
67%
11.3
67%
1.7
0%
19.7
33%
1282
5903243684.00.7
69%
2Real MadridReal Madrid39
100%
3.0
102+8
4.0
100%
100%
67%
11.3
67%
4.7
67%
19.7
33%
1456
8422383773.30.7
59%
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid37
67%
2.3
73+4
3.3
100%
67%
67%
7.0
0%
5.0
100%
29.7
100%
653
2901552082.31.0
53%
4AlavesAlaves37
67%
2.3
51+4
2.0
67%
33%
0%
12.7
67%
5.3
67%
26.3
100%
68
2422221.70.3
48%
5OsasunaOsasuna37
67%
2.3
31+2
1.3
33%
33%
0%
8.3
33%
5.0
33%
25.0
67%
71
2512331.00.3
47%
6SevillaSevilla36
67%
2.0
65+1
3.7
100%
100%
67%
7.3
33%
7.0
100%
33.0
100%
134
4523652.01.7
51%
7Real BetisReal Betis36
67%
2.0
45-1
3.0
33%
33%
33%
10.7
67%
3.7
33%
19.3
0%
235
13133701.31.7
50%
8Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna35
33%
1.7
53+2
2.7
100%
33%
33%
9.7
67%
4.3
100%
24.0
67%
84
4913221.71.0
-
9LevanteLevante34
33%
1.3
55+0
3.3
67%
67%
33%
9.0
67%
2.7
0%
20.3
33%
89
5116221.71.7
43%
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander34
33%
1.3
55+0
3.3
67%
67%
67%
15.0
100%
4.3
67%
31.7
100%
89
3428281.71.7
-
11Real SociedadReal Sociedad44
25%
1.0
36-3
2.2
50%
50%
25%
11.0
75%
5.8
100%
24.5
50%
247
11058790.81.5
51%
12EspanyolEspanyol33
33%
1.0
54+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
6.3
33%
5.0
67%
27.7
100%
119
3931481.71.3
42%
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club33
33%
1.0
35-2
2.7
100%
33%
33%
13.3
100%
4.7
33%
23.7
67%
241
10657771.01.7
49%
14GetafeGetafe33
33%
1.0
14-3
1.7
33%
33%
0%
8.7
33%
7.0
100%
30.3
100%
90
3628260.31.3
40%
15VillarrealVillarreal32
0%
0.7
45-1
3.0
67%
67%
67%
12.7
67%
5.7
100%
25.3
100%
325
124521481.31.7
45%
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo42
0%
0.5
14-3
1.2
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
4.0
50%
27.0
100%
163
5735710.21.0
50%
17ValenciaValencia31
0%
0.3
14-3
1.7
33%
33%
33%
7.7
67%
4.0
67%
24.7
33%
125
4046390.31.3
48%
18Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano31
0%
0.3
48-4
4.0
100%
67%
33%
11.0
67%
4.3
33%
26.0
67%
76
309361.32.7
53%
19ElcheElche31
0%
0.3
39-6
4.0
100%
67%
67%
9.0
33%
2.7
33%
30.0
100%
79
3412331.03.0
58%
20MalagaMalaga31
0%
0.3
17-6
2.7
100%
33%
33%
11.0
67%
4.0
67%
22.3
67%
41
26690.32.3
-
Spain: La Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →

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