Valencia vs Sevilla Result & Analysis

Valencia are tipped to win, the model’s pick, with a 50% chance of a home victory, a 28% chance of a draw and a 22% chance of a Sevilla win. The average goal output is 2.5, so a two-goal match is expected, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.4% probability. Valencia’s home form shows they average 1.62 goals scored and 0.69 conceded against similarly strong opponents, while Sevilla’s away form is weaker, with 0.67 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 93.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 92.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 86.4%, Over 3.5 cards at 83.1%, Under 3.5 at 76.6%, Over 23.5 fouls at 75.5%, Over 1.5 at 71.7% and Over 8.5 corners at 71.4%. Valencia have recently lost twice in a row, while Sevilla are coming off a defeat.

The draw was a shock, especially after Valencia’s recent run of two straight defeats that left them looking for a lift. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was given a 50% probability, but the model’s call was wrong as the match ended 1-1. The model’s selection of Over 19.5 fouls hit at 93.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 92.9% also hit, as did Over 21.5 fouls at 86.4%, Over 3.5 cards at 83.1%, Under 3.5 at 76.6%, Over 23.5 fouls at 75.5%, Over 1.5 at 71.7%, while Over 8.5 corners missed at 71.4%. All figures are reported once, in a neutral tone.