Valencia vs Villarreal Result & Analysis

Valencia are the clear favourites to win at home, with a 45% chance of triumph, a 29% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of a Villarreal victory. The model predicts a 2-goal match, most likely ending 1-1 with a 13.8% probability. Valencia’s home form shows they average 1.5 goals scored and only 0.75 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Villarreal’s away record is 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. The match is expected to feature a high number of fouls and cards, with the model’s selections including Over 19.5 fouls at 91.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 88.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.6%, Under 3.5 at 76.5%, Over 8.5 corners at 71.9%, Over 1.5 at 71.8%, and Over 23.5 fouls at 71.5%. The only selection that is likely to miss is Over 3.5 cards at 75.9%. Valencia’s recent run of two straight defeats is balanced by a win in their last match, while Villarreal are coming off a loss, adding intrigue to the encounter.

Valencia extended their run of form with a 2-1 win over Villarreal, a result that matched the model’s prediction. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 45% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections largely came in: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 91.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 88.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.6%, Under 3.5 at 76.5%, Over 8.5 corners at 71.9%, Over 1.5 at 71.8%, and Over 23.5 fouls at 71.5%. Only Over 3.5 cards missed, coming in at 75.9%. The match finished 2-1, confirming the model’s overall assessment.