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Van vs Ararat Result & Analysis

Date: 19/08/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 1-2
Van
Van
Vs
34%
30%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ararat
Ararat
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Van win✗ Miss
34.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ararat win✓ Hit
35.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

VanVan

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L04L31W14L30W01L01L01L10W00DH·FC 02/05A·PYU07/05H·ARA15/05A·ARA22/05H·SHI26/05H·ALA31/05A·FC 04/06A·FC 29/07H·SHI05/08A·ALA14/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.671.121.380.932.00
vs Stronger (13)0.462.540.502.500.432.57
vs Similar (14)1.291.141.250.751.331.67
vs Weaker (3)2.330.332.500.502.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AraratArarat

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D13L10W30W11D11D13L11D10WA·ARA03/05A·SHI08/05A·VAN15/05H·FC 20/05A·LER25/05H·BKM30/05A·FC 06/06H·ARA30/07A·PYU06/08H·WES12/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.200.821.241.081.15
vs Stronger (18)0.891.440.901.400.881.50
vs Similar (12)1.000.830.711.001.400.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%019%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.0%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.5%
Under 2.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.7%
Under 3.5
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
1-2 ✓
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
Van goals ↓
Ararat goals →
01234
011%9.8%6.7%2.7%0.8%
19.6%14%7.9%3.2%1.0%
26.4%7.7%4.6%1.9%0.6%
32.5%3.0%1.8%0.7%0.2%
40.7%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Van goals (down), columns = Ararat goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Pyunik Yerevan
2.28
FC Noah
2.22
Ararat-Armenia
2.08
FC Urartu
1.39
Alashkert
1.25
Ararat
1.25
West Armenia
1.03
Shirak
0.92
Van
0.89
BKMA
0.75
Van is 0.36 points worse than Ararat in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.25).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pyunik Yerevan
2.33
Ararat-Armenia
2.03
FC Noah
1.92
Alashkert
1.50
FC Urartu
1.36
West Armenia
1.19
Ararat
1.08
Van
0.89
BKMA
0.89
Shirak
0.78
Van is 0.19 goals worse than Ararat in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.08).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pyunik Yerevan
0.78
FC Noah
0.92
Ararat-Armenia
0.94
Shirak
1.28
FC Urartu
1.36
Ararat
1.39
Alashkert
1.56
Van
1.86
BKMA
1.86
West Armenia
2.03
Van is 0.47 goals worse than Ararat in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 1.39).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VanVan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L10W11D20W01L01L01L00D00DH·FC 02/05A·PYU07/05H·ARA15/05A·ARA22/05H·SHI26/05H·ALA31/05A·FC 04/06A·FC 29/07H·SHI05/08A·ALA14/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.670.310.500.430.86
vs Stronger (13)0.080.920.000.500.141.29
vs Similar (14)0.500.500.380.500.670.50
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AraratArarat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L00D20W00D11D10W11D10WA·ARA03/05A·SHI08/05A·VAN15/05H·FC 20/05A·LER25/05H·BKM30/05A·FC 06/06H·ARA30/07A·PYU06/08H·WES12/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.350.650.770.62
vs Stronger (18)0.670.780.600.700.750.88
vs Similar (12)0.330.420.000.570.800.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Van over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VanVan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L02L21W03L10W00D00D00D10W00DH·FC 02/05A·PYU07/05H·ARA15/05A·ARA22/05H·SHI26/05H·ALA31/05A·FC 04/06A·FC 29/07H·SHI05/08A·ALA14/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.000.810.880.501.14
vs Stronger (13)0.381.620.502.000.291.29
vs Similar (14)0.790.640.880.250.671.17
vs Weaker (3)1.330.001.500.001.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AraratArarat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D12L10W10W11D00D03L00D00DA·ARA03/05A·SHI08/05A·VAN15/05H·FC 20/05A·LER25/05H·BKM30/05A·FC 06/06H·ARA30/07A·PYU06/08H·WES12/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.570.470.590.310.54
vs Stronger (18)0.220.670.300.700.120.62
vs Similar (12)0.670.420.710.430.600.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Van over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
Van's squad is €1m less valuable than Ararat's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
Van and Ararat have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
Van and Ararat have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
Van and Ararat have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
VAN wins
0
Draws
2
ARA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Van vs Ararat · H/A from VAN
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/23HVAN Vs Ararat3-1
10/03/23AArarat Vs VAN1-3
29/10/22HVAN Vs Ararat0-2
27/08/22AArarat Vs VAN1-0

VanVan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/23AAlashkert Vs VAN0-0
05/08/23HVAN Vs Shirak1-0
29/07/23AFC Noah Vs VAN1-0
04/06/23AFC Noah Vs VAN1-0
31/05/23HVAN Vs Alashkert0-1
26/05/23HVAN Vs Shirak3-0
22/05/23AArarat-Armenia Vs VAN4-1
15/05/23HVAN Vs Ararat3-1
07/05/23APyunik Yerevan Vs VAN4-0
02/05/23HVAN Vs FC Urartu0-5

AraratArarat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/23HARA Vs West Armenia1-0
06/08/23APyunik Yerevan Vs ARA1-1
30/07/23HARA Vs Ararat-Armenia1-3
06/06/23AFC Urartu Vs ARA1-1
30/05/23HARA Vs BKMA1-1
25/05/23ALernayin Artsakh Vs ARA0-3
20/05/23HARA Vs FC Noah1-0
15/05/23AVan Vs ARA3-1
08/05/23AShirak Vs ARA0-0
03/05/23AArarat-Armenia Vs ARA2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Van
Van
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.13
HomeLWWLW1.16
AwayLLLLD1.10
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%32%30%
AVG goals2.542.742.35
Over 1.5 %64%74%55%
Over 2.5 %49%58%40%
Over 3.5 %36%37%35%
Scored1.001.160.85
Conceded1.541.581.50
BTTS36%42%30%
Clean Sheet28%21%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Ararat
Ararat
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDW1.05
HomeLWDLW1.10
AwayDLWDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%29%25%
AVG goals2.052.102.00
Over 1.5 %63%57%70%
Over 2.5 %37%33%40%
Over 3.5 %15%24%5%
Scored0.830.810.85
Conceded1.221.291.15
BTTS41%38%45%
Clean Sheet39%38%40%
Corners11.509.0014.00
Cards5.504.007.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan3682
67%
2.3
8428+56
3.1
86%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.30.8
-
2FC NoahFC Noah3680
72%
2.2
6933+36
2.8
67%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5341.90.9
-
3Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia3675
64%
2.1
7334+39
3.0
83%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.00.9
-
4FC UrartuFC Urartu3650
36%
1.4
4949+0
2.7
81%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.4
-
5AlashkertAlashkert3645
36%
1.2
5456-2
3.1
81%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.51.6
-
6AraratArarat3645
36%
1.2
3950-11
2.5
75%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.11.4
-
7West ArmeniaWest Armenia3637
31%
1.0
4373-30
3.2
78%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
8ShirakShirak3633
22%
0.9
2846-18
2.1
56%
31%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.3
-
9VanVan3632
22%
0.9
3267-35
2.8
75%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
10BKMABKMA3627
19%
0.8
3267-35
2.8
69%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.9
-
Armenia: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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