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Van vs BKMA Result & Analysis

Date: 22/11/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 2-3
Van
Van
Vs
56%
21%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BKMA
BKMA
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Van win✗ Miss
56.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
BKMA win✓ Hit
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

VanVan

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-660W10W11D30W13L13L05L01L40W31WH·WES31/08A·BKM13/09H·FC 19/09A·ARA23/09H·PYU06/10A·FC 16/10A·FC 20/10A·PYU28/10H·ARA05/11H·FC 11/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.301.871.470.931.13
vs Stronger (14)0.861.930.881.750.832.17
vs Similar (16)1.880.753.001.141.000.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BKMABKMA

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L14L21W02L10W61W12L02L24L24LH·VAN13/09A·PYU20/09H·FC 25/09A·ARA29/09H·ALA07/10A·GAN19/10H·PYU23/10A·ALA27/10H·ARA02/11A·FC 06/11
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.072.000.641.861.442.12
vs Stronger (21)1.292.290.892.221.582.33
vs Similar (9)0.561.330.201.201.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%116%220%320%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.6%
Under 1.5
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.3%
Under 2.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.1%
Under 3.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
71.1%
No
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
3-2
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
Van goals ↓
BKMA goals →
01234
02.8%2.4%2.3%1.2%0.4%
14.2%8.1%5.5%2.8%1.0%
25.9%8.8%6.6%3.3%1.2%
34.7%7.0%5.2%2.6%1.0%
42.8%4.1%3.1%1.5%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Van goals (down), columns = BKMA goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Noah
2.50
Ararat-Armenia
2.20
FC Urartu
1.97
Pyunik Yerevan
1.77
Van
1.73
BKMA
1.20
Shirak
1.10
Ararat
1.00
West Armenia
0.96
Alashkert
0.79
Gandzasar
0.25
Van is 0.53 points better than BKMA in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 1.20).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
3.07
Ararat-Armenia
2.50
FC Urartu
2.07
Pyunik Yerevan
1.97
Van
1.87
BKMA
1.47
Ararat
1.14
Shirak
0.93
West Armenia
0.89
Alashkert
0.72
Gandzasar
0.46
Van is 0.40 goals better than BKMA in terms of goals scored per game (1.87 vs 1.47).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Noah
0.67
Ararat-Armenia
0.93
FC Urartu
1.10
Van
1.20
Pyunik Yerevan
1.23
Shirak
1.72
Alashkert
1.79
BKMA
1.80
Ararat
2.03
West Armenia
2.48
Gandzasar
2.50
Van is 0.60 goals better than BKMA in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.80).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VanVan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W10W01L20W02L11D02L01L20W11DH·WES31/08A·BKM13/09H·FC 19/09A·ARA23/09H·PYU06/10A·FC 16/10A·FC 20/10A·PYU28/10H·ARA05/11H·FC 11/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.600.930.730.470.47
vs Stronger (14)0.360.930.380.880.331.00
vs Similar (16)1.000.311.570.570.560.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BKMABKMA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D11D01L00D31W12L01L13L03LH·VAN13/09A·PYU20/09H·FC 25/09A·ARA29/09H·ALA07/10A·GAN19/10H·PYU23/10A·ALA27/10H·ARA02/11A·FC 06/11
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.900.290.930.690.88
vs Stronger (21)0.571.140.331.330.751.00
vs Similar (9)0.330.330.200.200.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Van over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VanVan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W10W11D02L03L00D20W20WH·WES31/08A·BKM13/09H·FC 19/09A·ARA23/09H·PYU06/10A·FC 16/10A·FC 20/10A·PYU28/10H·ARA05/11H·FC 11/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.930.730.470.67
vs Stronger (14)0.501.000.500.880.501.17
vs Similar (16)0.880.441.430.570.440.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BKMABKMA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L10W01L10W30W00D01L11D21WH·VAN13/09A·PYU20/09H·FC 25/09A·ARA29/09H·ALA07/10A·GAN19/10H·PYU23/10A·ALA27/10H·ARA02/11A·FC 06/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.100.360.930.751.25
vs Stronger (21)0.711.140.560.890.831.33
vs Similar (9)0.221.000.001.000.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Van over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.574.3%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes71.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
GAN (25)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
Van and BKMA have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
GAN (8)
€1m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
Van and BKMA have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
GAN (5)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
Van and BKMA have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
GAN (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
Van and BKMA have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
VAN wins
2
Draws
4
BKM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Van vs BKMA · H/A from VAN
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/24ABKMA Vs VAN0-1
24/05/24ABKMA Vs VAN0-0
06/04/24HVAN Vs BKMA2-2
30/11/23ABKMA Vs VAN7-1
24/09/23HVAN Vs BKMA1-2
26/04/23ABKMA Vs VAN5-1
03/12/22HVAN Vs BKMA0-1
15/10/22ABKMA Vs VAN0-3

VanVan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/11/24HVAN Vs FC Urartu3-1
05/11/24HVAN Vs Ararat4-0
28/10/24APyunik Yerevan Vs VAN1-0
20/10/24AFC Noah Vs VAN5-0
16/10/24AFC Urartu Vs VAN3-1
06/10/24HVAN Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-3
23/09/24AArarat Vs VAN0-3
19/09/24HVAN Vs FC Noah1-1
13/09/24ABKMA Vs VAN0-1
31/08/24HVAN Vs West Armenia6-0

BKMABKMA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/11/24AFC Urartu Vs BKM4-2
02/11/24HBKM Vs Ararat-Armenia2-4
27/10/24AAlashkert Vs BKM2-0
23/10/24HBKM Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-2
19/10/24AGandzasar Vs BKM1-6
07/10/24HBKM Vs Alashkert1-0
29/09/24AArarat-Armenia Vs BKM2-0
25/09/24HBKM Vs FC Urartu2-1
20/09/24APyunik Yerevan Vs BKM4-1
13/09/24HBKM Vs Van0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Van
Van
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.10
HomeWDLWW1.36
AwayWWLLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.923.282.56
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %50%60%40%
Over 3.5 %38%48%28%
Scored1.221.720.72
Conceded1.701.561.84
BTTS42%48%36%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners---
Cards---
BKMA
BKMA
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.80
HomeLWWLL0.88
AwayLLWLL0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%24%20%
AVG goals3.022.883.16
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %36%32%40%
Scored1.101.001.20
Conceded1.921.881.96
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC NoahFC Noah3075
80%
2.5
9220+72
3.7
90%
80%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5343.10.7
-
2Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia3066
70%
2.2
7528+47
3.4
93%
80%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.50.9
-
3FC UrartuFC Urartu3059
60%
2.0
6233+29
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.11.1
-
4Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan3053
57%
1.8
5937+22
3.2
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.01.2
-
5VanVan3052
50%
1.7
5636+20
3.1
87%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.2
-
6BKMABKMA3036
33%
1.2
4454-10
3.3
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.8
-
7ShirakShirak2932
31%
1.1
2750-23
2.7
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.7
-
8AraratArarat2929
28%
1.0
3359-26
3.2
86%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.12.0
-
9West ArmeniaWest Armenia2726
30%
1.0
2467-43
3.4
85%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.5
-
10AlashkertAlashkert2923
17%
0.8
2152-31
2.5
76%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3120.71.8
-
11GandzasarGandzasar287
4%
0.2
1370-57
3.0
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.52.5
-
Armenia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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