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Van vs Gandzasar Prediction & Stats

Date: 10/10/2026
Time: 15:00
Van
Van
Vs
44%
28%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gandzasar
Gandzasar
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Van are tipped to win the Armenia Premier League clash against Gandzasar, with a 44% chance of a home victory, a 28% chance of a draw and a 28% chance of an away win. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals, with the most likely total of 2 goals occurring 26% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which the model assigns a 13.4% probability.

Van have been scoring 1.3 goals per game at home against teams of similar strength while conceding 1.7, whereas Gandzasar average 1.0 goal scored and 2.33 conceded on the road against comparable opposition. Van’s recent form is a string of one loss and three draws after a 0-4 defeat to Shirak, while Gandzasar are coming off three straight losses, having lost 0-3 to BKMA.

The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0%), Under 5.5 (94.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (89.0%), Home +2 handicap (88.3%) and Under 4.5 (87.1%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Van win
43.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar win
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VanVan

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W01L12L14L03L02L11D04L04LA·GAN02/05H·SHI08/05H·ALA16/05A·PYU27/05H·SAR31/07A·PYU09/08A·ARA15/08H·SYU20/08H·SHI29/08A·ALA03/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.871.271.730.602.00
vs Stronger (13)0.692.311.201.800.382.62
vs Similar (17)1.121.531.301.700.861.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Gandzasar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GandzasarGandzasar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L14L13L02L01L34L31W01L03L03LH·VAN02/05H·FC 06/05A·ALA09/05H·PYU18/05A·ARA27/05H·ARA01/08H·SYU08/08H·SHI14/08A·ALA21/08H·BKM30/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.701.001.590.621.85
vs Stronger (10)0.502.300.672.500.252.00
vs Similar (16)1.001.441.121.000.881.88
vs Weaker (4)1.001.251.331.330.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.3%
Under 1.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.2%
Under 2.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.3%
Under 3.5
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
Van goals ↓
Gandzasar goals →
01234
08.3%7.0%4.7%1.8%0.5%
19.4%13%7.0%2.7%0.8%
27.9%9.1%5.2%2.0%0.6%
33.9%4.5%2.6%1.0%0.3%
41.5%1.7%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Van goals (down), columns = Gandzasar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Noah
3.00
Pyunik Yerevan
2.50
Sardarapat
2.50
Alashkert
2.17
Ararat-Armenia
2.00
FC Urartu
1.60
Shirak
1.40
BKMA
0.80
Ararat
0.60
Gandzasar
0.60
Syunik
0.20
Van
0.17
Van is 0.43 points worse than Gandzasar in terms of average points per game (0.17 vs 0.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
2.60
Sardarapat
2.50
Alashkert
2.33
Pyunik Yerevan
2.25
Ararat-Armenia
2.00
FC Urartu
1.60
Shirak
1.60
Gandzasar
1.20
BKMA
0.80
Syunik
0.60
Ararat
0.60
Van
0.33
Van is 0.87 goals worse than Gandzasar in terms of goals scored per game (0.33 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Alashkert
0.33
FC Noah
0.60
Pyunik Yerevan
0.75
FC Urartu
1.00
Sardarapat
1.00
Shirak
1.00
BKMA
1.20
Ararat-Armenia
1.40
Ararat
2.40
Gandzasar
2.40
Syunik
2.60
Van
3.00
Van is 0.60 goals worse than Gandzasar in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 2.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Van or Draw
71.9%
Avg Implied -
44%
28%
28%
covers Van + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Van or Gandzasar
71.8%
Avg Implied -
44%
28%
28%
covers Van + Gandzasar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Gandzasar
56.3%
Avg Implied -
44%
28%
28%
covers Draw + Gandzasar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Van over/under 0.5
Over
77.5%
Under
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 1.5
Over
43.9%
Under
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 2.5
Over
18.9%
Under
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 3.5
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 0.5
Over
68.4%
Under
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 1.5
Over
32.0%
Under
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 2.5
Over
11.0%
Under
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 3.5
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Van, so a minus line means Van give that many goals of a start and Gandzasar receive them. At -1, Van must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Van win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Van)
Van -2
8.7%
Draw -2
13.5%
Gandzasar +2
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Van)
Van -1
22.2%
Draw -1
21.5%
Gandzasar +1
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Van)
Van +1
71.9%
Draw +1
16.4%
Gandzasar -1
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Van)
Van +2
88.3%
Draw +2
8.1%
Gandzasar -2
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VanVan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D11D02L02L00D11D03L02LA·GAN02/05H·SHI08/05H·ALA16/05A·PYU27/05H·SAR31/07A·PYU09/08A·ARA15/08H·SYU20/08H·SHI29/08A·ALA03/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.000.470.800.201.20
vs Stronger (13)0.231.080.400.400.121.50
vs Similar (17)0.410.940.501.000.290.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Gandzasar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GandzasarGandzasar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L02L01L01L12L10W01L01L00DH·VAN02/05H·FC 06/05A·ALA09/05H·PYU18/05A·ARA27/05H·ARA01/08H·SYU08/08H·SHI14/08A·ALA21/08H·BKM30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.470.590.311.08
vs Stronger (10)0.201.100.170.830.251.50
vs Similar (16)0.560.620.750.250.381.00
vs Weaker (4)0.250.750.331.000.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Van over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VanVan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L01L12L01L02L00D01L02LA·GAN02/05H·SHI08/05H·ALA16/05A·PYU27/05H·SAR31/07A·PYU09/08A·ARA15/08H·SYU20/08H·SHI29/08A·ALA03/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.800.930.400.80
vs Stronger (13)0.461.230.801.400.251.12
vs Similar (17)0.710.590.800.700.570.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Gandzasar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GandzasarGandzasar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L11D01L00D22D21W00D02L03LH·VAN02/05H·FC 06/05A·ALA09/05H·PYU18/05A·ARA27/05H·ARA01/08H·SYU08/08H·SHI14/08A·ALA21/08H·BKM30/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.900.531.000.310.77
vs Stronger (10)0.301.200.501.670.000.50
vs Similar (16)0.440.810.380.750.500.88
vs Weaker (4)0.750.501.000.330.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Van over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.4%-------
Under 6.598.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.0%-------
Under 5.594.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals93.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals89.0%-------
Home +2 handicap88.3%-------
Under 4.587.1%-------
Home under 2.5 goals81.1%-------
Away +2 handicap77.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals77.5%-------
Over 1.575.3%-------
Under 3.572.7%-------
Home or Draw71.9%-------
Home +1 handicap71.9%-------
Home or Away71.8%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
GAN (25)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
SAR (23)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
SYU (23)
€2m
Van and Gandzasar have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
GAN (8)
€1m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
SAR (7)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
Van and Gandzasar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
SAR (4)
€0m
VAN (3)
€0m
Van and Gandzasar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
GAN (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
SAR (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
Van and Gandzasar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
5
VAN wins
0
Draws
1
GAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Van vs Gandzasar · H/A from VAN
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26AGandzasar Vs VAN0-1
09/11/25HVAN Vs Gandzasar2-1
12/09/25AGandzasar Vs VAN1-0
12/05/25AGandzasar Vs VAN1-2
06/04/25HVAN Vs Gandzasar2-0
16/08/24HVAN Vs Gandzasar6-1

VanVan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26AAlashkert Vs VAN4-0
29/08/26HVAN Vs Shirak0-4
20/08/26HVAN Vs Syunik1-1
15/08/26AArarat-Armenia Vs VAN2-0
09/08/26APyunik Yerevan Vs VAN3-0
31/07/26HVAN Vs Sardarapat1-4
27/05/26APyunik Yerevan Vs VAN2-1
16/05/26HVAN Vs Alashkert0-1
08/05/26HVAN Vs Shirak1-0
02/05/26AGandzasar Vs VAN0-1

GandzasarGandzasar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HGAN Vs BKMA0-3
21/08/26AAlashkert Vs GAN3-0
14/08/26HGAN Vs Shirak0-1
08/08/26HGAN Vs Syunik3-1
01/08/26HGAN Vs Ararat-Armenia3-4
27/05/26AArarat-Armenia Vs GAN1-0
18/05/26HGAN Vs Pyunik Yerevan0-2
09/05/26AAlashkert Vs GAN3-1
06/05/26HGAN Vs FC Noah1-4
02/05/26HGAN Vs Van0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Van
Van
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.28
HomeWLLDL1.38
AwayWLLLL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%33%
AVG goals2.722.962.46
Over 1.5 %78%81%75%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %28%38%17%
Scored1.181.420.92
Conceded1.541.541.54
BTTS54%65%42%
Clean Sheet24%23%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Gandzasar
Gandzasar
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.60
HomeLLWLL0.88
AwayLDLLL0.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%23%4%
AVG goals2.602.852.33
Over 1.5 %66%69%62%
Over 2.5 %48%58%38%
Over 3.5 %28%38%17%
Scored0.680.880.46
Conceded1.921.961.88
BTTS38%42%33%
Clean Sheet14%15%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC NoahFC Noah515
100%
3.0
133+10
3.2
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5342.60.6
-
2AlashkertAlashkert613
67%
2.2
142+12
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.30.3
-
3SardarapatSardarapat410
75%
2.5
104+6
3.5
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.0
-
4Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.20.8
-
5Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.01.4
-
6FC UrartuFC Urartu58
40%
1.6
85+3
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
7ShirakShirak57
40%
1.4
85+3
2.6
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.0
-
8BKMABKMA54
20%
0.8
46-2
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.81.2
-
9GandzasarGandzasar53
20%
0.6
612-6
3.6
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.22.4
-
10AraratArarat53
20%
0.6
312-9
3.0
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0120.62.4
-
11SyunikSyunik51
0%
0.2
313-10
3.2
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1000.62.6
-
12VanVan61
0%
0.2
218-16
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.33.0
-
Armenia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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