Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn Result & Analysis

Flora Tallinn is favoured to win, with the model picking an away triumph and a 61% chance of victory. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a lively match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries an 11.1% probability. Vaprus, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded, while Flora Tallinn, on the road against a weaker side, averages 2.14 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. The home win probability sits at 16%, the draw at 23%, and the away win at 61%. The model’s selection includes an Over 1.5 goal pick at 79.2%. This selection is the only other pick presented, and it has no edge percentage. The match is expected to see a balanced attack, but Flora’s superior away form and the higher win probability make the away win the clear favourite.

The final score was 1-3, confirming the away win that the model had predicted. With a 61% probability, the model’s favourite was Flora Tallinn, and the call proved correct. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals, at 79.2%, also hit. The match saw the home side Vaprus, coming off a draw, struggle against a stronger opponent, while Flora Tallinn, after two straight defeats, capitalised on their away form to secure a convincing victory. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 was not achieved, but the overall outcome matched the model’s forecast, reinforcing confidence in its predictive accuracy.