Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with a 61% chance for Flora Tallinn to lift the trophy and a 16% chance for Vaprus to snatch victory, while a draw sits at 24%. The average number of goals expected is 2.8, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 11.3% probability that both sides will find the net once each. Vaprus, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded, whereas Flora Tallinn, on the road to a weaker side, averages 1.88 scored and 1.12 conceded. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals carries a 78% probability. In addition to the match result, the model offers the Over 1.5 pick as its only other selection. The final score of 0-1 confirms the predicted away win.

After a tough day for the selections, Vaprus finished 0-1 at home, a narrow away win that extended Flora Tallinn’s winning run. The model’s pre-match favourite was an Away win with a 61% probability, and the prediction proved correct. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5, with a 78% chance, missed as the match saw only one goal. The most likely scoreline, 1-1, had a 11.3% chance, while 0-2 and 0-1 were close behind at 11.2% and 10.6%. The home side’s recent form, a draw after a 2-2 draw with Kuressaare, contrasted with Flora’s five-match streak of two wins and three losses, yet the away team’s 1.88 average goals scored and 1.12 conceded at weaker opponents proved decisive.