Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with Flora Tallinn expected to edge Vaprus 55% to 21% for a home win and 24% for a draw. The average goal tally sits at 3.1, but the most probable total is two goals, a 23% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.2% probability. Vaprus, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages one goal scored and two conceded, while Flora Tallinn, on the road to a weaker side, averages 2.44 scored and 0.67 conceded. The model’s selection is Over 1.5 goals, with an 81.9% chance. The predicted outcome, an away win, aligns with Flora’s recent form of two straight defeats yet a 1-2 win over Paide, while Vaprus comes off a draw against Kuressaare. The expected total of 3.1 goals suggests a lively contest, but the 1-1 scoreline remains the most likely. The final score of 0-3 confirms the model’s prediction of an away victory.

Vaprus entered the match coming off a draw, while Flora Tallinn were riding a string of wins after two straight defeats. The model’s favourite, an away win, proved correct as Flora Tallinn secured a 0-3 victory. The pre-match favourite was the away win with a 55% probability, and the model’s prediction was right. The model’s single selection, Over 1.5, hit with an 81.9% probability. The final score of 0-3 matched the actual result of an away win, confirming the model’s overall accuracy. The most likely scoreline was 1-1, but the game finished with a clean sheet for the visitors and a decisive win.