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Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 1-2
Vaprus
Vaprus
Vs
24%
25%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Flora Tallinn is the favourite to win this match, with a recent-form storyline emerging as the away side comes off a defeat. The model predicts an away win, with a 50% probability. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with a most likely score of 1-1, occurring 12% of the time.

Vaprus has struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.14 goals and conceding 1.86 against stronger opponents. In contrast, Flora Tallinn has performed well away from home, scoring 2.0 goals and conceding 1.0 against weaker opponents.

The model suggests an Over 1.5 total goals selection, which has an 80.6% probability of occurring. The home side has a 24% chance of winning, a 25% chance of drawing, and a 50% chance of losing. The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5 (80.6%), with no other selections provided.

Results analysis

The win extends Vaprus’ run of two straight defeats, while Flora Tallinn comes off a victory. The final score was 1-2, confirming the away win that the model had predicted with a 50 % probability. The model’s selection was correct. Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.9 %, as did Under 7.5 at 98.9 % with a 5 % edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1 %, Under 6.5 at 96.8 % with a 7 % edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 96.8 % with a 2 % edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 95.1 % with a 5 % edge, Home under 1.5 HT goals at 92.5 % with a 4 % edge, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.4 % with an 8 % edge. All selections settled as predicted.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaprus win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied 19.2% · @ 4.68
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
5.00
SBO
4.81
1xBet
4.80
Dafabet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 21.9% · @ 4.12
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.43
Betfair
4.33
Dafabet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Flora Tallinn win✓ Hit
50.3%
Avg Implied 58.9% · @ 1.53
Edge
-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.57
888Sport
1.57
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.56

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VaprusVaprus

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W02L10W13L51W13L41W11D50W13LH·TAR10/03A·PAI06/05H·KUR26/06A·PAI04/07H·TAM11/07A·TRA18/07A·TAB21/07H·FC 02/08A·PHO12/08A·KAL16/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.501.373.381.001.821.65
vs Stronger (17)2.001.652.331.331.821.82
vs Similar (13)3.151.004.290.711.831.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W10W51W21W30W12L10W02L04L23LH·NÕM10/03H·TRA05/05A·PAI23/05A·FC 28/06A·KUR02/07H·NÕM17/07H·LAA02/08A·INT06/08H·INT13/08H·KUR16/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.501.132.881.122.071.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.501.833.602.001.711.71
vs Weaker (18)2.500.672.550.732.430.57
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Vaprus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
@ 1.11-1.3%
Under 1.5
19.4%
@ 5.03+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Under
Betfair
6.00
888Sport
5.50
Unibet
5.25
1xBet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.9%
@ 1.43-6.8%
Under 2.5
43.1%
@ 2.51+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.46
Betfair
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.66
Unibet
2.60
888Sport
2.60
Betfair
2.60
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.5%
@ 2.09-9.3%
Under 3.5
65.5%
@ 1.63+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.16
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Unibet
1.66
1xBet
1.65
888Sport
1.65
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.8%
@ 1.50-1.9%
No
41.2%
@ 2.32+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Betfair
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
No
Unibet
2.45
William Hil
2.40
888Sport
2.40
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.36

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%@ 7.87+6.5%
1-2 ✓
9.7%@ 7.38+3.9%
0-2
8.2%@ 8.43+3.1%
0-1
8.1%@ 9.00+3.4%
2-1
6.4%@ 13.60+3.3%
0-0
6.2%@ 16.38+3.6%
1-3
5.7%@ 9.80+1.4%
2-2
5.7%@ 11.68+2.1%
Vaprus goals ↓
Flora Tallinn goals →
01234
06.2%8.1%8.2%4.9%2.2%
15.0%12%9.7%5.7%2.6%
23.6%6.4%5.7%3.4%1.5%
31.4%2.5%2.3%1.3%0.6%
40.4%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vaprus goals (down), columns = Flora Tallinn goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.29
Paide
2.00
Tammeka
1.88
Kalju Nomme
1.75
Flora Tallinn
1.67
Laagri
1.50
Vaprus
1.00
Kuressaare
0.89
Trans Narva
0.88
Nõmme United
0.75
Vaprus is 0.67 points worse than Flora Tallinn in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.71
Paide
2.00
Kalju Nomme
2.00
Laagri
1.88
Flora Tallinn
1.78
Vaprus
1.62
Tammeka
1.62
Nõmme United
1.12
Kuressaare
1.11
Trans Narva
0.88
Vaprus is 0.15 goals worse than Flora Tallinn in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.78).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kalju Nomme
1.00
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.00
Laagri
1.38
Paide
1.43
Flora Tallinn
1.56
Kuressaare
1.67
Vaprus
1.88
Tammeka
1.88
Trans Narva
2.12
Nõmme United
2.50
Vaprus is 0.32 goals worse than Flora Tallinn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vaprus or Draw✗ Miss
49.7%
Avg Implied 41.0% · @ 2.23
Edge
+8.8%
24%
25%
50%
covers Vaprus + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.40
William Hil
2.30
SBO
2.29
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.24
Vaprus or Flora Tallinn✓ Hit
74.5%
Avg Implied 78.7% · @ 1.16
Edge
-4.2%
24%
25%
50%
covers Vaprus + Flora Tallinn
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Draw or Flora Tallinn✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied 80.3% · @ 1.14
Edge
-4.6%
24%
25%
50%
covers Draw + Flora Tallinn
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
888Sport
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Unibet
1.15

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vaprus over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.4%
@ 1.36+2.4%
Under
30.6%
@ 2.75-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Under
Unibet
2.95
888Sport
2.90
Pinnacle
2.83
Marathonbet
2.78
1xBet
2.78
Vaprus over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.2%
@ 2.70-0.6%
Under
66.8%
@ 1.38+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.78
Superbet
2.77
888Sport
2.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.42
Unibet
1.40
888Sport
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Vaprus over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 6.21-2.9%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.06+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
1xBet
6.65
Superbet
6.20
Under
888Sport
1.08
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Vaprus over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 17.50-2.2%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.01+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
12.00
Under
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.1%
@ 1.07-2.1%
Under
16.9%
@ 6.17+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Under
888Sport
7.50
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.90
Superbet
5.70
BetVictor
3.75
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.1%
@ 1.43-10.2%
Under
46.9%
@ 2.48+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.46
888Sport
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.51
888Sport
2.50
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.4%
@ 2.36-12.2%
Under
73.6%
@ 1.49+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
888Sport
2.45
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
888Sport
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Flora Tallinn over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 4.32-10.4%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.14+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
4.80
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.40
Under
Bet365
1.17
888Sport
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.12

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Vaprus, so a minus line means Vaprus give that many goals of a start and Flora Tallinn receive them. At -1, Vaprus must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vaprus win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vaprus)Actual: Flora Tallinn
Vaprus -2
3.2%
@ 26.00-0.4%
Draw -2
6.9%
@ 15.00+0.7%
Flora Tallinn +2
89.9%
@ 1.04-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
26.00
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
1.04
Handicap -1 (Vaprus)Actual: Flora Tallinn
Vaprus -1
10.1%
@ 8.53+0.1%
Draw -1
14.2%
@ 5.97-0.2%
Flora Tallinn +1
75.7%
@ 1.13+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.25
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Unibet
1.16
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap +1 (Vaprus)Actual: Draw
Vaprus +1
49.7%
@ 2.27+10.9%
Draw +1
21.8%
@ 3.75-1.6%
Flora Tallinn -1
28.4%
@ 2.33-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.38
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
Unibet
2.20
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
Unibet
3.60
Away
Unibet
2.43
Marathonbet
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Handicap +2 (Vaprus)Actual: Vaprus
Vaprus +2
71.6%
@ 1.49+12.4%
Draw +2
15.7%
@ 4.57-3.7%
Flora Tallinn -2
12.7%
@ 4.13-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.49
Unibet
1.46
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.55
Unibet
4.40
Away
Unibet
4.35
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VaprusVaprus

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L10W12L31W02L11D10W30W02LH·TAR10/03A·PAI06/05H·KUR26/06A·PAI04/07H·TAM11/07A·TRA18/07A·TAB21/07H·FC 02/08A·PHO12/08A·KAL16/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.732.080.621.060.82
vs Stronger (17)1.120.821.330.831.000.82
vs Similar (13)2.000.622.710.431.170.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D20W01L10W02L00D01L01L13LH·NÕM10/03H·TRA05/05A·PAI23/05A·FC 28/06A·KUR02/07H·NÕM17/07H·LAA02/08A·INT06/08H·INT13/08H·KUR16/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.631.250.561.000.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.170.921.800.600.711.14
vs Weaker (18)1.110.441.000.551.290.29
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Vaprus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.2%
@ 1.22-2.2%
Under 0.5
27.8%
@ 3.53+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
William Hil
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.4%
@ 2.07-1.7%
Under 1.5
57.6%
@ 1.63+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.14
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
William Hil
2.10
Under
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Unibet
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.2%
@ 4.28-7.0%
Under 2.5
85.8%
@ 1.15+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vaprus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.8%
@ 2.28-4.6%
Under
64.2%
@ 1.55+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
Unibet
2.17
Under
Unibet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Vaprus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 7.95-4.0%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.03+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Vaprus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
54.7%
@ 1.50-6.8%
Under
45.3%
@ 2.40+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Unibet
1.49
1xBet
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.46
1xBet
2.46
Unibet
2.38
Superbet
2.32
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
28.2%
@ 3.31+0.6%
Under
71.8%
@ 1.26-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 8.90-5.3%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Under
1xBet
1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VaprusVaprus

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L00D01L20W11D30W01L20W11DH·TAR10/03A·PAI06/05H·KUR26/06A·PAI04/07H·TAM11/07A·TRA18/07A·TAB21/07H·FC 02/08A·PHO12/08A·KAL16/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.631.310.380.760.82
vs Stronger (17)0.880.821.000.500.821.00
vs Similar (13)1.150.381.570.290.670.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W31W20W20W10W10W01L03L10WH·NÕM10/03H·TRA05/05A·PAI23/05A·FC 28/06A·KUR02/07H·NÕM17/07H·LAA02/08A·INT06/08H·INT13/08H·KUR16/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.501.620.561.070.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.330.921.801.401.000.57
vs Weaker (18)1.390.221.550.181.140.29
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Vaprus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.0%
@ 1.12+0.1%
Under 0.5
18.0%
@ 5.07-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.10
William Hil
5.00
Superbet
4.65
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
50.3%
@ 1.67-5.1%
Under 1.5
49.7%
@ 2.08+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Under
Unibet
2.12
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
William Hil
2.05
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.4%
@ 3.06-8.6%
Under 2.5
78.6%
@ 1.31+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Superbet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
1xBet
2.92
Under
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.29

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vaprus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
41.6%
@ 1.93-6.1%
Under
58.4%
@ 1.76+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.91
Under
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Superbet
1.75
Vaprus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 5.75-3.7%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.09+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.70
Under
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Vaprus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
70.4%
@ 1.32+0.3%
Under
29.6%
@ 3.10-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Under
1xBet
3.10
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
29.5%
@ 2.54-6.7%
Under
70.5%
@ 1.44+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.51
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.40
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 6.00-7.6%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.08+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Under
1xBet
1.08

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.598.9%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+5.2%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.596.8%1.03
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
---+6.6%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
---+2.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals95.1%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+5.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals92.5%1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
---+4.0%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals92.4%1.08
1xBet
1.08
----+7.6%✓ Hit
Under 5.592.0%1.08
Bet365
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
+7.4%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap89.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----0.2%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals89.4%1.14
Bet365
1.17
888Sport
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
+10.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals88.3%1.06
888Sport
1.08
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+2.9%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals87.8%1.09
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
---+3.7%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals85.8%1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+7.0%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals83.1%1.07
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
1xBet
1.05
-2.1%✓ Hit
Under 4.582.1%1.24
Unibet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
+8.6%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals82.0%1.12
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
+0.1%✓ Hit
Over 1.580.6%1.11
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
-1.3%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals78.6%1.31
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.29
+8.6%✓ Hit
Draw or Away75.7%1.14
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
888Sport
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Unibet
1.15
-4.6%✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap75.7%1.13
Unibet
1.16
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
--+0.1%✓ Hit
Home or Away74.5%1.16
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
-4.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals73.6%1.49
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
888Sport
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
+12.2%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals72.2%1.22
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-2.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals71.8%1.26
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
----0.6%✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap71.6%1.49
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.49
Unibet
1.46
--+12.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals70.5%1.44
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.40
--+6.7%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 2H goals70.4%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+0.3%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
NU (26)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
Vaprus and Flora Tallinn have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
NU (8)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
Vaprus and Flora Tallinn have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
NU (7)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
Vaprus and Flora Tallinn have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
NU (11)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
Vaprus and Flora Tallinn have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
VAP wins
0
Draws
6
FT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn · H/A from VAP
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25HVAP Vs Flora Tallinn0-3
13/09/25AFlora Tallinn Vs VAP3-0
02/05/25HVAP Vs Flora Tallinn0-3
08/03/25AFlora Tallinn Vs VAP0-1
29/09/24AFlora Tallinn Vs VAP3-0
23/08/24HVAP Vs Flora Tallinn0-1
11/05/24AFlora Tallinn Vs VAP0-1
14/04/24HVAP Vs Flora Tallinn1-3

VaprusVaprus

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26AKalju Nomme Vs VAP3-1
12/08/26APhoenix Vs VAP0-5
02/08/26HVAP Vs FC Levadia Tallinn1-1
21/07/26ATabasalu Ulasabat Vs VAP1-4
18/07/26ATrans Narva Vs VAP3-1
11/07/26HVAP Vs Tammeka5-1
04/07/26APaide Vs VAP3-1
26/06/26HVAP Vs Kuressaare1-0
06/05/26APaide Vs VAP2-0
10/03/26HVAP Vs Tartu Welco2-1

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26HFT Vs Kuressaare2-3
13/08/26HFT Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-4
06/08/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs FT2-0
02/08/26HFT Vs Laagri1-0
17/07/26HFT Vs Nõmme United1-2
02/07/26AKuressaare Vs FT0-3
28/06/26AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs FT1-2
23/05/26APaide Vs FT1-5
05/05/26HFT Vs Trans Narva1-0
10/03/26HFT Vs Nõmme United3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vaprus
Vaprus
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.48
HomeLWWWD1.50
AwayLLWWL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%42%46%
AVG goals3.463.673.27
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %70%71%69%
Over 3.5 %40%33%46%
Scored2.042.331.77
Conceded1.421.331.50
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL2.08
HomeWLWLL1.96
AwayWWWWL2.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%63%70%
AVG goals3.383.633.09
Over 1.5 %86%78%96%
Over 2.5 %76%70%83%
Over 3.5 %40%52%26%
Scored2.362.562.13
Conceded1.021.070.96
BTTS56%52%61%
Clean Sheet36%41%30%
Corners11.008.0014.00
Cards4.006.002.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn716
71%
2.3
197+12
3.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.71.0
-
2Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn915
56%
1.7
1614+2
3.3
89%
89%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.6
-
3TammekaTammeka815
62%
1.9
1315-2
3.5
75%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme814
50%
1.8
168+8
3.0
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.0
-
5PaidePaide714
57%
2.0
1410+4
3.4
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.4
-
6LaagriLaagri812
50%
1.5
1511+4
3.2
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.4
-
7VaprusVaprus88
25%
1.0
1315-2
3.5
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
8KuressaareKuressaare98
22%
0.9
1015-5
2.8
56%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.11.7
-
9Trans NarvaTrans Narva87
25%
0.9
717-10
3.0
100%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.92.1
-
10Nõmme UnitedNõmme United86
25%
0.8
920-11
3.6
88%
88%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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