Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme Result & Analysis

The Pythia model points to an away win as the clear favourite, giving Kalju Nomme a 63% chance of triumph while Vaprus sits at 18% and a draw at 19%. The model’s confidence stems from Kalju’s strong away form - scoring 2.5 goals and conceding only 1.5 against weaker opposition - contrasted with Vaprus’s poor home record of 0.33 goals scored and 4.33 conceded to stronger teams. The expected total is 3.9 goals, with the most likely total of 3 goals at 20%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-2, carrying an 8.9% probability. The suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 90.8% and Over 2.5 goals at 74.8%. Vaprus’s recent form shows a 2-2 draw against Kuressaare, while Kalju’s last five were 2-3 wins after two defeats, reinforcing their momentum. The match is likely to see Kalju Nomme secure the win, with a 1-2 scoreline the most probable outcome.

The match saw Kalju Nomme extend their winning run, finishing 0-1 to secure an away victory. The model’s favourite, an away win at 63 percent, proved correct. The expected total of 3.9 goals was far above the actual tally of one, confirming the game was far more defensive than predicted. The model’s Over 1.5 selection, at 90.8 percent, missed, as did the Over 2.5 pick at 74.8 percent. Vaprus, coming off a draw in their last five, failed to score, while Kalju Nomme, after two straight defeats, capitalised on their recent three-game winning streak to claim the win.