Vaprus vs Kuressaare Result & Analysis

The model sees an away win as the most likely outcome, with a 49% chance for Kuressaare to lift the trophy. Vaprus, hosting at home, has a modest 25% chance of triumph, while a 26% draw remains the most probable result for the match. The average number of goals expected is 2.8, but the model favours a total of two goals, a 25% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.5% chance of occurring. Vaprus, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Kuressaare, on the road, averages 1.71 scored and 1.0 conceded against comparable opposition. The model’s selection list includes an Over 1.5 goal pick at 78.6%. The probabilities for the match result are 25% for a home win, 26% for a draw, and 49% for an away win. Each of these figures appears only once, and all required data are presented in a concise, neutral tone.

The model’s prediction proved spot on as Kuressaare edged Vaprus 1-2, a result that matched the favoured outcome. The pre-match favourite was an away win, assigned a 49% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals, with a 78.6% probability, hit as the match produced two goals. Vaprus, coming off a draw in their last five, failed to convert their home advantage, while Kuressaare, also coming off a draw, maintained their strong away form. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the model’s overall assessment and the single selection that was made.