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Vaprus vs Nõmme United Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Vaprus
Vaprus
Vs
55%
22%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nõmme United
Nõmme United
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Vaprus, fresh from a 2-2 draw, faces a Nõmme United side that has lost its last five matches. The model sees Vaprus as the clear favourite, with a 55% chance of victory, 22% for a draw and 23% for an away win. The predicted outcome is a home win, and the most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9.1% probability. The expected total of 3.7 goals points to a 3-goal match, the most probable total being 3 goals at 21%. Vaprus averages 2.38 goals scored and 0.75 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Nõmme United averages 3.44 goals scored and 1.33 conceded on the road to similar teams.

The model’s selections highlight a strong edge on low-scoring outcomes. The highest-confidence pick is “Away under 2.5 2H goals” at 98.4%, an 8% edge over the market. Other notable picks include “Away under 2.5 HT goals” (98.4%), “Under 7.5” (96.5% with a 4% edge), “Away under 3.5 goals” (94.1% with an 8% edge), “Away under 1.5 HT goals” (93.4% with a 13% edge), “Under 6.5” (91.9% with a 2% edge), “Home under 2.5 HT goals” (91.7%), and “Home over 0.5 goals” (89.4% with a 10% edge).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaprus win
54.8%
Avg Implied 40.1% · @ 2.27
Edge
+14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.38
Dafabet
2.31
Pinnacle
2.29
Betfair
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Draw
21.7%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.55
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.80
Unibet
3.65
Bet365
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.56
Nõmme United win
23.5%
Avg Implied 34.2% · @ 2.66
Edge
-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.78
1xBet
2.73
Dafabet
2.70
Bet365
2.70
William Hil
2.70

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VaprusVaprus

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L51W13L41W11D50W13L12L22D23LA·PAI04/07H·TAM11/07A·TRA18/07A·TAB21/07H·FC 02/08A·PHO12/08A·KAL16/08H·FLO23/08A·KUR29/08A·NÕM02/09
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.472.501.081.891.72
vs Stronger (18)1.941.672.141.431.821.82
vs Similar (12)2.421.173.000.602.001.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Nõmme United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United

Last 10 – goals for & against
120-1232W21W120W12L05L01L20W14L12L32WH·KUR11/07A·FLO17/07H·RAP23/07H·TRA31/07A·FC 09/08H·TAM14/08A·HII19/08A·PAI23/08H·LAA29/08H·VAP02/09
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.031.333.601.132.471.53
vs Stronger (5)1.002.001.000.001.002.50
vs Similar (22)2.951.322.921.423.001.20
vs Weaker (3)7.000.339.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Vaprus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.1%
@ 1.11+6.4%
Under 1.5
10.9%
@ 5.32-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Under
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
5.60
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71.3%
@ 1.45+7.8%
Under 2.5
28.7%
@ 2.53-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.70
Unibet
2.65
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.47
1xBet
2.42
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
50.4%
@ 2.15+7.3%
Under 3.5
49.6%
@ 1.63-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
Betfair
2.15
Under
Betfair
1.67
Unibet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Both teams to score
Yes
69.2%
@ 1.41+3.5%
No
30.8%
@ 2.69-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
No
Unibet
2.80
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.64
Bet365
2.62

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.1%@ 8.32+4.1%
1-1
8.9%@ 6.73+2.8%
3-1
6.8%@ 13.54+3.8%
2-2
6.6%@ 9.18+2.1%
2-0
6.3%@ 12.71+3.0%
1-2
5.9%@ 8.80+1.2%
3-2
4.9%@ 16.12+2.4%
1-0
4.8%@ 10.92+1.0%
Vaprus goals ↓
Nõmme United goals →
01234
03.3%2.8%2.6%1.3%0.5%
14.8%8.9%5.9%2.8%1.0%
26.3%9.1%6.6%3.2%1.1%
34.7%6.8%4.9%2.4%0.9%
42.6%3.8%2.8%1.3%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vaprus goals (down), columns = Nõmme United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.29
Paide
2.00
Tammeka
1.88
Kalju Nomme
1.75
Flora Tallinn
1.67
Laagri
1.50
Vaprus
1.00
Kuressaare
0.89
Trans Narva
0.88
Nõmme United
0.75
Vaprus is 0.25 points better than Nõmme United in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.71
Paide
2.00
Kalju Nomme
2.00
Laagri
1.88
Flora Tallinn
1.78
Vaprus
1.62
Tammeka
1.62
Nõmme United
1.12
Kuressaare
1.11
Trans Narva
0.88
Vaprus is 0.50 goals better than Nõmme United in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kalju Nomme
1.00
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.00
Laagri
1.38
Paide
1.43
Flora Tallinn
1.56
Kuressaare
1.67
Vaprus
1.88
Tammeka
1.88
Trans Narva
2.12
Nõmme United
2.50
Vaprus is 0.62 goals better than Nõmme United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 2.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vaprus or Draw
76.5%
Avg Implied 65.7% · @ 1.39
Edge
+10.8%
55%
22%
23%
covers Vaprus + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.36
Vaprus or Nõmme United
78.3%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.23
Edge
+4.0%
55%
22%
23%
covers Vaprus + Nõmme United
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Draw or Nõmme United
45.2%
Avg Implied 60.0% · @ 1.53
Edge
-14.8%
55%
22%
23%
covers Draw + Nõmme United
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.57
Bet365
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Betano
1.52

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vaprus over/under 0.5
Over
89.4%
@ 1.14+9.3%
Under
10.6%
@ 4.60-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Under
1xBet
4.80
Unibet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Vaprus over/under 1.5
Over
65.6%
@ 1.81+14.6%
Under
34.4%
@ 1.88-14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Unibet
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Unibet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Vaprus over/under 2.5
Over
39.0%
@ 3.45+12.4%
Under
61.0%
@ 1.25-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.45
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Under
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Unibet
1.22
Vaprus over/under 3.5
Over
19.0%
@ 7.15+6.0%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.06-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.50
1xBet
6.80
Under
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Nõmme United over/under 0.5
Over
76.4%
@ 1.18-1.6%
Under
23.6%
@ 4.18+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Unibet
1.13
Under
Unibet
4.40
1xBet
4.15
Bet365
4.00
Nõmme United over/under 1.5
Over
42.4%
@ 1.97-4.5%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.74+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.99
Unibet
1.77
Under
Unibet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.67
Nõmme United over/under 2.5
Over
17.8%
@ 4.01-5.1%
Under
82.2%
@ 1.19+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Unibet
3.50
Under
Unibet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Nõmme United over/under 3.5
Over
5.9%
@ 7.50-6.5%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.06+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.50
1xBet
6.50
Under
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.05

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Vaprus, so a minus line means Vaprus give that many goals of a start and Nõmme United receive them. At -1, Vaprus must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vaprus win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vaprus)
Vaprus -2
17.9%
@ 7.97+6.8%
Draw -2
16.5%
@ 6.53+3.0%
Nõmme United +2
65.5%
@ 1.18-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
8.50
Marathonbet
7.90
Bet365
7.50
Draw
Marathonbet
6.60
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.50
Away
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Handicap -1 (Vaprus)
Vaprus -1
34.5%
@ 4.06+12.8%
Draw -1
20.4%
@ 4.26-0.3%
Nõmme United +1
45.2%
@ 1.52-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
3.98
Bet365
3.75
Draw
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Unibet
4.10
Away
Bet365
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Unibet
1.50
Handicap +1 (Vaprus)
Vaprus +1
76.5%
@ 1.43+14.7%
Draw +1
12.8%
@ 4.56-6.5%
Nõmme United -1
10.6%
@ 4.68-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.25
Away
Marathonbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
4.33
Unibet
4.30
Handicap +2 (Vaprus)
Vaprus +2
89.4%
@ 1.13+13.2%
Draw +2
6.9%
@ 6.35-6.7%
Nõmme United -2
3.8%
@ 8.28-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.16
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.05
Away
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
8.50
Marathonbet
6.35

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VaprusVaprus

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L31W02L11D10W30W02L02L11D13LA·PAI04/07H·TAM11/07A·TRA18/07A·TAB21/07H·FC 02/08A·PHO12/08A·KAL16/08H·FLO23/08A·KUR29/08A·NÕM02/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.901.420.751.061.00
vs Stronger (18)1.060.891.141.001.000.82
vs Similar (12)1.420.921.800.401.141.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Nõmme United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L20W60W02L03L00D00D11D01L31WH·KUR11/07A·FLO17/07H·RAP23/07H·TRA31/07A·FC 09/08H·TAM14/08A·HII19/08A·PAI23/08H·LAA29/08H·VAP02/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.601.870.731.330.47
vs Stronger (5)0.600.800.000.000.751.00
vs Similar (22)1.550.641.500.921.600.30
vs Weaker (3)3.670.005.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Vaprus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.9%
@ 1.22+0.8%
Under 0.5
24.1%
@ 3.70-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.80
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.34
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.9%
@ 2.11-0.8%
Under 1.5
57.1%
@ 1.64+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
William Hil
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Under
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
William Hil
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.1%
@ 4.57-2.1%
Under 2.5
81.9%
@ 1.16+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
William Hil
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Under
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vaprus over/under 0.5 HT
Over
64.6%
@ 1.73+11.1%
Under
35.4%
@ 1.99-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.71
Unibet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.03
1xBet
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.93
Vaprus over/under 1.5 HT
Over
23.6%
@ 4.67+4.0%
Under
76.4%
@ 1.14-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.50
Under
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
Vaprus over/under 2.5 HT
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nõmme United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.9%
@ 1.82-15.7%
Under
65.1%
@ 1.86+15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Unibet
1.74
Under
Unibet
1.94
1xBet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
Nõmme United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.9%
@ 5.33-9.3%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.11+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.10
Under
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Nõmme United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VaprusVaprus

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W11D30W01L20W11D10W11D10WA·PAI04/07H·TAM11/07A·TRA18/07A·TAB21/07H·FC 02/08A·PHO12/08A·KAL16/08H·FLO23/08A·KUR29/08A·NÕM02/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.571.080.330.830.72
vs Stronger (18)0.890.781.000.430.821.00
vs Similar (12)1.000.251.200.200.860.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Nõmme United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-631W01L60W10W02L01L20W03L11D01LH·KUR11/07A·FLO17/07H·RAP23/07H·TRA31/07A·FC 09/08H·TAM14/08A·HII19/08A·PAI23/08H·LAA29/08H·VAP02/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.731.730.401.131.07
vs Stronger (5)0.401.201.000.000.251.50
vs Similar (22)1.410.681.420.501.400.90
vs Weaker (3)3.330.334.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Vaprus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
84.7%
@ 1.12+2.5%
Under 0.5
15.3%
@ 5.20-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.15
Marathonbet
5.15
William Hil
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
55.8%
@ 1.68+0.7%
Under 1.5
44.2%
@ 2.06-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Unibet
1.61
Under
Unibet
2.12
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.07
William Hil
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
26.0%
@ 3.10-3.7%
Under 2.5
74.0%
@ 1.31+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Marathonbet
2.97
1xBet
2.97
Under
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vaprus over/under 0.5 2H
Over
69.7%
@ 1.50+7.9%
Under
30.3%
@ 2.42-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.42
Vaprus over/under 1.5 2H
Over
32.8%
@ 3.32+5.2%
Under
67.2%
@ 1.26-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Vaprus over/under 2.5 2H
Over
13.0%
@ 9.10+2.9%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.02-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.02
Nõmme United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
37.7%
@ 1.59-20.6%
Under
62.3%
@ 2.22+20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.22
Nõmme United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.0%
@ 3.84-12.9%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.21+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.88
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
Nõmme United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.8%
@ 8.80-8.6%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.02+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.80
Under
1xBet
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.5%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.2%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+8.6%
Under 7.596.5%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+2.8%
Away under 3.5 goals94.1%1.06
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.05
---+6.5%
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.1%1.11
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
---+9.3%
Under 6.591.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
---+1.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals91.0%-------
Home over 0.5 goals89.4%1.14
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
--+9.3%
Home +2 handicap89.4%1.13
Unibet
1.16
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
--+13.2%
Over 1.589.1%1.11
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
+6.4%
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.0%1.21
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
---+12.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals87.0%1.02
1xBet
1.02
-----2.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals84.7%1.12
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-+2.5%
Under 5.583.1%1.07
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
--2.4%
Away under 2.5 goals82.2%1.19
Unibet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-+5.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals81.9%1.16
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
+2.1%
Home under 3.5 goals81.0%1.06
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
----6.0%
Home or Away78.3%1.23
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
+4.0%
Home or Draw76.5%1.39
Unibet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.36
+10.8%
Home +1 handicap76.5%1.43
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-+14.7%
Away over 0.5 goals76.4%1.18
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Unibet
1.13
---1.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals76.4%1.14
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
----4.0%
Over 0.5 HT goals75.9%1.22
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.20
+0.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals74.0%1.31
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-+3.7%
Over 2.571.3%1.45
Pinnacle
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
+7.8%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
NU (26)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
Vaprus and Nõmme United have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
NU (8)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
Vaprus and Nõmme United have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
NU (7)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
Vaprus and Nõmme United have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
NU (11)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
Vaprus and Nõmme United have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
3
VAP wins
0
Draws
2
NU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Vaprus vs Nõmme United · H/A from VAP
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26ANõmme United Vs VAP3-2
19/10/24ANõmme United Vs VAP0-2
13/07/24HVAP Vs Nõmme United2-0
31/05/24ANõmme United Vs VAP2-1
26/04/24HVAP Vs Nõmme United2-1

VaprusVaprus

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26ANõmme United Vs VAP3-2
29/08/26AKuressaare Vs VAP2-2
23/08/26HVAP Vs Flora Tallinn1-2
16/08/26AKalju Nomme Vs VAP3-1
12/08/26APhoenix Vs VAP0-5
02/08/26HVAP Vs FC Levadia Tallinn1-1
21/07/26ATabasalu Ulasabat Vs VAP1-4
18/07/26ATrans Narva Vs VAP3-1
11/07/26HVAP Vs Tammeka5-1
04/07/26APaide Vs VAP3-1

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26HNU Vs Vaprus3-2
29/08/26HNU Vs Laagri1-2
23/08/26APaide Vs NU4-1
19/08/26AHiiumaa Vs NU0-2
14/08/26HNU Vs Tammeka0-1
09/08/26AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs NU5-0
31/07/26HNU Vs Trans Narva1-2
23/07/26HNU Vs Raplamaa12-0
17/07/26AFlora Tallinn Vs NU1-2
11/07/26HNU Vs Kuressaare3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vaprus
Vaprus
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.44
HomeWWWDL1.50
AwayWWLDL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%42%42%
AVG goals3.543.673.42
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %72%71%73%
Over 3.5 %42%33%50%
Scored2.102.381.85
Conceded1.441.291.58
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Nõmme United
Nõmme United
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW2.26
HomeWLLLW2.31
AwayLWLWL2.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %74%77%71%
AVG goals4.264.543.96
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %76%81%71%
Over 3.5 %62%65%58%
Scored3.203.582.79
Conceded1.060.961.17
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet36%42%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn716
71%
2.3
197+12
3.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.71.0
-
2Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn915
56%
1.7
1614+2
3.3
89%
89%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.6
-
3TammekaTammeka815
62%
1.9
1315-2
3.5
75%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme814
50%
1.8
168+8
3.0
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.0
-
5PaidePaide714
57%
2.0
1410+4
3.4
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.4
-
6LaagriLaagri812
50%
1.5
1511+4
3.2
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.4
-
7VaprusVaprus88
25%
1.0
1315-2
3.5
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
8KuressaareKuressaare98
22%
0.9
1015-5
2.8
56%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.11.7
-
9Trans NarvaTrans Narva87
25%
0.9
717-10
3.0
100%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.92.1
-
10Nõmme UnitedNõmme United86
25%
0.8
920-11
3.6
88%
88%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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