This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.87
1.80
0.80
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (29)
1.31
0.86
1.80
0.80
0.79
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.9%
Under 1.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.0%
Under 2.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.8%
Under 3.5
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.2%
No
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
11.5%
0-1 ✓
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.3%
Varbergs BoIS FC goals ↓
IK brage goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.0%
5.3%
1.8%
0.5%
1
12%
14%
6.7%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.2%
8.3%
4.2%
1.4%
0.4%
3
3.5%
3.5%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Varbergs BoIS FC goals (down), columns = IK brage goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Degerfors IF
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Helsingborg
1.57
Stockholm Internazionale
1.50
Orgryte IS
1.47
Sandviken
1.43
Trelleborg
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Utsikten
1.37
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.30
Orebro SK
1.30
Oddevold
1.20
Ostersunds FK
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.16
Gefle IF
1.07
Skövde AIK
0.83
Lund
0.00
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.07 points worse than IK brage in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osters IF
1.83
Degerfors IF
1.67
Orgryte IS
1.67
Sandviken
1.63
Landskrona BoIS
1.53
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.53
Helsingborg
1.37
Utsikten
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Oddevold
1.13
Trelleborg
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
IK brage
1.03
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Lund
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.97
Skövde AIK
0.87
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.50 goals better than IK brage in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Degerfors IF
0.93
IK brage
0.97
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Osters IF
1.03
Landskrona BoIS
1.13
Helsingborg
1.13
Orebro SK
1.20
Utsikten
1.27
Trelleborg
1.27
GIF Sundsvall
1.31
Sandviken
1.37
Orgryte IS
1.43
Ostersunds FK
1.44
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.47
Oddevold
1.57
Skövde AIK
1.73
Gefle IF
1.80
Lund
2.50
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.50 goals worse than IK brage in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 0.97).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
64%
Sandviken
61%
Osters IF
58%
Lund
56%
IK brage
55%
Orebro SK
51%
Ostersunds FK
51%
GIF Sundsvall
50%
Helsingborg
48%
Trelleborg
48%
Degerfors IF
47%
Skövde AIK
47%
Orgryte IS
47%
Gefle IF
46%
Utsikten
46%
Stockholm Internazionale
43%
Oddevold
43%
Varbergs BoIS FC
40%
Varbergs BoIS FC is 15.0 percentage points worse than IK brage in terms of average possession (40% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Varbergs BoIS FC
For 3.6 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 10.5 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IK brage
For 5.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Varbergs BoIS FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.4
11.3
2.8
2.8
2.8
27.2
28.3
26.2
vs Stronger (14)
10.5
10.3
10.7
3.4
3.7
3.0
28.1
29.0
27.3
vs Similar (35)
11.1
10.5
11.6
2.7
2.4
2.9
26.6
27.8
25.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
61%
59%
63%
36%
42%
31%
89%
94%
84%
% under line
39%
41%
37%
64%
58%
69%
11%
6%
16%
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.6
10.3
2.4
1.9
2.9
23.8
22.0
25.3
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
-
8.0
0.7
0.0
1.0
9.0
-
9.0
vs Similar (47)
10.5
10.6
10.4
2.5
2.0
3.0
24.2
22.0
26.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
74%
81%
68%
38%
28%
48%
63%
50%
74%
% under line
26%
19%
32%
62%
72%
52%
37%
50%
26%
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Skövde AIK
11.2
Helsingborg
11.1
Orgryte IS
11.0
Osters IF
10.9
Landskrona BoIS
10.7
Degerfors IF
10.7
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.6
GIF Sundsvall
10.5
Ostersunds FK
10.5
Orebro SK
10.4
Utsikten
10.3
Trelleborg
10.3
IK brage
10.1
Gefle IF
9.7
Oddevold
9.3
Sandviken
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.6
Osters IF
4.5
Ostersunds FK
4.3
Orgryte IS
4.3
Gefle IF
4.2
Sandviken
4.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
Trelleborg
4.0
Orebro SK
3.9
Skövde AIK
3.8
Degerfors IF
3.7
IK brage
3.5
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
Oddevold
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
29.6
Gefle IF
27.4
Varbergs BoIS FC
27.3
Skövde AIK
26.2
Trelleborg
25.7
Ostersunds FK
25.6
Osters IF
25.2
Sandviken
25.1
Helsingborg
24.8
Landskrona BoIS
24.4
Orebro SK
24.0
IK brage
23.9
Orgryte IS
23.9
Degerfors IF
23.2
GIF Sundsvall
21.3
Oddevold
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
63.2%
Under 9.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.8%
Under 3.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.9%
Under 21.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Varbergs BoIS FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.50
0.79
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.68
0.58
0.92
0.54
0.46
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.93
0.53
0.20
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (29)
0.59
0.52
0.93
0.53
0.21
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Varbergs BoIS FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.03
0.86
0.71
0.88
1.31
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.75
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.00
0.92
0.92
0.58
1.08
1.23
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.33
0.87
0.27
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (29)
0.72
0.34
0.87
0.27
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Varbergs BoIS FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonas Alexander Johansson50%
Isak Bjerkebo33%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko29%
Aulon Bitiqi27%
Olle Edlund17%
Kevin Custovic17%
Anton Kurochkin17%
Gustav Broman14%
Leo Frigell Jansson12%
Marc Tokich0%
Diego Montiel0%
Hampus Zackrisson0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Robin Tranberg0%
Oskar Sverrisson0%
David Olsson0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Emil Hellman0%
Liam Olausson0%
Oliver Alfonsi0%
Azeez Temitope Yusuf0%
Diego Alfonsi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gustav Broman43%
Hampus Zackrisson33%
Diego Alfonsi33%
Robin Tranberg30%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko29%
David Olsson25%
Oskar Sverrisson20%
Oliver Alfonsi20%
Diego Montiel17%
Olle Edlund17%
Kevin Custovic17%
Liam Olausson17%
Anton Kurochkin17%
Marc Tokich14%
Leo Frigell Jansson12%
Azeez Temitope Yusuf12%
Niklas Dahlström10%
Aulon Bitiqi9%
Erion Sadiku0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Jonas Alexander Johansson0%
Emil Hellman0%
Isak Bjerkebo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Diego Montiel33%
Erion Sadiku33%
Anton Kurochkin33%
Isak Bjerkebo25%
Azeez Temitope Yusuf12%
Robin Tranberg10%
Oskar Sverrisson10%
Marc Tokich0%
Hampus Zackrisson0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Olle Edlund0%
Jonas Alexander Johansson0%
David Olsson0%
Kevin Custovic0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Emil Hellman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Liam Olausson0%
Oliver Alfonsi0%
Leo Frigell Jansson0%
Diego Alfonsi0%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko0%
Aulon Bitiqi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonas Alexander Johansson17%
Kevin Custovic17%
Isak Bjerkebo17%
Anton Kurochkin17%
Marc Tokich14%
Robin Tranberg10%
Diego Montiel0%
Hampus Zackrisson0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Olle Edlund0%
Oskar Sverrisson0%
David Olsson0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Emil Hellman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Liam Olausson0%
Oliver Alfonsi0%
Leo Frigell Jansson0%
Azeez Temitope Yusuf0%
Diego Alfonsi0%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko0%
Aulon Bitiqi0%
IK brage
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ieltsin Camoes54%
Amar Muhsin33%
Johan Arvidsson14%
Emil Tot Wikstrom9%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Adil Titi0%
Filip Sjoberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Ferhan Abic0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Henry Sletsjoe0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Omur Pektas0%
Oskar Ågren0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Henry Sletsjoe31%
Alexander Zetterstrom17%
Filip Sjoberg17%
Ieltsin Camoes15%
Viktor Frodig14%
Gustav Berggren14%
Oskar Ågren14%
Cesar Weilid8%
Pontus Jonsson7%
Johan Arvidsson7%
Christopher Redenstrand7%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Emil Tot Wikstrom0%
Adil Titi0%
Ferhan Abic0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Malte Persson0%
Omur Pektas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Henry Sletsjoe38%
Omur Pektas20%
Emil Tot Wikstrom9%
Pontus Jonsson7%
Johan Arvidsson7%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Adil Titi0%
Filip Sjoberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Ferhan Abic0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Ieltsin Camoes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ieltsin Camoes69%
Amar Muhsin44%
Emil Tot Wikstrom18%
Pontus Jonsson14%
Johan Arvidsson7%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Adil Titi0%
Filip Sjoberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Ferhan Abic0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Henry Sletsjoe0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Omur Pektas0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (26)
€8m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
DI (23)
€6m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
Varbergs BoIS FC's squad is €2m more valuable than IK brage's (€6m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
DI (5)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
Varbergs BoIS FC and IK brage have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (7)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
Varbergs BoIS FC and IK brage have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (12)
€4m
OS (12)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
Varbergs BoIS FC and IK brage have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Degerfors IF
Osters IF
Landskrona BoIS
Helsingborg
Orgryte IS
Sandviken
Trelleborg
Utsikten
Orebro SK
Ostersunds FK
GIF Sundsvall
Oddevold
Gefle IF
Skövde AIK
Stockholm Internazionale
Lund