This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.80
1.64
2.00
1.56
1.62
vs Stronger (5)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.52
1.76
1.58
2.00
1.46
1.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.2%
1-2 ✓
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
Varbergs BoIS FC goals ↓
IK brage goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
7.2%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
1
9.9%
14%
6.9%
2.6%
0.7%
2
8.1%
9.1%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.0%
4.4%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.4%
1.6%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Varbergs BoIS FC goals (down), columns = IK brage goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vasteras SK FK
2.17
Kalmar FF
2.13
Norrby IF
2.00
Orgryte IS
1.87
Oddevold
1.60
Falkenbergs FF
1.53
Hammarby Talang
1.50
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.43
Sandviken
1.37
Landskrona BoIS
1.37
IK brage
1.37
Helsingborg
1.37
GIF Sundsvall
1.33
Ostersunds FK
1.20
Utsikten
0.97
Orebro SK
0.78
Trelleborg
0.73
Umeå FC
0.63
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.07 points better than IK brage in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vasteras SK FK
2.07
Norrby IF
2.00
Orgryte IS
1.90
Falkenbergs FF
1.77
Kalmar FF
1.73
IK brage
1.70
Utsikten
1.53
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.50
Oddevold
1.40
Helsingborg
1.40
Landskrona BoIS
1.30
Orebro SK
1.25
Sandviken
1.20
GIF Sundsvall
1.20
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Umeå FC
1.00
Trelleborg
0.77
Hammarby Talang
0.50
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.20 goals worse than IK brage in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.70).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hammarby Talang
0.50
Kalmar FF
0.70
Vasteras SK FK
1.00
Orgryte IS
1.10
Falkenbergs FF
1.20
Oddevold
1.20
GIF Sundsvall
1.27
Helsingborg
1.30
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.40
Norrby IF
1.50
Sandviken
1.57
Landskrona BoIS
1.57
Ostersunds FK
1.70
IK brage
1.70
Trelleborg
1.70
Orebro SK
1.72
Utsikten
1.78
Umeå FC
1.90
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.30 goals better than IK brage in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.70).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby Talang
64%
Landskrona BoIS
63%
Sandviken
56%
Ostersunds FK
56%
Kalmar FF
53%
Vasteras SK FK
53%
Orebro SK
52%
IK brage
52%
GIF Sundsvall
48%
Trelleborg
48%
Helsingborg
48%
Utsikten
47%
Orgryte IS
47%
Varbergs BoIS FC
46%
Umeå FC
44%
Oddevold
44%
Norrby IF
42%
Falkenbergs FF
41%
Varbergs BoIS FC is 6.7 percentage points worse than IK brage in terms of average possession (46% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Varbergs BoIS FC
For 5.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 12.2 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IK brage
For 5.2 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.4 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Varbergs BoIS FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.9
9.6
1.5
1.6
1.5
27.0
27.7
26.4
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
9.7
9.9
9.6
1.6
1.7
1.6
27.0
27.7
26.4
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
52%
56%
50%
16%
22%
11%
90%
89%
92%
% under line
48%
44%
50%
84%
78%
89%
10%
11%
8%
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.6
10.9
1.6
1.6
1.7
24.0
24.5
23.2
vs Stronger (7)
10.7
11.0
10.5
2.1
2.0
2.2
21.0
24.0
19.5
vs Similar (43)
10.1
9.5
11.0
1.6
1.5
1.6
24.4
24.6
24.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
62%
60%
18%
12%
23%
74%
77%
70%
% under line
39%
38%
40%
82%
88%
77%
26%
23%
30%
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Orgryte IS
11.3
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.8
Trelleborg
10.7
Umeå FC
10.5
Vasteras SK FK
10.5
Utsikten
10.4
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.4
GIF Sundsvall
10.2
IK brage
10.2
Orebro SK
10.2
Sandviken
10.1
Norrby IF
9.9
Ostersunds FK
9.9
Kalmar FF
9.7
Oddevold
9.4
Falkenbergs FF
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
4.9
Umeå FC
4.5
Norrby IF
4.3
Helsingborg
4.2
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.8
Orebro SK
3.8
Ostersunds FK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
Orgryte IS
3.6
Sandviken
3.5
Trelleborg
3.5
Falkenbergs FF
3.3
Vasteras SK FK
3.2
Kalmar FF
3.2
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
Oddevold
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
28.2
Umeå FC
27.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.8
Trelleborg
25.3
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.6
IK brage
24.3
Helsingborg
24.1
Falkenbergs FF
23.9
Vasteras SK FK
23.7
Landskrona BoIS
23.6
Orebro SK
23.6
Sandviken
23.6
Kalmar FF
23.3
Orgryte IS
21.6
GIF Sundsvall
21.3
Oddevold
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.1%
Under 9.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.3%
Under 3.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
74.3%
Under 21.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Varbergs BoIS FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.43
0.80
0.27
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.76
0.38
0.86
0.14
0.67
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.00
0.64
1.14
0.56
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.52
1.00
0.58
1.17
0.46
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Varbergs BoIS FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.87
0.73
0.73
0.87
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.79
0.90
0.71
0.79
0.87
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.86
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.00
0.76
1.00
0.83
1.00
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Varbergs BoIS FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oliver Alfonsi36%
Jesper Jonasson Westermark29%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko23%
Joakim Lindner14%
Marc Tokich9%
Gustav Broman8%
Laorent Shabani7%
Erion Sadiku7%
Albin Winbo7%
Isak Vidjeskog7%
Olle Edlund7%
Hampus Zackrisson0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Anton Thorsson0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Emil Hellman0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Calvin Kabuye0%
Nuurdin Ali Mohudin0%
Arvid Wiklund0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Erion Sadiku43%
Emil Hellman33%
Calvin Kabuye33%
Albin Winbo21%
Jesper Jonasson Westermark14%
Niklas Dahlström14%
Isak Vidjeskog14%
Edvin Tellgren13%
Marc Tokich9%
Oliver Alfonsi9%
Gustav Broman8%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko8%
Olle Edlund7%
Laorent Shabani0%
Hampus Zackrisson0%
Joakim Lindner0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Anton Thorsson0%
Nuurdin Ali Mohudin0%
Arvid Wiklund0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jesper Jonasson Westermark21%
Albin Winbo21%
Emil Hellman13%
Niklas Dahlström7%
Olle Edlund7%
Edvin Tellgren7%
Laorent Shabani0%
Marc Tokich0%
Hampus Zackrisson0%
Joakim Lindner0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Anton Thorsson0%
Gustav Broman0%
Isak Vidjeskog0%
Oliver Alfonsi0%
Calvin Kabuye0%
Nuurdin Ali Mohudin0%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko0%
Arvid Wiklund0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oliver Alfonsi18%
Jesper Jonasson Westermark14%
Marc Tokich9%
Laorent Shabani7%
Erion Sadiku7%
Hampus Zackrisson0%
Joakim Lindner0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Olle Edlund0%
Anton Thorsson0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Albin Winbo0%
Emil Hellman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Isak Vidjeskog0%
Calvin Kabuye0%
Nuurdin Ali Mohudin0%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko0%
Arvid Wiklund0%
IK brage
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Amar Muhsin50%
Filip Trpčevski29%
Anton Lundin14%
Teodor Walemark14%
Noah Astrand John10%
Pontus Jonsson9%
Marinus Larsen9%
Gustav Nordh7%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Haris Brkic0%
Emil Tot Wikstrom0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Lorik Konjuhi0%
Noah Östberg0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Lundin43%
Jacob Stensson29%
Teodor Walemark29%
Gustav Berggren27%
Alexander Zetterstrom21%
Cesar Weilid20%
Malte Persson15%
Haris Brkic14%
Filip Trpčevski14%
Lorik Konjuhi14%
Noah Astrand John10%
Emil Tot Wikstrom8%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Marinus Larsen0%
Noah Östberg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Noah Östberg43%
Filip Trpčevski21%
Haris Brkic14%
Gustav Nordh13%
Cesar Weilid10%
Anton Lundin7%
Amar Muhsin7%
Gustav Berggren7%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Emil Tot Wikstrom0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Teodor Walemark0%
Malte Persson0%
Lorik Konjuhi0%
Noah Astrand John0%
Marinus Larsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amar Muhsin21%
Filip Trpčevski14%
Marinus Larsen9%
Emil Tot Wikstrom8%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Anton Lundin0%
Haris Brkic0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Teodor Walemark0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Lorik Konjuhi0%
Noah Astrand John0%
Noah Östberg0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
OI (26)
€8m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
NI (17)
€3m
HT (2)
€0m
Varbergs BoIS FC's squad is €2m more valuable than IK brage's (€6m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KF (8)
€4m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
HT (1)
€0m
Varbergs BoIS FC and IK brage have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VSF (6)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
HT (0)
€0m
Varbergs BoIS FC and IK brage have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (12)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
HT (1)
€0m
Varbergs BoIS FC and IK brage have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vasteras SK FK
Kalmar FF
Orgryte IS
Oddevold
Falkenbergs FF
Helsingborg
Landskrona BoIS
Sandviken
GIF Sundsvall
Ostersunds FK
Utsikten
Orebro SK
Trelleborg
Umeå FC
Norrby IF
Hammarby Talang