This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norrby IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.70
1.64
1.36
1.19
2.00
vs Stronger (14)
1.57
2.00
1.83
1.17
1.38
2.62
vs Similar (16)
1.25
1.44
1.50
1.50
1.00
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.4%
Under 2.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0 â
9.1%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
Varbergs BoIS FC goals ↓
Norrby IF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
5.7%
3.6%
1.3%
0.3%
1
9.8%
13%
6.1%
2.1%
0.6%
2
9.1%
9.7%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
3
5.1%
5.4%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
4
2.1%
2.3%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Varbergs BoIS FC goals (down), columns = Norrby IF goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.67 points better than Norrby IF in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.10).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.62 goals better than Norrby IF in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.19).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.05 goals better than Norrby IF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.33).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Varbergs BoIS FC is 3.3 percentage points better than Norrby IF in terms of average possession (47% vs 44%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Varbergs BoIS FC
For 4.4 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.2
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 11.2 · Total 26.4
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Norrby IF
For 3.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 7.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.0 · Total 25.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Varbergs BoIS FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.5
9.2
1.6
1.4
1.8
27.7
28.4
27.2
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
9.0
8.5
9.2
1.7
1.5
2.0
27.7
28.4
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
38%
46%
20%
21%
19%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
57%
62%
54%
80%
79%
81%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norrby IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (42)
9.4
9.5
9.2
2.6
2.8
2.5
24.3
24.2
24.5
vs Stronger (19)
10.5
11.2
9.8
2.8
3.1
2.6
25.2
25.8
24.8
vs Similar (23)
8.6
8.5
8.8
2.5
2.5
2.4
23.8
23.3
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
46%
43%
40%
45%
36%
64%
64%
64%
% under line
56%
54%
57%
60%
55%
64%
36%
36%
36%
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.7
IFK Norrkoping
11.6
IFK Varnamo
11.1
Landskrona BoIS
10.5
Helsingborg
10.4
IK brage
10.4
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.3
GIF Sundsvall
10.1
Sandviken
9.9
Ljungskile SK
9.9
Orebro SK
9.6
Ostersunds FK
9.6
Norrby IF
9.4
Oddevold
9.3
United Nordic
9.1
Falkenbergs FF
8.9
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Norrby IF
4.1
Osters IF
4.0
Ljungskile SK
4.0
Landskrona BoIS
3.9
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.8
Orebro SK
3.8
IK brage
3.6
Ostersunds FK
3.5
Sandviken
3.3
IFK Varnamo
3.2
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
Oddevold
2.9
Falkenbergs FF
2.8
United Nordic
2.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
Ljungskile SK
27.0
IFK Norrkoping
26.9
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.5
Osters IF
25.5
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
IK brage
24.2
Orebro SK
23.9
Landskrona BoIS
23.8
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.9
GIF Sundsvall
21.3
Oddevold
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
43.2%
Under 9.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.1%
Under 3.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.4%
Under 21.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Varbergs BoIS FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.43
0.79
0.29
0.75
0.56
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (29)
0.79
0.41
0.79
0.29
0.80
0.53
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norrby IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.71
0.50
0.44
0.88
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.07
0.83
0.67
0.38
1.38
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.38
0.62
0.38
0.50
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrby IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrby IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrby IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Varbergs BoIS FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.90
0.71
0.86
0.88
0.94
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (29)
0.83
0.93
0.71
0.86
0.93
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norrby IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.00
0.93
0.86
0.75
1.12
vs Stronger (14)
1.00
0.93
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.25
vs Similar (16)
0.69
1.06
0.88
1.12
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrby IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrby IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrby IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Varbergs BoIS FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Severin Nioule50%
Wilhelm Arlig25%
Shanyder Borgelin25%
Niklas DahlstrÃķm25%
Edvin Tellgren25%
Aulon Bitiqi25%
Joakim Lindner0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Oliver Silverholt0%
Albin Winbo0%
Emil Hellman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Oscar Ekman0%
Noah Johansson0%
Isak Vidjeskog0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Niklas DahlstrÃķm50%
Erion Sadiku33%
Gustav Broman33%
Emil Hellman25%
Noah Johansson25%
Isak Vidjeskog25%
Severin Nioule25%
Joakim Lindner0%
Wilhelm Arlig0%
Oliver Silverholt0%
Shanyder Borgelin0%
Albin Winbo0%
Oscar Ekman0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Aulon Bitiqi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oliver Silverholt33%
Wilhelm Arlig25%
Albin Winbo25%
Emil Hellman25%
Noah Johansson25%
Isak Vidjeskog25%
Joakim Lindner0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Shanyder Borgelin0%
Niklas DahlstrÃķm0%
Gustav Broman0%
Oscar Ekman0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Aulon Bitiqi0%
Severin Nioule0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Shanyder Borgelin25%
Aulon Bitiqi25%
Joakim Lindner0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Wilhelm Arlig0%
Oliver Silverholt0%
Niklas DahlstrÃķm0%
Albin Winbo0%
Emil Hellman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Oscar Ekman0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Noah Johansson0%
Isak Vidjeskog0%
Severin Nioule0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Varbergs BoIS FC's squad is €4m more valuable than Norrby IF's (€6m vs €3m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Varbergs BoIS FC and Norrby IF have a similar attack value (both €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Varbergs BoIS FC's midfield is €2m more valuable than Norrby IF's (€2m vs €0m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Varbergs BoIS FC's defence is €1m more valuable than Norrby IF's (€2m vs €1m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall