Varbergs BoIS FC are favoured to win, with a 42% chance of a home victory, 28% for a draw and 31% for an away win. The model expects 2.7 goals overall, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Varbergs, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Oddevold, on the road, average 1.87 goals scored and 1.67 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4% with a 4% edge, Under 6.5 at 97.8% with a 7% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5% with a 4% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.8% with a 4% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.1% with a 5% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.9% with a 6% edge, and Under 5.5 at 93.9% with a 4% edge. Varbergs come off a defeat, while Oddevold are unbeaten in their last five.
Results analysis
Varbergs BoIS FC finished the match on a high note, extending their recent run with a 3-1 victory over Oddevold. The model had correctly predicted a home win, assigning a 42% probability to that outcome. The final score matched the model’s expectation, confirming the favoured result. The model’s selections performed largely as forecast: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals missed at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.0%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.2%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.2%, and Under 5.5 hit at 93.9%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and every selection’s outcome was reported.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Varbergs BoIS FC win✓ Hit
41.7%
Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.31
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.47
Marathonbet
2.39
BetVictor
2.38
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.35
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.24
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Superbet
3.35
Dafabet
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
Oddevold win✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied 31.7% · @ 2.91
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.01
Dafabet
3.00
Unibet
3.00
Betano
2.95
10Bet
2.95
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Varbergs BoIS FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.30
1.50
1.00
1.69
1.56
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (29)
1.66
1.31
1.50
1.00
1.80
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Oddevold) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oddevold
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.53
1.21
1.43
1.75
1.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
0.00
3.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
1.57
1.46
1.31
1.31
1.80
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
@ 1.29+5.1%
Under 1.5
22.8%
@ 3.34-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Under
Superbet
3.75
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.94+3.3%
Under 2.5
48.1%
@ 1.83-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.08
Marathonbet
2.04
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.94
Under
Superbet
1.95
10Bet
1.91
SBO
1.90
Betfair
1.87
Unibet
1.84
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.7%
@ 3.34+1.8%
Under 3.5
70.3%
@ 1.29-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.59
Marathonbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Under
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.35
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.6%
@ 1.72+2.6%
No
43.4%
@ 2.02-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
Betfair
1.75
No
Superbet
2.15
Betfair
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Unibet
2.04
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 5.90+5.6%
2-1
9.0%@ 8.43+3.7%
1-0
8.4%@ 7.57+2.5%
0-0
7.6%@ 9.31+2.8%
1-2
7.5%@ 9.73+2.9%
2-0
7.2%@ 10.86+3.1%
0-1
6.8%@ 8.70+1.7%
2-2
5.6%@ 12.47+2.1%
Varbergs BoIS FC goals ↓
Oddevold goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.6%
6.8%
5.0%
2.1%
0.7%
1
8.4%
13%
7.5%
3.1%
1.0%
2
7.2%
9.0%
5.6%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.6%
4.5%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.3%
1.7%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Varbergs BoIS FC goals (down), columns = Oddevold goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.38 points better than Oddevold in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.19 goals better than Oddevold in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.19 goals better than Oddevold in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Varbergs BoIS FC is 2.7 percentage points worse than Oddevold in terms of average possession (47% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Varbergs BoIS FC
For 4.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 12.8 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oddevold
For 5.7 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Varbergs BoIS FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.9
8.8
1.7
1.8
1.6
27.7
29.0
26.5
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (49)
8.9
8.9
8.8
1.7
1.8
1.7
27.7
29.0
26.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
45%
45%
24%
25%
23%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
55%
55%
55%
76%
75%
77%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Oddevold) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oddevold
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.1
8.3
0.9
1.2
0.7
22.0
21.4
23.4
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
9.5
10.1
8.3
1.0
1.2
0.7
22.0
21.4
23.4
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
42%
54%
17%
8%
9%
7%
50%
45%
60%
% under line
58%
46%
83%
92%
91%
93%
50%
55%
40%
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
10.9
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.2
Ljungskile SK
10.2
United Nordic
10.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Orebro SK
9.4
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Ljungskile SK
3.9
Osters IF
3.9
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Landskrona BoIS
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Ostersunds FK
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.9
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.2
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
IK brage
24.1
Orebro SK
23.7
Landskrona BoIS
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.9
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.2%
@ 1.85-6.9%
Under 9.5
56.8%
@ 1.86+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.91
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.89
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
38.0%
Under 3.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.2%
Under 21.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Varbergs BoIS FC or Draw✓ Hit
69.5%
Avg Implied 68.4% · @ 1.36
Edge
+1.1%
42%
28%
31%
covers Varbergs BoIS FC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Varbergs BoIS FC or Oddevold✓ Hit
72.3%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.29
Edge
+0.3%
42%
28%
31%
covers Varbergs BoIS FC + Oddevold
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Draw or Oddevold✗ Miss
58.3%
Avg Implied 59.7% · @ 1.56
Edge
-1.4%
42%
28%
31%
covers Draw + Oddevold
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.60
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.6%
@ 1.25+3.2%
Under
22.4%
@ 3.63-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Superbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Pinnacle
3.67
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
44.1%
@ 2.25+2.7%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.59-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Marathonbet
2.39
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.31
BetVictor
2.30
Under
Superbet
1.67
Unibet
1.65
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.57
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
19.1%
@ 5.06+0.7%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.14-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.70
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
1xBet
5.35
Bet365
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 10.92-2.1%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.03+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Betano
1.03
Oddevold over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.4%
@ 1.33+1.6%
Under
28.6%
@ 3.08-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.08
1xBet
3.04
Oddevold over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.6%
@ 2.64+0.4%
Under
64.4%
@ 1.44-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.86
Marathonbet
2.77
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.72
Under
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.51
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
Oddevold over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.2%
@ 6.29-1.5%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.09+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
BetVictor
7.00
1xBet
6.65
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.10
Under
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Oddevold over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 13.00-3.5%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Varbergs BoIS FC, so a minus line means Varbergs BoIS FC give that many goals of a start and Oddevold receive them. At -1, Varbergs BoIS FC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Varbergs BoIS FC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Varbergs BoIS FC)Actual: Draw
Varbergs BoIS FC -2
8.2%
@ 9.33-1.2%
Draw -2
12.8%
@ 6.08-1.7%
Oddevold +2
78.9%
@ 1.16+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
10Bet
8.50
Unibet
8.50
Marathonbet
6.65
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
5.75
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Varbergs BoIS FC)Actual: Varbergs BoIS FC
Varbergs BoIS FC -1
21.1%
@ 4.47+1.1%
Draw -1
20.6%
@ 3.95-2.0%
Oddevold +1
58.3%
@ 1.55+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.85
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
4.00
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.70
Away
Unibet
1.62
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Handicap +1 (Varbergs BoIS FC)Actual: Varbergs BoIS FC
Varbergs BoIS FC +1
69.5%
@ 1.38+4.2%
Draw +1
17.1%
@ 4.54-2.7%
Oddevold -1
13.5%
@ 5.97-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Unibet
1.33
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
Unibet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Away
Marathonbet
6.30
Unibet
6.10
10Bet
6.00
Bet365
5.50
Handicap +2 (Varbergs BoIS FC)Actual: Varbergs BoIS FC
Varbergs BoIS FC +2
86.5%
@ 1.14+4.5%
Draw +2
9.0%
@ 8.00-2.7%
Oddevold -2
4.5%
@ 15.00-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Varbergs BoIS FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.50
0.79
0.36
0.88
0.62
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (29)
0.86
0.48
0.79
0.36
0.93
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Oddevold) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oddevold
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.79
0.43
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.75
0.50
0.85
0.38
0.67
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.4%
@ 1.38+1.1%
Under 0.5
31.6%
@ 2.84-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Under
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.00
William Hil
2.90
Pinnacle
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
32.6%
@ 2.76-0.9%
Under 1.5
67.4%
@ 1.39+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.03
Marathonbet
2.99
Betano
2.95
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.85
Under
Superbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
BetVictor
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
10.5%
@ 7.07-2.6%
Under 2.5
89.5%
@ 1.07+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.40
William Hil
7.00
Under
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.8%
@ 2.00+0.4%
Under
53.2%
@ 1.73-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.09
Marathonbet
2.08
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Under
Superbet
1.80
Unibet
1.79
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
12.6%
@ 6.24-2.2%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.09+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Under
1xBet
1.10
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
2.5%
@ 14.88-3.9%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Oddevold over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.5%
@ 2.21+0.6%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.60-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.26
1xBet
2.25
10Bet
2.15
Under
Superbet
1.67
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Unibet
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Oddevold over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 7.47-1.4%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.06+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.70
1xBet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
Oddevold over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 17.00-3.8%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Varbergs BoIS FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.80
0.71
0.64
0.81
0.94
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (29)
0.79
0.83
0.71
0.64
0.87
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Oddevold) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oddevold
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.00
0.43
1.00
1.12
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.82
0.96
0.46
0.92
1.13
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.4%
@ 1.22+1.8%
Under 0.5
22.6%
@ 3.79-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.60
William Hil
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.1%
@ 2.09-0.3%
Under 1.5
55.9%
@ 1.67+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.23
William Hil
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Betano
2.12
Unibet
2.05
Under
Superbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.3%
@ 4.50-2.3%
Under 2.5
81.7%
@ 1.17+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.95
William Hil
4.80
1xBet
4.65
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.30
Under
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.3%
@ 1.70-0.1%
Under
45.7%
@ 2.03+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.75
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Under
Superbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.94
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.6%
@ 4.53-0.8%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.16+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 10.00-4.5%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Oddevold over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
51.0%
@ 1.83+0.5%
Under
49.0%
@ 1.87-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.85
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.77
Under
Superbet
1.95
10Bet
1.90
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
Oddevold over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 5.29-3.1%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.12+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.30
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Oddevold over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 12.50-4.5%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.01+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.5%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.07
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.06
+2.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.09
1xBet
1.10
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+2.2%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
86.8%
1.09
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.5%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.12
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.5%
1.09
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Betano
1.10
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.14
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.9%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
-0.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.16
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
78.9%
1.16
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
+2.9%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
78.8%
1.31
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.32
Unibet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
-
+9.1%
-
Home over 0.5 goals
77.6%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.4%
1.22
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.2%
1.29
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.3%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.4%
1.33
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.3%
1.29
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.35
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
-1.8%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Varbergs BoIS FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Severin Nioule50%
Wilhelm Arlig25%
Shanyder Borgelin25%
Niklas Dahlström25%
Edvin Tellgren25%
Aulon Bitiqi25%
Joakim Lindner0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Oliver Silverholt0%
Albin Winbo0%
Emil Hellman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Oscar Ekman0%
Noah Johansson0%
Isak Vidjeskog0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Niklas Dahlström50%
Erion Sadiku33%
Gustav Broman33%
Emil Hellman25%
Noah Johansson25%
Isak Vidjeskog25%
Severin Nioule25%
Joakim Lindner0%
Wilhelm Arlig0%
Oliver Silverholt0%
Shanyder Borgelin0%
Albin Winbo0%
Oscar Ekman0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Aulon Bitiqi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oliver Silverholt33%
Wilhelm Arlig25%
Albin Winbo25%
Emil Hellman25%
Noah Johansson25%
Isak Vidjeskog25%
Joakim Lindner0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Shanyder Borgelin0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Gustav Broman0%
Oscar Ekman0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Aulon Bitiqi0%
Severin Nioule0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Shanyder Borgelin25%
Aulon Bitiqi25%
Joakim Lindner0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Wilhelm Arlig0%
Oliver Silverholt0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Albin Winbo0%
Emil Hellman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Oscar Ekman0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Noah Johansson0%
Isak Vidjeskog0%
Severin Nioule0%
Oddevold
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Shahin Leonardo Farah50%
Vincent Sundberg33%
Gabriel Sandberg25%
Olle Kjellman Olblad25%
Gustav Forssell25%
Morten Saetra0%
Hugo Engstrom0%
Erik Hedenquist0%
Adam Engelbrektsson0%
Alexander Almqvist0%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson0%
Djoro Awaka0%
Emmanuel Gono0%
Elias Forsberg0%
Esim Mehmed0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emmanuel Gono67%
Morten Saetra0%
Gabriel Sandberg0%
Hugo Engstrom0%
Erik Hedenquist0%
Adam Engelbrektsson0%
Alexander Almqvist0%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson0%
Shahin Leonardo Farah0%
Olle Kjellman Olblad0%
Djoro Awaka0%
Elias Forsberg0%
Vincent Sundberg0%
Gustav Forssell0%
Esim Mehmed0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander Almqvist33%
Djoro Awaka33%
Vincent Sundberg33%
Gustav Forssell25%
Morten Saetra0%
Gabriel Sandberg0%
Hugo Engstrom0%
Erik Hedenquist0%
Adam Engelbrektsson0%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson0%
Shahin Leonardo Farah0%
Olle Kjellman Olblad0%
Emmanuel Gono0%
Elias Forsberg0%
Esim Mehmed0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Olle Kjellman Olblad50%
Morten Saetra0%
Gabriel Sandberg0%
Hugo Engstrom0%
Erik Hedenquist0%
Adam Engelbrektsson0%
Alexander Almqvist0%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson0%
Shahin Leonardo Farah0%
Djoro Awaka0%
Emmanuel Gono0%
Elias Forsberg0%
Vincent Sundberg0%
Gustav Forssell0%
Esim Mehmed0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Varbergs BoIS FC's squad is €1m more valuable than Oddevold's (€6m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Varbergs BoIS FC and Oddevold have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Varbergs BoIS FC's midfield is €1m more valuable than Oddevold's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Varbergs BoIS FC and Oddevold have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →