This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.50
1.73
1.40
0.33
1.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
1.00
1.61
1.64
1.50
0.36
1.71
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.6%
Under 1.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.7%
Under 2.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.4%
Under 3.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.2%
No
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.6%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
Varbergs BoIS FC goals ↓
Ostersunds FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.6%
5.2%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
1
14%
12%
4.1%
1.0%
0.2%
2
13%
9.4%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
7.2%
5.4%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
4
3.1%
2.3%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Varbergs BoIS FC goals (down), columns = Ostersunds FK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.10 points better than Ostersunds FK in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.38 goals better than Ostersunds FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.19 goals worse than Ostersunds FK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.10).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Varbergs BoIS FC is 6.1 percentage points worse than Ostersunds FK in terms of average possession (47% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Varbergs BoIS FC
For 5.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 11.5 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ostersunds FK
For 5.2 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Varbergs BoIS FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.8
10.5
1.3
1.4
1.2
26.7
27.5
26.1
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
10.2
9.8
10.5
1.4
1.5
1.3
26.7
27.5
26.1
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
58%
50%
64%
12%
17%
7%
89%
88%
91%
% under line
42%
50%
36%
88%
83%
93%
11%
12%
9%
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
10.2
8.5
1.4
1.1
1.7
24.3
23.0
25.5
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
9.0
10.2
7.8
1.4
1.2
1.6
24.2
23.0
25.4
vs Weaker (2)
16.0
-
16.0
3.0
0.0
6.0
27.0
-
27.0
% over line
38%
50%
27%
18%
12%
23%
76%
70%
82%
% under line
62%
50%
73%
82%
88%
77%
24%
30%
18%
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.7
IFK Norrkoping
11.6
IFK Varnamo
11.4
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.8
GIF Sundsvall
10.4
Helsingborg
10.3
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.3
Orebro SK
10.2
Sandviken
10.0
Ostersunds FK
9.8
Norrby IF
9.5
Oddevold
9.3
Falkenbergs FF
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Norrby IF
4.4
Osters IF
4.3
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
Helsingborg
4.0
Orebro SK
3.9
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.8
Ostersunds FK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
Sandviken
3.6
IFK Varnamo
3.4
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
Falkenbergs FF
3.2
Oddevold
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.8
IFK Norrkoping
26.5
Osters IF
25.7
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.8
IK brage
24.0
Helsingborg
24.0
Falkenbergs FF
23.9
Orebro SK
23.9
Landskrona BoIS
23.7
Sandviken
23.6
IFK Varnamo
23.1
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Oddevold
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.5%
Under 9.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
51.6%
Under 3.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
77.6%
Under 21.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Varbergs BoIS FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.40
0.79
0.14
0.56
0.62
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (29)
0.69
0.38
0.79
0.14
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.80
0.67
0.13
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.46
0.75
0.79
0.71
0.14
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Varbergs BoIS FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.97
0.57
0.86
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (29)
0.69
1.00
0.57
0.86
0.80
1.13
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.80
0.93
0.73
0.20
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.54
0.86
0.86
0.79
0.21
0.93
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Varbergs BoIS FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Severin Nioule50%
Wilhelm Arlig25%
Shanyder Borgelin25%
Niklas Dahlström25%
Edvin Tellgren25%
Aulon Bitiqi25%
Joakim Lindner0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Oliver Silverholt0%
Albin Winbo0%
Emil Hellman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Oscar Ekman0%
Noah Johansson0%
Isak Vidjeskog0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Niklas Dahlström50%
Erion Sadiku33%
Gustav Broman33%
Emil Hellman25%
Noah Johansson25%
Isak Vidjeskog25%
Severin Nioule25%
Joakim Lindner0%
Wilhelm Arlig0%
Oliver Silverholt0%
Shanyder Borgelin0%
Albin Winbo0%
Oscar Ekman0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Aulon Bitiqi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oliver Silverholt33%
Wilhelm Arlig25%
Albin Winbo25%
Emil Hellman25%
Noah Johansson25%
Isak Vidjeskog25%
Joakim Lindner0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Shanyder Borgelin0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Gustav Broman0%
Oscar Ekman0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Aulon Bitiqi0%
Severin Nioule0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Shanyder Borgelin25%
Aulon Bitiqi25%
Joakim Lindner0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Wilhelm Arlig0%
Oliver Silverholt0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Albin Winbo0%
Emil Hellman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Oscar Ekman0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Noah Johansson0%
Isak Vidjeskog0%
Severin Nioule0%
Ostersunds FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emil Özkan33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hugo Azzi67%
Daniel Miljanovic33%
Abel Stensrud33%
Emil Özkan33%
Sunday Anyanwu33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Marklund33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Emil Özkan0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Emil Özkan0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Varbergs BoIS FC's squad is €2m more valuable than Ostersunds FK's (€6m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Varbergs BoIS FC's attack is €1m more valuable than Ostersunds FK's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Varbergs BoIS FC and Ostersunds FK have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Varbergs BoIS FC and Ostersunds FK have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
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IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall