Varnsdorf’s recent draw-heavy run and Slavia Praha’s unbeaten streak set the stage for a clear favourite. The model rates Slavia Praha’s away victory at 90%, reflecting their strong away form (1.92 goals scored, 1.31 conceded) against a weaker opponent, while Varnsdorf struggles at home, averaging only one goal scored and conceding three against stronger teams. The predicted outcome is an away win, with an expected 4.2 goals in total and the most likely scoreline 0-3 for Slavia Praha, a 12% probability. The model also flags a 6+ total goals scenario at 24%. Home win probability sits at 2%, draw at 8%, and away win at 90%. Suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals at 99.7%, Away +2 handicap at 99.4%, Home under 2.5 goals at 97.8%, Draw or Away at 97.5%, Away +1 handicap at 97.5%, Away over 0.5 goals at 97.3%, Under 7.5 at 93.8%, and Home or Away at 92.5%. The edge percentages are omitted where not provided.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Varnsdorf win
3.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
8.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha win
88.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Varnsdorf
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.53
1.00
1.62
1.64
1.43
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.31
1.48
1.00
1.53
1.64
1.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Praha
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.23
1.17
2.60
1.00
1.87
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
4.00
2.00
4.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.50
0.67
1.50
0.25
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (23)
2.43
1.17
3.10
1.00
1.92
1.31
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Varnsdorf) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
91.5%
Under 1.5
8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76.8%
Under 2.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
57.4%
Under 3.5
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
44.5%
No
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-3
11.9%
0-2
10.4%
0-4
10.3%
1-3
7.3%
0-5
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
1-4
6.2%
0-1
5.7%
Varnsdorf goals ↓
Slavia Praha goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.1%
5.7%
10%
12%
10%
1
0.7%
4.1%
6.4%
7.3%
6.2%
2
0.3%
1.1%
1.9%
2.2%
1.9%
3
0.1%
0.2%
0.4%
0.5%
0.4%
4
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Varnsdorf goals (down), columns = Slavia Praha goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Karviná
3.00
Frýdek-Místek
2.50
Uničov
2.33
Sparta Praha
2.33
Slavia Praha
2.33
Bohemians 1905
2.33
Hlinsko
2.25
Zbrojovka Brno
2.25
FK Jablonec
2.17
Slaný
2.00
Vítkovice
2.00
Nové Sady
2.00
Vysoké Mýto
2.00
Petřín Plzeň
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Jiskra Domažlice
2.00
Hlučín
2.00
Brandýs nad Labem
2.00
Králův Dvůr
2.00
Trutnov
2.00
Vrchovina
2.00
Hodonín
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Dukla Praha
2.00
Slovan Liberec
2.00
Plzen
2.00
Zlin
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Prostějov
2.00
Třinec
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.75
Karlovy Vary
1.75
Horní Ředice
1.75
Hradec Králové
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Mlada Boleslav
1.60
Písek
1.50
Slavičín
1.50
Havlíčkův Brod
1.50
Sparta Brno
1.50
Rapid Psáry
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Meteor Praha
1.50
Motorlet Praha
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Strání
1.50
Komárov
1.50
Kozlovice
1.50
Zabreh
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Chotebor
1.50
Kosmonosy
1.50
Štětí
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Baník Souš
1.50
Vsetín
1.50
Velké Hamry
1.50
Unie Hlubina
1.50
Doubravka
1.50
Slovan Velvary
1.50
Pěnčín
1.50
Chomutov
1.50
Kladno
1.50
České Budějovice
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Teplice
1.50
Hanácká
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Rokycany
1.33
Hranice
1.33
Sokol Brozany
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Bospor Bohumín
1.33
Baník Ostrava
1.25
Artis
1.25
Klasterec n. Oh.
1.06
Vestec
1.06
Šternberk
1.06
Bystrc Kníničky
1.06
Horni Becva
1.06
Spartak Pribram
1.06
Hermanuv Mestec
1.06
Slavoj Vyšehrad
1.06
Velká Bíteš
1.06
Belotin
1.06
SK Krumvir
1.06
Hvězda Cheb
1.06
Strakonice
1.06
Slavia Vejprnice
1.06
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.06
Kravare
1.06
Stará Říše
1.06
TJ Bystrice
1.06
Branik
1.06
Dvůr Králové
1.06
Letohrad
1.06
Rychnov n. Kneznou
1.06
Vykan
1.06
Blansko
1.06
Bedrichov
1.06
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
1.06
Nyrsko
1.06
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Břeclav
1.00
Uherský Brod
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Kolín
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
1.00
Ráječko
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Opava
1.00
Čáslav
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Havířov
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Vratimov
0.67
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.67
Brumov
0.50
Kuřim
0.50
Baník Sokolov
0.50
Přepeře
0.50
Sokol Hostouň
0.50
Neratovice-Byškovice
0.00
Bzenec
0.00
Hořovicko
0.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
0.00
Bílovec
0.00
Velké Meziříčí
0.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
0.00
Sokol Zápy
0.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
0.00
Stonava
0.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
0.00
Valašské Meziříčí
0.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
0.00
Hluk
0.00
Břidličná
0.00
Svitavy
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Tempo Praha
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Benešov
0.00
Tatran Všechovice
0.00
Křimice
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Varnsdorf
0.00
Milevsko
0.00
Příbram
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Znojmo
0.00
Sigma Olomouc
0.00
Vlašim
0.00
Varnsdorf is 2.33 points worse than Slavia Praha in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 2.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Táborsko
4.33
Uničov
4.00
Prostějov
4.00
Třinec
4.00
Frýdek-Místek
3.75
Králův Dvůr
3.67
Slaný
3.50
Vítkovice
3.50
Slovan Liberec
3.50
Karviná
3.50
Vysoké Mýto
3.00
Aritma Praha
3.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
3.00
Velké Hamry
3.00
Čáslav
3.00
Hodonín
2.67
Slavia Praha
2.67
Plzen
2.67
Sparta Brno
2.50
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Komárov
2.50
Vrchovina
2.50
České Budějovice
2.50
Trutnov
2.33
Sparta Praha
2.33
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Zlin
2.33
Karlovy Vary
2.25
Nové Sady
2.20
Neratovice-Byškovice
2.00
Písek
2.00
Slavičín
2.00
Hořovicko
2.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
2.00
Velké Meziříčí
2.00
Břidličná
2.00
Ráječko
2.00
Štětí
2.00
Spartak Soběslav
2.00
Benešov
2.00
Unie Hlubina
2.00
Hlinsko
2.00
Chomutov
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Bospor Bohumín
2.00
Kladno
2.00
Milevsko
2.00
Havířov
2.00
Hradec Králové
2.00
Pardubice
2.00
Bohemians 1905
2.00
Mlada Boleslav
2.00
Sigma Olomouc
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
FK Jablonec
1.83
Horní Ředice
1.75
Zbrojovka Brno
1.75
Baník Ostrava
1.75
Petřín Plzeň
1.67
Tatran Bohunice
1.67
Hranice
1.67
Brandýs nad Labem
1.67
Klasterec n. Oh.
1.57
Vestec
1.57
Šternberk
1.57
Bystrc Kníničky
1.57
Horni Becva
1.57
Spartak Pribram
1.57
Hermanuv Mestec
1.57
Slavoj Vyšehrad
1.57
Velká Bíteš
1.57
Belotin
1.57
SK Krumvir
1.57
Hvězda Cheb
1.57
Strakonice
1.57
Slavia Vejprnice
1.57
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.57
Kravare
1.57
Stará Říše
1.57
TJ Bystrice
1.57
Branik
1.57
Dvůr Králové
1.57
Letohrad
1.57
Rychnov n. Kneznou
1.57
Vykan
1.57
Blansko
1.57
Bedrichov
1.57
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
1.57
Nyrsko
1.57
Havlíčkův Brod
1.50
Meteor Praha
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Strání
1.50
Kolín
1.50
Kozlovice
1.50
Sokol Lanžhot
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Chotebor
1.50
Kosmonosy
1.50
Baník Souš
1.50
Vsetín
1.50
Doubravka
1.50
Sokol Hostouň
1.50
Slovan Velvary
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Teplice
1.50
Artis
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.33
Rokycany
1.33
Vratimov
1.33
Sokol Brozany
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.33
Slovácko
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Bílovec
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Stonava
1.00
Kuřim
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Hlučín
1.00
Valašské Meziříčí
1.00
Hluk
1.00
Zabreh
1.00
Šumperk
1.00
Tempo Praha
1.00
Tatran Všechovice
1.00
Křimice
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Chrudim
1.00
Znojmo
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Hanácká
1.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.67
Brumov
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Baník Sokolov
0.50
Přepeře
0.50
Bzenec
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
0.00
Uherský Brod
0.00
Sokol Zápy
0.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
0.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
0.00
Svitavy
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Opava
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Varnsdorf
0.00
Příbram
0.00
Varnsdorf is 2.67 goals worse than Slavia Praha in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 2.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Břeclav
0.00
Uherský Brod
0.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.00
Opava
0.00
Sparta Praha
0.33
Vysočina Jihlava
0.33
Mlada Boleslav
0.40
Písek
0.50
Havlíčkův Brod
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Hlučín
0.50
Štětí
0.50
Frýdek-Místek
0.50
Slovan Liberec
0.50
Vysoké Mýto
0.67
Hodonín
0.67
Dukla Praha
0.67
Slavia Praha
0.67
Bohemians 1905
0.67
Slovácko
0.67
Karviná
0.67
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Aritma Praha
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Meteor Praha
1.00
Strání
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Vrchovina
1.00
Frýdlant
1.00
Velké Hamry
1.00
Slovan Velvary
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Humpolec
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
FK Jablonec
1.00
Hradec Králové
1.00
Teplice
1.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.00
Hlinsko
1.25
Artis
1.25
Třinec
1.25
Sokol Brozany
1.33
Uničov
1.33
Trutnov
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Plzen
1.33
Zlin
1.33
Slaný
1.50
Kolín
1.50
Baník Sokolov
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Horní Ředice
1.50
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
1.50
Kladno
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Hanácká
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Baník Ostrava
1.75
Nové Sady
1.80
Slavičín
2.00
Petřín Plzeň
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
2.00
Kuřim
2.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
2.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
2.00
Ráječko
2.00
Sokol Lanžhot
2.00
Kosmonosy
2.00
Šumperk
2.00
Holešov
2.00
Přepeře
2.00
Křimice
2.00
Sokol Hostouň
2.00
Chomutov
2.00
Varnsdorf
2.00
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Havířov
2.00
Chrudim
2.00
Znojmo
2.00
Vlašim
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Klasterec n. Oh.
2.13
Vestec
2.13
Šternberk
2.13
Bystrc Kníničky
2.13
Horni Becva
2.13
Spartak Pribram
2.13
Hermanuv Mestec
2.13
Slavoj Vyšehrad
2.13
Velká Bíteš
2.13
Belotin
2.13
SK Krumvir
2.13
Hvězda Cheb
2.13
Strakonice
2.13
Slavia Vejprnice
2.13
Slavia Hradec Králové
2.13
Kravare
2.13
Stará Říše
2.13
TJ Bystrice
2.13
Branik
2.13
Dvůr Králové
2.13
Letohrad
2.13
Rychnov n. Kneznou
2.13
Vykan
2.13
Blansko
2.13
Bedrichov
2.13
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
2.13
Nyrsko
2.13
Karlovy Vary
2.25
Rokycany
2.33
Vratimov
2.33
Králův Dvůr
2.33
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Komárov
2.50
Zabreh
2.50
Baník Souš
2.50
Vsetín
2.50
Unie Hlubina
2.50
České Budějovice
2.50
Hranice
2.67
Bospor Bohumín
2.67
Neratovice-Byškovice
3.00
Sparta Brno
3.00
Hořovicko
3.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
3.00
Brumov
3.00
Bílovec
3.00
Sokol Zápy
3.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
3.00
Valašské Meziříčí
3.00
Hluk
3.00
Brandýs nad Labem
3.00
Spartak Soběslav
3.00
Benešov
3.00
Tatran Všechovice
3.00
Čáslav
3.00
Příbram
3.00
Sigma Olomouc
3.00
Kozlovice
3.50
Chotebor
3.50
Doubravka
3.50
Velké Meziříčí
4.00
Milevsko
4.00
Bzenec
5.00
Povltava FA
5.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
5.00
Tempo Praha
5.00
Stonava
6.00
Břidličná
6.00
Svitavy
7.00
Varnsdorf is 1.33 goals worse than Slavia Praha in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Varnsdorf or Draw
11.6%
Avg Implied -
3%
9%
88%
covers Varnsdorf + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf or Slavia Praha
91.4%
Avg Implied -
3%
9%
88%
covers Varnsdorf + Slavia Praha
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Slavia Praha
97.0%
Avg Implied -
3%
9%
88%
covers Draw + Slavia Praha
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Varnsdorf over/under 0.5
Over
45.6%
Under
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 1.5
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 2.5
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 3.5
Over
0.4%
Under
99.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha over/under 0.5
Over
96.8%
Under
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha over/under 1.5
Over
85.7%
Under
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha over/under 2.5
Over
66.6%
Under
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha over/under 3.5
Over
44.8%
Under
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Varnsdorf, so a minus line means Varnsdorf give that many goals of a start and Slavia Praha receive them. At -1, Varnsdorf must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Varnsdorf win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Varnsdorf)
Varnsdorf -2
0.1%
Draw -2
0.6%
Slavia Praha +2
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Varnsdorf)
Varnsdorf -1
0.7%
Draw -1
2.3%
Slavia Praha +1
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Varnsdorf)
Varnsdorf +1
11.6%
Draw +1
14.6%
Slavia Praha -1
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Varnsdorf)
Varnsdorf +2
26.2%
Draw +2
19.7%
Slavia Praha -2
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Varnsdorf
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.62
0.69
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.59
0.72
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Praha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.43
1.40
0.53
1.13
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.33
0.75
0.25
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (23)
1.39
0.39
1.60
0.50
1.23
0.31
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Varnsdorf) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Varnsdorf over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Varnsdorf
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.38
0.94
1.14
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.72
0.76
0.33
0.87
1.14
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Praha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.73
1.20
0.47
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.33
0.75
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.04
0.78
1.50
0.50
0.69
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Varnsdorf) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Varnsdorf over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 3.5 goals
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away win
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 1.5 goals
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away -1 handicap
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Slavia Praha
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Wiktor Nowak50%
Mojmír Chytil40%
Emmanuel Ayaosi40%
Tomáš Chorý33%
Adonija Ouanda33%
Mubarak Suleiman25%
Tomáš Holeš20%
David Zima20%
Michal Sadílek17%
Danijel Šturm17%
Tomáš Vlček0%
Ivan Schranz0%
Lukáš Provod0%
Jakub Markovič0%
Ange N'Guessan0%
Štěpán Chaloupek0%
David Moses0%
Pavel Kačor0%
Samuel Isife0%
Mikuláš Konečný0%
Elias Pitak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mubarak Suleiman50%
Tomáš Vlček33%
Wiktor Nowak33%
Tomáš Holeš20%
Ange N'Guessan20%
Emmanuel Ayaosi20%
Michal Sadílek17%
Danijel Šturm17%
Tomáš Chorý0%
Ivan Schranz0%
Mojmír Chytil0%
Lukáš Provod0%
Jakub Markovič0%
David Zima0%
Štěpán Chaloupek0%
David Moses0%
Pavel Kačor0%
Samuel Isife0%
Mikuláš Konečný0%
Elias Pitak0%
Adonija Ouanda0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michal Sadílek33%
David Moses33%
Adonija Ouanda33%
Mubarak Suleiman25%
Ivan Schranz20%
Ange N'Guessan20%
Danijel Šturm17%
Štěpán Chaloupek17%
Wiktor Nowak17%
Tomáš Chorý0%
Tomáš Vlček0%
Tomáš Holeš0%
Mojmír Chytil0%
Lukáš Provod0%
Jakub Markovič0%
David Zima0%
Emmanuel Ayaosi0%
Pavel Kačor0%
Samuel Isife0%
Mikuláš Konečný0%
Elias Pitak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mojmír Chytil60%
Wiktor Nowak33%
Elias Pitak33%
Mubarak Suleiman25%
Michal Sadílek17%
Lukáš Provod17%
Tomáš Chorý0%
Tomáš Vlček0%
Tomáš Holeš0%
Ivan Schranz0%
Jakub Markovič0%
David Zima0%
Danijel Šturm0%
Ange N'Guessan0%
Štěpán Chaloupek0%
Emmanuel Ayaosi0%
David Moses0%
Pavel Kačor0%
Samuel Isife0%
Mikuláš Konečný0%
Adonija Ouanda0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →