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Vasas vs Ajka Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2026
Time: 14:30
Final 2-1
Vasas
Vasas
Vs
55%
27%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ajka
Ajka
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasas win✓ Hit
55.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ajka win✗ Miss
18.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VasasVasas

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D60W20W31W40W40W02L20W32W13LA·TIS01/03H·KOZ08/03A·MEZ16/03H·SOR22/03A·SZE05/04A·SZE11/04H·BVS20/04A·FEH26/04H·BUD04/05A·BUD10/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.070.772.400.931.730.60
vs Stronger (1)3.000.003.000.00--
vs Similar (11)2.090.912.000.832.201.00
vs Weaker (18)2.000.722.621.121.500.40
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W12L10W10W10W14L11D11D13L03LH·SZE01/03H·CSA08/03A·KEC14/03H·BEK22/03A·KAR05/04H·TIS11/04A·KOZ19/04A·MEZ26/04A·SOR03/05H·SZE10/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.170.821.410.770.85
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.821.210.811.500.830.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.8%
Under 1.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.1%
Under 2.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.8%
No
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
11.1%
2-1 ✓
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
3-0
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
Vasas goals ↓
Ajka goals →
01234
09.2%5.8%3.0%0.9%0.2%
112%13%4.9%1.4%0.3%
211%9.5%4.1%1.2%0.3%
36.1%5.3%2.3%0.6%0.1%
42.5%2.2%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vasas goals (down), columns = Ajka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vasas
2.13
Budapest Honved
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.70
Kozarmisleny FC
1.60
Csakvar
1.53
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.53
BVSC
1.37
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Tiszakecske FC
1.30
Szeged 2011
1.20
Karcag SE
1.17
Soroksar
1.10
Ajka
1.10
Szentlőrinc SE
1.10
Budafoki LC
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.93
Vasas is 1.03 points better than Ajka in terms of average points per game (2.13 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.63
Budapest Honved
1.63
Csakvar
1.43
Soroksar
1.37
Kozarmisleny FC
1.27
Fehérvár FC
1.23
Tiszakecske FC
1.23
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.23
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.17
Budafoki LC
1.10
Szeged 2011
0.97
Karcag SE
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.90
Ajka
0.77
Vasas is 1.20 goals better than Ajka in terms of goals scored per game (1.97 vs 0.77).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vasas
0.87
Budapest Honved
0.87
BVSC
1.00
Fehérvár FC
1.10
Szeged 2011
1.13
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.13
Csakvar
1.23
Kecskeméti TE
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.33
Ajka
1.33
Karcag SE
1.37
Bekescsaba 1912
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Tiszakecske FC
1.47
Soroksar
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.63
Vasas is 0.47 goals better than Ajka in terms of goals conceded per game (0.87 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VasasVasas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W10W11D10W10W00D00D20W11DA·TIS01/03H·KOZ08/03A·MEZ16/03H·SOR22/03A·SZE05/04A·SZE11/04H·BVS20/04A·FEH26/04H·BUD04/05A·BUD10/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.300.930.400.800.20
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (11)0.910.180.830.171.000.20
vs Weaker (18)0.830.391.000.620.700.20
Clean sheet %77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W12L00D10W00D01L11D11D03L01LH·SZE01/03H·CSA08/03A·KEC14/03H·BEK22/03A·KAR05/04H·TIS11/04A·KOZ19/04A·MEZ26/04A·SOR03/05H·SZE10/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.570.410.590.230.54
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.320.570.380.620.250.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vasas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VasasVasas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W10W20W30W30W02L20W12L02LA·TIS01/03H·KOZ08/03A·MEZ16/03H·SOR22/03A·SZE05/04A·SZE11/04H·BVS20/04A·FEH26/04H·BUD04/05A·BUD10/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.471.470.530.930.40
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (11)1.180.731.170.671.200.80
vs Weaker (18)1.170.331.620.500.800.20
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W00D10W13L00D00D10W02LH·SZE01/03H·CSA08/03A·KEC14/03H·BEK22/03A·KAR05/04H·TIS11/04A·KOZ19/04A·MEZ26/04A·SOR03/05H·SZE10/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.410.820.540.31
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.500.640.440.880.580.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vasas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Vasas's squad is €5m more valuable than Ajka's (€7m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Vasas's attack is €2m more valuable than Ajka's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Vasas's midfield is €2m more valuable than Ajka's (€2m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KT (11)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Vasas and Ajka have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
3
VAS wins
1
Draws
1
AJK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Vasas vs Ajka · H/A from VAS
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25AAjka Vs VAS1-0
16/03/25AAjka Vs VAS2-3
01/09/24HVAS Vs Ajka3-2
10/03/24HVAS Vs Ajka0-0
03/09/23AAjka Vs VAS1-2

VasasVasas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26ABudapest Honved Vs VAS3-1
04/05/26HVAS Vs Budafoki LC3-2
26/04/26AFehérvár FC Vs VAS0-2
20/04/26HVAS Vs BVSC0-2
11/04/26ASzentlőrinc SE Vs VAS0-4
05/04/26ASzeged 2011 Vs VAS0-4
22/03/26HVAS Vs Soroksar3-1
16/03/26AMezokovesd-zsory Vs VAS0-2
08/03/26HVAS Vs Kozarmisleny FC6-0
01/03/26ATiszakecske FC Vs VAS0-0

AjkaAjka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26HAJK Vs Szeged 20110-3
03/05/26ASoroksar Vs AJK3-1
26/04/26AMezokovesd-zsory Vs AJK1-1
19/04/26AKozarmisleny FC Vs AJK1-1
11/04/26HAJK Vs Tiszakecske FC1-4
05/04/26AKarcag SE Vs AJK0-1
22/03/26HAJK Vs Bekescsaba 19121-0
14/03/26AKecskeméti TE Vs AJK0-1
08/03/26HAJK Vs Csakvar1-2
01/03/26HAJK Vs Szentlőrinc SE2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vasas
Vasas
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL2.00
HomeWWWLW2.46
AwayWWWWL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%79%46%
AVG goals2.663.172.19
Over 1.5 %70%79%62%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %32%42%23%
Scored1.802.251.38
Conceded0.860.920.81
BTTS34%42%27%
Clean Sheet54%54%54%
Corners---
Cards---
Ajka
Ajka
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLL1.16
HomeWLWLL1.08
AwayWWDDL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%31%33%
AVG goals2.002.081.92
Over 1.5 %54%54%54%
Over 2.5 %32%38%25%
Over 3.5 %18%19%17%
Scored0.820.850.79
Conceded1.181.231.12
BTTS36%38%33%
Clean Sheet30%27%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VasasVasas3064
67%
2.1
5926+33
2.8
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.00.9
-
2Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3059
60%
2.0
4926+23
2.5
67%
53%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.60.9
-
3Kecskeméti TEKecskeméti TE3051
53%
1.7
4939+10
2.9
83%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.3
-
4Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3048
43%
1.6
3840-2
2.6
87%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.3
-
5CsakvarCsakvar3046
40%
1.5
4337+6
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3046
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.4
70%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
7BVSCBVSC3041
40%
1.4
3630+6
2.2
70%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.0
-
8Fehérvár FCFehérvár FC3039
33%
1.3
3733+4
2.3
73%
37%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
9Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3039
33%
1.3
3744-7
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.5
-
10Szeged 2011Szeged 20113036
30%
1.2
2934-5
2.1
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.1
-
11Karcag SEKarcag SE3035
30%
1.2
2941-12
2.3
63%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
12SoroksarSoroksar3033
27%
1.1
4145-4
2.9
80%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.5
-
13Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3033
23%
1.1
3542-7
2.6
77%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
14AjkaAjka3033
33%
1.1
2340-17
2.1
57%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.3
-
15Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
83%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
16Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123028
20%
0.9
2742-15
2.3
73%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
Hungary: NB II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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