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Vasas vs Budafoki LC Result & Analysis

Date: 04/05/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 3-2
Vasas
Vasas
Vs
67%
20%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasas win✓ Hit
67.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC win✗ Miss
13.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VasasVasas

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W20W00D60W20W31W40W40W02L20WA·BEK15/02H·KAR22/02A·TIS01/03H·KOZ08/03A·MEZ16/03H·SOR22/03A·SZE05/04A·SZE11/04H·BVS20/04A·FEH26/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.030.772.271.071.800.47
vs Stronger (1)3.000.003.000.00--
vs Similar (10)2.100.601.800.602.400.60
vs Weaker (19)1.950.892.441.441.500.40
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W12L03L23L11D01L02L12L20WA·AJK15/02H·CSA22/02A·KEC28/02H·BEK08/03A·KAR14/03H·TIS22/03A·KOZ05/04H·MEZ11/04A·SOR19/04H·SZE26/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.671.131.401.001.93
vs Stronger (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Similar (29)1.031.721.131.400.932.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.8%
Under 2.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.6%
Under 3.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.3%
No
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
7.9%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
4.6%
Vasas goals ↓
Budafoki LC goals →
01234
04.6%2.7%1.7%0.5%0.1%
17.9%9.2%4.0%1.3%0.3%
210%9.7%4.6%1.5%0.4%
37.9%7.5%3.6%1.1%0.3%
44.6%4.4%2.1%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vasas goals (down), columns = Budafoki LC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vasas
2.13
Budapest Honved
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.70
Kozarmisleny FC
1.60
Csakvar
1.53
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.53
BVSC
1.37
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Tiszakecske FC
1.30
Szeged 2011
1.20
Karcag SE
1.17
Soroksar
1.10
Ajka
1.10
Szentlőrinc SE
1.10
Budafoki LC
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.93
Vasas is 1.17 points better than Budafoki LC in terms of average points per game (2.13 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.63
Budapest Honved
1.63
Csakvar
1.43
Soroksar
1.37
Kozarmisleny FC
1.27
Fehérvár FC
1.23
Tiszakecske FC
1.23
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.23
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.17
Budafoki LC
1.10
Szeged 2011
0.97
Karcag SE
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.90
Ajka
0.77
Vasas is 0.87 goals better than Budafoki LC in terms of goals scored per game (1.97 vs 1.10).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vasas
0.87
Budapest Honved
0.87
BVSC
1.00
Fehérvár FC
1.10
Szeged 2011
1.13
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.13
Csakvar
1.23
Kecskeméti TE
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.33
Ajka
1.33
Karcag SE
1.37
Bekescsaba 1912
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Tiszakecske FC
1.47
Soroksar
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.63
Vasas is 0.77 goals better than Budafoki LC in terms of goals conceded per game (0.87 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VasasVasas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D30W10W11D10W10W00D00DA·BEK15/02H·KAR22/02A·TIS01/03H·KOZ08/03A·MEZ16/03H·SOR22/03A·SZE05/04A·SZE11/04H·BVS20/04A·FEH26/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.370.870.600.870.13
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (10)0.900.100.600.201.200.00
vs Weaker (19)0.840.531.000.890.700.20
Clean sheet %77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W01L01L10W10W00D01L11D00DA·AJK15/02H·CSA22/02A·KEC28/02H·BEK08/03A·KAR14/03H·TIS22/03A·KOZ05/04H·MEZ11/04A·SOR19/04H·SZE26/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.800.270.800.470.80
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.340.830.270.800.430.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vasas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VasasVasas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W00D30W10W20W30W30W02L20WA·BEK15/02H·KAR22/02A·TIS01/03H·KOZ08/03A·MEZ16/03H·SOR22/03A·SZE05/04A·SZE11/04H·BVS20/04A·FEH26/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.401.400.470.930.33
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (10)1.200.501.200.401.200.60
vs Weaker (19)1.110.371.440.560.800.20
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D02L13L01L01L01L01L20WA·AJK15/02H·CSA22/02A·KEC28/02H·BEK08/03A·KAR14/03H·TIS22/03A·KOZ05/04H·MEZ11/04A·SOR19/04H·SZE26/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.870.870.600.531.13
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.690.900.870.600.501.21
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vasas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KT (11)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
3
VAS wins
1
Draws
1
BL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Vasas vs Budafoki LC · H/A from VAS
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25ABudafoki LC Vs VAS0-3
23/02/25HVAS Vs Budafoki LC2-0
12/08/24ABudafoki LC Vs VAS0-1
14/02/24ABudafoki LC Vs VAS0-0
30/07/23HVAS Vs Budafoki LC0-1

VasasVasas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26AFehérvár FC Vs VAS0-2
20/04/26HVAS Vs BVSC0-2
11/04/26ASzentlőrinc SE Vs VAS0-4
05/04/26ASzeged 2011 Vs VAS0-4
22/03/26HVAS Vs Soroksar3-1
16/03/26AMezokovesd-zsory Vs VAS0-2
08/03/26HVAS Vs Kozarmisleny FC6-0
01/03/26ATiszakecske FC Vs VAS0-0
22/02/26HVAS Vs Karcag SE2-0
15/02/26ABekescsaba 1912 Vs VAS0-1

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26HBL Vs Szeged 20112-0
19/04/26ASoroksar Vs BL2-1
11/04/26HBL Vs Mezokovesd-zsory0-2
05/04/26AKozarmisleny FC Vs BL1-0
22/03/26HBL Vs Tiszakecske FC1-1
14/03/26AKarcag SE Vs BL3-2
08/03/26HBL Vs Bekescsaba 19120-3
28/02/26AKecskeméti TE Vs BL2-1
22/02/26HBL Vs Csakvar2-0
15/02/26AAjka Vs BL0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vasas
Vasas
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW2.06
HomeWWWWL2.46
AwayDWWWW1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%79%50%
AVG goals2.623.122.15
Over 1.5 %70%79%62%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %30%42%19%
Scored1.822.251.42
Conceded0.800.880.73
BTTS34%42%27%
Clean Sheet54%54%54%
Corners---
Cards---
Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.00
HomeWLDLW1.12
AwayWLLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%25%27%
AVG goals2.822.832.81
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %28%33%23%
Scored1.181.331.04
Conceded1.641.501.77
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VasasVasas3064
67%
2.1
5926+33
2.8
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.00.9
-
2Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3059
60%
2.0
4926+23
2.5
67%
53%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.60.9
-
3Kecskeméti TEKecskeméti TE3051
53%
1.7
4939+10
2.9
83%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.3
-
4Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3048
43%
1.6
3840-2
2.6
87%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.3
-
5CsakvarCsakvar3046
40%
1.5
4337+6
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3046
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.4
70%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
7BVSCBVSC3041
40%
1.4
3630+6
2.2
70%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.0
-
8Fehérvár FCFehérvár FC3039
33%
1.3
3733+4
2.3
73%
37%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
9Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3039
33%
1.3
3744-7
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.5
-
10Szeged 2011Szeged 20113036
30%
1.2
2934-5
2.1
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.1
-
11Karcag SEKarcag SE3035
30%
1.2
2941-12
2.3
63%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
12SoroksarSoroksar3033
27%
1.1
4145-4
2.9
80%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.5
-
13Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3033
23%
1.1
3542-7
2.6
77%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
14AjkaAjka3033
33%
1.1
2340-17
2.1
57%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.3
-
15Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
83%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
16Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123028
20%
0.9
2742-15
2.3
73%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
Hungary: NB II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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