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Vasas vs BVSC Result & Analysis

Date: 20/10/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Vasas
Vasas
Vs
51%
28%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BVSC
BVSC
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasas win✓ Hit
51.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
BVSC win✗ Miss
20.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VasasVasas

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W22D10W01L24L32W11D23L12L12LH·KIS28/07H·KAZ04/08A·BUD12/08H·TAT19/08A·KOZ25/08H·AJK01/09H·NYI14/09A·SOR22/09H·MEZ30/09A·CSA06/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.202.000.801.731.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.941.002.430.711.561.22
vs Weaker (14)1.791.431.620.882.002.17
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (BVSC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BVSCBVSC

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W22D11D22D20W00D10W02LA·MEZ28/07A·CSA04/08A·KAZ11/08A·GYI18/08H·SZE25/08A·BEK01/09A·DEA14/09H·SZE22/09A·BUD29/09H·KIS06/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.900.830.670.891.06
vs Stronger (8)1.001.381.001.001.001.50
vs Similar (22)0.820.730.800.600.830.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.0%
Under 2.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.8%
No
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
10.4%
0-0
9.9%
2-1 ✓
9.3%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
Vasas goals ↓
BVSC goals →
01234
09.9%6.6%3.5%1.1%0.2%
112%13%5.4%1.6%0.4%
210%9.3%4.2%1.2%0.3%
35.3%4.8%2.1%0.6%0.1%
42.1%1.8%0.8%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vasas goals (down), columns = BVSC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kisvarda FC
1.93
Kazincbarcikai
1.77
Vasas
1.73
Kozarmisleny FC
1.57
Szentlőrinc SE
1.57
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Szeged 2011
1.40
Budapest Honved
1.33
BVSC
1.27
Csakvar
1.20
Budafoki LC
1.17
Soroksar
1.17
Ajka
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.10
Gyirmot SE
1.03
Tatabánya
0.80
Vasas is 0.47 points better than BVSC in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kisvarda FC
1.90
Kazincbarcikai
1.70
Vasas
1.57
Kozarmisleny FC
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.47
Szentlőrinc SE
1.47
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Soroksar
1.40
Gyirmot SE
1.37
Csakvar
1.37
Budapest Honved
1.37
Szeged 2011
1.20
Ajka
1.03
BVSC
1.03
Bekescsaba 1912
1.00
Tatabánya
0.93
Vasas is 0.53 goals better than BVSC in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kazincbarcikai
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.07
BVSC
1.07
Szentlőrinc SE
1.07
Vasas
1.17
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.27
Ajka
1.27
Budapest Honved
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.40
Kisvarda FC
1.47
Gyirmot SE
1.53
Soroksar
1.57
Csakvar
1.67
Budafoki LC
1.77
Tatabánya
2.00
Vasas is 0.10 goals worse than BVSC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.07).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VasasVasas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L00D01L11D01L10W12L02L11DH·KIS28/07H·KAZ04/08A·BUD12/08H·TAT19/08A·KOZ25/08H·AJK01/09H·NYI14/09A·SOR22/09H·MEZ30/09A·CSA06/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.700.800.531.070.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.940.620.860.431.000.78
vs Weaker (14)0.930.790.750.621.171.00
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (BVSC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BVSCBVSC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D21W01L10W00D00D00D01LA·MEZ28/07A·CSA04/08A·KAZ11/08A·GYI18/08H·SZE25/08A·BEK01/09A·DEA14/09H·SZE22/09A·BUD29/09H·KIS06/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.230.500.250.390.22
vs Stronger (8)0.380.380.500.000.330.50
vs Similar (22)0.450.180.500.300.420.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vasas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BVSC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BVSC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BVSC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VasasVasas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W10W00D13L31W01L11D10W01LH·KIS28/07H·KAZ04/08A·BUD12/08H·TAT19/08A·KOZ25/08H·AJK01/09H·NYI14/09A·SOR22/09H·MEZ30/09A·CSA06/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.501.200.270.670.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.000.381.570.290.560.44
vs Weaker (14)0.860.640.880.250.831.17
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (BVSC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BVSCBVSC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W01L10W12L20W00D10W01LA·MEZ28/07A·CSA04/08A·KAZ11/08A·GYI18/08H·SZE25/08A·BEK01/09A·DEA14/09H·SZE22/09A·BUD29/09H·KIS06/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.330.420.500.83
vs Stronger (8)0.621.000.501.000.671.00
vs Similar (22)0.360.550.300.300.420.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vasas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BVSC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BVSC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BVSC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Vasas's squad is €5m more valuable than BVSC's (€7m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KF (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Vasas's attack is €2m more valuable than BVSC's (€3m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
Vasas's midfield is €2m more valuable than BVSC's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Vasas's defence is €1m more valuable than BVSC's (€2m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
VAS wins
0
Draws
0
BVS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Vasas vs BVSC · H/A from VAS
DateH/AGameScore
31/03/24HVAS Vs BVSC2-0
27/09/23ABVSC Vs VAS0-2

VasasVasas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24ACsakvar Vs VAS2-1
30/09/24HVAS Vs Mezokovesd-zsory1-2
22/09/24ASoroksar Vs VAS3-2
14/09/24HVAS Vs Nyiregyhaza1-1
01/09/24HVAS Vs Ajka3-2
25/08/24AKozarmisleny FC Vs VAS4-2
19/08/24HVAS Vs Tatabánya0-1
12/08/24ABudafoki LC Vs VAS0-1
04/08/24HVAS Vs Kazincbarcikai2-2
28/07/24HVAS Vs Kisvarda FC3-1

BVSCBVSC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24HBVS Vs Kisvarda FC0-2
29/09/24ABudapest Honved Vs BVS0-1
22/09/24HBVS Vs Szeged 20110-0
14/09/24ADEAC Vs BVS0-2
01/09/24ABekescsaba 1912 Vs BVS2-2
25/08/24HBVS Vs Szentlőrinc SE1-1
18/08/24AGyirmot SE Vs BVS2-2
11/08/24AKazincbarcikai Vs BVS0-1
04/08/24ACsakvar Vs BVS0-1
28/07/24AMezokovesd-zsory Vs BVS0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vasas
Vasas
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLL1.64
HomeDLWDL1.81
AwayLWLLL1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%39%
AVG goals3.022.743.35
Over 1.5 %78%74%83%
Over 2.5 %58%52%65%
Over 3.5 %38%37%39%
Scored1.861.961.74
Conceded1.160.781.61
BTTS60%48%74%
Clean Sheet34%41%26%
Corners---
Cards---
BVSC
BVSC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWL1.28
HomeLDDDL1.29
AwayWDDWW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%33%32%
AVG goals1.891.482.24
Over 1.5 %59%48%68%
Over 2.5 %28%24%32%
Over 3.5 %11%0%20%
Scored0.850.671.00
Conceded1.040.811.24
BTTS30%19%40%
Clean Sheet41%52%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC3058
57%
1.9
5744+13
3.4
87%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.91.5
-
2KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3053
47%
1.8
5130+21
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.0
-
3VasasVasas3052
53%
1.7
4735+12
2.7
70%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.61.2
-
4Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3047
40%
1.6
4432+12
2.5
77%
40%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.1
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3047
43%
1.6
4542+3
2.9
83%
40%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.4
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3044
40%
1.5
4435+9
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7Szeged 2011Szeged 20113042
33%
1.4
3632+4
2.3
70%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.1
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3040
37%
1.3
4139+2
2.7
77%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.41.3
-
9BVSCBVSC3038
27%
1.3
3132-1
2.1
57%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.1
-
10CsakvarCsakvar3036
33%
1.2
4150-9
3.0
87%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
11SoroksarSoroksar3035
30%
1.2
4247-5
3.0
80%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.6
-
12AjkaAjka3035
27%
1.2
3138-7
2.3
67%
40%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
13Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3035
30%
1.2
4453-9
3.2
87%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
14Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123033
27%
1.1
3038-8
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
15Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3031
23%
1.0
4146-5
2.9
83%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
16TatabányaTatabánya3024
20%
0.8
2860-32
2.9
73%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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