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Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza Result & Analysis

Date: 22/10/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 3-0
Vasas
Vasas
Vs
48%
27%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nyiregyhaza
Nyiregyhaza
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Vasas are tipped to secure a home win, with a 48% chance of victory, a 27% draw probability and a 25% chance for Nyiregyhaza to triumph. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 13.1% probability. Vasas, playing at home against a similarly-rated opponent, have averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.18 conceded, while Nyiregyhaza, on the road, have also averaged 1.27 scored and 1.18 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s selections include an 75.9% chance of Over 1.5 goals and a 71.9% chance of Under 3.5 goals. The home side’s recent form shows two straight defeats followed by two wins and a draw, while Nyiregyhaza’s last five games include a draw, a win, and three losses. This context supports the prediction that Vasas will come out on top.

Results analysis

The latest match saw Vasas extend their recent form, turning a run of two straight defeats into a decisive victory. The model had picked a home win with a 48% probability, and that call proved correct as Vasas triumphed 3-0. The favourite’s prediction was spot on, and the final score matched the actual result. The model’s selections also performed well: Over 1.5 goals, with a 75.9% chance, hit the target, and Under 3.5 goals, at 71.9%, also came in. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 was not achieved, but the overall outcome aligned with the model’s forecast.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasas win✓ Hit
47.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza win✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VasasVasas

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-534L51W00D22D40W21W20W20W11D34LA·SZE05/08H·MTE13/08A·PÉC16/08H·KAZ19/08H·SIO27/08A·AJK03/09H·GYI24/09A·BVS27/09H·CSA01/10A·KOZ08/10
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.301.471.071.271.53
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (21)1.101.431.361.180.801.70
vs Weaker (7)2.571.142.330.672.751.50
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D11D32W21W20W11D20W40W10WA·TIS06/08H·BUD13/08A·SZO16/08H·GYO19/08A·SOR27/08H·BUD03/09A·SZE24/09H·MTE27/09A·PÉC02/10H·KAZ08/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.101.311.061.291.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.281.081.291.001.271.18
vs Weaker (5)1.401.201.501.501.331.00
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.9%
Under 1.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.1%
Under 2.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.1%
Under 3.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
Vasas goals ↓
Nyiregyhaza goals →
01234
08.1%6.3%4.1%1.5%0.4%
19.7%13%6.5%2.4%0.6%
28.6%9.4%5.2%1.9%0.5%
34.6%5.0%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.8%2.0%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vasas goals (down), columns = Nyiregyhaza goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nyiregyhaza
2.32
Gyori ETO FC
2.03
Vasas
1.97
Szeged 2011
1.76
Kozarmisleny FC
1.53
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Soroksar
1.32
Kazincbarcikai
1.29
Budafoki LC
1.29
Budapest Honved
1.29
Csakvar
1.26
Ajka
1.26
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.12
BVSC
1.12
Pécsi MFC
1.06
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
Siofok
0.91
MTE 1904
0.62
Vasas is 0.35 points worse than Nyiregyhaza in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 2.32).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
2.12
Nyiregyhaza
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.91
Kozarmisleny FC
1.62
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.24
Csakvar
1.15
Soroksar
1.15
Budapest Honved
1.15
Kazincbarcikai
1.09
Budafoki LC
1.09
Siofok
1.06
Szeged 2011
1.03
Tiszakecske FC
0.97
Ajka
0.88
MTE 1904
0.85
BVSC
0.79
Pécsi MFC
0.59
Vasas is 0.09 goals better than Nyiregyhaza in terms of goals scored per game (2.12 vs 2.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Szeged 2011
0.68
Nyiregyhaza
0.79
Vasas
0.97
Ajka
0.97
Budapest Honved
1.06
Gyori ETO FC
1.09
Pécsi MFC
1.15
Tiszakecske FC
1.18
BVSC
1.18
Kazincbarcikai
1.21
Budafoki LC
1.29
Soroksar
1.29
Gyirmot SE
1.32
Csakvar
1.32
Kozarmisleny FC
1.32
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.53
Siofok
1.76
MTE 1904
2.03
Vasas is 0.18 goals worse than Nyiregyhaza in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 0.79).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VasasVasas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L30W00D01L20W21W10W10W00D11DA·SZE05/08H·MTE13/08A·PÉC16/08H·KAZ19/08H·SIO27/08A·AJK03/09H·GYI24/09A·BVS27/09H·CSA01/10A·KOZ08/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.530.330.600.73
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.330.620.360.450.300.80
vs Weaker (7)1.430.431.330.001.500.75
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D00D10W00D10W00D10W00D00DA·TIS06/08H·BUD13/08A·SZO16/08H·GYO19/08A·SOR27/08H·BUD03/09A·SZE24/09H·MTE27/09A·PÉC02/10H·KAZ08/10
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.370.690.380.290.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.440.320.640.290.180.36
vs Weaker (5)0.800.601.001.000.670.33
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vasas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VasasVasas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W21W00D21W20W00D10W10W11D23LA·SZE05/08H·MTE13/08A·PÉC16/08H·KAZ19/08H·SIO27/08A·AJK03/09H·GYI24/09A·BVS27/09H·CSA01/10A·KOZ08/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.770.930.730.670.80
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.760.811.000.730.500.90
vs Weaker (7)1.140.711.000.671.250.75
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D11D22D21W10W11D10W40W10WA·TIS06/08H·BUD13/08A·SZO16/08H·GYO19/08A·SOR27/08H·BUD03/09A·SZE24/09H·MTE27/09A·PÉC02/10H·KAZ08/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.620.691.000.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.840.760.640.711.090.82
vs Weaker (5)0.600.600.500.500.670.67
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vasas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Vasas and Nyiregyhaza have a similar squad value (both €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
BH (6)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Vasas and Nyiregyhaza have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (6)
€4m
VAS (7)
€2m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
Vasas's midfield is €1m more valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Vasas's defence is €1m less valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€2m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VAS wins
0
Draws
0
NYI wins

Head-to-head

Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza · H/A from VAS
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

VasasVasas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/23AKozarmisleny FC Vs VAS4-3
01/10/23HVAS Vs Csakvar1-1
27/09/23ABVSC Vs VAS0-2
24/09/23HVAS Vs Gyirmot SE2-0
03/09/23AAjka Vs VAS1-2
27/08/23HVAS Vs Siofok4-0
19/08/23HVAS Vs Kazincbarcikai2-2
16/08/23APécsi MFC Vs VAS0-0
13/08/23HVAS Vs MTE 19045-1
05/08/23ASzeged 2011 Vs VAS4-3

NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/23HNYI Vs Kazincbarcikai1-0
02/10/23APécsi MFC Vs NYI0-4
27/09/23HNYI Vs MTE 19042-0
24/09/23ASzeged 2011 Vs NYI1-1
03/09/23HNYI Vs Budafoki LC2-0
27/08/23ASoroksar Vs NYI1-2
19/08/23HNYI Vs Gyori ETO FC3-2
16/08/23ASzombathelyi Haladas Vs NYI1-1
13/08/23HNYI Vs Budapest Honved0-0
06/08/23ATiszakecske FC Vs NYI1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vasas
Vasas
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.00
HomeWDWWD1.04
AwayLDWWL0.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%22%19%
AVG goals2.502.522.48
Over 1.5 %73%70%76%
Over 2.5 %41%43%38%
Over 3.5 %25%30%19%
Scored1.201.301.10
Conceded1.301.221.38
BTTS55%52%57%
Clean Sheet25%22%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Nyiregyhaza
Nyiregyhaza
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.34
HomeDWWWW1.58
AwayDDWDW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%46%21%
AVG goals2.522.542.50
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %40%38%42%
Over 3.5 %22%19%25%
Scored1.321.421.21
Conceded1.201.121.29
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza3479
71%
2.3
6927+42
2.8
82%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3469
65%
2.0
6537+28
3.0
71%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.91.1
-
3VasasVasas3467
56%
2.0
7233+39
3.1
79%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.11.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113460
44%
1.8
3523+12
1.7
53%
15%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.00.7
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3452
44%
1.5
5545+10
2.9
85%
56%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3449
35%
1.4
4945+4
2.8
74%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7SoroksarSoroksar3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.3
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3444
32%
1.3
3936+3
2.2
65%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.11.1
-
9KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3444
32%
1.3
3741-4
2.3
65%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3444
35%
1.3
3744-7
2.4
71%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
11AjkaAjka3443
38%
1.3
3033-3
1.9
53%
26%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.0
-
12CsakvarCsakvar3443
35%
1.3
3945-6
2.5
68%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
13Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3438
26%
1.1
4252-10
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
14BVSCBVSC3438
29%
1.1
2740-13
2.0
62%
29%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.2
-
15Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3436
24%
1.1
2039-19
1.7
44%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
16Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3434
21%
1.0
3340-7
2.1
71%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.2
-
17SiofokSiofok3431
24%
0.9
3660-24
2.8
74%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
18MTE 1904MTE 19043421
15%
0.6
2969-40
2.9
74%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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