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Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS Result & Analysis

Date: 24/07/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 2-0
Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK
Vs
66%
20%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Vasteras SK FK a 66% win probability against Orgryte IS in the Sweden: Allsvenskan on 2026-07-24, with 20% for the draw and 14% for Orgryte IS. The model estimates around 3.4 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (22%) and 2-1 the most likely scoreline (9.6%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (87%).

Results analysis

Vasteras SK FK finished 2-0 against Orgryte IS (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 66% home win, 20% draw and 14% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (87%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasteras SK FK win✓ Hit
66.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS win✗ Miss
14.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-533D21W03L01L11D32W45L31W20W00DH·BK 22/04A·IF 26/04A·HAM03/05H·GAI09/05H·AIK17/05A·MAL24/05H·IFK31/05A·HAL04/07H·DEG12/07A·MJA17/07
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.132.401.001.871.27
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (15)1.601.471.832.001.441.11
vs Weaker (14)2.860.642.780.333.001.20
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Orgryte ISOrgryte IS

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D04L02L23L02L22D03L43W00DH·IF 22/04H·DEG27/04A·GAI03/05A·SIR11/05H·IFK19/05A·HAL23/05H·IF 29/05A·KAL05/07H·BK 11/07H·DJU20/07
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.531.801.271.001.80
vs Stronger (8)1.252.501.751.500.753.50
vs Similar (19)1.321.211.701.200.891.22
vs Weaker (3)2.331.003.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.6%
Under 1.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
66.8%
Under 2.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.1%
Under 3.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.8%
No
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.6%
2-0 ✓
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.0%
4-1
4.6%
Vasteras SK FK goals ↓
Orgryte IS goals →
01234
04.0%2.6%1.8%0.6%0.2%
16.9%8.8%4.2%1.5%0.4%
29.2%9.6%5.0%1.8%0.5%
37.3%7.7%4.0%1.4%0.4%
44.4%4.6%2.4%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vasteras SK FK goals (down), columns = Orgryte IS goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
1.94
BK Hacken
1.65
AIK Stockholm
1.65
Djurgardens IF
1.62
IF Elfsborg
1.59
Malmo FF
1.53
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
Gais
1.35
Mjallby AIF
1.25
IF Brommapojkarna
1.24
IFK Goteborg
1.12
Kalmar FF
1.06
Degerfors IF
0.94
Orgryte IS
0.76
Halmstad
0.41
Vasteras SK FK is 0.71 points better than Orgryte IS in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 0.76).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.76
Hammarby FF
2.35
Djurgardens IF
2.12
Malmo FF
1.88
BK Hacken
1.71
Mjallby AIF
1.50
AIK Stockholm
1.47
IF Brommapojkarna
1.47
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.41
IFK Goteborg
1.29
Kalmar FF
1.24
Gais
1.24
Orgryte IS
1.24
Degerfors IF
1.00
Halmstad
0.65
Vasteras SK FK is 0.24 goals better than Orgryte IS in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hammarby FF
0.88
Gais
0.94
IF Elfsborg
1.06
Djurgardens IF
1.19
Sirius
1.35
Mjallby AIF
1.44
AIK Stockholm
1.47
BK Hacken
1.53
IF Brommapojkarna
1.59
Malmo FF
1.59
Degerfors IF
1.59
Kalmar FF
1.65
Vasteras SK FK
1.88
Halmstad
2.00
IFK Goteborg
2.24
Orgryte IS
2.35
Vasteras SK FK is 0.47 goals better than Orgryte IS in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 2.35).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Malmo FF
57%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Mjallby AIF
54%
AIK Stockholm
52%
BK Hacken
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
51%
Sirius
48%
Vasteras SK FK
47%
IF Elfsborg
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
47%
Kalmar FF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
40%
Vasteras SK FK is 4.4 percentage points better than Orgryte IS in terms of average possession (47% vs 43%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK

For 4.0 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

140311168373326415766591471110510671214A·MJAH·DEGA·HALH·IFKA·MALH·AIKH·GAIA·HAMA·IF H·BK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

80332613213263211326842483315A·MJAH·DEGA·HALH·IFKA·MALH·AIKH·GAIA·HAMA·IF H·BK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 13.4 · Total 26.2

⚠️ Fouls

370169152213136161318151581613914915725372622313024222322A·MJAH·DEGA·HALH·IFKA·MALH·AIKH·GAIA·HAMA·IF H·BK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Orgryte ISOrgryte IS

For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

1603135844425366452852116138681291053H·DJUH·BK A·KALH·IF A·HALH·IFKA·SIRA·GAIH·DEGH·IF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

50132211232231123214413551153H·DJUH·BK A·KALH·IF A·HALH·IFKA·SIRA·GAIH·DEGH·IF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.3

⚠️ Fouls

3005813131361111111914121681412106111013261922302624261621H·DJUH·BK A·KALH·IF A·HALH·IFKA·SIRA·GAIH·DEGH·IF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.210.72.62.32.825.926.525.4
vs Stronger (3)8.37.09.03.02.03.521.325.019.5
vs Similar (23)11.09.812.42.42.82.125.524.826.2
vs Weaker (24)9.38.69.62.71.93.527.329.826.0
% over line57%53%60%36%29%42%83%100%70%
% under line43%47%40%64%71%58%17%0%30%
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Orgryte ISOrgryte IS

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.311.41.92.01.922.022.121.9
vs Stronger (8)12.012.511.52.94.01.821.820.223.2
vs Similar (35)9.98.311.31.71.61.922.623.921.6
vs Weaker (7)13.014.511.51.91.72.019.217.521.0
% over line56%53%59%24%24%24%50%53%47%
% under line44%47%41%76%76%76%50%47%53%
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.4
Sirius
11.1
Orgryte IS
10.9
AIK Stockholm
10.8
IF Brommapojkarna
10.7
Vasteras SK FK
10.6
BK Hacken
10.6
Mjallby AIF
10.5
Djurgardens IF
10.5
Gais
10.2
Malmo FF
10.2
Degerfors IF
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.1
Hammarby FF
10.0
IF Elfsborg
10.0
Halmstad
9.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.7
IFK Goteborg
4.4
BK Hacken
4.4
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.8
Gais
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Malmo FF
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.5
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Halmstad
3.4
Kalmar FF
3.4
Sirius
3.3
Orgryte IS
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
IFK Goteborg
26.6
Djurgardens IF
26.1
Sirius
25.3
Mjallby AIF
25.2
Hammarby FF
25.0
Degerfors IF
24.9
Gais
24.8
Malmo FF
24.8
Vasteras SK FK
24.4
BK Hacken
24.2
AIK Stockholm
24.1
IF Brommapojkarna
24.1
Halmstad
23.9
IF Elfsborg
23.8
Kalmar FF
23.4
Orgryte IS
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.6%
Under 9.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.4%
Under 3.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.5%
Under 21.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (24)
€30m
DI (22)
€27m
SIR (23)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (25)
€20m
IE (26)
€17m
IG (22)
€16m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (20)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
OI (26)
€8m
IB (24)
€8m
HAL (19)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Vasteras SK FK's squad is €2m more valuable than Orgryte IS's (€10m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
MF (6)
€9m
AS (7)
€8m
IG (8)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Vasteras SK FK's attack is €1m more valuable than Orgryte IS's (€3m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
MA (6)
€11m
MF (5)
€8m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (4)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
HAL (3)
€1m
IB (3)
€1m
Vasteras SK FK's midfield is €1m more valuable than Orgryte IS's (€3m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
IG (10)
€5m
AS (9)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
SIR (8)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Vasteras SK FK and Orgryte IS have a similar defence value (both €4m).

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS · H/A from VSF
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/25AOrgryte IS Vs VSF0-2
08/04/25HVSF Vs Orgryte IS1-1
04/11/23AOrgryte IS Vs VSF1-0
10/04/23HVSF Vs Orgryte IS0-0
27/08/22HVSF Vs Orgryte IS1-1
26/07/22AOrgryte IS Vs VSF1-1

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/07/26AMjallby AIF Vs VSF0-0
12/07/26HVSF Vs Degerfors IF2-0
04/07/26AHalmstad Vs VSF1-3
31/05/26HVSF Vs IFK Goteborg4-5
24/05/26AMalmo FF Vs VSF2-3
17/05/26HVSF Vs AIK Stockholm1-1
09/05/26HVSF Vs Gais0-1
03/05/26AHammarby FF Vs VSF3-0
26/04/26AIF Brommapojkarna Vs VSF1-2
22/04/26HVSF Vs BK Hacken3-3

Orgryte ISOrgryte IS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/07/26HOI Vs Djurgardens IF0-0
11/07/26HOI Vs BK Hacken4-3
05/07/26AKalmar FF Vs OI3-0
29/05/26HOI Vs IF Elfsborg2-2
23/05/26AHalmstad Vs OI2-0
19/05/26HOI Vs IFK Goteborg2-3
11/05/26ASirius Vs OI2-0
03/05/26AGais Vs OI4-0
27/04/26HOI Vs Degerfors IF1-1
22/04/26HOI Vs IF Brommapojkarna1-2

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.78
HomeDLDLW2.00
AwayWLWWD1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%54%50%
AVG goals3.043.003.08
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %62%54%69%
Over 3.5 %32%33%31%
Scored1.802.001.62
Conceded1.241.001.46
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet32%42%23%
Corners10.039.2010.65
Cards3.713.733.70
Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWD1.60
HomeDLDWD1.84
AwayLLLLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals3.063.242.88
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %32%40%24%
Scored1.662.121.20
Conceded1.401.121.68
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners10.8410.2711.35
Cards3.033.332.76

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SiriusSirius1742
76%
2.5
4723+24
4.1
100%
82%
59%
10.7
76%
3.1
53%
25.5
82%
27
18542.81.4
48%
2Hammarby FFHammarby FF1733
59%
1.9
4015+25
3.2
94%
59%
29%
9.1
41%
2.8
29%
24.7
71%
0
0002.40.9
61%
3BK HackenBK Hacken1728
41%
1.6
2926+3
3.2
82%
53%
41%
11.1
65%
4.2
59%
26.3
76%
16
6371.71.5
52%
4AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm1728
47%
1.6
2525+0
2.9
82%
65%
24%
10.3
41%
4.4
71%
24.5
71%
20
8751.51.5
52%
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg1727
41%
1.6
2418+6
2.5
82%
47%
18%
8.9
41%
3.8
53%
21.6
53%
17
5471.41.1
47%
6Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF1626
50%
1.6
3419+15
3.3
69%
62%
44%
11.2
69%
3.6
44%
23.4
62%
27
81462.11.2
57%
7Malmo FFMalmo FF1726
47%
1.5
3227+5
3.5
76%
71%
53%
10.3
47%
4.1
65%
27.5
88%
30
98121.91.6
57%
8Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK1725
41%
1.5
2532-7
3.4
76%
59%
41%
9.9
59%
3.7
47%
26.7
100%
10
3341.51.9
47%
9GaisGais1723
35%
1.4
2116+5
2.2
71%
35%
18%
10.1
59%
3.5
41%
23.9
65%
13
5351.20.9
51%
10IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna1721
29%
1.2
2527-2
3.1
94%
76%
35%
10.3
59%
3.2
35%
22.2
53%
8
3141.51.6
47%
11Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF1620
31%
1.2
2423+1
2.9
75%
50%
25%
9.1
38%
3.9
62%
25.6
62%
26
71181.51.4
54%
12IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg1719
29%
1.1
2238-16
3.5
94%
59%
41%
11.5
71%
3.9
41%
24.3
71%
16
8351.32.2
51%
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF1718
29%
1.1
2128-7
2.9
82%
59%
29%
10.4
53%
3.3
35%
23.6
59%
10
4231.21.6
46%
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF1716
24%
0.9
1727-10
2.6
82%
53%
18%
9.7
41%
3.6
41%
26.1
71%
6
1331.01.6
47%
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS1713
18%
0.8
2140-19
3.6
94%
59%
41%
9.9
47%
3.1
47%
21.8
47%
8
2241.22.4
43%
16HalmstadHalmstad177
6%
0.4
1134-23
2.6
94%
35%
18%
10.6
59%
3.2
47%
23.1
47%
8
4130.62.0
40%
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →

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