Vejle’s recent unbeaten run of five games, capped by a 0-0 draw with Aarhus Fremad, sets the tone for a high-scoring encounter, with the model projecting an average of 3.6 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 for the home side, a 9.4% chance, while the expected total of three goals falls in the middle of the range. The model favours a home win, with a 58% probability, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 21% chance of an away victory. Vejle, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 2.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded; Aarhus Fremad, on the road, averages 1.14 scored and 1.21 conceded. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 96.9%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.3%, Under 6.5 at 92.7%, Home +2 handicap at 90.9%, Home over 0.5 goals at 89.6%, Over 1.5 at 88.3%, Away under 2.5 goals at 84.9%, and Under 5.5 at 84.4%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Vejle win
57.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad win
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Vejle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.67
2.00
1.57
1.44
1.75
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
2.20
1.67
1.67
1.50
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.65
1.61
2.10
1.50
1.31
1.69
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus Fremad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus Fremad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.97
1.71
0.86
1.31
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.19
1.04
1.25
0.83
1.14
1.21
vs Weaker (4)
3.50
0.50
4.50
1.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.3%
Under 1.5
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69.8%
Under 2.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
48.5%
Under 3.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
66.8%
No
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
Vejle goals ↓
Aarhus Fremad goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
2.8%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
1
5.4%
9.1%
5.5%
2.4%
0.8%
2
7.0%
9.4%
6.2%
2.8%
0.9%
3
5.3%
7.1%
4.7%
2.1%
0.7%
4
3.0%
4.0%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vejle goals (down), columns = Aarhus Fremad goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
Vejle is 0.83 points better than Aarhus Fremad in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
Vejle is 1.50 goals better than Aarhus Fremad in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
Vejle is 0.83 goals worse than Aarhus Fremad in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vejle or Draw
79.1%
Avg Implied -
58%
21%
21%
covers Vejle + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vejle or Aarhus Fremad
78.6%
Avg Implied -
58%
21%
21%
covers Vejle + Aarhus Fremad
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Aarhus Fremad
42.3%
Avg Implied -
58%
21%
21%
covers Draw + Aarhus Fremad
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vejle over/under 0.5
Over
89.7%
Under
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 1.5
Over
66.2%
Under
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 2.5
Over
39.6%
Under
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 3.5
Over
19.5%
Under
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 0.5
Over
73.6%
Under
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 1.5
Over
38.4%
Under
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 2.5
Over
15.0%
Under
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Vejle, so a minus line means Vejle give that many goals of a start and Aarhus Fremad receive them. At -1, Vejle must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vejle win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vejle)
Vejle -2
19.5%
Draw -2
17.4%
Aarhus Fremad +2
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Vejle)
Vejle -1
36.9%
Draw -1
20.8%
Aarhus Fremad +1
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Vejle)
Vejle +1
79.1%
Draw +1
11.9%
Aarhus Fremad -1
9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Vejle)
Vejle +2
91.0%
Draw +2
6.0%
Aarhus Fremad -2
3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vejle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.43
0.71
0.56
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.60
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.87
0.40
0.80
0.62
0.92
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus Fremad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus Fremad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.57
0.36
0.69
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.46
0.42
0.33
0.33
0.57
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.25
2.00
0.50
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vejle over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vejle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.87
1.57
0.86
0.88
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.60
1.33
1.33
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.13
0.74
1.70
0.70
0.69
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus Fremad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus Fremad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
1.14
0.50
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.73
0.62
0.92
0.50
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.25
2.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vejle over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vejle · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anders Jacobsen25%
Christian Gammelgaard25%
Mikkel Duelund24%
Stefan Velkov20%
Jelle Duin17%
Tobias Bach15%
Amin Chiakha14%
Yusuf Faghir13%
Giorgi Tabatadze9%
Andrew Hjulsager8%
Abdoulaye Camara5%
Bismark Edjeodji4%
Lasse Flø4%
Lasse Nielsen0%
Thomas Gundelund0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Christian Sørensen0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Mike Vestergård0%
Mads Enggård0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Tobias Lauritsen0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giorgi Tabatadze36%
Stefan Velkov30%
Lasse Nielsen26%
Mads Enggård20%
Tobias Bach20%
Mike Vestergård19%
Andrew Hjulsager17%
Bismark Edjeodji17%
Mikkel Duelund16%
Alexi Pitu12%
Valdemar Lund11%
Christian Sørensen8%
Amin Chiakha7%
Lasse Flø7%
Thomas Gundelund7%
Tobias Lauritsen7%
Christian Gammelgaard6%
Igor Vekić4%
Anders Jacobsen0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Jelle Duin0%
Masaki Murata0%
Yusuf Faghir0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Hjulsager17%
Tobias Bach15%
Anders Jacobsen12%
Christian Gammelgaard12%
Christian Sørensen12%
Giorgi Tabatadze9%
Lasse Flø7%
Thomas Gundelund7%
Tobias Lauritsen7%
Bismark Edjeodji4%
Mikkel Duelund4%
Mads Enggård4%
Lasse Nielsen4%
Mike Vestergård3%
Jonathan Amon0%
Stefan Velkov0%
Jelle Duin0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Yusuf Faghir0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Amin Chiakha0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amin Chiakha21%
Yusuf Faghir13%
Andrew Hjulsager12%
Mikkel Duelund12%
Tobias Bach10%
Christian Gammelgaard9%
Stefan Velkov5%
Christian Sørensen4%
Lasse Nielsen0%
Thomas Gundelund0%
Anders Jacobsen0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Jelle Duin0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Mike Vestergård0%
Mads Enggård0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Giorgi Tabatadze0%
Tobias Lauritsen0%
Lasse Flø0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Bismark Edjeodji0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
Vejle's squad is €6m more valuable than Aarhus Fremad's (€9m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
Vejle's attack is €2m more valuable than Aarhus Fremad's (€3m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Vejle and Aarhus Fremad have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
Vejle's defence is €3m more valuable than Aarhus Fremad's (€4m vs €1m).
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hvidovre
Hobro
FC Fredericia
Vendsyssel FF
Aalborg
AB Copenhagen
Kolding IF
Hillerød
Esbjerg
HB Koge